Source: Finchat

$PLTR (+8,49 %)

$NOW (-0,23 %)

$SPOT (+0,42 %)

$PANW (+1,33 %)

$SHOP (-0,55 %)

$CRWD (+2,33 %)

$FTNT (-0,32 %)

$ABNB (+2,78 %)

$COIN (+2,44 %)

$AXON (+8,46 %)

$RBLX

$NET (+6,91 %)

$HOOD (+9,49 %)

$TTD (+20,75 %)

$DUOL

$HIMS (-1,58 %)

Presumably because the New York Times reports on the Pentagon's war plans against China, which Musk was apparently briefed on at the Pentagon today.

In a military conflict between the two economic powers USA and China, the first "Line of Contact" would be a digital one: cyber attacks.

And even if only hypothetical scenarios are reported, this will probably already lead to an intensification of the constant mutual cyber attacks. Information is key.

• Cyberark $CYBR (+1,75 %)
• Palantir Tech $PLTR (+8,49 %)
• Check Point Software Technologies $CHKP (+0,74 %)
• Crowdstrike $CRWD (+2,33 %)
• VeriSign $VRSN (-1,93 %)
• Zscaler $ZS (+1,81 %)
• Okta $OKTA (+3,48 %)
• Cloudflare $NET (+6,91 %)
• Fortinet $FTNT (-0,32 %)
• Cisco Systems $CSCO (+0,87 %)
• Palo Alto Networks $PANW (+1,33 %)
• Akamai Technologies $AKAM (+2,47 %)
• BlackBerry $BB (+4,62 %)
• NetScout Systems $NTCT (+2,29 %)
• CommVault Systems $CVLT (+0,97 %)

Sources:

• The Pentagon set up a briefing for Musk on plans for a potential war with China.
• NYTimes Liveblog: Trump Administration Live Updates: Trump Rejects Idea of Letting Musk See Secret Plans for War With China

#newyorktimes
#china
#usa
#trump
#pentagon
#elonmusk

Revenue Forward 3Y CAGR and Forward P/S Ratio (sorted in ascending order)

Hims & Hers: 31.9% / 3.4x $HIMS (-1,58 %)

Spotify: 14.9% / 5.6x $SPOT (+0,42 %)

Airbnb: 10.4% / 6.8x $ABNB (+2,78 %)

Roblox: 19.4% / 7.3x $RBLX

Robinhood: 17.0% / 10.6x $HOOD (+9,49 %)

The Trade Desk: 19,4% / 11,1x $TTD (+20,75 %)

Fortinet: 14.4% / 11.5x $FTNT (-0,32 %)

Shopify: 22.6% / 11.9x $SHOP (-0,55 %)

Palo Alto Networks: 14.7% / 12.2x $PANW (+1,33 %)

ServiceNow: 19.5% / 13.4x $NOW

Duolingo: 26.7% / 13.7x $DUOL

Axon Enterprise: 20.9% / 15.5x $AXON (+8,46 %)

Crowdstrike: 22.5% / 17.2x $CRWD (+2,33 %)

Cloudflare: 27.2% / 20.9x $NET (+6,91 %)

Palantir: 30.8% / 52.6 $PLTR (+8,49 %)

Palantir and Hims & Hers are not the same...

Even if Palantir increases its sales by an ambitious 30% every year over the next 10 years and achieves a free cash flow margin of 45% (!), the current share price is still >20% above fair value (assumption: 3% terminal growth, 8% discount rate) - even though the share has already corrected by >30%.

Your opinion?

In the still young year, the DAX has already recorded 16 record highs, the last one only yesterday. Most other stock market indices are also close to their all-time highs.

Where can you still invest now?

Handelsblatt experts have analyzed 1,000 stocks worldwide and identified 15 recommendations in three categories:

• Five shares of companies that are growing strongly over the long term but are still reasonably valued

$FTNT (-0,32 %) Fortinet | $NOVO B (-2,96 %) Novo Nordisk | $GDDY (+0,93 %) GoDaddy | $PLD (+1,09 %) ProLogis | $NOW (-0,23 %) Service Now

• Five shares of companies that have been paying rising dividends for at least 20 years thanks to their earnings power

$PEP (+0,58 %) PepsiCo | $CVX (+2,18 %) Chevron | $FPE Fuchs Petrolab | $NWN (-0,23 %) Northwest Natural Holding | $SAN (-0,75 %) Sanofi

• Five shares of companies that have plummeted on the stock market but have an intact business model and turnaround potential

$SLB (+3,28 %) Schlumberger | $BIIB (+3,48 %) Biogen | $GPN (+1,5 %) Global Payments | $MAKSY Marks & Spencer | $VOW (+2,88 %) Volkswagen

Detailed analysis can be found at "Handelsblatt"

Source: Handelsblatt | Image: ChatGPT

Dear friends of sophisticated investment,

I have been investing for a few years now, albeit more theoretically. Since then, I have mainly made monthly payments into ETFs and would now like to take the next step on the stock market: selected individual shares as satellites to an ETF as a core.

In figures, I plan for the year 2025 as follows:

At my disposal: 1500€

ETFs:

500€ in $VWCE (+1,06 %)

shares:

Basically, I try to use the selected shares to balance out the high proportion of US shares in the $VWCE (+1,06 %) somewhat.

I will briefly explain why I chose the following stocks without going into too much detail.

200€ in $NU (+3,82 %) (Brazil)

Banks are an interesting topic in South America. Many of the people living there do not have a bank account. An interesting growth market for companies based there in the FinTech sector.

200€ in $ASML (+2,21 %) (Netherlands)

"In a gold rush, don't invest in gold diggers, invest in shovels" is a well-known quote from André Kostolany, a well-known investor and financial expert. So why not ride the semiconductor trend, but with the company that sells the machines to manufacture them? Semiconductors are needed in all kinds of industries. The market is currently estimated to be worth 611.35 billion dollars and is expected to grow to 2062.59 billion dollars by 2032.

200€ in $NOVO B (-2,96 %) (Denmark)

Humanity is getting fatter and fatter. By 2035, the number of overweight people is expected to increase from around 1.01 billion today to 1.53 billion. The well-known weight loss injection from $NOVO B (-2,96 %) and, of course, medication against diabetes.

200€ in $MC (+0,52 %) (France)

Insane moat, great margins and active in many luxury sectors (right ETF for this company). Due to the rising standard of living in the western world, but also due to a growing middle and upper class in the emerging markets, more and more people can afford luxury products.

200€ in $FTNT (-0,32 %) (USA, I know)

IT security products are becoming increasingly important due to the digitalization of the entire world and, of course, the threat of disputes between countries in the digital space.

$FTNT (-0,32 %) is already a leader in the firewall sector and will continue to grow with this and other competencies in line with the trend.

Any money left over at the end of the month is put aside and invested in the above-mentioned shares when exciting opportunities arise.

What do you think of my approach? What do you think of the weighting of the shares in the ETF? What do you think of the stock selection?

Please let me know and I look forward to hearing from you in the comments.

Best regards

• $FTNT (-0,32 %) (NASDAQ:FTNT) reported fourth-quarter earnings per share of $0.74, beating analysts' estimates of $0.61.

• Revenue for the quarter was $1.66 billion, above the consensus estimate of $1.59 billion.

Forecast 2025

• For the first quarter of 2025, Fortinet forecasts earnings per share of USD 0.52 to USD 0.54, compared to analyst estimates of USD 0.53.

• The company expects revenue to be between USD 1.5 billion and USD 1.56 billion, which is above analyst estimates of USD 1.53 billion.

• For the full year 2025, Fortinet projects earnings per share between USD 2.41 and USD 2.47, in line with Wall Street estimates of USD 2.42.

• Fortinet expects annual revenue to be between USD 6.65 billion and USD 6.85 billion, slightly above the expectation of USD 6.63 billion.

• Fortinet reported an adjusted operating margin of 39% for the quarter, while operating margin was 35%.

Total return

1.425,88 €

True time-weighted rate of return

24.37 % That's my balance sheet from January! I am very happy with that! I have sold all my short-term trading positions. I built up my first positions for February yesterday and today. These are derivatives on $ADYEN (+2,45 %) (MG9L2B) purchase yesterday at 4.15 $ZAL (+3,75 %) ( UG0W0H) Buy today at 5.84 $NOC (-0,7 %) (HT21L8) purchase day before yesterday at 1.10 I have planned purchases in $FTNT (-0,32 %) ( JT7XG3) $AMZN (+2,15 %) ( MJ5V94) $ADS (+1,35 %) (ME44Y2) and for a little longer $AXON (+8,46 %) (Ht1KYH) I am keeping the remaining powder dry in case there are great opportunities like last Monday.