1Yr·

What is the Fear and Greed Index?

Since I've already mentioned the "Fear and Greed Index". but have not yet found an explanation, I would like to share a brief summary of the results of my research with you.


The "Fear and Greed Index" is a concept that is often used to measure sentiment on the financial markets, particularly in relation to equities. The index attempts to quantify the prevailing emotions of investors - fear and greed - as these emotions often play a significant role in investment decisions.


  • Concept and purpose: The index is based on the idea that excessive greed can lead to inflated market prices, while extreme fear leads to disproportionate selling and therefore low prices. By quantifying these emotional states, the index aims to give investors an idea of whether the market is currently driven by fear or greed.


  • Measurement and indicatorsThe Fear and Greed Index is made up of various market indicators, each measuring different aspects of fear and greed in the markets. These indicators include:
  • Market volatilityMeasured using the VIX (Volatility Index)
  • Market momentumCompares the current closing prices with the average values of the last few months.
  • Share price strength: Observes how many stocks reach 52-week highs and lows.
  • Put and call options: Ratio of put options (bets on falling prices) to call options (bets on rising prices).
  • Junk bond demand: Measures the demand for riskier bonds.
  • Market breadth: Takes into account how broad participation in the market is.
  • Safe investments: Assesses the demand for safe asset classes such as government bonds.


  • Scale and interpretation: The index is typically presented on a scale of 0 to 100, with lower values indicating fear and higher values indicating greed. Values around 50 are considered neutral.


  • Application: The index is often used by investors to determine whether the market is potentially overbought (greed) or oversold (fear). In theory, a very high value on the index could be a signal to be cautious as the market may be overheated, while a very low value could represent a potential buying opportunity.


  • Criticism and limitations: The index is highly simplified and does not take into account all factors that may influence the market. Very strongly oriented to the past.


https://edition.cnn.com/markets/fear-and-greed


Extensions are welcome! Let us know in the comments.



Image source: https://assets.bitdegree.org/assets/fear-and-greed-index/crypto-market-emotional-cycle.jpg


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19 Comments

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@DonkeyInvestor unfortunately the last time took place in October...
I'll have a look 🚀
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Good and important contribution😁
Yes, emotions, especially fear and greed, are a difficult thing, especially for newcomers to the stock market, but also for experienced investors.
Emotions have no place in the stock market - that's what people try to convey.
And yet they are there and determine the purchases/sales of investors😊

Beate Sander, a German stock market legend, has also explained these terms very well. You should have read her books and wisdom😃
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@DividendCop The lady was awesome! I can really recommend her to everyone. :)
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Thomas Gebert has formulated a good critique of the Fear and Greed Index. He has shown that the index is almost congruent with the market's distance from the 200d average, i.e. it contains no more information than the latter.

In my opinion, this does not argue against the informative value of the index, but it does somewhat relativize the necessity of its complex calculation.
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@Epi May I ask which index you are referring to with the 200D line? Dow, S&P, NASDAQ100, MDAX or another one?
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@MagstDuKaffee Gebert was referring to the S&P500.
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Well-known, but a good summary: "Buy when the cannons are thundering, sell when the violins are playing."
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I have been using the index for years (relatively successfully) and increasingly buy in strong fear phases. However, I always keep an eye on key figures (e.g. sales, earnings performance, P/E ratio, cash flow, etc...) and chart technology, because there is always a risk of falling into a falling knife (which still happens to me time and again)!
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@opportunity_scout_109 Do you have a strategy such as investing 20% of the cash reserve in Fear and another 50% in Extreme Fear?
Or do you just buy on instinct?
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I can also recommend the Swissquote magazine from November. Companies like www.marketpsych.com try to capture market sentiment with the help of AI and incorporate it into investment decisions. Unlike the Fear and Greed Index, this is an attempt to capture actual sentiment rather than relying purely on calculations.

https://de.swissquote.com/sites/default/files/2023-10/sq5_epaper_de.pdf
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@finanzperpetuum
Thanks for the addition! I think there is much more to the market than a small investor realizes. As far as I know, Blackrock's Aladdin also analyzes and uses sentiment data from social networks.
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Such a strategy would certainly be wise. Because I have opted for a dividend strategy, my cash is never above 10% in my case and then I invest all the cash in fear phases. And in greed phases I let cash build up through dividends...
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Some also call it a boom 🙈
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Okay, your name is Fynn like me 😂. You're also interested in the stock market, you ride a motorcycle, you're also interested in technology and you're also spelled cool with double n and y 😂. I think you're my doppelganger 😂😂😂.
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@Xagoo you are probably more mine 😌
Write me on Insta fynn.fxx
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But where are we now 😅
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1Yr
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@alpin Thank you!
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