After my first 12 months investing seriously and long term in the markets I can say that I am quite satisfied 😁.

But there are always buts, and yes, I should have been more careful at the beginning of the year, around December I was blinded by the performance of my investments, I failed to see the risks which seen in hindsight were ENOUGH OBVIOUS let's review them:

• The S&P at 30x Earnings when its average is around 18-21x.

• Three years of growth well above its historical average of 10% with no justification other than the rising expectation of AI 🤖

• A 26% Return in just 6 months in my stock portfolio without much change in EPS simply a price increase due to growing demand.

• Almost 3 years of announced Crisis and many experts (Like Warren Buffet) walking away from the Markets and holding Cash positions.

• A Euro dollar rate among the lowest historically basically at par 1€/1.02$.

In all this context to have shares like $GOOGL (+0.56%)
$META (+0.75%) or others that I had at the time such as $AMZN (+0.43%) were not going to help much being the most affected by the correlation of the index and its high Per not to mention the currency effect.

But I went with a very aggressive portfolio and barely kept 5% in money funds or cash 😔 (which also if I had it was by chance not by planning 🤣).

The important thing Lesson Learned, you have to keep a cool head, and maintain a balanced management according to the risks and not be blinded by these situations of "easy money".

However the year has not ended not so bad many of my "bets" have gone fantastically well as well as. $HPE (+0.29%) (+30%) $SMSN (-0.11%) (+15%) $BFIT (+1.96%) (+10%)

And I have diversified into smaller stocks that are not so correlated to the indices and that according to my criteria have the potential to outperform the index

As well as other alternative investment vehicles such as BME Growth and Urbanitae projects.

And of course I keep a reserve but not too big for when opportunities like the ones we saw just a couple of months ago come along ;)

This is how things have been in the aggregate one year later, in the equity portfolio the profitability is somewhat higher, but still it is important to diversify as we said before, we continue working to improve and grow 🔝📈📈

$NVDA (+0.86%)
$GOOGL (+0.56%)
$AMZN (+0.43%)

$AMZN (+0.43%)

At Amazon, the robots will soon outnumber the workers. The number of employees per site is already falling massively.

Due to increasing automation at Amazon, the company will soon have more robots than employees. As the Wall Street Journal reports, citing data from the online retailer, over one million robots are already in use. Amazon employs around 1.56 million people in total, most of them in its shipping warehouses.

The productivity of employees has increased massively as a result of robotics: according to calculations by Wall Street Journal Research, the number of parcels that Amazon ships per worker each year has risen from around 175 to 3,870 since 2015.

Around 75 percent of Amazon deliveries worldwide are supported in some way by robots, the company explained. The average number of employees per Amazon warehouse last year was around 670, the lowest in the past 16 years, according to the Wall Street Journal's analysis.

Robots communicate with each other

One of Amazon's newer Vulcan robots has a touch sensor system that enables the machine to pick items from shelves, which was previously done by workers.

Amazon recently began allowing its robots to communicate with each other. Amazon is introducing AI, CEO Andy Jassy said recently, "to improve inventory management, demand forecasting and the efficiency of our robots". The company, the second-largest private-sector employer in the US, also announced plans to reduce its workforce over the next few years.

Setters become robotics technicians

The company will be cutting more than 700,000 workers for better-paid jobs, including those controlling and supervising robots. Yesh Dattatreya, senior applied scientist at Amazon Robotics, is leading a newly formed Amazon team that is turning future warehouse robots into assistants that can respond to voice commands, such as to unload a trailer, he told the Wall Street Journal.

Amazon has also been testing humanoid robots since early 2024, manufacturer Agility Robotics said in a video report. However, Amazon stated that the use of humanoid robots is still in the research and development phase.

Agility Robotics is a private company and is not listed on a stock exchange. Therefore, there are no Agility Robotics shares that are publicly traded.

https://www.golem.de/news/e-commerce-amazon-hat-bald-mehr-roboter-als-arbeiter-2507-197659.html

"We're working on drones for deliveries in less than an hour and Alexa+ robots"

Amazon already has 1 million robots in operations

$AMZN (+0.43%)

#Amazon
#AMZN
#Drones
#Robótica
#Alexa

Alphabet / Waymo $GOOG (+0.53%)

Amazon $AMZN (+0.43%)

Baidu $9888 (+0.96%)

BMW $BMW (+0.21%)

CATL $3750 (+1.13%)

Dassault Systems $DSY (-0.3%)

Hexagon $HEXA B (-0.05%)

Mercedes-Benz $MBG (-0.12%)

Mobileye $MBLY

NVIDIA $NVDA (+0.86%)

Siemens $SIE (+0.18%)

SONY $6758 (-0.28%)

Qualcomm $QCOM (+0.39%)

Tesla $TSLA (+0.82%)

Link: https://shorturl.at/WJzuf

$IREN (+1.55%)

A large part of the investment thesis of $IREN (+1.55%) is linked to the company's ambitious expansion into the fast-growing AI/HPC sector.

While $IREN (+1.55%) Bitcoin mining yields remain exceptional, performance in this segment is heavily influenced by factors outside of the company's control - namely price, network difficulty and ASIC prices. $BTC (+0.44%) -price, network difficulty and ASIC prices.

Today's demand for AI computing power is only a fraction of what will be needed.

The reasons are:

- AI switches from text to real-time video, 3D and full scene understanding

- AI co-pilots integrated into every productivity and development tool

- Autonomous robots, vehicles and smart factories

- AI-generated content on a large scale: ads, movies, virtual worlds

- Constant retraining of boundary models, 100 times more computationally intensive

Access to AI computing power and related infrastructure will be critical for major tech companies to defend and grow their multi-billion dollar valuations. These players are outbidding each other, not only to secure capacity, but also to prevent others from obtaining it. Whoever controls the most computing power capacity and supporting infrastructure will gain a massive advantage over the other.

We have already seen this in the race for $NVDA (+0.86%) chips, the biggest bottleneck in the AI value chain today. But this bottleneck is shifting as computing capacity becomes increasingly constrained by access to AI-optimized energy infrastructure.

And here, in my opinion $IREN (+1.55%) that has more than 3 GW of AI-optimized infrastructure will benefit. It takes time to build, contracts for infrastructure and power connection contracts are becoming more difficult, and the land and locations required are becoming more expensive, $IREN (+1.55%) has recognized this early on.

Increase in hash rate since 2023:

$IREN (+1.55%) available today with $IREN (+1.55%) AI Cloud has $NVDA (+0.86%) H100 and H200 GPU clusters.

These clusters are powered 100% by renewable energy.

$MARA (+1.16%)
$CLSK (+1.14%)
$BTC (+0.44%)
$MSTR (+0.83%)
$RIOT (+1.65%)
$CRWV (+0.55%)
$META (+0.75%)
$AMZN (+0.43%)
$GOOGL (+0.56%)
$NVDA (+0.86%)
$MSFT (-0.1%)
$WULF (+2.08%)
$CIFR (+1.52%)
$CORZ (+0.98%)
$BTDR (+1.35%)

Masayoshi Son, CEO of the SoftBank Group

$9984 (+0.74%)announced plans to develop the company into a leading platform provider for "artificial superintelligence" within the next decade.

At the annual shareholders' meeting, he compared this goal to the dominance of Microsoft $MSFT (-0.1%), Amazon $AMZN (+0.43%) and Google $GOOGL (+0.56%) and referred to the "winner takes all" dynamic.

He defined artificial superintelligence as a technology that outperforms human capabilities by a factor of 10,000.

By 2025, SoftBank had invested massively in AI, including the acquisition of US chip designer Ampere for USD 6.5 billion and up to USD 40 billion in funding for OpenAI.

(...)

SoftBank's cyclical bets follow a historic boom-bust pattern:

Son's new "all-in" stance on OpenAI (32 billion US dollar investment) mirrors his previous high-risk tech bets that have shaped SoftBank's history.

This reflects a consistent pattern of massive, concentrated investments - from $100 million in Yahoo in 1996, to $20 million in Alibaba in 2000 (whose value grew to $130 billion), to the $100 billion Vision Fund in 2017.

(...)

This approach with high risk and high returnas critics have called it, has changed the risk capital landscape with inflated valuations and pressure on competitors to match the same level of funding.

(...)

SoftBank's strategic positioning mirrors previous battles over technology platforms.

Son's ambition to be the "organizer of the industry" in artificial superintelligence is reminiscent of the platform dominance strategies that spawned trillion-dollar companies like Microsoft, Amazon and Google.

SoftBank is strategically expanding its AI base through talent acquisition and infrastructure investmentsincluding the acquisition of semiconductor designer Ampere for $6.5 billion and a $40 billion commitment to OpenAI.

The company's approach leverages its historical strength in hardware through Arm Holdings to create an integrated AI ecosystem that includes chips, infrastructure and applications.

SoftBank's funding pattern typically encourages market consolidation, providing capital on a scale that forces smaller competitors to merge or exit - a strategy that fundamentally changes the competitive dynamics in target sectors.

This platform strategy is in line with Son's long-term vision, which he has been articulating since at least 2017: a future with one trillion connected devices by 2035, allowing SoftBank to capitalize on the massive data streams powering advanced AI systems.

⬇️⬇️⬇️

https://www.techinasia.com/news/softbank-aims-to-lead-in-artificial-super-intelligence

The share price has also been rising again for some time, as investors are generally becoming more optimistic. Nevertheless, it is still massively undervalued in my opinion. In addition to the crucial AI platform strategy (for which they themselves are creating demand with Stargate (USA, UAE, UK...), so theoretically benefit twice over), there are of course many other interesting investments and initiatives (Wayve, Grab $GRAB (+1.14%)Coupang $CPNG (+0.26%), 21 Capital, Helion, PayPay Expansion.....). Overall, I believe in the company's vision and see many indications that it could succeed :)

Hello dear people!

I am looking for new and interesting stocks for my long-term portfolio and would like to build up a few new positions.

They should be growth stocks with high quality, away from the big tech stocks.

In addition, they should be rather cheap/fairly valued.

Dividends are not a priority for my investment strategy, so classic defensive dividend stocks would not be an option for me.

Either purchase in tranches or as a monthly savings plan.

Thought I'd ask the great GQ community for advice, maybe you can give me a few new ideas or some inspiration and tell me your favorites 💡

I'm looking forward to your answers/comments 🤗

$IWDA (+0.29%)
$VWRL (+0.19%)
$VWCE (+0.32%)
$CSPX (+0.31%)
$NVDA (+0.86%)
$MSFT (-0.1%)
$GOOGL (+0.56%)
$AMZN (+0.43%)
$NOVO B (-0.19%)
$NU (+0.13%)
$ASML (-0.09%)
$NOVO B (-0.19%)
$1211 (+1.02%)
$MA (+0.3%)
$BRK.B (+0.12%)
$UNH (+0.36%)

As every Sunday, the most important news from the past week, as well as the dates for the coming week.

Also as a video:

https://youtube.com/shorts/mmMct8X3UFs?si=bgblnz80-UE5ezAw

Tuesday:

A new law to regulate so-called stablecoins is to be passed in the USA. The law could enable large online retailers such as $AMZN (+0.43%) Amazon could save billions in credit card fees. The value of stablecoins is pegged to the US dollar and therefore fulfill the important function of storing value. Risks exist in the coverage by US government bonds, for example.

https://www.handelsblatt.com/finanzen/maerkte/devisen-rohstoffe/krypto-dieses-gesetz-sorgt-fuer-goldgraeberstimmung-bei-stablecoins/100134772.html

Wednesday:

Despite Trump's constant demands, the Fed has not lowered key interest rates in the US.

https://www.faz.net/aktuell/finanzen/us-notenbank-fed-widersetzt-sich-donald-trump-110546137.html

Thursday:

The BoE also refrained from cutting interest rates. In contrast, the Swiss central bank lowered its key interest rate further to 0%.

https://finanzmarktwelt.de/bank-of-england-verkuendet-aktuell-zinsentscheidung-353077/?amp

Sunday:

The US ended Iran's nuclear program with a direct attack.

These are the most important dates in the coming week:

Tuesday: 16:00 Consumer Confidence (USA)

Thursday: 08:00 Consumer Confidence (DE)

Friday: 01:30 Inflation data (Japan)

#verbrauchervertrauen
#usa
#israel
#iran
#kanzlermerz
#termine
#inflation
#japan