Hello Bear market next ATH 20282029

PresidentDonkey · 2025-11-15T12:30:56.097546Z

So folks, that's it for this $BTC Halving. We will now move downwards in waves for the time being. New USD ATH then 2028/2029. For 99.99% of altcoins it will be even bloodier 👍

Stefan21@stefan_21

8Mon

I don't think that's it yet.

But if it is, I'm already looking forward to the bear market again😁

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PresidentDonkey@DonkeyInvestor

8Mon

@stefan_21 What was our bet? 150k or 50k?

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Stefan21@stefan_21

8Mon

@DonkeyInvestor jap

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PresidentDonkey@DonkeyInvestor

8Mon

@stefan_21 well then everything is still in it 👍

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Mo@BigMo

8Mon

@stefan_21 Arthur Hayes is bullish for 2026, and has never minced his words when he's been bearish 😬

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PresidentDonkey@DonkeyInvestor

8Mon

@BigMo who the fuck is Arthur Hayes?

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Stefan21@stefan_21

8Mon

@BigMo Is that good or bad now?

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Mo@BigMo

8Mon

@DonkeyInvestor The founder of Bitmex. Absolute legend the man 😎

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Mo@BigMo

8Mon

https://youtu.be/fBXNsww78PM?si=x6qP5tMl4u-wlyH8

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PresidentDonkey@DonkeyInvestor

8Mon

@BigMo I have no idea what Bitmex is either 😅. Apart from @DividendenWaschbaer there are no legends

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Tenbagger2024@Tenbagger2024

8Mon

@stefan_21
But Bitcoin has been in a correction for almost a year. Why should there still be a bear market now?
I would rather see a bear market directly after a rally.
???

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View all 5 further answers

Hendan@Hendan

8Mon

I also think we've started the bear market cycle of BTC. This means it's time to accumulate more eheh

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AI sagt@GoDividend

8Mon

So perfect to start with small savings plans could be the conclusion, right?

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PresidentDonkey@DonkeyInvestor

8Mon

@GoDividend doesn't pay you a dividend. But if you can live with that: GoBitcoin 🚀

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AI sagt@GoDividend

8Mon

@DonkeyInvestor so a start would be? Bison -> collect there first? -> later on a wallet (or leave it there?)

I think I need to read up slowly

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PresidentDonkey@DonkeyInvestor

8Mon

@GoDividend and don't forget my ref link in my profile 😁. But yes, just like that.

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SGP@Koenigmidas

8Mon

Eselino do you really think it's already done?

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PresidentDonkey@DonkeyInvestor

8Mon

@Koenigmidas Yes, my little king

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SarkasmusSchlumpf@SchlaubiSchlumpf

8Mon

Sold 60% 😅 basically got my entire stake out. 40% at 90tsd; then 20% at 97tsd.
Good luck with that. But for me it was less a case of deliberate timing and more a desire to make Bitcoin more of a gimmick again. I don't believe enough in the demise of the global markets and the great age of cryptos to put a relevant proportion of my portfolio into them. How much are you still investing in $BTC? If I remember correctly, you wanted to pull the sails out of the crypto storm some time ago and move into calmer MSCI world waters?

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SarkasmusSchlumpf@SchlaubiSchlumpf

8Mon

@SchlaubiSchlumpf ah, I should have just looked at your profile. Are you going to stick with the exposure?

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Chris@Multibagger

8Mon

That means a short on the miners and treasury companies would be promising, right?

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SarkasmusSchlumpf@SchlaubiSchlumpf

8Mon

@Multibagger if you are convinced that the donkey is right. I'm still pretty neutral on that. The technology is fascinating, but it also has its shortcomings. (Scaling without additional technologies like Lightning, which are too cumbersome/complicated for the average citizen). I don't try my hand at shorts (anymore). I think the chance of losing is too great. You have to recoup the costs of the products first. And even if your own forecasts are correct, they may be too late and you end up out of the money. Too hot for me.

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PresidentDonkey@DonkeyInvestor

8Mon

@SchlaubiSchlumpf I'm not selling anything. Had once considered selling at least a small part (maybe around 0.1 BTC). But hey, yolo 😁. I can still hold them until 2029. But I haven't bought any more for years. If then by shifting from other cryptos.

I only buy the ETFs in my portfolio.

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PresidentDonkey@DonkeyInvestor

8Mon

@Multibagger I have no idea about market timing. But if you trust a donkey on the internet, then short with leverage. But be careful: Bitcoin falls in waves and not like a stone.

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Chris@Multibagger

8Mon

@DonkeyInvestor I don't want to short Bitcoin, but the miners or treasurys like $MSTR, or the exchanges like $COIN

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PresidentDonkey@DonkeyInvestor

8Mon

@Multibagger Where do you see the difference?

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Chris@Multibagger

8Mon

@DonkeyInvestor At least Coinbase is not only dependent on the BTC price, but also suffers from declining trading transaction volumes. $MSTR certainly still has enough room to go below the BTC price, but others such as $BITF, $3350 (although what else do you want to short?) or other Treasurys that rely more on Etherum, I see strongly endangered. $BMNR or also $SBET

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Tenbagger2024@Tenbagger2024

8Mon

Will it be bloody @Crash-Propheteus?

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D.S.@Crash-Propheteus

8Mon

@Tenbagger2024 Oh yes, if I had $BTC in my portfolio, I would sell everything before it was completely liquidated.......🔮

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PresidentDonkey@DonkeyInvestor

8Mon

@Crash-Propheteus I would generally do this for every asset 👍

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D.S.@Crash-Propheteus

8Mon

@DonkeyInvestor Yes, that would be the very best solution. The entire stock market will probably collapse next week......So buckle up, hold on tight, save your money 💰(no investment advice)

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PresidentDonkey@DonkeyInvestor

8Mon

@Crash-Propheteus have heard that all real estate will also become worthless

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D.S.@Crash-Propheteus

8Mon

@DonkeyInvestor Nah, that's a fake, real estate will double in value in the next 2 weeks because interest rates will go up 15%. So I've heard 🔮

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PresidentDonkey@DonkeyInvestor

8Mon

@Crash-Propheteus crass. Well, I'll buy a new barn now.

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Simon_n@Simon_n

8Mon

Why do you assume that it is already through? I still have a small glimmer of hope 🥲

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PresidentDonkey@DonkeyInvestor

8Mon

@Simon_n Halving 1.5 years ago. Already had two tips.

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Simon_n@Simon_n

8Mon

@DonkeyInvestor I've already thought about that. But I'm still waiting to see how the next few weeks turn out...

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PresidentDonkey@DonkeyInvestor

8Mon

@Simon_n I'll wait until the Bitcoin is at 500-1,000k 👍

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Simon_n@Simon_n

8Mon

@DonkeyInvestor Top 👍

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Epi@Epi

8Mon

According to the analysis of your ingenious AI, where does the bear market go? 32k?

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PresidentDonkey@DonkeyInvestor

8Mon

@Epi because there is generally less volatility in the market this time and we have a lot of institutional investors, I don't think we will fall that far. I'm just going to say 50k.

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Epi@Epi

8Mon

@DonkeyInvestor You could be right. Although the institutional investors are now just as fickle as the private investors.
I'm sticking with 32k, even though I don't really care where the bottom is. When things start to go up again, I'll be back in.
Until then, I'll eat popcorn... 🍿

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PresidentDonkey@DonkeyInvestor

8Mon

@Epi you'll get pretty fat

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Epi@Epi

8Mon

@DonkeyInvestor I learn from the best! 🫄

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PresidentDonkey@DonkeyInvestor

8Mon

@Epi Does a small epi come out after 9 months?

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Gernhard@Gernhard_Reinholzen

8Mon

I am still missing some trigger event to catalyze the start of the bear market. There is currently no FUD at all regarding BTC. The red candles are not big enough yet.

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PresidentDonkey@DonkeyInvestor

8Mon

@Gernhard_Reinholzen I wouldn't mind if things went up again

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Lifechips@Lifechips

8Mon

if we head to 50k, then we're in real trouble. Sentiment will be in the bin for those new to the space, via ETFs etc. S&P and GOLD will have outperformed BTC, so I can see many of these new investors, many of which has a cost base above 95k USD, never coming back. I'm a HODLer and want to stay positive, but 50k would be an utter disaster and no amount of hopium should convince anyone that its anything else.

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PresidentDonkey@DonkeyInvestor

8Mon

@Lifechips as it was ~4, ~8 and ~12 years ago

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KoenigsRasse@KoenigsRasse

8Mon

To be honest, I don't think so, it has simply shifted to the outside, maybe until mid-26 and I really have to say about the shares, strangely enough there was no summer slump this year, maybe it will be made up for 🧐

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PresidentDonkey@DonkeyInvestor

8Mon

@KoenigsRasse wouldn't mind fooling me

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Hannesjo@Hannesjo

1H

I thought everyone was gambling on prediction markets now instead of with Bitcoin 🧐

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Show answer

Hello 👋 Bear market, next ATH 📈 2028/2029 ✴️