3Semana·

CSU Chart - Technical Analysis 📉

$CSU (+1,44 %) a technical view as a supplement to @Tenbagger2024 analysis.

Weekly chart: $CSU (+1,44 %) was characterized by stable upward trends for long stretches. Apart from a brief interruption in 2022, the price essentially moved above the trailing SMA200. The decisive trend break occurred in July 2025. https://www.tradingview.com/x/awwZcwF5/

Zoom from 2022 - volume nodes: If we look at the period from 2022 onwards, the volume nodes catch the eye. These price zones with high trading volumes often have an impact:

as supportwhen the price comes from above
as resistancewhen the price starts from below

In the worst case of a "falling knife", the next relevant zones can be derived here https://www.tradingview.com/x/YLVEdOgL/

Valuation with anchored VWAP: For technical classification, I have applied the anchored VWAP at the trend change. This results in important marks that currently lie between the first and second divergence band. This zone is interesting for potential entries, but I remain cautious due to the overriding downtrend. https://www.tradingview.com/x/VZQjkGfV/

Important marks

Bullish scenario: A breakout above 3,387 CAD (2,106 EUR) would be a positive signal in the short term.

Bearish scenario: On the downside 2,919 CAD (1,815 EUR) should be defended, otherwise the trend is likely to continue in the direction of sins.

Conclusion:

For those interested, it is worth keeping an eye on this area of approx. 300 € is worth keeping a close eye on. The analysts' estimates are positive and range from 4,500CAD to 5,600CAD.

Edit Friday 19.12.2025: 👆https://www.tradingview.com/x/SfgE2jhk/

#trading
@TradingHase

Tenbagger2024

@Tenbagger2024

3Semana·

Constellation Software -Still the Berkshire Hathaway of the tech sector ?

$CSU (+1,44 %)

Hello my dears,

This morning I received a question from dear @THE-ROCK-SAAR

It was about "Buy the Dip" at Constellation Software.

Since I didn't want to write him any nonsense, I got straight to work.

And took a new look at the compounder.

Although I'm invested myself, I haven't done a proper analysis for some time.

Because analysts lowered their price targets due to AI concerns and the founder Mark Leonard had to step down for health reasons. The share now only knows the downward direction.

This is an absolute novelty for the share. Because the compounder has only known the upward direction in recent years.

Despite the fact that the last quarterly figures published by Constellation Software (Q3 2025, as at September 30) showed solid results, with further sales growth and a dividend payment. Previously in Q2 2025, the company also reported rising sales and declared a dividend of USD 1.00 per share.

My dears,

It is always said that the stock market is already pricing in the future. But when I wrote out the key figures, I asked myself.

" is there still so much uncertainty on the part of investors "

because the 77% increase in net profit, with a nice even increase in sales and free cash flow. With an exemplary reduction in debt, despite an increase in CAPEX, no investor can overlook this.

The company continues to expand into the right acquisitions.

Ladies and gentlemen, let's discuss.

Are we retail investors seeing something here earlier than the investors?

In terms of chart technology, I would perhaps wait for a bottom to form first.

(Perhaps our dear friend @TomTurboInvest can give a brief assessment)

But fundamentally I think Constellation Software is still well positioned.

I would be happy to hear your assessment in the comments.

Constellation Software Inc. is a provider of software and services to a select group of markets in the public and private sectors. The company acquires, manages and builds vertical market software companies (VMS) that provide specialized, mission-critical software solutions to meet the specific needs of its customers. The company's principal activity is the development, installation and customization of software and the provision of related professional services and support to customers around the world. The company sells software licenses for on-site use on both a perpetual and fixed-term basis. The company has six business units serving customers in over 100 different markets around the world. The six operating groups include Volaris, Harris, Topicus, Vela, Jonas and the Perseus Group. The company has offices in North America, Europe, Australia, South America and Africa.

Number of employees: 45,000

Performance

15 years
+7.577,33 %

10 years
+525,55 %

5 years
+129,50 %

1 year
-29,36 %

Current year
-25,18 %

What was the performance of the Constellation Software share?

Current year-23,26 %

2024
+26,24 %

2023
+57,02 %

2022
-14,94 %

2021
+43,20 %

2020
+33,52 %

2019
+50,02 %

2018
+7,20 %

2017
+32,27 %

2016
+9,76 %

2015
+40,05 %

1USD in millions

Estimates

year
Turnover
Change in

2025 11.601 15,25 %

2026 13.536 16,68 %

2027 15.821 16,88 %

Year
Ebit
Change in

2025 1.859 27 %

2026 2.134 14,79 %

2027 2.446 14,58 %

Year
Net result
Change in

2025 697,6 -4,58 %

2026 1.236 77,23 %

2027 1.501 21,4 %

Year
Net debt
CAPEX

2025 1.778 64,33

2026 1.311 81,25

2027 467 92,75

Year
Free cash flow
Change in

2025 2.624 23,23 %

2026 3.061 16,68 %

2027 3.657 19,47 %

Year
EBITDA margin (%)
Net profit (%)

2025 28,35 % 6,01 %

2026 28,73 % 9,13 %

2027 28,63 % 9,49 %

Year
ROE
Earnings per share

2025 19,38 % 32,74

2026 25,28 % 58,13

2027 22,28 % 70,62

Year
P/E RATIO
PEG

2025 73.3x -14.5x

2026 41.3x 0.5x

2027 34x 1.6x

Lumine Group to acquire Synchronoss Technologies

December 04, 2025 10:26 ET | Source: Constellation Software Inc.

(The Lumine Group is part of Constellation Software Inc. )

Lumine Group wird Synchronoss Technologies übernehmen

Constellation Software's Harris Operating Group enters into agreement to acquire TECVIA Holding GmbH

November 17, 2025 17:06 ET | Source: Constellation Software Inc.

(The Harris Operating Group belongs - just like the Lumine Group - to Constellation Software )

+ 5

10 Comentarios

TradingHase@TradingHase

3Semana

Thank you very much for your analysis Tom! Now it will be time for all interested investors to watch the price in the coming days and possibly take the plunge. 👍🏼

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Tenbagger2024@Tenbagger2024

3Semana

Thank you my dear. ♥️

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BeachPlease@BeachPlease

3Semana

Has actually bounced off the Fib retracement in the golden zone, just before the pocket, we have already seen a small higher low, interesting! Thank you 😃

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TomTurboInvest@TomTurboInvest

3Semana

@BeachPlease remains exciting, the price is currently struggling at the POC (Point of Control) of the area shown. If it clears this hurdle, including the first divergence band, then we would also have a small higher high

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aminemeskni@Aminmeskini

3Semana

Thank you very much. I've been waiting for this ❤️❤️❤️

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TomTurboInvest@TomTurboInvest

2Semana

@Tenbagger2024 $CSU is stalking the upper edge, keep your eyes open for those who are still interested🙄

https://www.tradingview.com/x/p72Ob7wg/

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Tenbagger2024@Tenbagger2024

2Semana

@TomTurboInvest
I think software shares will also rise again in 2026. How do you see $5803 right now? Just made a post about

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TomTurboInvest@TomTurboInvest

1Semana

@Tenbagger2024 👆If I had a crystal ball, I would see that something is brewing, whether it won't unload soon 🙄

https://www.tradingview.com/x/svvIkaKc/

PS: think about making a trade https://www.tradingview.com/x/SfgE2jhk/

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Johannes🦅🔥@Johannes001

Constellation Software is a long-term share - no cause for concern

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TomTurboInvest@TomTurboInvest

@Johannes001 I agree with you, it's all about finding a good entry point. You can choose an aggressive entry and go in at the lower end of the 300 range, or wait defensively for the breakout and then go in. I will be there, I have it on my watchlist thanks to @Tenbagger2024.
Or you can just go in wildly, but a trade just says "Do not diddle in the middle", I have my rules too 😉

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