Hello everyone,

At the end of last year, I published my "top picks list" here, in which I presented the stocks that I have put on my watchlist for 2024 and am also partially invested in (unfortunately not in all of them 😁).

At the time, I had compiled a list of stocks recommended by well-known analysts and put them through "my requirements profile". The original 100 stock ideas then became the list below. A year later, I'm looking back. This was the performance:

🟢 $TMUS (-0.9%) +1,63%

🟢 Sterling Infrastructure: +100.68%

🟢 $CRM (-1.08%) Salesforce: +28.14%

🟢 $RR. (+0.93%) Rolls-Royce: +92.56%

🟢 $MOD (-0.58%) Modine Manufacturing: +98.68%

🟠 $MHO (-2.9%) M/I Homes: -1.46%

🟢 $META (+0.53%) Meta: +68.52%

🟢 $MCD (-0.15%) McDonalds: +0.14%

🟢 $MA (-1.93%) Mastercard: +26.26%

🟢 $ISP (-1.01%) Intesa Sanpaolo: +45.44%

🟢 $ISRG (-0.9%) Intuitive Surgical: +59.62%

🟠 $GCT Gigacloud Technologies: -0.66%

🟢 $FDX (-0.76%) FedEx: +11.11%

🟠 $LPG (-5.2%) Dorian LPG: -47.70%

🟢 $COST (+0.34%) Costco: +43.34%

🟢 $US1011372067 Boston Scientific: +63.23%

🟢 $BKNG (-0.44%) Booking: +44.19%

🟠 $ABX (-0.45%) Barrick Gold: -14.73%

🟢 $APP (+0.93%) Applovin: +753.81%

🟢 $GOOG (+1.82%) Alphabet: +39.28%

🟢 $AMZN (+1.53%) Amazon: +48,05%

🟢 $ANF (-1.78%) Abercrombie & Fitch: +69.99%

As you can see, my stock ideas have done quite well. $APP (+0.93%) with +753.81% was of course a big hit. $DORIAN With -47.70% it was a pipe-dropper.

🔥 I'm currently working on my top picks list for 2025. If you're interested, I'll be happy to share it again and put it up for discussion!

💬 What were your top picks in 2024? And what were the losers? I will reply to every comment and give you a brief assessment.

#stockanalysis
#watchlist

$TMUS (-0.9%) What's going on today? Such a crash in one day? Does anyone know anything about it?

Thank you

Episode 66 "Buy High. Sell Low."

Subscribe to the podcast to get Bayer kicked out of the DAX!

00:00:00 Axon Enterprise $AXON (-0.6%)

00:17:29 Deutsche Telekom, T-Mobile USA $DTE (+0.11%)
$TMUS (-0.9%)

00:30:00 Walmart $WMT (-0.21%)

00:44:40 Nvidia $NVDA (-1.87%)

01:02:20 Bitcoin $BTC (-0.32%)

01:14:00 MicroStrategy $MSTR (-1.08%)

01:46:20 Rocket Lab $RKLB (+3.12%)

01:51:20 Bayer $BAYN (-1.49%)

Spotify $SPOT (-0.08%)

https://open.spotify.com/episode/1IzU4b1WwOK8WiYsRE5vRN?si=JStG9v47TvKTMYMTynmNwA

YouTube $GOOGL (+1.9%)
$GOOG (+1.82%)

https://youtu.be/pNH8ub-QTM0

Apple Podcast $AAPL (+0.87%)

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/buy-high-sell-low-techaktien-und-global-stock-flash/id1695869891

25.11.2024

MTU Aero Engines presents outlook for 2025 + T-Mobile was heavily hacked + Strong price target for Siemens Energy AG

The engine manufacturer MTU $MTX (+0.53%) has postponed its capital market day planned for Friday to next year in light of the change of CEO. CEO Lars Wagner will move to Airbus at the end of his term of office in 2026 and take over the management of the commercial aircraft division. However, Wagner and CFO Peter Kameritsch intend to present the outlook for 2025 in a call on Friday. In the current year, MTU Aero Engines aims to break the 1 billion euro mark for adjusted EBIT, one year earlier than originally planned. Sales are expected to be between 7.3 and 7.5 billion euros, and the Group has previously targeted 8 billion euros for 2025. The analysts at Jefferies are forecasting sales and EBIT growth of around 15% with stable margins.

T-Mobile US $TMUS (-0.9%): Chinese hackers have infiltrated US telecommunications, and apparently no one can stop them. Because this would require replacing "thousands and thousands of devices across the country".

Siemens Energy AG $ENR (+0.81%): now we are entering new dimensions

• BERENBERG RAISES TARGET FOR SIEMENS ENERGY TO 70 (35) EUR - 'BUY'

Monday: stock market dates, economic data, quarterly figures

ex-dividend of individual stocks

Pernod Ricard EUR 2.35

Quarterly figures / company dates USA / Asia

Untimed: Zoom Video quarterly figures

Quarterly figures / company dates Europe

08:00 Kingfisher Q3 sales

10:00 Roche: Roche's IR Digitalization Day 2024

11:00 Borussia Dortmund AGM

Economic data

• 08:00 DE: Construction industry, new orders and sales
• 10:30 DE: Ifo Business Climate Index November PROGNOSE: 86.1 PREVIOUS: 86.5 Situation assessment PROGNOSE: 85.5 PREVIOUS: 85.7 Business expectations PROGNOSE: 87.0 PREVIOUS: 87.3
• 14:30 US: Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) October
• 15:00 BE: Business Climate Index November PROGNOSIS: n/a previously: -12.8
• 16:30 US: Dallas Fed Manufacturing 11/24
• 18:30 DE: Governing Council member Nagel, speech on "Resilience and renewal: ways out of weak growth"
• Without time indication: Governing Council member Makhlouf, speech at Society of Professional Economists Annual Dinner

Update analyst assessments:

$TSLA (+1.47%) | RBC raises target price for TESLA from USD 236 to USD 249. Outperform.

$KO (-0.37%) | JPMORGAN lowers the price target for COCA-COLA from USD 78 to USD 75. Overweight.

$TMUS (-0.9%) | UBS raises the price target for T-MOBILE US from USD 210 to USD 255. Buy.

$T (-0.74%) | UBS raises the price target for AT&T from USD 24 to USD 25. Buy.

$AOF (+0.87%) | WARBURG RESEARCH raises the price target for ATOSS SOFTWARE from EUR 142 to EUR 144. Buy.

$UA (-2.68%) | UBS raises the price target for UNDER ARMOUR from USD 11 to USD 12. Buy.

$JST (+0.87%) | WARBURG RESEARCH raises the price target for JOST WERKE from EUR 62 to EUR 77. Buy

$IBM (-0.53%) | UBS raises the price target for IBM from USD 145 to USD 150. Sell.

$FTK (-0.38%) | HAUCK AUFHÄUSER IB downgrades FLATEXDEGIRO from Buy to Hold and lowers target price from EUR 16 to EUR 15.

$ROG (-1.18%) | DEUTSCHE BANK RESEARCH raises the price target for ROCHE from CHF 235 to CHF 250. Sell.

$EBAY (+0.56%) | UBS raises the price target for EBAY from USD 59 to USD 72. Neutral.

$KER (-1.86%) | RBC lowers the price target for KERING from EUR 280 to EUR 230. Sector-Perform.

T-Mobile US Q3 2024 $TMUS (-0.9%)

Financial performance: T-Mobile delivered a strong financial performance in Q3 2024, with total service revenues of USD 16.7 billion, an increase of 5% year-on-year. Postpaid service revenue grew 8% to USD 13.3 billion. Net income increased by 43% year-on-year to USD 3.1 billion, while diluted earnings per share (EPS) also increased by 43% to USD 2.61.

Balance sheet analysis: At the end of the third quarter of 2024, T-Mobile's net debt, excluding tower obligations, amounted to USD 72.6 billion. The company maintained a last twelve months (LTM) net debt to core adjusted EBITDA ratio of 2.3x, indicating a stable debt position.

Income statement: The income statement shows a significant increase in net income to $3.1 billion, driven by higher services and equipment revenue. Core adjusted EBITDA increased by 9% year-on-year to USD 8.2 billion, indicating improved operational efficiency.

Cash flow analysis: Net cash flow from operating activities increased by 16% year-on-year to USD 6.1 billion. Adjusted free cash flow also recorded a significant increase of 29% year-on-year, reaching USD 5.2 billion.

Key figures and profitability: Net profit margin improved significantly, underscoring the company's ability to efficiently convert revenues into profits. The core adjusted EBITDA margin amounted to 49.2%, indicating strong profitability.

Segment analysis: T-Mobile's postpaid sector continued to perform well, with 1.6 million new customers added. In contrast, the prepaid sector showed a weaker performance with only 24,000 new customers.

Competitive analysis: T-Mobile maintained its leadership position in network performance, which was recognized by third-party awards. The company's strategic focus on customer-centric network improvements and 5G expansion positions it well against the competition.

Forecasts and management comments: The company has raised its 2024 guidance on several metrics, including postpaid net additions and core adjusted EBITDA. Management remains optimistic about future growth driven by network improvements and customer acquisition strategies.

Risks and opportunities: The main risks include potential regulatory changes and competitive pressure in the mobile market. Opportunities exist in the expansion of the 5G network and in increasing market share in the high-speed internet sector.

Summary and strategic implications: T-Mobile's strong financial performance and strategic initiatives in network build-out and customer acquisition are expected to drive future growth. The company's focus on enhancing its 5G capabilities and customer experience is likely to strengthen its competitive position. However, it will need to overcome regulatory challenges and maintain customer growth to secure its market leadership. With my investment through $DTE (+0.11%) I am invested in T-Mobile and what can I say. The growth carrier of Telekom delivers.

Positive statements:

• Net postpaid customer growth: T-Mobile reported impressive net postpaid customer additions of 1.6 million, an increase of 349,000 year-over-year.
• Postpaid churn: The postpaid churn rate improved slightly by 1 basis point year-on-year and now stands at 0.86%, indicating improved customer retention.
• High-speed Internet customers: The company ended the quarter with 6.0 million high-speed Internet customers, reflecting strong growth in this segment.
• Total number of customer connections: Total customer connections increased to a record 127.5 million, reflecting T-Mobile's growing customer base.
• Forecast for Core Adjusted EBITDA: Core Adjusted EBITDA guidance was revised upward to between $31.6 billion and $31.8 billion, indicating a positive outlook for the company's financial performance.

Negative statements:

• Net customer growth in prepaid: The prepaid segment had challenges as net customer additions declined by 55,000 year-over-year and only 24,000 additions were recorded in the quarter.
• Net customer growth in high-speed Internet: There was a year-on-year decline of 142,000 net customer connections in the high-speed internet segment, equating to a total of 415,000, indicating slower growth in this segment.
• Interest expense: Interest expense for the quarter was significant and had a negative impact on net profit.
• Prepaid churn: Prepaid churn remained relatively high at 2.78% but showed a slight improvement of 3 basis points year-on-year.
• Use of the shareholder repayment program: There is a risk that the approved amount for the 2023-2024 shareholder repayment program may not be fully utilized, which could adversely affect shareholder value.