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Dollar General Q3'25 Earnings Snapshot

$DG (-4,51%)


๐Ÿ”น Revenue: $10.65B (Est. $10.64B) ๐ŸŸข; +4.6% YoY

๐Ÿ”น EPS: $1.28 (Est. $0.94) ๐ŸŸข; +43.8% YoY

๐Ÿ”น Same-store sales: +2.5% (traffic +2.5%, ticket flat)

๐Ÿ”น Operating profit: $425.9M; +31.5% YoY

๐Ÿ”น Net income: $282.7M; +43.8% YoY


FY25 Guide:

๐Ÿ”น EPS: $6.30โ€“$6.50 (Est. $6.13) ๐ŸŸข

๐Ÿ”น Net sales growth: ~4.7%โ€“4.9% YoY (raised from 4.3%โ€“4.8%)

๐Ÿ”น Same-store sales growth: ~2.5%โ€“2.7% YoY (raised from 2.1%โ€“2.6%)

๐Ÿ”น Tax rate assumption: ~23.5%

๐Ÿ”น Capex: toward low end of $1.3Bโ€“$1.4B

๐Ÿ”น No share repurchases assumed


FY26 Real Estate Plan:

๐Ÿ”น ~4,730 projects: ~450 new US stores, ~10 Mexico, ~2,000 Renovate, ~2,250 Elevate, ~20 relocations


Profitability & Ops:

๐Ÿ”น Gross margin: 29.9% vs 28.8% (+107 bps; better markups, lower shrink)

๐Ÿ”น SG&A: 25.9% of sales vs 25.7% (+25 bps; higher incentive comp, repairs, utilities)

๐Ÿ”น Interest expense: $55.9M; -17.6% YoY

๐Ÿ”น YTD operating cash flow: $2.8B; +28.4% YoY

๐Ÿ”น Inventory: $6.7B; -8.2% per store YoY


Capital Return:

๐Ÿ”น Quarterly dividend: $0.59 per share

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