Source: Finchat

$PLTR (+0.04%)

$NOW (-0.05%)

$SPOT (+0.21%)

$PANW (+0.07%)

$SHOP (+0.04%)

$CRWD (+0.14%)

$FTNT (-0.04%)

$ABNB (-0.62%)

$COIN (+1.37%)

$AXON (+0.21%)

$RBLX

$NET (+6.24%)

$HOOD (+1.42%)

$TTD (+0.56%)

$DUOL

$HIMS (-1.37%)

It is now slowly becoming clear who has what it takes to make good profits in the coming years.

Here are my top 30 companies by category, which I am particularly looking at in the current crash.

Some are still overvalued, others are already very attractive at the current price level.

Tier 1 (high corporate quality and strong growth)

Airbnb $ABNB (-0.62%)

Alphabet $GOOGL (+0.12%)

Amazon $AMZN (+0.13%)

ASML $ASML (+0.29%)

Axon $AXON (+0.21%)

Cadence $CDNS (+0.36%)

Constellation Software $CSU (+0.38%)

Crowdstrike $CRWD (+0.14%)

Fair Isaac $FICO (-0.41%)

Hermes $RMS (+0%)

Intuit $INTU (-0.15%)

Intuitive Surgical $ISRG (-0.08%)

Mastercard $MA (-0.75%)

Meta $META (+0.27%)

Netflix $NFLX (-0.07%)

Microsoft $MSFT (+0.03%)

Palantir $PLTR (+0.04%)

Tesla $TSLA (+0.98%)

Tier-2 (high business quality and moderate growth)

Booking $BKNG (+0.14%)

Costco $COST (-0.32%)

Ferrari $RACE (+0.82%)

Moody's $MCO (+0.14%)

MSCI $MSCI (-0.53%)

Transdigm $TDG (-0.1%)

Tier-3 (medium / solid corporate quality and strong growth)

Hims & Hers $HIMS (-1.37%)

Robinhood $HOOD (+1.42%)

Roblox $RBLX

Shopify $SHOP (+0.04%)

Spotify $SPOT (+0.21%)

The Trade Desk $TTD (+0.56%)

I bought on Friday and am buying again today - even in the course of the next few days and weeks, when we could probably see even lower prices.

Where are you buying?

Revenue Forward 3Y CAGR and Forward P/S Ratio (sorted in ascending order)

Hims & Hers: 31.9% / 3.4x $HIMS (-1.37%)

Spotify: 14.9% / 5.6x $SPOT (+0.21%)

Airbnb: 10.4% / 6.8x $ABNB (-0.62%)

Roblox: 19.4% / 7.3x $RBLX

Robinhood: 17.0% / 10.6x $HOOD (+1.42%)

The Trade Desk: 19,4% / 11,1x $TTD (+0.56%)

Fortinet: 14.4% / 11.5x $FTNT (-0.04%)

Shopify: 22.6% / 11.9x $SHOP (+0.04%)

Palo Alto Networks: 14.7% / 12.2x $PANW (+0.07%)

ServiceNow: 19.5% / 13.4x $NOW

Duolingo: 26.7% / 13.7x $DUOL

Axon Enterprise: 20.9% / 15.5x $AXON (+0.21%)

Crowdstrike: 22.5% / 17.2x $CRWD (+0.14%)

Cloudflare: 27.2% / 20.9x $NET (+6.24%)

Palantir: 30.8% / 52.6 $PLTR (+0.04%)

Palantir and Hims & Hers are not the same...

Even if Palantir increases its sales by an ambitious 30% every year over the next 10 years and achieves a free cash flow margin of 45% (!), the current share price is still >20% above fair value (assumption: 3% terminal growth, 8% discount rate) - even though the share has already corrected by >30%.

Your opinion?

to a green Friday.😉

I made some changes to my portfolio yesterday and added to a few positions and bought a few new derivatives as I was expecting a counter-reaction.

I also sold the put on the S&P once with a 55% profit, but I can imagine trading it again.

I have small amounts in these stocks in my long-term portfolio $HIMS (-1.37%) , $GOOGL (+0.12%), $AMZN (+0.13%) and $MAIN (+1.41%) invested in these stocks.

I have invested the derivatives in $CEG (+0.01%) , $APP (+1.04%) , $ANET (+0.23%) and $AXON (+0.21%) . These have repeatedly turned at certain levels in the last few days in the weak market environment. I have therefore chosen the KO thresholds approx. 10% lower. These 4 investments are all very short-term. The target is 25-30%. Due to the leverage, 1-2 good days are enough.

I wish everyone green portfolios today. Good luck.

Airbnb $ABNB (-0.62%)

Amazon $AMZN (+0.13%)

Axon $AXON (+0.21%)

Cadence $CDNS (+0.36%)

Constellation Software $CSU (+0.38%)

Costco $COST (-0.32%)

Crowdstrike $CRWD (+0.14%)

Fair Isaac $FICO (-0.41%)

Ferrari $RACE (+0.82%)

Hermes $RMS (+0%)

Hims & Hers $HIMS (-1.37%)

Intuit $INTU (-0.15%)

Intuitive Surgical $ISRG (-0.08%)

Mastercard $MA (-0.75%)

Microsoft $MSFT (+0.03%)

Moody's $MCO

MSCI $MSCI (-0.53%)

Palantir $PLTR (+0.04%)

Robinhood $HOOD (+1.42%)

Roblox $RBLX

Shopify $SHOP (+0.04%)

Tesla $TSLA (+0.98%)

The Trade Desk $TTD (+0.56%)

Transdigm $TDG (-0.1%)

Select a maximum of 8-10 positions from this list that have the best risk/reward ratio and are reasonably valued. Then there is a good chance of outperforming the S&P 500.

Your opinion?

Another shock for the depot (sorry for the bad joke😂)

Drawdowns from the 52-week high:

Nvidia: -20% $NVDA (+0.05%)

Fair Isaac: -23% $FICO (-0.41%)

Synopsys: -26% $SNPS (+0.31%)

Axon Enterprise: -27% $AXON (+0.21%)

ASML: -33% $ASML (+0.29%)

Novo Nordisk: -38% $NOVO B (+0.88%)

Tesla: -42% $TSLA (+0.98%)

Coinbase: -42% $COIN (+1.37%)

Trade Desk: -50% $TTD (+0.56%)

AMD: -54% $AMD (+0.28%)

Have the companies already reached interesting levels for you to enter / buy or are they still too expensive despite the drawdown?

$AXON (+0.21%)

• Axon Enterprise (NASDAQ: AXON) reported fourth quarter earnings per share (EPS) of $2.08, which was $0.68 above analysts' estimates of $1.40.

• Quarterly revenue amounted to USD 575 million, beating the consensus estimate of USD 566.8 million.

Outlook

• Axon Enterprise expects revenue of between USD 2.55 billion and USD 2.65 billion for the financial year 2025, compared to the analyst estimate of USD 2.56 billion.

Axon Enterprise reports strong growth and new records for 2024

• Axon Cloud & Services: Revenue increases by 44 % to 806 million USD

• Annual recurring revenue: Growing by 37 % to USD 1.0 billion

• Annual net profit: USD 377 millionsupported by a Non-GAAP net income of USD 466 million

Key operational milestones 2024

• Sales records: Over USD 2 billion in annual sales and USD 1 billion annual recurring revenue

• Order backlog: Annual bookings over USD 5 billionincrease the total future contract backlog to 10.1 billion USD

• Largest deal in the company's history: Conclusion of a major contract with a corporate customer

• Profitability: Net profit margin of 18.1 %, 25.0 % adjusted EBITDA margin and over 60 % free cash flow conversion

• Software user base: Over 1 million total users

• Hardware deliveries: More than 200,000 TASER devices, 300,000 bodycams and over 9 million cartridges delivered

https://youtu.be/honctd9aXEw?si=G_bTtqOETYxaviv-