iShares Dow Jones US ETF Forum

𝗗𝗿𝗼𝗵𝘁 𝗻𝘂𝗻 𝗲𝗶𝗻𝗲 𝗴𝗿öß𝗲𝗿𝗲 𝗞𝗼𝗿𝗿𝗲𝗸𝘁𝘂𝗿 📉❓❓❓

𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲 / 𝗔𝘂𝘀𝗯𝗹𝗶𝗰𝗸 𝘇𝘂𝗿 𝗟𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗮𝗻 𝗱𝗲𝗻 𝗙𝗶𝗻𝗮𝗻𝘇𝗺ä𝗿𝗸𝘁𝗲𝗻:

With today's partly very 𝗱𝗲𝘂𝘁𝗹𝗶𝗰𝗵𝗲𝗻 𝗔𝗯𝘀𝗰𝗵𝗹ä𝗴𝗲𝗻 on the markets in 𝗘𝘂𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗮 and the 𝗨𝗦𝗔, the starting signal for a 𝗞𝗼𝗿𝗿𝗲𝗸𝘁𝘂𝗿 𝘃𝗼𝗻 𝗴𝗿öß𝗲𝗿𝗲𝗺 𝗨𝗺𝗳𝗮𝗻𝗴 may now have been given.

We would now like to briefly share 𝗱𝗶𝗲 𝗳ü𝗿 𝘂𝗻𝘀 𝘄𝗶𝗰𝗵𝘁𝗶𝗴𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗻 𝗣𝘂𝗻𝗸𝘁𝗲 with you:

𝗪𝗮𝗿𝘂𝗺 𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝘀𝗶𝗰𝗵 𝗱𝗶𝗲 𝗦𝘁𝗶𝗺𝗺𝘂𝗻𝗴 𝘇𝘂𝗹𝗲𝘁𝘇𝘁 𝘀𝗽ü𝗿𝗯𝗮𝗿 𝗲𝗶𝗻𝗴𝗲𝘁𝗿ü𝗯𝘁?

Firstly, the 𝘀𝘁ä𝗿𝗸𝗲𝗿 𝘄𝗲𝗿𝗱𝗲𝗻𝗱𝗲 𝗜𝗻𝗳𝗲𝗸𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀𝗴𝗲𝘀𝗰𝗵𝗲𝗵𝗲𝗻 that has already been in place in Asia for several weeks should be mentioned here. Triggered by the 𝗗𝗲𝗹𝘁𝗮-𝗩𝗮𝗿𝗶𝗮𝗻𝘁𝗲 now already dominating almost everywhere, case numbers are now also rising again significantly in Europe and the USA.

On the other hand, with the latest data on 𝗜𝗻𝗳𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗶𝗻 𝗘𝘂𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗮 𝘂𝗻𝗱 𝗱𝗲𝗻 𝗨𝗦𝗔 there is now also concern, that there could be a change in thinking with regard to the ultra-loose monetary and interest rate policy of the central banks. Investors always react nervously to statements by central bankers in this regard, also with regard to the outlook for the 𝗭𝗶𝗻𝘀𝗲𝗿𝗵ö𝗵𝘂𝗻𝗴𝗲𝗻 planned for next year.

𝗪𝗮𝘀 𝗸ö𝗻𝗻𝘁𝗲 𝗲𝗶𝗻𝗲𝗻 𝗽𝗼𝘀𝗶𝘁𝗶𝘃𝗲𝗻 𝗘𝗶𝗻𝗳𝗹𝘂𝘀𝘀 𝗮𝘂𝗳 𝗱𝗶𝗲 𝗠ä𝗿𝗸𝘁𝗲 𝗵𝗮𝗯𝗲𝗻?

Here, the 𝗕𝗲𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗵𝘁𝘀𝘀𝗮𝗶𝘀𝗼𝗻 already started in the 𝗨𝗦𝗔 the previous week with the fresh 𝗤𝟮 𝗭𝗮𝗵𝗹𝗲𝗻 𝗱𝗲𝗿 𝗨𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗿𝗻𝗲𝗵𝗺𝗲𝗻 should be mentioned in particular. In addition to the result itself, it will depend here in particular on which 𝗔𝘂𝘀𝗯𝗹𝗶𝗰𝗸 the companies will announce for the full year. It will probably depend on whether the 𝗘𝗿𝘄𝗮𝗿𝘁𝘂𝗻𝗴𝗲𝗻 𝗱𝗲𝗿 𝗔𝗻𝗹𝗲𝗴𝗲𝗿 can be exceeded here by the majority or "only" fulfilled.

𝗪𝗼𝗱𝘂𝗿𝗰𝗵 𝗹ä𝘀𝘀𝘁 𝘀𝗶𝗰𝗵 𝗲𝗶𝗻𝗲 𝗺ö𝗴𝗹𝗶𝗰𝗵𝗲𝗿𝘄𝗲𝗶𝘀𝗲 𝗯𝗲𝘃𝗼𝗿𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗵𝗲𝗻𝗱𝗲 𝗴𝗿öß𝗲𝗿𝗲 𝗞𝗼𝗿𝗿𝗲𝗸𝘁𝘂𝗿 𝗮𝗯𝗹𝗲𝗶𝘁𝗲𝗻?

First, by the very strong 𝗔𝗻𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗲𝗴 𝗱𝗲𝗿 𝗩𝗼𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗹𝗶𝘁ä𝘁 today in both the VDAX-New and the VIX in the US. On the other hand also by the 𝗜𝗻𝗱𝗶𝗸𝗮𝘁𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗻 𝘄𝗶𝗲 𝗱𝗲𝗿 𝗥𝗦𝗜 𝗼𝗱𝗲𝗿 𝗮𝘂𝗰𝗵 𝗥𝗦𝗟 the 𝘇𝘂𝗹𝗲𝘁𝘇𝘁 𝗻𝗲𝘂 𝗺𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗶𝗲𝗿𝘁𝗲𝗻 𝗛𝗼𝗰𝗵𝘀 in the DAX and Dow Jones 𝗻𝗶𝗰𝗵𝘁 𝗺𝗲𝗵𝗿 𝗯𝗲𝘀𝘁ä𝘁𝗶𝗴𝗲𝗻 𝗸𝗼𝗻𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗻. With today's 𝗥ü𝗰𝗸𝗳𝗮𝗹𝗹 𝘂𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝗵𝗼𝗵𝗲𝗺 𝗨𝗺𝘀𝗮𝘁𝘇, moreover, a 𝗧𝗼𝗽-𝗕𝗶𝗹𝗱𝘂𝗻𝗴 now threatens to complete itself in several indices at once.

As an example of this, we have attached a 𝘼𝙣𝙖𝙡𝙮𝙨𝙚 𝙙𝙚𝙨 𝘿𝙤𝙬 𝙅𝙤𝙣𝙚𝙨 𝙄𝙣𝙙𝙪𝙨𝙩𝙧𝙞𝙖𝙡 𝘼𝙫𝙚𝙧𝙖𝙜𝙚 (see photo).

𝙁𝙤𝙡𝙜𝙚𝙣𝙙𝙚 𝙬𝙞𝙘𝙝𝙩𝙞𝙜𝙚 𝙁𝙧𝙖𝙜𝙚𝙣 𝙨𝙤𝙡𝙡𝙩𝙚 𝙢𝙖𝙣 𝙣𝙪𝙣 𝙛ü𝙧 𝙨𝙞𝙘𝙝 𝙗𝙚𝙖𝙣𝙩𝙬𝙤𝙧𝙩𝙚𝙣, 𝙪𝙢 𝙗𝙚𝙨𝙨𝙚𝙧 𝙫𝙤𝙧𝙗𝙚𝙧𝙚𝙞𝙩𝙚𝙩 𝙯𝙪 𝙨𝙚𝙞𝙣:

-> Are there perhaps positions where I should now realize the gains of the last few months❔.

-> Are there any opportunities to invest countercyclically in stocks where I have been waiting for a long time for an opportunity to enter?

-> Are there already existing positions where I would like to take advantage of a possible correction to buy up❔?

-> And is the sidelines perhaps the better place for me at the moment, before I let my emotion guide my decisions too much❔

As always, we wish you well in your decisions and 𝗳𝗿𝗲𝘂𝗲𝗻 𝘂𝗻𝘀 𝗮𝘂𝗳 𝗘𝘂𝗿𝗲 𝗠𝗲𝗶𝗻𝘂𝗻𝗴 on the current topic.

We wish you a relaxing end of the day! Magnus & Sören 🌈📈