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📊 AIRBUS - FY 2025 Earnings & 2026 Outlook (Feb 19, 2026)

$AIR (-6.21%)

🔢

2025 - Annual figures (FY 2025)


✈️ Sales:

- €73.4 billion (+6% YoY)

➡️ Growth despite supply chain challenges 📈


📈 EBIT (Adjusted):

- €7.1 bn (+33% YoY)

➡️ Strong increase in operating profit


🧾 Net result:

- €5.22 bn (+23% YoY)

- EPS: €6.61 (versus €5.36)


🛫 Q4 2025 profit & sales:

- Sales +5% to €25.98 bn.

- Adjusted EBIT +17% to €2.98 billion.

- Q4 EPS: €3.27 (+7% YoY)


📦 Order book:

- Order Intake: €123.3 bn.

- Order book: €619 bn (strong resilient demand cushion)


💰 Dividend proposal:

- €3.20 per share (+7% vs. previous year)


📉

2026 Guidance (Outlook)


🚀 Deliveries:

- ~870 commercial aircraft (record target)

➡️ slightly below most analyst estimates (~896)


💸 Adjusted EBIT:

- ~€7.5 billion planned


💵 Free cash flow (before customer financing):

- ~€4.5 billion expected


📍 Assumptions:

- No additional global disruptions

- Supply chain, air traffic & market conditions stable


⚙️

Drivers & challenges



Positive:


- Robust demand & full order book

- Profit and cash flow growth

- Record delivery target for 2026 👊


⚠️

Negative:


- Engine delivery bottlenecks (Pratt & Whitney)

→ Production and delivery targets are adjusted

→ A320 monthly rate limited to 70-75 aircraft (until 2027)


- 2026 delivery target below analysts' expectations

→ Share price reacts negatively 📉


📊

Market reaction (short-term)


- Share fell significantly on Feb. 19 - in some cases > 5 % in DAX trading

- Reason: subdued supply and production outlook despite strong figures


📌 Conclusion (Shareable)


Airbus delivers strong 2025 figures: Revenue + profit up significantly, cash flow robust.

EPS & EBIT solid, order book huge.

2026 outlook:

➡ Record deliveries (~870), but below analyst expectations.

➡ EBIT and cash flow targets solid, but engine bottlenecks depress expectations → Share falls

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3 Comments

The figures are great, but production simply cannot be expanded fast enough, especially the P&W engines are a big problem. I think we will see a similar picture of increasingly full order books over the next 2-3 years, but also missed delivery targets.
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@value_virtuoso_edmbf true.
But it's a great company.
2
@ShindyDeanMartin Absolutely, I bought more today. I am confident that Airbus will manage the step towards replacing the A320 family in the 2030s.
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