3Wk·

From the Adriatic to the north: Snam IT - Europe's regulated energy highway

We went on a little vacation. After all the chilly Scandinavian gems of the last few weeks, we needed some sun. We traveled from Scandinavia to Italy and not only looked at the art, but also dug up one of the continent's most fundamental suppliers. Snam IT (ISIN: IT0003153415) is not a speculative speedboat, but a massive tanker that turns regulated cash flows into returns. After our short trip, we took another close look at the company using our formulas - here is the result. $SRG (-0.39%)


We have also included points 11 and 12 in the analysis from now on - you'll be surprised. We'll be happy to sum up later!

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1. the company: What does Snam IT $SRG (-0.39%)
?


Snam is not just a "gas company". They are the largest transmission system operator in Europe. Think of Snam as the owner of the highways for energy: They own over 32,000 km of pipelines in Italy and control almost 20% of Europe's gas storage capacity. Their latest focus: CO2 storage (CCS) and the SoutH2 Corridor - a hydrogen highway from North Africa to Germany.


2. market position & ticker check


  • Market position: Regulated monopoly position in Italy for transportation and storage. They are strategically indispensable for EU energy independence.
  • Ticker: The official ticker on the Borsa Italiana is SRG. In Germany often referred to as SNAM in Germany.


3. key figures (as of March 23, 2026)


The share price is currently stable at EUR 6.37. The figures from the recently published 2025 annual report are impressively stable.

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4. core quality formula check


Your filter: Sales growth (%) + Operating margin (%) = Score.


  • Sales growth: +8.9 % (to EUR 3.88 billion)
  • Operating margin (EBIT basis): approx. 49.1 %
  • Result: 8,9+49,1=58
  • Conclusion: With 58 points, Snam is well above your "very good" threshold (25). This is the power of a regulated monopoly.


5. cash flow quality formula


  • Calculation: Since Snam is making massive CapEx (investments) for the hydrogen ramp-up (EUR 2.63bn net), the free cash flow (EUR 55m) is just positive. The FFO (Funds From Operations) of EUR 2.46 billion, however, shows the true cash generation.
  • FFO Yield:
    11,5%
  • Conclusion: The cash machine is running, but is being used for future infrastructure.


6. dividend filter (income core)


  • Status: Passed.
  • Details: 4.74% yield (EUR 0.3021). The dividend is covered by the FFO. Snam guarantees an annual increase of 4 %. This is a classic income anchor.


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7. future prospects & competition


Snam is converting the pipeline system for hydrogen and CCS. The unfair advantage: the pipes are already in place.


  • Competition: Enagas (Spain) or Fluxys (Belgium). However, Snam is strategically better positioned due to its geographical location as a bridge from Africa (solar H2).


8. chart analysis & Bargain Hunter's List


We see a healthy consolidation in a sideways phase between EUR 6.30 and EUR 6.60 after the strong recovery of 2023.


  • Strong Buy: < EUR 5.50 (extreme margin of safety).
  • Bargain Entry: 5.90 - 6.10 EUR.
  • Current level: A fair entry for long-term dividend hunters (hold/buy).


9. profit margins & outlook


The operating margin of just under 50 % is phenomenal and secured by the regulated tariffs. Snam is the epitome of stability.


10. sustainability & risk


Snam is the "insurance" in the depot. Its future viability is secured by the conversion to hydrogen. The main risk is the high level of debt (net debt EUR 17.5 bn), but this is covered by the secured RAB (Regulated Asset Base).

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11. what does the CEO say? (The latest news)


There has recently been an important change at the helm at Snam: since May 2025 Agostino Scornajenchi has been the new CEO (he took over from Stefano Venier). And Scornajenchi doesn't hesitate for long.

Just a few days ago (mid-March 2026), he presented the new strategic plan 2026-2030 and presented the annual figures for 2025, which even exceeded his own forecasts.


  • His key message:
    "We are investing around 14 billion euros by 2030 to create an increasingly integrated, secure and competitive Italian and European energy system." * The focus: He talks about an "Energy Integration Phase". It is no longer just about gas, but about making the grid fit for hydrogen, biomethane and CO2 storage (CCS). The management exudes absolute confidence in the stability of future cash flows.


12. analyst consensus: How do the professionals view the share?


Snam is seen by Wall Street and European houses as a classic "widows and orphans" stock, but with new momentum from the hydrogen transition.


  • Average price target: The broad consensus (from around 19 analysts) is ~6.05 to 6.10 EURwhich implies a "Hold/Neutral" rating, as the stock has already performed well.


  • The bulls: However, there is a breath of fresh air. Goldman Sachs upgraded the share in February 2026 to "Buy" with a target price of EUR 6.90. They justify this precisely with the new 14 billion investment plan and see Snam as undervalued with a P/E discount of 20% compared to direct competitors (such as Terna). Deutsche Bank is even more optimistic and sees the target at EUR 7.20.


  • Conclusion of the professionals: A rock-solid dividend stock that is now gaining a slight growth fantasy thanks to the upturn in infrastructure investments in Europe.


My conclusion & future viability (the big picture)


Snam $SRG (-0.39%) is proof that even the old dinosaurs of the fossil era can survive if they have the infrastructure that everyone depends on. For a portfolio looking for a counterbalance to volatile growth or tech stocks, this stock is worth its weight in gold. The dividend is almost set in stone by the Italian state's regulated grid fees and the new CEO is aggressively but profitably driving the transformation to an H2 backbone. If you want to cover the eurozone and sleep soundly at the same time, Snam IT is an absolute no-brainer for the watchlist.


So we have successfully completed our little trip to Italy and added another building block to your AOK library. It's good to have some tangible, physical infrastructure in your portfolio among all the Nordic tech and financial stocks.


@Dividendenopi
@Tenbagger2024
@Get_Rich_or_Die_Tryin
@Multibagger
@schlimmschlimm
@Klein-Anleger
@TradingHase
@Simpson
@NichtRelevant
@Abyss
@SAUgut777 and everyone else too :)

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34 Comments

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Great analysis, interesting company. Gas currently still accounts for 75% of total sales. Of course, the turnaround may have begun. But for me, an investment would ultimately be a bet that they will come out of the curve steeply with the turnaround... and I'm sometimes really skeptical about such old dinosaurs.

As an Italian no-brainer, I have $ENEL in my portfolio 😉
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@GHF I still have it in my German custody account :;) Great share
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@Raketentoni absolut 👍🏻
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very interesting, but they are heavily indebted. But unfortunately doesn't fit my strategy. But thanks for mentioning it 👍😃
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Hm. Sounds very good again.

Whether the ramp-up of hydrogen in Africa will go so smoothly remains to be seen. But with the classic gas network, you still have the traditional rail. So you get a bit of both - the present and the future. I find that very appealing.
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sounds good. Especially in these troubled times. Reminds me a little of $KEP from South Korea, which I recently introduced. They are expanding throughout Asia and are professionals in the construction of nuclear power plants. But here there was direct criticism or fears from the community. That the state could regulate CEP and have a finger in the pie because it is also a monopoly. I think there will be similar fears with SNAM now. @Get_Rich_or_Die_Tryin @Dividendenopi . Thanks for the introduction and hope for a great discussion. Perhaps my friend Prompt might also like to take a look at $KEP
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@Tenbagger2024
Mr. Prompt is at the start and has had his coffee.

When someone with the name "tenbagger" asks about a state-owned Korean utility, we naturally have to play hardball. Let's give Korea Electric Power Corp (KEPCO, ticker: KEP) a quick and painless run through our established formulas.

1. core quality formula (quality growth)
Sales growth: Currently in the low single-digit range (approx. 0 to 5 % year-on-year). Electricity in South Korea simply does not grow like software.

Operating margin: Currently around 13 to 14% (after years of deep red due to the explosion in global gas and coal prices).

Score: 5 + 14 = 19 points.

Verdict: Right in no man's land (15-25 = solid to weak). Absolutely misses your target of > 25 points for quality growth.

2. cash flow quality formula (the cash machine?)
At first glance, the free cash flow does not look so bad after the recent recovery in energy prices, but: KEPCO is pushing a gigantic mountain of debt of over USD 80 billion in front of it.

The problem with CapEx is that if commodity prices rise again, operating cash flow immediately collapses again because they are not allowed to pass prices on to customers quickly enough. Not a real, reliable cash machine, but a cyclical plaything construct.

3. dividend filter (income core)
Yield: Currently between a meagre 0.3 % and a good 3.1 %, depending on the estimate, but definitely below your hard 3.5 % minimum requirement.

Sustainability: Disaster. When energy prices went through the roof in 2022/2023, the dividend was completely canceled. If a company has to kill the payout immediately in the event of headwinds and you don't think much of "pseudo dividends" through debt, the stock falls mercilessly through the filter.

4. the exclusion rule (the knock-out criterion)
The biggest problem here is not in the balance sheet, but in the parliament in Seoul. KEPCO is over 50 % state-owned. In practice, this means that if inflation rises in South Korea, the state forces KEPCO to sell electricity below the cost of production in order to relieve the burden on citizens. You are not buying a free company here, but the socio-political buffer cushion of the South Korean government. Margins are permanently at risk.

My flippant conclusion for Mr. tenbagger
KEPCO is not a "tenbagger", but rather a "depository excavator", which, in case of doubt, will eat into your returns. You are buying into a highly indebted state-owned company whose profits depend on the goodwill of Korean politicians. No reliable dividend, no strong quality growth and far too much political risk.

We'd rather stick to our Scandinavian or southern European infrastructure bets - at least we know that the regulatory system won't drive us straight into insolvency. We'll leave KEPCO on the Korean peninsula.
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@Raketentoni I say yes Mr. Prompt is the avatar of @Get_Rich_or_Die_Tryin. Interesting how he parrots his arguments. 🙈🤣
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@Tenbagger2024 He's just ruthlessly honest and has a good eye for the general conditions surrounding glossy, brochure-like figures.😌
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@Get_Rich_or_Die_Tryin Then you can retire soon 🙈🤣
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@Get_Rich_or_Die_Tryin What do you think about the new points in my analysis?
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@Raketentoni I think it's great! I've actually added current newsflow to my prompt.🤷🏼‍♂️ and a short, medium and long-term outlook.😅

It's amazing that you and I are surfing the same wave.😁 At least on one side of your barbell.😉
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@Get_Rich_or_Die_Tryin yup .😁as long as it's against @Tenbagger2024 anyway .😁.😁.😁.😁.😁
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@Raketentoni That has nothing to do with being against him.🫶🏻 We just have a different view of it, because the focus is different.🤷🏼‍♂️

Legitimate and perfectly fine.😌
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@Raketentoni Let's see who is better off at the end of the year
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@Raketentoni and there are also more than enough great things among the companies that @Tenbagger2024 presents here.

I am still grateful for $EXENS.🫶🏻
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View all 3 further answers
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Thank you for your reintroduction. I can't say anything about it at the moment, I can only look at it tomorrow. Today is my partner's 50th birthday. :-)
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@schlimmschlimm Hey Frank, what's more important? Good Invest or the birthday :) Little fun.... Have fun with it
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@Raketentoni definitely the good investment for the next birthday 😉

For today, the decision for @schlimmschlimm is probably clear.🫶🏻 Have fun, Frank, celebrate properly.🥳🍾
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@Raketentoni Yes...laugh... usually a difficult decision! But today I'll take the birthday. Because that and the present have used up the rest of my cash anyway...lol.
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@Get_Rich_or_Die_Tryin Yes, exactly! :-) Thank you my dear! :-)
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I have just banned all Italian dicidends from my portfolio.
depot. They will stay that way for now. Too bad, good analysis
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Exciting and an area - infrastructure - that is less on my radar. And then dividend stocks and Italy, plus hydrogen. Purely an emotional failure. 😁🤷‍♀️🤷‍♀️😉I always take a little longer, but your Mister has done a good job of researching what I was able to find out. As I'm in the post-game period of my life and career as an investor, I don't have time to swap in a stock like this and hope that the joker snaps. The dividend is too low for me and by the time the withholding tax is back from Italy, I'll already be in my second life and won't have access to it. So unfortunately not for me, a really solid stock for any dividend portfolio
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A safe haven. I like to skip the analyst ratings, as for me they are mostly just flags in the wind 😉
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@TradingHase well are ka intended purely as information on my part 😬
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And here I actually have to parade you, dear Toni, dear Mr. Prompt.

Of course I also have Italian infrastructure in my portfolio and have opted for the No. 1 state-regulated operator, which is and will remain indispensable in the future and is the real anchor without transformation risk.

I solemnly present to you: $TRN 😘

The battle is already over thanks to my prompt, I'm looking forward to your opinion on it.
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@Get_Rich_or_Die_Tryin

Clear your throat ... Hold my crown for a moment, Toni. 💅

"Battle already over?" - Don't make me laugh! Mr. "Get_Rich_or_Die_Tryin" is going pretty far out on a limb for someone who just throws a ticker drop into the room without putting the hard numbers on the table.

Mr. Prompt isn't going to let himself be treated so cheaply. So let's take off the kid gloves and run his oh-so-unbeatable Terna ($TRN) through our ice-cold AOK machinery to see if Snam really needs to pack it in.

The fact check: Terna vs. Snam (as of March 23, 2026)
I (very reluctantly) admit that Terna (TRN.MI) is an absolute monster of a company. But let's take a closer look:

1. the Core Quality Formula (The point for him)

Terna: Approx. 9 % sales growth + a downright outrageous operating margin (EBITDA) of around 67 %. That makes a score of 76, which is where the formula starts to glow. Chapeau to the colleague, Terna is a board in terms of quality.

Snam: A solid 58 points.

2. the fairy tale of the "lack of transformation risk"

He writes that Terna is the anchor without transformation risk. Sweet. Does he actually know that, according to its current plan, Terna MUST pump a whopping 17.7 billion euros (!!!) into grid expansion by 2028/2030? If they don't massively rebuild the electricity grid for renewable energies, the fuses will blow in Italy. Terna has gigantic CapEx obligations and the debt burden (now over EUR 11.7 billion) is increasing. Nothing to do with "just leaning back". Snam, on the other hand, already has the pipes in the ground - the conversion to H2-ready is almost cosmetic in comparison.

3. the dividend (Terna is crying here)

We're in the income core, darling!

Snam gives you a juicy 4.74 % yield on the current share price of EUR 6.37.

Terna (current price approx. EUR 9.40) is currently bobbing around at a forward yield of around 4.2%. When it comes to pure, cold cash flow to your account, Snam is neatly pulling ahead.

4. the valuation (the price tag)

The colleague apparently likes to buy expensive. For this "security", he is currently paying a P/E ratio of just under 18 for Terna. Snam, on the other hand, is available for a relaxed P/E ratio of 15. You don't have to buy overpriced handbags just because the logo is in fashion, do you?

My conclusion for the forum
Terna is a fantastic quality compounder, so "Get_Rich_or_Die_Tryin" has shown a good nose. A great company.

But won the battle? Please. Snam is the cheaper income anchor with the higher yield, while Terna is more expensive and has to invest a lot of money in network expansion. I would say it's an excellent draw at an extremely high level. If you want pure cash flow, take Snam. If you want the slightly more expensive monopoly quality, take Terna. (Or you can just take both and use the dividends to buy an espresso in Milan).

But the next time someone wants to rain on my parade in the forum, they'll have to get up earlier and bring their bills. 😘
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@Raketentoni I just love the way he takes on the challenge.💪🏻🤣

I'd just like to add: in terms of the chart, Terna also largely only knows the direction from bottom left to top right.😉 Things are a little different with Snam.

Debt is typically high for both, I won't let that argument pass.😝
And yes, I'm happy to pay a little more for a very good overall performance plus distribution.
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@Get_Rich_or_Die_Tryin @Raketentoni and: divi.growth is also significantly better at Terna.

There are probably subtle differences in our filters.👍🏻 For me, this is more important than the highest possible initial return.
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@Get_Rich_or_Die_Tryin Yes, but basically we're both looking for pretty much the same companies. Another banger coming this week ;)
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@Raketentoni Mega, I'm excited, as always.😁💪🏻

But Snam is definitely ready as a replacement (before) if it becomes apparent that Terna is jerky and Snam is better overall. I had it on my radar before and then it was really either or.😅
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