Why do you think there will be a crash in the next 2-3 years?
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@MrSchnitzel I feel a shaking of the Force! There is no single reason, I think it's more a combination of different things: Trump, China Taiwan, Russia Nato, American national debt, interest rate cuts too fast, political polarization, AI bubble, real estate and banking risks due to overpricing and too big to fail etc.
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@TheRealDarthVader What does a "major" crash mean to you? Like the 2008 financial crisis? Here I would simply let my savings plans run and possibly sell individual shares! Nothing more.
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•@TheRealDarthVader But everything could also go the other way, to the good side of power.
Trump is always ready for a surprise and nobody knows how the stock market will react.
Trump is always ready for a surprise and nobody knows how the stock market will react.
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@MrSchnitzel Yes, of course, that's why the savings plan is running, but there are a lot of uncertainties for me at the moment that can quickly have a major impact.
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•@BavarianLion Let's put it this way not like Corona and customs crash towards flash crash and V recovery but a few months or 1-2 years bear market. Drawdown is always difficult to estimate, but it could be at least 30% down for the indices.
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@TheRealDarthVader Anyway! As you say "can".
If everything goes well after all, you'll miss out on the returns up to that point, i.e. the journey. Letting a savings plan run is always great.
Just wouldn't build up too much cash.
Have a nice evening Mr. Vader. :)
If everything goes well after all, you'll miss out on the returns up to that point, i.e. the journey. Letting a savings plan run is always great.
Just wouldn't build up too much cash.
Have a nice evening Mr. Vader. :)
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•@MrSchnitzel It's actually been quite a long time since we had a real 1-2 year bear market. Well, I'm heavily invested in US tech, which would probably hit me hard, but I don't think AI is a bubble like dotcom, because the companies are really making massive money with AI 😎
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•@BavarianLion I see it the same way.
I'm also heavily invested in US tech stocks.
These are the best companies that make the most profit and will also have a lot of potential in the future in my opinion.
(Winners usually stay winners, they got there for a reason, good management etc.)
I'm also heavily invested in US tech stocks.
These are the best companies that make the most profit and will also have a lot of potential in the future in my opinion.
(Winners usually stay winners, they got there for a reason, good management etc.)
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•@MrSchnitzel Personally, I think the comparison with the dotcom bubble is flawed because many companies were simply hot air! If you look at the driving forces now (Meta, Alphabet, Amazon...), it's a completely different story!
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•@MrSchnitzel Thanks to you too. I currently have a lot of cash because of Bitcoin and profit-taking as soon as that is restructured, hopefully things will look even better💪but I'm just going in with a higher savings plan lump sum statistically better but I just have a feeling!
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