DHL Group Stock Forum

Enton 🦆 says the $DHL (-0.38%) stock is even bigger garbage than $GME (-3.41%)

Enton 🦆 saying these words once is like the 7th wonder of the world. Have a nice Sunday everyone.

I tidied up my portfolio a bit today. This has partly to do with the fact that I think the stock market is currently running a bit hot, but it's not the decisive factor; it's simply a time when it seems wise to sell some stocks that were no longer at the top of my want list anyway.

First of all, some of you may have noticed that I have switched most of the growth portfolio to ETFs. I've also tidied up a bit there, but it's not worth mentioning.

In the dividend portfolio, I shifted a little more back and forth; although initially I only shifted to the cash portfolio and not yet shifted :D Some of you may remember that I took over some of my grandparents' shares, some of which are also old tax holdings. This is also the case here. But there's no doubt that I also had to pay a lot of tax on the non-old stock. However, I also wanted to tidy up a bit, even though the dividend portfolio was actually intended for buy and hold (forever), so sometimes it turns out that you should perhaps sell after all.

$SBUX (-0.5%) I had started to build up a position at around 85. Then came the Starbucks "crash". This forced me to buy some more. However, the position has become far too large for my dividend portfolio, so I reduced it by a little more than 1/2.

$SAP (-1.93%)
@Karl_ <- Following on from Karl's post. I have a similar view and think that the valuation is no longer really justified. I am also unsure about the German market as a whole at the moment. But after all, SAP also does a lot of business in America. 100% out

$JPM (-1.19%) Perhaps a controversial decision. But I'm not entirely convinced by JPM's return on capital, even for a bank. It is certainly a good investment, but not for me at the moment. But that's more of a gut decision. 100% out

$DHL (-0.38%)
$7974 (+0.55%) were mini positions. Question: Continue to build up or get out? The latter was the answer. I don't see an absolute reason to buy at the moment. 100% liquidated

$JNJ (-0.64%) certainly also a controversial decision. However, I am not convinced by either the performance or the fundamentals. 100% out.

$AZN (-3.35%) Bought Corona for a good reason (vaccination). Now took profits. 100% out.

That's it for now. I now have a cash ratio of almost 50%, which is of course far too much. The cash will flow partly into ETFs in the former growth portfolio and partly into dividend stocks. The main focus will be on consumer staples, industrials and healthcare - if better opportunities arise there. I will gradually build up positions there and post my reasons accordingly.

Edit: I am always grateful for ideas in consumer staples/industrials/healthcare + dividend paying.

Moin Moin,

I am putting more and more into ETFs. $DHL (-0.38%) will soon be thrown out and also reallocated.

My question is, $GOOGL (-1.89%) Should I kick out and reallocate? Is it already covered by the World and S&P500 or just keep running? Many thanks in advance

and does anyone know why $NVDA (-3.6%) is still not displayed correctly?

Teslas
$TSLA (-2.65%)
Semi exceeds expectations in the 3.000-mile test by DHL
$DHL (-0.38%).

In a two-week test, the Tesla Semi achieved an average consumption of 1.72 kWh per mile while reaching speeds of over 50 mph.

In another test, it covered 390 miles, even though it had a total weight of 75.000 pounds fully loaded.

"The results exceeded all of our expectations and even Tesla's own claims - the Tesla Semi is ready to make its grand entrance!" Source: Driveteslacanada

The trees are putting on their golden-yellow dress, it's getting rainy again and the temperatures are dropping. The golden fall is just around the corner. I take advantage of the cold by only taking cold showers and prepare myself for winter ice bathing. Over the next few days, I'll be swimming in cold water, avoiding hot showers like the plague. Meanwhile, the depot is running. Time for a look back.

I present the following points for the past month of September 2024:

➡️ SHARES

➡️ ETFS

➡️ DISTRIBUTIONS

➡️ CASHBACK

➡️ AFTER-PURCHASES

➡️ P2P CREDITS

➡️ CRYPTO

➡️ WHAT IS REALLY IMPORTANT

➡️ OUTLOOK

➡️ Shares

After the top of the class $AVGO (-4.09%) has deflated, it is now shifting up a few gears again. The +121% performance of $AVGO (-4.09%) increased to +178% last month. There is still some way to go to +200%, but perhaps I will soon have the first trebler in my portfolio. That puts me in a good mood! The heavyweight, which also accounts for the largest volume among the individual stocks in my share portfolio, is attracting other heavyweights such as $WMT (+0.64%) and $NFLX (-0.14%) behind it. The last few months have also seen $SAP (-1.93%) steadily risen in my portfolio and has now already reached 4th place, accompanied by $AAPL (-3.87%) . The former leader $NOVO B (-1.32%) continues to fall but is still performing well. There are also other stocks that are fighting their way up that I did not expect at the time. For example one $ABBV (+1.09%) or $BAC (-0.92%) .

If I look at the performance, I am also spoiled with great results behind the winner. $NFLX (-0.14%) shines with +98%, $NOVO B (-1.32%) with +74% and $SAP (-1.93%) with +72%. When I added the stocks to my portfolio, I would never have imagined that there would be any stocks in my gold box that could double. I'll probably have several of them next year.

And I'm not worried about the basement floor either, as the negative performances are constantly moving towards zero. Step by step. There was also a change in the order at the lower end due to additional purchases. My smallest positions by volume are now $CP (-1.39%) , $DHL (-0.38%) and $OR (-1.29%) in terms of performance they remain $NKE (+0.74%) , $DHR (+1.46%) and $CVX (+0.26%) o.

➡️ ETFs

My beloved core retirement savings unit is growing and growing. The biggest chunk, the $VWRL (-1.61%) already accounts for 13.4% of my entire securities portfolio. All I can say here is: stubbornly and steadily save a portion of your net salary every month in the boring bread-and-butter ETFs by standing order and savings plans, then you can successfully escape the monster of old-age poverty. In my opinion, everyone should do this. I'm a fan of distributions because they provide a steady additional income. And by saving continuously, this income increases. I also promote this in my private circle. I think it's a shame that so many people respond to my efforts to raise awareness with "Yes, but ...". By constantly hiding behind excuses that are always the same, people are driving themselves into poverty in old age. Even worse are those who think shares (or securities in general) are the devil's plaything and moan about pensions. On the one hand, they don't understand how the pay-as-you-go system really works, and on the other, they completely lack basic financial education. They think they are throwing money into a certain pot from which they can later withdraw. Interestingly, this is only the case with their own portfolio, not with the state pension.

In addition to broadly diversified standard ETFs, I like to put unplanned inflows into dividend ETFs. I want cash flow that will one day cover my living expenses.

➡️ Dividends

I received 33 distributions on 14 payout days in September. I am grateful for this additional income stream.

Unfortunately, I didn't manage to write the extra article I announced in my last post about how I deal with reinvestments last month. This is planned for this month. My plans $UPS (-0.02%) and $HTGC (-1.09%) into the savings plans remains in place. I already teased this in the last review.

➡️ Cashback

In September, I received a €40 voucher for scanning my daily purchases, which I used to buy overhead headphones that had been on my watchlist for a while. In line with my cashback procedure, I deducted the equivalent value of the voucher in euros from the corresponding provision and transferred it to the exchange. In this way, I use the benefit of the voucher as productive capital instead of just consuming more like others. My budgets for wear and tear and provisions are thus adhered to and the benefit indirectly finances my asset accumulation.

➡️ Subsequent purchases

Thanks to a small bonus, reimbursements from health insurance and supplementary dental insurance and the aforementioned voucher, I was able to make several additional purchases last month. These include the additional purchase of 2 $UPS (-0.02%) and 6 $HTGC (-1.09%) shares as individual additional purchases. I am convinced by both companies. I also invested €27 in the one-off savings plans $SPYD (-0.33%) , €49 in the $TDIV (-1%) and €44 in the $FGEQ (-1.49%) invested. Simply to increase the cash flow from the investments. Bit by bit, the tap is being turned on further and further.

➡️ P2P loans

Over a long period of time, I have managed to reduce the amount of defaulted loans on my remaining platforms to a double or single-digit sum. All the rest has been withdrawn. Of course, no progress has been made with interest or redemption payments. I wish the operators would simply write off the rest without replacement so that I could ditch all the platforms. Bondora Go & Grow is an exception to this rule. This is running smoothly, but I'm not putting any new funds into it, I'm just letting it run.

➡️ Crypto

I'm not currently doing anything here. I advise everyone to study the debt cycle and the crypto cycle in order to understand price movements in the long term.

➡️ What is really important

I was on vacation at the end of the month into October, so I spent time with my ex's kids, whose social father I was allowed to be one. First I spent several days with the kids and my ex. I went out in the evenings with the older teenage girl, mainly to give her the attention she was looking for so that she could be the focus of attention herself. In October, we spontaneously went to the capital for a few days at the child's request. This kind of time together with all the experiences helps to strengthen and rebuild the bond, which has of course suffered in recent years, for example due to physical separation. There have been so many great moments over the years, both in the province and in the big city. Enjoying the peace and quiet in the evenings with a great view, listening to what moves her and then the trip to the metropolis with its light and dark sides. And so much more.

Why am I writing this? Because it's moments like these that make life worth living and give us strength in dark times. This is even more valuable than our beloved topics of finance and investment.

➡️ Outlook

The year-end spurt begins very soon. I am hoping for price magic like last year. But the crypto cycle will be even more exciting, as we expect prices to skyrocket at the turn of the year.

Left:

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Week in review 28.09.

New all-time highs for DAX, Dow Jones, S&P 500, Gold, GE Vernova, Meta, Netflix, SAP, Vistra Corp, Walmart 👑🥇 $LYY7 (-0.72%)
$CSPX (-1.81%)
$ABX (-3.79%)
$GEV (+1.47%)
$META (-1.68%)
$NFLX (-0.14%)
$SAP (-1.93%)
$VST (+0.24%)
$WMT (+0.64%)

New 52-week highs for 3M, Air Products, Alibaba, Arista Networks, Barrick Gold, Bank of Nova Scotia, BlackRock, Caterpillar, Constellation Energy, DuPont, HSBC, Infosys, Live Nation, McDonald's, Palantir, PayPal, Public Storage, Royal Bank of Canada, Royal Caribbean, Sea Ltd, Spotify, Tangier 💵📈 $PLTR (-2.46%)
$9988 (-0.9%)
$BABA (-0.77%)
$BLK
$CAT (-1%)
$BNS (-0.96%)
$STZ (-1.32%)
$DD (+0.05%)
$HSBA (-1.08%)
$HSBC (-0.93%)
$INFY
$LYV (-0.97%)
$MCD (+0.11%)$PUB
$PUB
$RCL (-1.57%)
$SEA (+0%)
$SKT (-5.32%)

Bitcoin with new 1-month high, +22% in three weeks since the low on 07.09. from 52k$ to 66k$, +150% in 12 months📉📈 $BTC (-1.4%)

PayPal's own stablecoin PYUSD (crypto) is growing strongly and is now one of the top 100 cryptos by market capitalization at 95th place 💰 $PYPL (+1.29%)

Palantir with inclusion in the S&P 500 on Monday #PLTRgang 🤜🤛👊✊ $PLTR (-2.46%)

Uber is working with Google's Waymo (Alphabet) and wants to offer robotaxis for a surcharge 🚗🤖 $UBER (-9.26%)
$GOOGL (-1.89%)
$GOOG (-1.86%)

After the ECB and FED, China has also turned on the money printer *brrr brrr*, plus a big economic stimulus program, China stocks therefore have their best week in 10 years, car and luxury stocks with Chinese business are therefore rising 🖨🇨🇳 $MC (-1.11%)
$P911 (-0.77%)
$BMW (-1.23%)
$MBG (-0.48%)

AMD CEO and Nvidia CEO confirm continued high demand for AI chips 🧠🤖, Nvidia CEO does not want to sell any more of his own shares for the time being. $AMD (-2.54%)
$NVDA (-3.6%)

Upcoming Playstation 6 with AMD chip again, but AMD will leave the high-end graphics card market for PC gamers and try to scale more strongly in the mid and lower segments. Nvidia would then have a monopoly 🎮 $SONY (-2.11%)
$6758 (-2.27%)

Super Micro suspected of accounting fraud. US justice is apparently already investigating according to an insider, -62% share price in three months 🔍👮 $SMCI

AI needs a lot of electricity and nuclear power plants are being reactivated in the USA. In Germany, it's the other way around due to the world's stupidest energy policy. US electricity provider shares, uranium mines - shares and ETFs are rising. ⚛️⚡️ (see podcast episode 57 "Buy High. Sell Low." pinned to my profile at the top) $URNM
$URA (-2.26%)
$UEC (-4.58%)

Micron with good quarterly figures and +13% share price, semiconductor stocks rally 💻📈 $MU (-3.54%)

Costco - quarterly figures mixed, EPS exceeds estimates but sales worse than expected, share price falls slightly 🛒 $COST (-0.86%)

McDonald's increases quarterly dividend by 6% to 1.77$. Since the first dividend payment in 1976, the payout has been increased 48 years in a row. 🍟🍔 $MCD (+0.11%)

Investigation initiated against Visa 💳 and SAP 💻 in the USA for illegal price fixing $V (-0.54%)
$SAP (-1.93%)

Oil price falls again, Shell & Co. on the way to 1-year low 🛢⛽️ $SHEL (+2.37%)
$GB00B03MM408
$RDS.A

Meta releases VR glasses Quest 3s for €330 from 15.10.24 📱👓

Intel launches AI accelerator "Gaudi 3" as an alternative to Nvidia's H100. IBM, Google & Dell as first customers. 🧠 $INTC (+4.78%)

US debt level climbs above 35 trillion dollars for the first time 🖨💵

Ubisoft share price collapses due to postponement of "Assassin's Creed: Shadows", -70% 1-year performance 🎮📉 $UBI (+3.34%)

DHL raises outlook / growth forecast until 2030 and increases letter postage by 10.5% in Germany from 2025 📦✉️📯 $DHL (-0.38%)

BASF struggles with high energy prices and weak demand, threat of plant closure and dividend cut 🇩🇪📉 $BAS (+0.27%)

Adidas (+28%) significantly better than Nike (-18%) since the beginning of the year ⚽️🏀👟 $ADS (-0.54%)
$NKE (+0.74%)

Takeover poker at Commerzbank by Ital. Unicredit continues 🏦🇮🇹🇩🇪 $CBK (+0.18%)
$UCG (+0.01%)

Jefferies issued a buy recommendation for BioNTech and sees the antibody BNT327 against cancer as a potential massive sales driver. 👨‍⚕️⚕️💊 $DE000A0V9BC4

Mutares -14% because shortseller Gotham City raises serious allegations against the SDAX member: Ponzi scheme, false accounting and circular business model 🔍👮 $MUX (+0.93%)

>> If you want to read a review like this every week, leave a like & subscribe. What important news have I forgotten? 👍❤️

Foot in the door, if it goes very far down we will buy more

So dear friends...

Waiting for the maturity date of my 10y Treasury bond, interest payment will be taken along and, a little too early in the short term, but in the longer term shifted into 20+ Treasury at approx. 5 % p.a.. $IBTL (-0.36%) .

Furthermore, I finally got rid of my Global Clean Energy, albeit with a slight minus, but I see the cost pressure there immensely, and I also didn't like the weighting of the ETF "anymore".

With my savings rates, I'm trying to underperform Apple a little to get away from the almost 4 percent portfolio weighting. Apple is too annoying for me, at least in terms of the iPhone. Year after year, less and less innovation regarding smartphones, now under time pressure only a "half-finished" cell phone released in Germany.

On the other hand, I am quite happy with my portfolio.

I will continue to invest in real estate shares in the future, $DHL (-0.38%) I would like to push them to 1.5 %. I see an anti-cyclical opportunity here, the key figures seem to be okay. And the economy will also enjoy an upswing again at some point. Big player, albeit boring for some. But would like to upgrade it as a small individual share and hold it for the long term...dividend tastes good.

$PATH (-2.06%) and $ALFEN (-3.52%) will still think about a plan to sell, or one day one share will give way for the other.

We don't need to discuss Freyr and Halo, everyone starts at some point and unfortunately they are no longer tradable on L&S.

I am open to constructive criticism.

Have a nice evening and good luck 😅😅

Since my $DHL (-0.38%) limit for the purchase in August did not work out, the choice was now between $CWC (-0.7%) and $STR (-1.01%)

The Austrian company Strabag confirmed its forecast for the year with the presentation of its half-year figures on Friday (August 30). With construction output of around EUR 19.4 (previous year: 19.1) billion, the EBIT margin is expected to be at least 4%. A figure of 5% was achieved in the previous year, and the margin is set to rise to 6% by 2030.

Overall, however, the figures for the first six months were solid: With construction output virtually unchanged at EUR 8.3 billion and sales down by 2.9%, EBITDA increased by 2.2%. Higher depreciation and amortization caused EBIT to fall by 6.2%. However, this does not worry us any more than the thin EBIT margin of 1.1%, which was at a similar level in the previous year. This is because the majority of profits are generated in the second half of the year.

The 4% increase in the order backlog to a record level of EUR 25.2 billion is very pleasing. According to CEO Clemens Haselsteiner, Strabag already has "good visibility towards 2026". More than half (53%) of the orders come from Germany, while the home market of Austria only accounts for 10%. And the trend is continuing. For example, Strabag was recently awarded the contract to build a highway bridge on the A7 in Hesse.

The Group is also active in Germany in the area of the energy transition, where it is taking on central civil engineering work on the European energy infrastructure project "SuedOstLink", among other things. This major project aims to efficiently transport wind energy from the north and east to the south of Germany. The share (EUR 39.30; AT0000STR1) has been trading sideways for over three years, which is probably also due to the failed sale of the Rasperia share package (see PB of January 12) to RBI.

Strabag, 2025 P/E of 8 and a dividend yield of 5.7%.

Question: @Freya-Odin
@TomTurboInvest
@TomTurboInvest_100k
@Der_Dividenden_Monteur
@CaYaRo

Are you still invested?

10.09.2024

Oracle exceeds expectations +
JPMorgan resumes Hapag-Lloyd with 'Underweight' + China's exports rise faster than expected + Apple presentation hardly moves

Oracle $ORCL (-3.65%) reported first-quarter results late Monday that beat Wall Street estimates, driven by the strength of the software maker's cloud offerings. Adjusted earnings per share rose to $1.39 in the three months through August from $1.19 a year earlier, beating the consensus of $1.33 polled by Capital IQ. Revenue rose 7% to $13.31 billion, beating analysts' estimate of $13.24 billion. Shares rose 7.9% in after-hours trading. Cloud services and license support revenue rose 10% to $10.52 billion, while the cloud licenses and on-premise licenses segment grew 7% to $870 million. The hardware and services segments recorded declines of 8% and 9% respectively. Oracle's remaining performance obligations - future obligations from contractual relationships - increased 53% to a record $99 billion, which will accelerate revenue growth throughout fiscal 2025.

The US bank JPMorgan $JPM (-1.19%) has increased the valuation of the shares of Hapag-Lloyd $HLAG (+1.35%) with an "Underweight" rating and a price target of 85 euros. In the European transportation and logistics sector, analyst Alexia Dogani focuses on companies with strong competitive positions with high entry barriers and significant pricing power such as DHL $DHL (-0.38%) and InPost $INPST (-0.64%). She also likes companies such as DSV $DSV (-0.42%) and Kuehne + Nagel $KNIN (+0.07%)which have consolidated the market in order to improve cost development through economies of scale and leverage. On the other hand, she is skeptical about container shipping companies such as Moller-Maersk $MAERSK B (+6.41%), ZIM $ZIM (+9.4%) and Hapag-Lloyd. Dark clouds are gathering over them, as interest rates have peaked and the supply of capacity continues to increase.

A glimmer of hope for China's economic recovery: exports from the second-largest economy grew more strongly than expected in August. According to data from the Beijing customs authority, exports rose by 8.7 percent year-on-year to the equivalent of 309 billion US dollars (around 280 billion euros). This means that Chinese exports have increased for the fifth month in a row. Imports increased by 0.5 percent. Analysts had previously expected exports to increase by 6.6 percent, while they expected imports to rise by 2.5 percent.

In the context of the presentation of new AI-enabled iPhones and other innovations, the share price rose by Apple $AAPL (-3.87%) (unchanged) were volatile within narrow limits, but turned slightly positive at the end. According to JP Morgan analyst Samik Chatterjee, a large part of the new developments had already been leaked via leaks in the supply chain.

• iPhone 16 Pro (Max) & 16 (Plus): Larger batteries and the A18 (Pro) for the same price
• Apple AirPods 4: New design and ANC for the open in-ears
• Apple Watch 10: Thinner smartwatch with new OLED display and new water sensors
• Apple Watch: not an Ultra 3, but a black Ultra 2

Tuesday: Stock market dates, economic data, quarterly figures

Quarterly figures / company dates USA / Asia

17:00 Boeing deliveries 8/24

18:00 Nike AGM

Untimed: Gamestop Corporation quarterly figures

Quarterly figures / Company dates Europe

11:00 Jost Werke Capital Markets Day

Untimed: Renk Group Capital Markets Day

Economic data

• 04:00 CN: Foreign trade August trade balance PROGNOSE: +80.00 bn USD previous: +84.65 bn Euro Exports PROGNOSE: +6.6% yoy previous: +7.0% yoy Imports PROGNOSE: +2.5% yoy previous: +7.2% yoy
• 08:00 DE: Consumer prices (final) August PROGNOSE: -0.1% yoy/+1.9% yoy Preliminary: -0.1% yoy/+1.9% yoy Previous: +0.3% yoy/+2.3% yoy HICP PROGNOSE: -0.2% yoy/+2.0% yoy Preliminary: -0.2% yoy/+2.0% yoy Previous: +0.5% yoy/+2.6% yoy
• 08:00 UK: Labor market data August unemployment benefit recipients Unemployment rate 3 months (ILO) FORECAST: 4.2% previous: 4.2%
• 23:59 US: 3h to go until the TV debate between the candidates for the US presidency Kamala Harris and Donald Trump