Today, October 21, 2025, global markets are mixed, but $BPE (+0,08 %) is absolutely dominating the scene. With a rally of +6.55%(at the open), the stock confirms itself as a pillar of my strategy.

While the $NSDQ100 loses momentum, BPER's performance in Milan—which is the fifth-largest holding in my portfolio—demonstrates how fundamental analysis can isolate specific stocks from macro fears.

🔎 Market & BPER Deep Dive

The Driver Behind the $BPE (+0,08 %) Rally:

The exceptional surge is fueled by strong positive sentiment related to optimistic corporate forecastsand the finalization of the Banca Popolare di Sondrio merger. Recent upward revisions of target pricesby analysts (like Barclays) and the bank's improved capital strength (CET1 Ratio) are insulating the stock from the concerns affecting other European banks. The market is rewarding efficiency and synergy realization.

Global Context: Is the Rally Sustainable?

Yesterday's risk-on rally is quickly losing steam:

Dollar Strength ($DXY$):The Dollar's return to strength is breaking the positive sentiment across nearly all risk assets and new tech.

Tech and Crypto:Following strong initial gains, $BTC (-2,46 %) , $ETH (-2,2 %) , and many Tech stocks ($GOOGL (+1,54 %) , $NVDA (-0,55 %) struggling) are undergoing a correction, confirming their vulnerability to risk-offsentiment.

Gold $GLD (+0,44 %) & Oil:Gold is sharply correcting, signaling that systemic fear is retreating. Meanwhile, oil hits 5-month lows due to supply concerns.

💼 My Strategy: Focus on Fundamentals

BPER's surge (6.55%) on a cautious global day reinforces the importance of selecting stocks based on strong fundamentalsover short-term sentiment. I continue to maintain my focus on:

1. Quality Stockswith strong, specific catalysts (like the BPER merger).

2. Strategic Technology($NVDA, $TSM$).

3. Active Risk Managementto absorb market shocks like last week's sell-off.

For daily real-time market insights, deep dives, and trading discussions, follow me on X: https://x.com/ThomasVioli

To copy my portfolio, strategies, and complete trade insights, you can follow me on eToro: https://www.etoro.com/people/farlys

⚠️ Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing involves risks, including the loss of capital.

🇺🇸 USA

$SPX500 — Futures indicate a slight decline, showing loss of momentum after yesterday's rally, driven by negative tech futures.

$DJ30 — Down slightly, affected by the cautious sentiment and renewed Dollar strength.

$NSDQ100 — Under pressure, the tech rally has faded, leading to pre-market weakness.

💻 Tech & Growth Snapshot

$NVDA (-0,55 %) — Down slightly (-0.10%), the chipmaker stock is struggling to hold onto yesterday's gains.

$GOOGL (+1,54 %) — Down (-0.44%), aligning with the cautious sentiment in the tech sector.

$AVGO (+1,29 %) — Up slightly (0.09%), showing resilience in the semiconductor space.

$META (+0,52 %) — Down slightly (-0.02%), the Communication Services sector is mixed.

$MSFT (+0,11 %) — Up slightly (0.02%), the stock is essentially flat.

$QBTS (-3,83 %) — Down (-0.53%), the quantum sector is actively correcting.

$RGTI (-8,5 %) — Down (-0.51%), in line with the broader *new techcorrection.

$TSM (+0 %) — Up (0.80%), showing strong resilience and helping to support the chip sector.

$RR. (+0,38 %) — Down slightly (-0.06%), the Industrial/Aerospace stock is mixed.

🛍️ Retail & Commerce

$AMZN (-0,43 %) — Up slightly (0.06%), essentially flat, following the mixed tech trend.

$BABA (-0,14 %) — Down (-1.99%), experiencing a clear drop, reflecting heavy selling in Chinese stocks.

$CVNA (+0,07 %) — Down slightly (-0.06%), losing ground.

$SHOP (-1,41 %) — Down (-0.64%), retail tech is under pressure.

⚕️ Health & Pharmaceutical

$LLY (-0,04 %) — Up slightly (0.01%), holding up better than the general market.

$HIMS (+0,73 %) — Stable (0.00%), in line with the cautious mood.

$INSM (-0,35 %) — Stable (0.00%), the biotech sector is mixed.

🇪🇺 Europe & Industrials

STOXX 600 — Opening solidly up, exceeding initial caution (resilience driven by defensive sectors).

GER40 — Up, showing resilience.

$LDO (+1,5 %) — Up slightly (0.38%), the defense sector is stable.

$IBE (-0,01 %) — Up (0.53%), the utilities sector is in the green, showing defensive appeal.

$OKLO — Down (-0.56%), the new tech stock is experiencing profit-taking.

🏦 Banking & Finance

$UCG (+0,39 %) — Up slightly (0.13%), Italian banks are mixed.

$ISP (-0,33 %) — Up slightly (0.16%), showing a modest gain.

$BAMI (+0,12 %)
$CE (+0,23 %) , $BPE (+0,08 %) — BPER Banca ($BPE.MI$) is in a massive rally (6.55%), strongly counter-trending the sector; $CE.MI$ is up $1.36\%$.

$BBVA (-0,04 %) — Down (-0.81%), showing clear pressure and vulnerability today.

$AXP (-0,15 %) — Down (-0.26%), ahead of today's earnings report.

$V (-0,07 %) — Down (-0.19%), following cautious sentiment in the payments sector.

$CS (+0,13 %) — Up slightly (0.15%), the financial services sector is mixed.

🌏 Asia

$JPN225 — Close in a solid gain, with the Nikkei hitting $50,000$.

$KOSPI — Close mixed/stable, Korean tech holds up.

$HK50 — Up, the index is recovering.

$CHINA50 — Up, tracking positive global sentiment.

💱 Forex

$EURUSD — Down, the Euro loses ground as the Dollar recovers.

$GBPUSD — Down, the Pound is under pressure.

$USDJPY — Solidly up, the Yen is falling as the Dollar makes a strong recovery.

$DXY — The Dollar Index is moving sharply higher, breaking the risk-on sentiment.

💎 Commodities & Precious Metals

$GLD (+0,44 %) — Stable (0.00%), gold is pausing after yesterday's correction.

$CDE (+0,51 %) — Stable (0.00%), following the gold correction.

$BRENT — Down slightly, oil drops to a 5-month low.

$WTI — Losing ground, in line with Brent.

💰 Crypto

$BTC (-2,46 %) — Down, crypto is undergoing a significant correction.

$ETH (-2,2 %) — Down, following Bitcoin.

$TRX (-0,82 %) — Down, the altcoin sector is negative.

$CRO (-2,72 %) — Down, in line with overall negative sentiment.

🚀 Space & New Tech

$RKLB (+0 %) — Up (2.75%), strong counter-trend move in high-beta growth stocks.

🔎 Deep Dive: The Market Divergence

The key theme today is divergence. US indices futures are soft, but specific European stocks are surging (BPER Banca is up over $6\%$) in a massive counter-trend move, highlighting local corporate strength despite global caution. The New Tech sector is mixed: $TSM$ is surprisingly up, while $NVDA$ is slightly down. The Dollar ($DXY$) continues its strength, penalizing risk assets like Bitcoin ($BTC$), while Utilities ($IBE.MC$) and specific banks demonstrate insulation. Today is a major test with $NFLX and $LMT reporting.

For daily real-time market insights, *deep dives*, and trading discussions, follow me on X: https://x.com/ThomasVioli

To copy my portfolio, strategies, and complete trade insights, you can follow me on eToro: https://www.etoro.com/people/farlys

⚠️ Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing involves risks, including the loss of capital.

🇺🇸 USA

$SPX500 — Futures indicate a decisive surge, with the market attempting to recover losses from last week's banking sell-off.

$DJ30 — Futures in a solid rise, showing generalized risk-on sentiment.

$NSDQ100 — Futures are strongly up, with tech leading the market rebound.

💻 Tech & Growth Snapshot

$NVDA (-0,55 %) — Up (0.55%), the stock is leading the semiconductor sector, confirming strong AI demand.

$GOOGL (+1,54 %) — Up (0.19%), the stock joins the positive Nasdaq trend.

$AVGO (+1,29 %) — Up (0.53%), the semiconductor sector benefits from renewed optimism.

$META (+0,52 %) — Up (0.48%), showing a strong recovery after recent weakness.

$MSFT (+0,11 %) — Up (0.36%), the stock regains momentum with positive sentiment.

$QBTS (-3,83 %) — Strongly up, quantum computing sentiment has turned positive amid the tech rebound.

$RGTI (-8,5 %) — Up sharply (3.08%), the quantum sector actively participates in the risk-on move.

$TSM (+0 %) — Up sharply (2.43%), boosted by optimism in the semiconductor sector.

🛍️ Retail & Commerce

$AMZN (-0,43 %) — Up (0.80%), strong pre-market recovery, led by tech.

$BABA (-0,14 %) — Down (-0.57%), counter-trending Western tech, affected by Asian uncertainties.

$CVNA (+0,07 %) — Up (0.57%), the stock gains ground following the broader market trend.

$SHOP (-1,41 %) — Solidly up, retail tech is driven by the general risk-on mood.

⚕️ Health & Pharmaceutical

$LLY (-0,04 %) — Up, tracking the general market rebound.

$HIMS (+0,73 %) — Stable (0.00%), the stock is steady after last week's volatility.

$INSM (-0,35 %) — Stable (0.00%), the biotech sector cautiously joins the rally.

🇪🇺 Europe

STOXX 600 — Opening solidly up, in line with global optimism.

GER40 — Decisively higher, the German market regains momentum.

$LDO (+1,5 %) — Stable (0.00%), the defense sector is neutral in this rebound phase.

$$IBE (-0,01 %) — Stable (0.00%), utilities are static in a risk-on environment.

$OKLO — Up sharply (1.73%), advanced nuclear technology continues its positive trend.

🏦 Banking & Finance

$$UCG (+0,39 %) — Stable (0.00%), Italian banks are trying to establish a base after heavy selling.

$$ISP (-0,33 %) — Stable (0.00%), awaiting clearer signals.

$$BAMI (+0,12 %) , $CE (+0,23 %) , $BPE (+0,08 %) — Stable (0.00%), the financial sector shows caution despite the risk-on trend.

$$BBVA (-0,04 %) — Stable (0.00%), the Spanish stock is leading the European banking recovery.

$AXP (-0,15 %) — Up (0.59%), the payments sector participates in the rebound.

$V (-0,07 %) — Up (0.07%), confirming its positive tone.

🌏 Asia

$JPN225 — Close in a solid rise, led by optimism in tech markets.

$KOSPI — Close up, Korean tech drives the index.

$HK50 — Up, tech stocks recover despite BABA's uncertainties.

$CHINA50 — Up, following positive global sentiment.

💱 Forex

$EURUSD — Up, the Dollar is losing momentum in a risk-on phase.

$GBPUSD — Up, the market positively assesses prospects for a stronger economy.

$USDJPY — Down, the Yen is gaining ground.

$DXY — The Dollar Index is showing clear weakness.

💎 Commodities & Precious Metals

$GLD (+0,44 %) — Down slightly (0.00%), gold consolidates as investors shift to riskier assets.

$CDE (+0,51 %) — Stable (0.00%), tracking the flat movement of gold.

$BRENT — Up, showing signs of demand recovery.

$WTI — Gaining ground, reflecting positive macroeconomic sentiment.

📈 Benchmark ETFs

$VOO (-0,02 %) — Tracking $SPX500$ futures higher.

$VGT (+0,11 %) — Up (0.00%), reflecting the strength of the technology sector.

$$CSNDX (+0,18 %) — Up (0.00%), tracking Nasdaq futures in positive territory.

$BND (-0,03 %) — Down (0.00%), reflecting rising yields.

💰 Crypto

$BTC (-2,46 %) — Strong recovery, the crypto sector bounces off the bottom and gains ground.

$ETH (-2,2 %) — Solidly up, following Bitcoin.

$TRX (-0,23 %) — Up (0.00%), the altcoin sector participates in the rally.

$CRO (-2,72 %) — Up, in line with overall positive sentiment.

🚀 Space & New Tech

$RKLB (+0 %) — Up, sentiment for growth stocks suggests a rebound.

🔎 Deep Dive: The Return of Risk-On

The week opens with a decisive "Risk-On" mood. Markets are clearly shrugging off (for now) last week's banking tensions, focusing instead on tech-led growth ($NVDA, $TSM$) and hopes for monetary easing. The strong rally in cryptocurrencies ($BTC, $ETH$) and the weakness of the Dollar ($DXY$) are clear indicators that liquidity is flowing back into riskier assets. European banks ($BBVA.MC$) and the semiconductor sector show unexpected strength, while gold ($GLD$) pauses, confirming the shift in focus from systemic risk to growth opportunities.

For daily real-time market insights, deep dives, and trading discussions, follow me on X: https://x.com/ThomasVioli

To copy my portfolio, strategies, and complete trade insights, you can follow me on eToro: https://www.etoro.com/people/farlys

⚠️ Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing involves risks, including the loss of capital.

I'm excited to share an in-depth performance review of my eToro portfolio today. I've analyzed the last 12 months, and the results clearly show that a focused strategy can significantly beat the market.

Here are the final numbers, from October 2024 to today:

• 📈 My eToro Portfolio: +53.63%
• 💻 Nasdaq 100 ($NSDQ100): +24.40%
• 📊 S&P 500 ($SPX500): +16.40%
• 🏭 Dow Jones ($DJ30): +9.78%

As the chart shows, not only did I beat the market, I more than doubled the performance of the strongest benchmark index, the Nasdaq 100! This result is proof that a targeted, high-conviction strategy can make a huge difference.

So, how did this happen? Let's break down the key pillars of my winning strategy:

1. Going Beyond the Benchmark

This year, passively investing in a Nasdaq ETF would have been a great move. But my strategy aimed higher. I focused on specific disruptive stocks within the biggest tech megatrends—names with a higher potential for exponential growth than the giants that dominate the index. This active selection is what created the real performance gap.

2. Using Volatility as Fuel

The chart is honest: during the market correction in April, my portfolio dipped lower than all the indices. That's the price of a concentrated growth portfolio. Many would have sold. I held firm, confident in my long-term thesis. The explosive recovery starting in May proved that patience and conviction were rewarded.

3. Active Selection, Not Passive Investing

These results don't come from just buying an ETF. They require active management: studying fundamentals, understanding the macro environment, and having the courage to invest in innovative companies like $RKLB, $OKLO, and $RGTI before they become mainstream.

4. Understanding the Market Narrative

The indices tell a clear story: tech ($NSDQ100) led the market, while industrial stocks ($DJ30) lagged. My strategy fully embraced this trend, concentrating capital where the real growth was happening.

Conclusion

Beating the market is tough. Beating its strongest sector is even tougher. This +53.63% return demonstrates the power of a focused strategy that accepts calculated risk to aim for extraordinary returns.

I'm proud of these results and will continue to share my journey and analysis with full transparency.

PS: The past is a lesson, not a guarantee. But the strategy remains the same: find the companies that will build our future and invest in them with conviction.

⚠️ Disclaimer: Past performance is not an indication of future results. Investing involves risks, including the loss of capital.

https://www.etoro.com/people/farlys

$SPX500 $NSDQ100 $DJ30

$AAPL (+0,01 %)
$MSFT (+0,11 %)
$GOOGL (+1,54 %)
$AMZN (-0,43 %)
$NVDA (-0,55 %)
$TSLA (+0,43 %)
$META (+0,52 %)
$RKLB (+0 %)
$OKLO
$RGTI (-8,5 %)