2D·

The art of not selling why patience is the best investment edge 🧠💡

Most investors don't lose because they buy bad stocks -

but because they sell good shares too early.


Selling out of fear, impatience or the urge to "secure" profits often destroys the very thing that makes the biggest difference in the long term: the compound interest effect over time.


Long-term investing is less a question of intelligence - and more one of psychological maturity.


💡 Principles of patience


Price gains are not a reason to sell.

The share price only reflects emotions, not necessarily fundamentals.

If the investment thesis remains intact, stay invested.


Thesis > price.

Selling should only follow if fundamentals change - not because the price seems to have "run too far".


Let profits run, limit mistakes.

The greatest returns come from a few exceptional compounders. Capping them destroys performance.


Compound interest beats timing.

Short holding cycles destroy exponential growth. Long-term capital commitment multiplies returns.


📚 Historical perspective


➡️ Amazon ($AMZN (-0.83%)
):

Many investors sold after +100 % gains. Those who held on saw a return of over +200,000 %.


➡️ NVIDIA ($NVDA (-0.83%)
):

Crashes of -80 % (2008) and -50 % (2022) did not stop investors.

Today: over $2 trillion market cap.

Patience > market timing.


➡️ Berkshire Hathaway ($BRK.B (-0.46%) ):

Average holding period: over 10 years.

The compound interest effect does not result from activity - but from doing nothing.


🧠 The psychology of selling


The biggest enemies of the investor are FOMO and fear of loss.

The brain seeks short-term confirmation - realizing profits feels good.

But good decisions rarely arise from emotion, but from discipline and context.


"Don't interrupt compounding." - Charlie Munger


Returns take time, and time requires patience.

If you are constantly trading, you are working against the mathematics of capital accumulation.


⚠️ When selling makes sense


📋 The investment thesis is broken (technology, product, market).


📋 Management destroys shareholder value or allocates capital poorly.


📋 There is a clearly superior opportunity with a better risk/return profile.


📋 A position grows over 20% of the portfolio → Rebalancing off


📋 Risk management perspective.


Selling should be strategicnot emotional.


📊 Conclusion


The biggest gains are not made by reacting frantically,

but through constant calm in the storm.


Hold as long as your thesis holds.

Act when it breaks.


Patience is not a sacrifice -

it is the ultimate source of return for the long-term investor.


💬 Community question


When was the last time you sold too early - and how much return did impatience cost you?

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16 Comments

I sold palantier at €15. I'd rather not think about what it cost me
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@Solitair Jo same here 😬
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Dude, I sold $AVGO in August 2022. Don't look at the chart now to see when the AI hype started 😅
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You've written a lot of the right things. Most people don't fail in their search for a tenbagger.😉😎
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@Multibagger That's how it is!
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Again with great graphics. 😘
Thank you
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@Tenbagger2024 gladly and thank you! 😬
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At approx. 300% partial sale of Nividia, the rest is held
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What is a typical investment thesis, if I may ask? What is broken, for example?
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@impuff An investment thesis essentially describes why I believe that a company will create value in the long term.
A typical example would be: Company X benefits structurally from the trend towards cloud security, grows >30% p.a. and scales operationally towards profitability.

The thesis is broken if one of the cornerstones collapses - for example:

growth collapses significantly,

the unit economics tip over,

management allocates capital inefficiently,

or the structural trend weakens.

Then it is no longer a short-term price decline, but a fundamental break.
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Today my sell order at $ASML took hold at €800. I had placed it to hedge my book profit, just in case. In hindsight, the stop was perhaps too tight. However, I think the share has done a little too well recently. That's why I'm not angry about it.
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That is the way. Couldn't agree more.
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Good article up to the point "⚠️ When selling makes sense" .... Everyone who has sold Nvidia, Palantir, Tesla, Amazon in the past was convinced of exactly one of the points you list there.

The secret is NEVER to sell. You have to give up control completely and make it your principle NEVER to sell. The trick is to suppress your ego and admit to yourself that you have no idea what the future holds. Tim Schaefer Style.
$QBTS 1400 shares bought at € 0.85.
Sold at €2.92.

$PLTR bri 8€ bought at 22€ sold

$RKLB bought at 3€ sold at 27€


Never sell a share again 🤣
But I have a good nose, the next 10-30 excavators are waiting in the depot 🫢
Higher valuations indicate lower returns for the future. Look at PE, euphoria etc to determine if valuations are higher than normal. It is your money and you can do what you want with it. Those that held on to Year 2000 stocks continued to lose money for over 14 years before they got to a break-even point. Rising tide lifts all boats; it is only when the tide turns you see who is swimming naked.
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