1D·

Bitcoin

The bull market in $BTC (-0.66%) has already been declared in some quarters. On YouTube and X, people who are waiting for October lows are already being made to look foolish. Two green weekly candles are enough to come across as completely confident of victory here. But that’s too much of a “gut feeling” for me.

When will Bitcoin really enter its bull market? Essentially, it’s the same indicator that signaled the start of the bear market. When BTC broke through the 50s in November 2025 and, at the same time, the weekly RSI also fell below its average, that confirmed the downtrend.

What does the indicator say right now?

BTC has at least managed to approach the 50 level (red line on the chart). However, a breakout above that level will only be confirmed once the RSI is sustainably above its average again (yellow line on the RSI). If both conditions are met, then Bitcoin would be back in a bull market.

Strategy

Solana

BTC Example 22/23 —that’s how it should look. Above the 50 level, RSI above average

Indicators that look like they do right now are just noise.

7 Comments

Stefan21@stefan_21

I'd say stubbornly waiting for a low in October is just as silly as thinking right now that the price is heading straight for 200k :D

I’m not a trader, but I’m always a fan of being prepared for every possible outcome. I’ve already added quite a bit to my position and I’m happy if we’re back in a bull market now—but I also still have a little capital left to buy more in case it drops again🤷‍♂️

•

Dirty30@Dirty30

@stefan_21 That's exactly how it is for me, too. I never understand why some people seem to have only an "all in—all out" strategy. As if there were only those two options 😁

•

dividend_dynamo_wtbrk@dividend_dynamo_wtbrk

I'm still missing all those posts here saying you should sell everything and go all-in on crypto 😂

•

Dirty30@Dirty30

@dividend_dynamo_wtbrk There's definitely still plenty of room for improvement 😁

•

jkb92@jkb92

The fact that so many are still sitting on the sidelines and waiting for an October low, I see as a positive sign for a sustained breakout. Because that means there’s still enough liquidity waiting to flow into the market.

•

Dirty30@Dirty30

@jkb92 I'm still taking a wait-and-see approach when it comes to the indicators. If you're already invested, you can just let things play out anyway 😎

•

Mike U.@MikeUpegui

It doesn't matter to me whether the price is high or low. I just do DCA every week.

•