From time to time, there are movements on the markets that last longer than a normal upswing. This is known as a super cycle - a phase in which certain commodities or technologies are in demand for many years and their prices rise significantly. This is usually due to fundamental changes in the economy and society.
A well-known example is China in the 2000s. Rapid construction activity and industrialization led to raw materials such as iron ore or coal becoming increasingly expensive over the course of a decade. In this context, there is often talk of the "commodity supercycle", which was driven by the massive demand of Chinese construction and industrial policy. In recent years, this is how I perceive the technology sector in particular: cloud services, automation and artificial intelligence have caused demand for semiconductors to explode.
I currently have the impression that new super cycles could be on the horizon again. In the uranium sector in particular, it is noticeable that many countries are bringing nuclear energy more into play. This is already reflected in my own portfolio. I differentiate between core stocks and leverage stocks. The core stocks are my basic investments: $CCO (-3.6%) (Cameco) and $YCA (-0.49%) (Yellow Cake). Both are established, comparatively stable and form the foundation on which my uranium strategy rests. Leveraged stocks, on the other hand, are more speculative and react much more strongly to market movements. Here I am betting on planned positions in $NXE (-5.88%) (NexGen Energy), $DML (-7.11%) (Denison Mines) and $PDN (-1.91%) (Paladin Energy). I have currently set orders for these stocks, which will only be executed when the risk/reward ratio is right. This allows me to build up the positions in a controlled manner and keep the risk within limits.
Another example of a possible super cycle is the defense industry. Prices there have already risen sharply in recent years, driven by geopolitical tensions and rising defense spending. I personally missed this trend - but this is precisely the lesson: markets move in waves and anyone who misses a cycle should not look back, but forward. Because there are always new opportunities if you recognize the structural changes early on.
In addition to uranium, copper could also play a role again. The major producers in particular $FCX (-1.77%) (Freeport-McMoRan) and $SCCO (-4.57%) (Southern Copper) are particularly interesting if the global grid expansion and electrification actually trigger a new boom in demand.
I am interested: What's your take on this? Is a new super cycle emerging here, especially in the uranium sector - or is this more of a short wave? Which stocks do you think are exciting and what strategies are you pursuing yourself?
