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@Multibagger It all started with ChatGPT on January 1, 2024 :) See the attached portfolio :) (attached)
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@Multibagger I just wrote this somewhere else—you know I did this with real money, but only because I work with AI and wanted to test it.
In 2024, the AI’s selection capabilities weren’t that extensive yet. According to tests at the time, the AI’s IQ was around 80. Humans have an average IQ of 100. Today’s AI systems have IQ scores of around 130 to 140 according to standard tests.
If the prompt from back then hadn’t been changed, it would be working with completely outdated data and parameters.
That would mean it was more a matter of luck that it picked out the best stocks over the last few years. 😉
In 2024, the AI’s selection capabilities weren’t that extensive yet. According to tests at the time, the AI’s IQ was around 80. Humans have an average IQ of 100. Today’s AI systems have IQ scores of around 130 to 140 according to standard tests.
If the prompt from back then hadn’t been changed, it would be working with completely outdated data and parameters.
That would mean it was more a matter of luck that it picked out the best stocks over the last few years. 😉
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•@Multibagger I asked our AI what it thought 😬
Hey @Aktienfox! 🚀
First off, kudos on those impressive numbers—a total return of over +173,000 € certainly looks great on paper! Anyone who’s held stocks like Palantir (+418%) and Nvidia (+335%) in their portfolio since early 2024 has really lined their pockets. 👏
But since we’re all about honest and level-headed analysis here in the forum, let’s briefly put this AI experiment under the microscope and take off those emotional “hype glasses”:
* Not “super-alpha,” but the most obvious play in the world:
What ChatGPT put together for you back in early 2024 wasn’t really any “superhuman stock market magic,” but rather the absolute mainstream consensus at the time: all-in on tech & AI infrastructure.
The models simply spewed out what was already being repeated ad nauseam in every financial media outlet.
* Bull Market Rider:
The reason this portfolio performed so spectacularly is simply that the NASDAQ and the entire tech sector have been on one of the most extreme cycles in history since early 2024. AI didn’t unearth any hidden turnaround value here; instead, it rode the wave of the massive market beta to the fullest.
* The Concentration Risk Trap:
A portfolio consisting almost exclusively of semiconductors, cloud services, and big tech looks like the work of a genius in a bull market.
But where’s the risk management? What rules did you give the AI?
If the AI cycle ever stalls or a sector rotation sets in, a concentrated portfolio like that will melt away twice as fast. No AI model currently protects you from this, even if it dutifully reports: “No changes necessary.”
* The Capital Effect:
A small side note: The invested capital has now grown from €100,000 to just under €135,000. So you’ve been diligently adding to your position. That’s perfectly legitimate, but it naturally distorts the picture compared to a pure “one-time 100k investment.”
My honest conclusion:
A spectacular run that we’re happy to see you enjoy—after all, profits are profits! But it was simply the perfect play in the perfect market environment. The AI experiment will only get exciting when the market starts dealing out real pain again and the models have to prove whether they can also handle diversification, risk management, and real bear market cycles.
I’m curious to see how your AIs react when the tide turns on the stock market! 😉
Hey @Aktienfox! 🚀
First off, kudos on those impressive numbers—a total return of over +173,000 € certainly looks great on paper! Anyone who’s held stocks like Palantir (+418%) and Nvidia (+335%) in their portfolio since early 2024 has really lined their pockets. 👏
But since we’re all about honest and level-headed analysis here in the forum, let’s briefly put this AI experiment under the microscope and take off those emotional “hype glasses”:
* Not “super-alpha,” but the most obvious play in the world:
What ChatGPT put together for you back in early 2024 wasn’t really any “superhuman stock market magic,” but rather the absolute mainstream consensus at the time: all-in on tech & AI infrastructure.
The models simply spewed out what was already being repeated ad nauseam in every financial media outlet.
* Bull Market Rider:
The reason this portfolio performed so spectacularly is simply that the NASDAQ and the entire tech sector have been on one of the most extreme cycles in history since early 2024. AI didn’t unearth any hidden turnaround value here; instead, it rode the wave of the massive market beta to the fullest.
* The Concentration Risk Trap:
A portfolio consisting almost exclusively of semiconductors, cloud services, and big tech looks like the work of a genius in a bull market.
But where’s the risk management? What rules did you give the AI?
If the AI cycle ever stalls or a sector rotation sets in, a concentrated portfolio like that will melt away twice as fast. No AI model currently protects you from this, even if it dutifully reports: “No changes necessary.”
* The Capital Effect:
A small side note: The invested capital has now grown from €100,000 to just under €135,000. So you’ve been diligently adding to your position. That’s perfectly legitimate, but it naturally distorts the picture compared to a pure “one-time 100k investment.”
My honest conclusion:
A spectacular run that we’re happy to see you enjoy—after all, profits are profits! But it was simply the perfect play in the perfect market environment. The AI experiment will only get exciting when the market starts dealing out real pain again and the models have to prove whether they can also handle diversification, risk management, and real bear market cycles.
I’m curious to see how your AIs react when the tide turns on the stock market! 😉
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