Subscribe to the podcast so that the bottom is reached soon.

00:00:00 Market environment

00:21:40 Nike, Adidas, Puma, On Holdings, Lululemon, Under Armor

00:35:50 Finding the bottom: Vix, Oil Price, Baltic Dry Index, Gold, Bonds / Bonds, CME FED Watchtool, St. Louis FRED Overnight Reverse Repurchase Agreements, COT

01:18:30 Chevron, Exxon, Occidental Petroleum, BP, Shell

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production A1JKQL

WisdomTree WTI Crude Oil A0KRKU

iShares MSCI World Energy Sector A2PHCF

01:29:35 China shares

01:44:25 Container ship shares

Spotify

https://open.spotify.com/episode/28RlbWBRC6xGUJ8AkHVcFU?si=w1t0GJtDTWOwNuUADqWoPQ

YouTube

https://youtu.be/QvUuYYmxk2k

Apple Podcast

https://podcasts.apple.com/de/podcast/84-china-aktien-%C3%B6l-aktien-sportartikel-aktien-containerschiff/id1695869891?i=1000703088147

$ZIM (+1.8%)
$MAERSK A (+4.28%)
$SHEL (+3.08%)
$XOM (+0.82%)
$CVX (+1.96%)
$BP. (+1.53%)
$OXY (+0.59%)
$ADS (+1.64%)
$NKE (+3.13%)
$PUM (+1.9%)
$UAA (+3.31%)
$LULU (+1.7%)
$WTI
$1BRN
$SPOT (+5.86%)
$AAPL (-3.33%)
$GOOG (+2.18%)
$GOOGL (+2.24%)
$BABA (+5.12%)
$700 (+4.76%)
$BYD (+1.98%)
#china
#zoll
#podcast

Hermes $RMS (+3.43%) (very expensive 🤑 )

Ferrari $RACE (+0.85%)

Lululemon $LULU (+1.7%)

Just do it $NKE (+3.13%) (supposedly cheap at the moment, please do not reach into the falling knife)

Booking $BKNG (+1.93%)

Marriott $MAR (+4.59%)

Ulta Beaty $ULTA (+2.46%) and/or L'Oreal $OR (+1.57%) (much more expensive)

Mercadolibre $MELI (-2.73%)

Texas Roadhouse $TXRH (+3.81%)

Chipotle $CMG (+3.26%)

Fast Retailing $9983 (+1.31%)
(doesn't fit with the others on the list but I could imagine it as a speculative stock)

"Everything" very expensive, luxury.

I would be interested to know what your favorites are for a long-term investment?

Lululemon warns cautious consumers

Lululemon $LULU (+1.7%) experienced a painful 15% drop in its shares this afternoon. The reason? CEO Calvin McDonald announced at an investor conference that consumers in the US are increasingly hesitant when it comes to spending. This development is not surprising, as the current economic climate is causing uncertainty. The University of Michigan's consumer index has reached its lowest level since November 2022, clearly showing that people are rethinking their spending. Retailers are also reporting a reluctance to spend, which is directly attributable to concerns about economic changes and rising tariffs. Despite these challenges, Lululemon is optimistic about the future: net sales of between EUR 11.1 and 11.3 billion and adjusted earnings per share of EUR 14.95 to 15.15 are targeted for the 2025 financial year. The diversification of products and low dependence on China could benefit the company in these turbulent times.

Boeing plans to sell Jeppesen navigation unit for over 8 billion dollars

In the USA, Boeing is planning $BA (+2.27%) is planning a significant sale of its Jeppesen navigation unit, and interest is high. Several private equity firms and an aerospace supplier have already signaled their offers. The estimated price for this valuable unit is over 8 billion euros and Boeing will be reviewing the bids received in the coming weeks. Potential buyers include prominent names such as Vista Equity, Warburg Pincus and TransDigm. This sale is part of CEO Kelly Ortberg's strategy to streamline Boeing and reduce debt. If the sale is successful, it could go down in history as one of the largest carve-out transactions in recent years. Jeppesen, known for its navigation products and software, is seen as a valuable asset that could potentially generate stable cash flows for the buyers.

Sources:

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/lululemon-warns-about-cautious-consumer-as-inflation-tariff-concerns-take-a-toll-172907689.html

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/exclusive-buyout-aerospace-firms-close-174043591.html

$LULU (+1.7%) 2k profit

Sales of selected competitors of Nike $NKE (+3.13%) :

Nike(USA): $49.0 billion, -8% in the last quarter compared to the previous year, $NKE (+3.13%)

Adidas*(Germany): $24.6 billion, +7%, $ADS (+1.64%)

Lululemon**(USA): $10.2 billion, +9%, $LULU (+1.7%)

VF Corporation**(USA): $9.9 billion, +2%, $VFC (+7.99%)

Anta Sports*(China): $9.7 billion, +14%, $2020 (+1.17%)

Puma*(Germany): $9.3 billion, +0%, $PUM (+1.9%)

Skechers**(USA): $8.7 billion, +13%, $SKX (+2.49%)

New Balance*(USA): $7.8 bn, unlisted

Under Armour*(USA): $5.4 billion, -6%, $UAA (+3.31%)

Deckers Brands**(USA): $4.6 billion, +17%, $DECK (+5.51%)

ASICS*(Japan): $4.1 billion , +16%, $7936 (+4.58%)

Li Ning*(China): $3.9 bn, +2%, $2331 (+4.57%)

On Holding**(Switzerland): $2.5 billion, +32%, $ONON

Despite all its problems, Nike is still twice as big as Adidas and somewhat as big as its four main competitors (Adidas, Anta Sports, Puma, New Balance) combined. together.

The Nike share is currently in a 60% drawdown (the worst in 25 years) and is roughly at the level of the COVID-19 low in March 2020.

Attractive risk-reward ratio?

Is Nike a buy, hold or sell for you?

*Main competitor

**Competitor in certain segments

$LULU (+1.7%) 😃+65% since 29.8. good decision (that I didn't $NKE (+3.13%) bought)

Aftermarket after quarterly figures, 05.12.

$ASAN (+3.19%)
$RBRK (+1.63%) +15.82%

$DOCU (+0.66%)
$ULTA (+2.46%)
$GTLB (-0.72%)
$LULU (+1.7%)

$VEEV (+1.38%)
$PATH (+0.11%)
$VSCO (+6.71%)
$HPE (+3.13%)
$IOT -6.58%