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These are mostly stocks that have just hit bottom ($NU) or are in the process of doing so ($MSFT, $GRAB, $SNPS). So I’d hold onto them if you’ve been holding them so far. $3350 will rise as soon as $BTC rises, which shouldn’t take too much longer. If I had to choose, I’d most likely dump $UNH. I’d rather take a few chips off the table with $ASML and $CRWD —after their respective strong runs, I expect a correction, especially in semiconductors. Of course, this only applies if by “downsizing your portfolio” you didn’t mean reducing the number of positions.
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@jkb92 Oh, I just saw the headline—so it is about reducing the number of positions after all.
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@jkb92 Sell the winners, hold the losers—or what? 😬
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@jkb92 So my main goal is to reduce the number of stocks in my portfolio, and the stocks mentioned are the ones I'm considering for that. I'll then strategically increase my holdings in those positions.
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@Epi Well, my point was that if you've held onto the losers this long, I wouldn't sell them at rock bottom just as they're turning into winners again. Semiconductors will become losers again, too :). You can see from your latest Wikifolio that momentum in a sector eventually comes to an end :)
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@jkb92 Momentum can last longer than you think. I wouldn't bet against it.
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@Epi I'm not betting against it (in the sense of going short); I'm betting on rotation. Recent performance proves me right. I also held semiconductor stocks until recently, but everything has its time :)

I don’t expect to see any significant new ATHs in semiconductors for the time being. We can meet back here in a few weeks and see who was right :)
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@jkb92 How do you determine whether the performance from your rotation is systematic or random?

Serious question—I'm looking for an idea for a mean reversion strategy.
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@Epi where I look at the sectors for my individual stocks.
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@jkb92 And my main point was that $GRAB and $NU, for example, are currently in the process of bottoming out or have already done so. If you’ve held stocks since the high—or around that level—and they’ve hit bottom, that’s the absolute worst time to sell. That’s why, as far as CRV is concerned, I currently find these stocks more attractive than semiconductors. That was my main point.
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@jkb92 By looking at the sectors, you can gauge the relative performance of your individual stocks—but that’s all for now.

I don’t really see a bottom forming for these two stocks. A few days of gains don’t constitute a bottom.

And finally: a random purchase price plays no role in evaluating a stock.

🫤
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