3Wk·

🚀 Stellantis: The comeback of the year or a value trap? (Deep Dive 05/2026)

While everyone is eyeing Big Tech, a story is building up at $STLAM (-3.06%) a story is building up that value investors cannot ignore. After the horror year of 2025, the Q1 figures for 2026 point to a massive turning point.

Why I am bullish now:


1. focus on the cash cows (The "Big Four") 🐎


Stellantis has put an end to the proliferation of brands. The Group is radically focusing on Fiat, Peugeot, Jeep and RAM. These brands bring volume and margin. Fiat in particular is an absolute gold mine thanks to its dominance in South America!


2. the realism check: hydrogen exit & battery focus 🔋


Stellantis cleans up:


- Consistent exit from hydrogen: The Symbio exit (April '26) shows: If you want to burn money, do it elsewhere. $STLAM (-3.06%) Saves billions in future capex.


- Smart battery deals: Partnership with CATL $3750 (+1.69%) (LFP cells) and Tiamat (sodium-ion). Affordable batteries for the masses instead of expensive high-end niche products.


3. the "Leapmotor" joker vs. EU competition 🇹🇳


Stellantis builds the technology of $9863

(Leapmotor) in Europe. This allows them to circumvent EU tariffs and gives them a weapon against BYD $1211 (+0.7%) which $VOW (-1.66%) (VW) or $BMW (-1.6%) (trapped in rigid cost structures) completely lack.


4th valuation: Almost a gift? 💎


With an estimated P/E ratio of approx. 4 the share is extremely cheap. Yes, the dividend has been canceled for 2026 - but this is the perfect entry point before the dividend hunters return in 2027/28.


Conclusion:


Stellantis acts like a software company: What is not profitable is cut. While the competition remains in "hope mode", Stellantis is building $STLAM (-3.06%) an efficiency fortress. For me, this is a classic contrarian bet with enormous upside potential.

What do you think? Value pearl or old-economy grave? 👇


Edit: Ticker link added. Sry my first post

#Investing
#Stellantis
#Stocks
#ValueInvesting
#Automotive
#DepotUpdate
#Fiat
#RAM
#Contrarian
#Turnaround

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14 Comments

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Peugeot, Citroen, Opel. Fiat, Chrysler etc.
Have you, your neighbor seen one of these or the rental car on vacation - No!
Then why should the shares go up?
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Hi @Smudeo, exciting perception!

But did you know that you probably see Stellantis technology at every traffic light? 🚩
Opel is an integral part of the Group! When you see a Corsa or Astra, it's pure Stellantis. But take a look at the 'big picture' of global sales figures for 2025 - that's when you realize what league $STLAM is playing in:

Toyota: approx. 10.5 million (No. 1)

VW Group: approx. 9.2 million (No. 2)

Stellantis: approx. 5.4 - 6.1 million (No. 3 worldwide)

BYD: approx. 4.6 million (the new giant from China, but still behind Stellantis in terms of volume)

Ford: approx. 4.4 million (Stellantis sells over 1 million more cars than Ford!)

BMW Group: approx. 2.5 million (strong premium, but much smaller volume)

Tesla: approx. 1.6 million (technology leader, but far behind in terms of volume!)

The point is:
Stellantis sells almost four times as many cars as Tesla and is even ahead of the high-flyer BYD.
While Tesla focuses on high-tech, Stellantis dominates the bread-and-butter markets:

South America (Fiat is No. 1 there),
USA (Jeep & RAM) and
Europe (Peugeot & Opel).

The share is so exciting because it combines this gigantic mass with one of the highest profit margins in the industry.
Sometimes it's worth putting on your stock market glasses and looking over the garden fence at home! 😉📈"
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@Smudeo i see them every day, more then byd, tesla, ford. lol (never seen chrysler tho)
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@Milan_S where are u living?
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@Smudeo belgium (between france and germany so ig it makes sense)
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@Milan_S yeah maybe there they are. But USA and Germany no Cars from them
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@Smudeo tbh citroen, peugeot, opel and fiat are not really focused on america and germany has its own factory's with german cars so based on that alone it's not surprising u dont see them as much. In germany: Brand Total Registered Cars Market Share Percentage
Opel ~3,809,000 7.7%
Fiat ~1,298,000 2.6%
Peugeot ~950,000 1.9%
Citroën ~710,000 1.4% in france is 30% of all cars, italy 35% and spain 25% and yes they are not necesarely new cars (thats why opel is so high on germany) if you look at bmw its 7% germany and for spain, italy and france only 3% so ehhh its country dependent
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@Milan_S yes and in the USA 8% market share overall but if you only look at the shares where they compete it looks different again

Category market share (segment) status 2026
Full-size trucks ~14.5 % Strongly increasing due to V8 return
Off-road SUVs ~25.0 % Absolute market leadership (Wrangler)
Large family SUVs ~10.0 %
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@HeadoN is that from orders from this year alone or total market share overal?
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@Milan_S These are the registration figures for 2026

The US market shrank by 6% while Stellantis was able to increase its sales by 4%. They are currently the fastest growing car manufacturer in the US market, also thanks to the RAM 1500 with V8 HEMI (Q1 +27%)

They also have the highest profit margins between 12k and 20k USD
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I thought that my entry in $STLAM against the market trend would be right supporting a trend of more than a decade, but actually it has been wrong and although the value has some strength I see that it was a wrong entry. Besides, it was mainly supported by the dividend, but what was the first thing they did in view of the crisis situation? Cut the dividend, so double the pain!
Anyway, I will keep the position, but I really see it as a mistake...
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Did you make a one-off purchase or are you using a savings plan to reduce the buy-in? Thanks to the change in management, I see the turnaround coming sooner, as the company is finally listening to its customers again and no longer just saving at any cost. The current dividend is painful, but the focus on the future is more important.
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@HeadoN For the moment it was a one-off, but I'll still have a thought on it...
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