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00:00:00 Trade war, tariffs, market environment

00:13:54 Bitcoin, Coinbase, strategy, Robinhood

00:39:50 PayPal

01:02:00 Nvidia

01:21:00 Tesla

01:44:00 SpaceX & Starlink

01:56:40 Hamburg election

Spotify

https://open.spotify.com/episode/30gKZLHAwjWDahoz8DARYM?si=mZ2T4jUPQkOPdwfm_HVAvw

YouTube

https://youtu.be/wioV-LvXgKc

Apple Podcast

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/80-nvidia-paypal-tesla-spacex-starlink-bitcoin-strategy/id1695869891?i=1000697908309

$NVDA (+0.22%)
$TSLA (-1.09%)
$BTC (-6.81%)
$SOL (-7.9%)
$ETH (-8.8%)
$XRP (-8.83%)
$ADA (-11.78%)
$COIN (+0.63%)
$MSTR (-7.42%)
$HOOD (-2.76%)
$PYPL (+2.64%)
#starlink
#spacex
#nasdaq
$AAPL (+0.99%)
$SPOT (-2.76%)
$GOOGL (+0.19%)
$GOOG (+0.1%)

last week and only kept my all-world and the dividend portfolio.

Today, with attractive prices, I re-entered with small positions in:

$NU (+1.01%)

$UBER (+0.4%)

$RKLB (-0.29%)

$HIMS (+4.16%)

$MSTR (-7.42%)

They say that's the way to go 🙌 😅

Anyone invested in US tech has not really had much fun in the last few days: falling prices, even price slides of >20 percent - that can make you feel uneasy, can't it?

I say: No, it doesn't make me feel different at all.

Why?

Because - at least for my position - nothing has changed. The company is the same, the figures are the same, the outlook is the same, the framework conditions are the same. The only thing that has changed is the panic on the markets. I'm sure that will subside. Just as it always does sooner or later.

Admittedly: Anyone who has "timed" the market can buy back much more cheaply and would have earned a lot. However, I don't believe in this strategy because it doesn't work in the majority of cases and the "could have, would have" argument only holds up in hindsight.

It is also important to note that I would not be nearly as relaxed about all tech stocks. There are candidates where I don't expect a turnaround so easily ($TSLA (-1.09%) , $MSTR (-7.42%) ). However, this is because the fundamentals were already "difficult" before and now look even worse (falling sales figures at Tesla, falling BTC price at Strategy).

I am curious to see whether we will see another price slide and am putting cash aside for this eventuality. Should $NVDA (+0.22%) were to hit EUR 80, I would immediately forget my ramblings from yesterday ("I'm not buying any more NVIDIA because the position is too big") and add another big tranche.

It remains exciting, so stay relaxed.

MicroStrategy ($MSTR (-7.42%) ) remains an uncertain and inefficient way to invest in Bitcoin. While the company is often seen as a kind of leveraged Bitcoin vehicle, the share price performance shows that MSTR corrects downwards disproportionately during volatile market phases. Since mid-December 2024, the share has lost around 40% in value, while Bitcoin has only fallen by around 20% in the same period (leverage in both directions). A comparison of MSTR's high of USD 543 in November 2024 with the current price of USD 255 even shows a decline of 55 %, while Bitcoin has only fallen by 10 %. This extreme difference shows that the share is anything but an efficient way to participate in the Bitcoin price in the long term. Short-term trades on rising prices can still make sense in comparison.

Despite the massive price decline, MSTR remains highly valued. The company holds around 500,000 Bitcoins with a current market value of around USD 42.2 billion (at a Bitcoin price of USD 84,500). At the same time, however, the balance sheet also includes around USD 7 billion in debt. If these liabilities are deducted from the Bitcoin holdings, a net asset value of USD 35 billion remains for the shareholders. Nevertheless, the share is traded at a market capitalization of USD 66 billion - this corresponds to a premium of around 90% on the real net asset value. In other words, investors are currently paying almost double the actual value and speculating that Bitcoin will at least double in the coming years just to justify the current valuation level.

Another problem is MicroStrategy's capital structure. In the past, the company has repeatedly been able to issue favorable convertible bonds, which offer low interest rates but entail subsequent dilution for shareholders. One example: In September 2024, a USD 1.01 billion convertible bond was issued with a conversion price of USD 183.19 per share. If these bonds were to mature today, the number of shares outstanding would increase by around 5 million - a significant dilutive effect.

In addition, it is becoming increasingly difficult for MicroStrategy to raise fresh capital on attractive terms. While new bonds have been issued repeatedly in the past, it is unclear whether investors are still willing to finance the company at current interest rates. To justify its current stock market value, MicroStrategy would theoretically have to raise debt in the region of USD 75 billion - an unrealistic scenario. Even the last capital increase in November 2024 with a conversion price of over USD 660 was a bad deal for investors, as the share price is now USD 255.

The Bitcoin market itself could also come under pressure in the coming months, resulting in a strong negative price loss due to leverage.

Conclusion: I'm staying away and investing sustainably in Bitcoin!

Do you like this article? If you appreciate my daily analyses, you can give me a small share in the bio via the link - I appreciate your support! 🚀📈

MicroStrategy's ($MSTR (-7.42%) ) share price currently seems overvalued to me. The company currently owns 499,096 Bitcoins, which at a Bitcoin price of USD 85,470 have a total value of around USD 42.7 billion. At the same time, Strategy has net debt of around USD 4.2 billion, resulting in net assets of around USD 38.5 billion.

Comparing this to the current market capitalization of around USD 106 billion (with a share price of USD 255.43 and 415 million shares outstanding), the stock appears to be trading well above its fundamental value.

Based on a realistic valuation, the share price should be around USD 92.77 - i.e. around 63.7% below the current price. Unless Strategy's bitcoins are worth more than all other bitcoins, or the market expects a massive increase in the bitcoin price.

MicroStrategy shows no growth in operating business. Revenue fell by 3% to USD 120.7 million in Q4 2024. In addition, the company has reduced its workforce by around 20%, particularly in research, sales and consulting. The software business contributes only minimally to the valuation. So why are you investing?

Do you like the article? If you appreciate my daily analysis, you can give me a small share in the bio via the link - I appreciate your support! 🚀📈

The market is quite unsettled and many are panicking, but is now the best opportunity to reload your weapons - perhaps the last opportunity?

The current price of Bitcoin (BTC) is USD 82,794, down USD 401 (around 0.48%) on the previous day.

In recent weeks, Bitcoin has experienced a downward movement, with a decline of around 23% from its high of USD 109,350 in January 2025. Analysts attribute this development to various factors, including macroeconomic uncertainties, regulatory changes and security-related events in the crypto market.

Despite this short-term volatility, some experts remain optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term potential. Cathie Wood, CEO of ARK Investment Management, emphasizes that institutional adoption of Bitcoin is still in its infancy and expects that the price could rise significantly as institutional participation increases.

Forecasts for the Bitcoin price in 2025 vary:

- Alex Thorn of Galaxy Digital: Expects the Bitcoin price to exceed $150,000 in the first half of 2025 and potentially reach $185,000 by the end of the year.

- InvestingHaven: Predicts a maximum price of USD 125,000 in 2025, with more aggressive but realistic targets of around USD 150,000.

- Longforecast: Estimates that the Bitcoin price could be around USD 211,088 in December 2025.

Not investment advice, of course. The price ultimately depends on many factors.

$BTC (-6.81%)
$ETH (-8.8%)
$MSTR (-7.42%)
$SOL (-7.9%)
#crypto
#krypto

#korrektur
#bitcon
#ethereum
#solana
$3350 (-7.94%)

I've been reading so many arguments here on Getquin over the last few days. It just pisses me off.

You don't even dare to post anything here anymore, because if you post something you're immediately flamed for everything and everyone here.

An exemplary scenario:

"P" stands for the different people here

P1: Hey guys I've just bought $MSTR (-7.42%) I'm so happy! 😀 In the long term, this will definitely make me a millionaire! Woohoo!

P2: NO MAN THAT WAS SO STUPID JUST TOO EARLY YOU ****🤬🤬🤬🤬

P1: Oh man now I'm embarrassed. I regret my decision so much but what do you base what you're saying on?

P2: left the chat

P3: $MSTR (-7.42%) and $BTC (-6.81%) will go down the drain and Trump's administration along with it!

P1: Holy cow, that sounds so scary. But how did you come up with such a thesis?

P3: That's just the way it is. If you don't know it yourself, you obviously have no idea. Maybe it's not for you after all!

That's what some of the comments here in the app look like.

Everyone knows better, everyone is an expert, but can rarely explain why. I also ask myself why the people who always know so much better aren't already multi-millionaires. Never mind.

This app is there to exchange opinions, of course. But when it comes to topics such as shares and cryptos or investments in general, it's a good idea to back up your opinions with examples or facts. After all, it communicates quite transparently what strangers are doing with their money.

I work in a bank and I know how quickly and easily people become insecure and embarrassed, especially when it comes to their money, when you tell them that what they are doing is not right and that they are handling their money incorrectly. No matter how convinced you are of your own methodology, one different opinion is enough to make you feel insecure. Even if you don't like to admit it yourself, many people here probably feel the same way. Sometimes that includes me. No matter how convinced I am of my investments.

ONE different opinion is enough and I start to question things. Even if it really was a good investment at the end of the day.

Conclusion: It is important and right to have your own opinion, just as it is important and right that there are different opinions. Getquin provides us with the perfect circumstances to exchange them.

But please: Don't hate each other in the comments and don't always pretend to be an expert without proving why you are an expert. It's getting really unbearable.

Thank you very much!

$3350 (-7.94%)
$BTC (-6.81%)
#crypto
#japan
$MSTR (-7.42%)

Metaplanet Inc (ticker: 3350) is a Japanese company that specializes in hotel management and at the same time invests in Bitcoin. In recent months, Metaplanet's share price has experienced significant price movements, which has aroused the interest of investors.

Current share price:

On February 27, 2025, the stock was trading at JPY 4,010, down 19.96% from the previous day.

Share price performance:

Over the past 52 weeks, the share price has fluctuated between JPY 140 and JPY 4,935, indicating a high level of volatility.

Market capitalization:

The current market capitalization is approximately JPY 246.33 billion.

Business segments:

- Hotel business: Metaplanet operates and manages hotels, including the Royal Oak Hotel in Japan.

- Bitcoin investments: The company has made significant investments in Bitcoin to hedge against the depreciation of the yen and benefit from the appreciation of the cryptocurrency.

Why is Metaplanet in the focus of Getquin users?

The combination of traditional hotel business and aggressive Bitcoin investments makes Metaplanet an interesting investment. The high volatility of the share price offers both opportunities and risks, which explains the attention of investors on platforms such as Getquin.

Please note that investing in stocks involves risks and it is important to do your own research !!!

Kind regards yours

King 👑

The 2nd of probably 3 tranches in $MSTR (-7.42%)

Let's see how the $BTC (-6.81%) continues to behave. Whether positive in the coming weeks or rather negative, either way this investment is still a good decision in the long or medium term.

Change my mind.