Sector performance S&P500 last week | $SPY (+0,09 %)
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51MARKET BRIEF: S&P 500 Futures Break 6,000 Mark Following Trump Victory and Fed Rate Cut $SPY (+0,09 %)
MARKET OVERVIEW
- Futures Trading: $SPX +0.09%, $DJI +0.05%, $NDX +0.06%
- Major indices poised for strong weekly performance
* Dow and S&P 500: Best week in nearly one year
* Nasdaq: Best performance in two months
KEY DEVELOPMENTS
Federal Reserve Update:
- 25 basis point rate cut implemented
- Powell: Election results won't affect near-term monetary policy
- Markets adjusting rate cut expectations for 2025
- Bond yields reaching multi-month highs
Political Landscape:
- Donald Trump secures presidential victory
- Republicans maintain Senate control
- Potential "Red Sweep" with House majority likely
- Market implications:
* Expected corporate tax cuts
* Lighter regulatory environment
* Potential inflation pressure from fiscal policies
Market Sentiment:
- S&P 500 futures trading above 6,000-point milestone
- All major indexes near record highs
- Analyst View: "Strong earnings and economic growth, coupled with Fed support, expected to drive markets higher" - Michael Brown, Pepperstone
UPCOMING CATALYSTS
- University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey (November)
- Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman speech
MARKET CONSIDERATIONS
- Trump's fiscal policies may complicate Fed's easing path
- Inflation concerns from proposed spending and tariffs
- Bond market showing sensitivity to policy expectations
Returns since election...
Coinbase $COIN (-3,83 %) : +32%
Tesla $TSLA (-6,59 %): +18%
Bitcoin $IBIT: +10%
Banks $KBE: +8.3%
Small Caps $IWM (-1,45 %): +5.4%
S&P 500 $SPY (+0,09 %): +3.3%
China $FXI (-3,33 %): +2.4%
US Dollar $UUP: +0.8%
International Stocks $VEA (-1,33 %): +0.2%
Oil $USO : -0.1%
Gold $GLD (-0,55 %) : -1.5%
Long-Term Treasury Bonds $TLT : -1.6%
Trump Media $DJT: -18%
Volatility $VIX: -26%
up/down and closing price predictions for Monday - machine opinion not advice
$NVDA (+2,32 %) added to DOW - so prediction likely affected...
52.4 % chance down Monday
probable closing price $ 219.34
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53.8 % chance down Monday
probable closing price $ 139.59
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54.7 % chance up Monday
probable closing price $ 200.9
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50.5 % chance down Monday
probable closing price $ 373.51
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52.0 % chance up Monday
probable closing price $ 185.44
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54.6 % chance down Monday
probable closing price $ 94.28
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53.1 % chance up Monday
probable closing price $ 173.86
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51.0 % chance down Monday
probable closing price $ 23.59
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51.6 % chance down Monday
probable closing price $ 215.51
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54.1 % chance down Monday
probable closing price $ 558.09
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53.7 % chance down Monday
probable closing price $ 403.8
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54.0 % chance up Monday
probable closing price $ 767.44
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52.7 % chance down Monday
probable closing price $ 133.2
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53.3 % chance down Monday
probable closing price $ 41.27
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55.3 % chance down Monday
probable closing price $ 479.63
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51.2 % chance down Monday
probable closing price $ 561.88
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55.6 % chance up Monday
probable closing price $ 252.71
Q3 Revenue Growth, YoY % Change...
Meta $META (+0,4 %): +19%
AMD $AMD (-2,45 %): +18%
Microsoft $MSFT (+1,59 %): +16%
Google $GOOGL (+1,13 %): +15%
Netflix $NFLX (+2,19 %): +15%
Amazon $AMZN (+1,9 %): +11%
Tesla $TSLA (-6,59 %): +8%
Apple $AAPL (+0,17 %): +6%
S&P 500 $SPY (+0,09 %): +6%
Last week's S&P500 sector performance | $SPY (+0,09 %)
S&P 500 posts first weekly decline since early September as materials and healthcare weigh
The S&P 500 Index fell 1%, posting its first weekly decline since early September, as investors analyzed corporate quarterly results. The market index closed the week at 5,808.12 points, its first weekly decline since the seven days ending September 6. However, it is still up 0.8% for the month and 22% for 2024.
Several companies have beaten analysts' average earnings estimates this reporting season. Megacaps like Coca-Cola (KO) and Tesla (TSLA) released better-than-expected quarterly results this week, while Union Pacific (UNP) missed expectations on both earnings and revenue.
By sector, materials and health care saw the largest percentage declines this week, down 4% and 3%, respectively. Industrials lost 2.8% and financials 2.1%. Utilities, real estate and consumer staples were also down.
In the materials sector, shares of Newmont (NEM) fell 16% for the week as the mining company's third quarter earnings per share and revenue came in slightly below average analyst estimates.
In healthcare, HCA Healthcare's (HCA) Q3 results missed Wall Street estimates as Hurricane Helene negatively impacted some of its facilities. The hospital company also warned of another hurricane-related loss in the current three-month period. Shares fell 13%.
In the industrial sector, shares of Carrier Global (CARR) saw the biggest percentage drop this week, falling 9.6%, as the company's Q3 results missed analysts' expectations and it lowered its 2024 guidance.
Nevertheless, two sectors posted weekly gains: Consumer Discretionary rose 0.9% and the Technology sector gained 0.2%.
Tesla shares gave the consumer discretionary sector a strong boost, rising 22%. The electric vehicle maker's quarterly results unexpectedly rose year-on-year and beat the average analyst estimate, despite weaker-than-expected sales. Tesla also said it expects "modest growth" in vehicle deliveries this year, an improvement from its previous forecast that vehicle volume could potentially be "significantly lower".
In the technology sector, shares of Lam Research (LRCX) rose 6.6% as the company's adjusted earnings per share and revenue for the first quarter of the fiscal year were ahead of both the previous year and analysts' estimates.
Next week's earnings calendar includes reports from Google parent Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL), Visa (V), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), McDonald's (MCD), Pfizer (PFE), Microsoft (MSFT), Facebook parent Meta Platforms (META), Eli Lilly (LLY), AbbVie (ABBV), Caterpillar (CAT), Apple (AAPL), Amazon.com (AMZN), Mastercard (MA), Merck (MRK), Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B), Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX).
In economic data, the focus will be on October employment figures, with the ADP private sector report due on Wednesday and monthly nonfarm payrolls data and the Labor Department's unemployment rate due on Friday. Other highlights include the release of third quarter gross domestic product on Tuesday and personal consumption expenditures for October on Thursday.
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