Source: Finchat
- Markets
- Stocks
- Axon Enterprise
- Forum Discussion
Axon Enterprise
Price
Discussion about AXON
Posts
26Time to buy: My top 30 companies that I am particularly looking at in the current crash
It is now slowly becoming clear who has what it takes to make good profits in the coming years.
Here are my top 30 companies by category, which I am particularly looking at in the current crash.
Some are still overvalued, others are already very attractive at the current price level.
Tier 1 (high corporate quality and strong growth)
Airbnb $ABNB (+1.41%)
Alphabet $GOOGL (-1.34%)
Amazon $AMZN (-0.36%)
ASML $ASML (+0.02%)
Axon $AXON (-2.03%)
Cadence $CDNS (+0.52%)
Constellation Software $CSU (-0.67%)
Crowdstrike $CRWD (-0.45%)
Fair Isaac $FICO (+0.61%)
Hermes $RMS (-2.4%)
Intuit $INTU (+0.36%)
Intuitive Surgical $ISRG (+0.69%)
Mastercard $MA (+1.7%)
Meta $META (+0.27%)
Netflix $NFLX (+3.89%)
Microsoft $MSFT (-0.72%)
Palantir $PLTR (+2.14%)
Tesla $TSLA (+0.65%)
Tier-2 (high business quality and moderate growth)
Booking $BKNG (+0.85%)
Costco $COST (+2.66%)
Ferrari $RACE (+1.57%)
Moody's $MCO (-0.03%)
MSCI $MSCI (+0.94%)
Transdigm $TDG (+0.23%)
Tier-3 (medium / solid corporate quality and strong growth)
Hims & Hers $HIMS (+1.78%)
Robinhood $HOOD (+1.71%)
Roblox $RBLX
Shopify $SHOP (+0.64%)
Spotify $SPOT (+3.13%)
The Trade Desk $TTD (+3.78%)
I bought on Friday and am buying again today - even in the course of the next few days and weeks, when we could probably see even lower prices.
Where are you buying?
Not the same: Forward P/S ratio of 16 selected tech growth stocks
Revenue Forward 3Y CAGR and Forward P/S Ratio (sorted in ascending order)
Hims & Hers: 31.9% / 3.4x $HIMS (+1.78%)
Spotify: 14.9% / 5.6x $SPOT (+3.13%)
Airbnb: 10.4% / 6.8x $ABNB (+1.41%)
Roblox: 19.4% / 7.3x $RBLX
Robinhood: 17.0% / 10.6x $HOOD (+1.71%)
The Trade Desk: 19,4% / 11,1x $TTD (+3.78%)
Fortinet: 14.4% / 11.5x $FTNT (+0.86%)
Shopify: 22.6% / 11.9x $SHOP (+0.64%)
Palo Alto Networks: 14.7% / 12.2x $PANW (-0.45%)
ServiceNow: 19.5% / 13.4x $NOW
Duolingo: 26.7% / 13.7x $DUOL
Axon Enterprise: 20.9% / 15.5x $AXON (-2.03%)
Crowdstrike: 22.5% / 17.2x $CRWD (-0.45%)
Cloudflare: 27.2% / 20.9x $NET (-1.17%)
Palantir: 30.8% / 52.6 $PLTR (+2.14%)
Palantir and Hims & Hers are not the same...
Even if Palantir increases its sales by an ambitious 30% every year over the next 10 years and achieves a free cash flow margin of 45% (!), the current share price is still >20% above fair value (assumption: 3% terminal growth, 8% discount rate) - even though the share has already corrected by >30%.
Your opinion?
Good morning dear community...
to a green Friday.😉
I made some changes to my portfolio yesterday and added to a few positions and bought a few new derivatives as I was expecting a counter-reaction.
I also sold the put on the S&P once with a 55% profit, but I can imagine trading it again.
I have small amounts in these stocks in my long-term portfolio $HIMS (+1.78%) , $GOOGL (-1.34%), $AMZN (-0.36%) and $MAIN (+1.8%) invested in these stocks.
I have invested the derivatives in $CEG (+1.63%) , $APP (+4.37%) , $ANET (-0.14%) and $AXON (-2.03%) . These have repeatedly turned at certain levels in the last few days in the weak market environment. I have therefore chosen the KO thresholds approx. 10% lower. These 4 investments are all very short-term. The target is 25-30%. Due to the leverage, 1-2 good days are enough.
I wish everyone green portfolios today. Good luck.
$APP has reached the target range with +40% and was hedged with a narrow SL at 30% profit, ahead of the consumer confidence figures.
$ANET also reached the target corridor with +35%. Here, too, SL
$CEG with +20% and $AXON with +10% are not there yet, but are also hedged with SL at entry.
The only list you need: The top 24 companies I look out for in the correction process
Airbnb $ABNB (+1.41%)
Amazon $AMZN (-0.36%)
Axon $AXON (-2.03%)
Cadence $CDNS (+0.52%)
Constellation Software $CSU (-0.67%)
Costco $COST (+2.66%)
Crowdstrike $CRWD (-0.45%)
Fair Isaac $FICO (+0.61%)
Ferrari $RACE (+1.57%)
Hermes $RMS (-2.4%)
Hims & Hers $HIMS (+1.78%)
Intuit $INTU (+0.36%)
Intuitive Surgical $ISRG (+0.69%)
Mastercard $MA (+1.7%)
Microsoft $MSFT (-0.72%)
Moody's $MCO
MSCI $MSCI (+0.94%)
Palantir $PLTR (+2.14%)
Robinhood $HOOD (+1.71%)
Roblox $RBLX
Shopify $SHOP (+0.64%)
Tesla $TSLA (+0.65%)
The Trade Desk $TTD (+3.78%)
Transdigm $TDG (+0.23%)
Select a maximum of 8-10 positions from this list that have the best risk/reward ratio and are reasonably valued. Then there is a good chance of outperforming the S&P 500.
Your opinion?
Interesting drawdowns for these 10 quality stocks
Drawdowns from the 52-week high:
Nvidia: -20% $NVDA (-1.35%)
Fair Isaac: -23% $FICO (+0.61%)
Synopsys: -26% $SNPS (-0.3%)
Axon Enterprise: -27% $AXON (-2.03%)
ASML: -33% $ASML (+0.02%)
Novo Nordisk: -38% $NOVO B (-7.73%)
Tesla: -42% $TSLA (+0.65%)
Coinbase: -42% $COIN (+2.41%)
Trade Desk: -50% $TTD (+3.78%)
AMD: -54% $AMD (-0.25%)
Have the companies already reached interesting levels for you to enter / buy or are they still too expensive despite the drawdown?
Axon 2024 sales increase by 33% to USD 2.1 billion; third consecutive year of annual growth of over 30%
- Axon Enterprise (NASDAQ: AXON) reported fourth quarter earnings per share (EPS) of $2.08, which was $0.68 above analysts' estimates of $1.40.
- Quarterly revenue amounted to USD 575 million, beating the consensus estimate of USD 566.8 million.
Outlook
- Axon Enterprise expects revenue of between USD 2.55 billion and USD 2.65 billion for the financial year 2025, compared to the analyst estimate of USD 2.56 billion.
Axon Enterprise reports strong growth and new records for 2024
- Axon Cloud & Services: Revenue increases by 44 % to 806 million USD
- Annual recurring revenue: Growing by 37 % to USD 1.0 billion
- Annual net profit: USD 377 millionsupported by a Non-GAAP net income of USD 466 million
Key operational milestones 2024
- Sales records: Over USD 2 billion in annual sales and USD 1 billion annual recurring revenue
- Order backlog: Annual bookings over USD 5 billionincrease the total future contract backlog to 10.1 billion USD
- Largest deal in the company's history: Conclusion of a major contract with a corporate customer
- Profitability: Net profit margin of 18.1 %, 25.0 % adjusted EBITDA margin and over 60 % free cash flow conversion
- Software user base: Over 1 million total users
- Hardware deliveries: More than 200,000 TASER devices, 300,000 bodycams and over 9 million cartridges delivered

AXON Enterprise Q4'24 Earnings Highlights:
🔹 Non-GAAP EPS: $2.08 (Est. $1.51) 🟢; UP from implied YoY
🔹 Revenue: $575M (Est. $566.74M) 🟢; UP +34% YoY
🔹 Adj EBITDA: $142M (Est. $136.43M) 🟢; UP +56% YoY
FY25 Guidance:
🔹 Revenue: $2.55B-$2.65B (Est. $2.554B) 🟡; UP ~25% YoY at midpoint
🔹 Adj EBITDA: $640M-$670M (Est. $648.73M) 🟡; ~25% margin at midpoint
Q4'24 Segment Highlights:
🔹 Axon Cloud & Services: $230M; UP +41% YoY
🔹 TASER: $221M; UP +37% YoY
🔹 Sensors & Other: $124M; UP +18% YoY
Q4'24 Geographical Breakdown:
🔹 Total Revenue: $575M; UP +34% YoY (global, no regional split provided)
Other Q4'24 Metrics:
🔹 ARR: $1.0B; UP +37% YoY
🔹 Future Contracted Bookings: $10.1B; UP +42% YoY
🔹 Adjusted Free Cash Flow: $227M
Strategic/Shareholder Updates:
🔸 Surpassed $2B annual revenue and $1B ARR in FY24
🔸 Introduced AI-driven solutions like Draft One and Axon Drone as First Responder
Management Commentary:
🔸 "Rick Smith (CEO): We see ourselves as a technology company committed to making the world safer, delivering tools that prevent violence and address modern challenges."
I'm following these 10 quarterly reports this week!
Hims & Hers (Monday) $HIMS (+1.78%)
Axon Enterprise (Tuesday) $AXON (-2.03%)
Cava Group (Tuesday) $CAVA
Nvidia (Wednesday) $NVDA (-1.35%)
Salesforce (Wednesday) $CRM (-0.67%)
Zoetis (Thursday) $ZTS (+1.58%)
TransMedics (Thursday) $TMDX (+4.49%)
Monster Beverage (Thursday) $MNST (+0.59%)
Rocket Lab (Thursday) $RKLB (-0.34%)
Duolingo (Thursday) $DUOL
What do you expect from these companies?