4D·

📰 BYD under pressure: from world leader to crisis? 🚗💥

📉 Production on the back burner


  • $1211 (-0,57%) BYD has significantly reduced production according to a Reuters report
  • Night shifts canceled in at least four plants
  • Production reduced by around 1/3
  • Plant expansions & new lines stopped for the time being
  • Reasons:
  • ❗ Missed sales targets
  • 💰 Cost savings

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📊 Growth targets at risk


  • 2024: 4.27 million vehicles sold
  • 2025 target: 5.5 million vehicles
  • Reality according to CAAM data:
  • April: +13% production
  • May: only +0.2% (lowest level since Feb. 2024)
  • ⬇️ Average production in April & May: -29% compared to Q4 2024

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💸 Price war escalates


  • BYD cuts prices to up to USD 7,800
  • Consequence: Margins crumble, dealers at the limit
  • Inventory at BYD: 3.21 months
  • ➤ Highest value of all brands
  • ⬅️ Industry average: 1.38 months
  • Dealer in Shandong closes over 20 stores
  • Dealer association warns of market saturation

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🌍 Export as a lifeline?


  • 2025 to date: 1.76 million sales, of which ~20% exports
  • Export offensive to compensate for domestic weakness
  • Questionable whether this will be enough

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📦 Conclusion for investors


  • Short term: 🚨 Problems with sales & margins
  • Long-term: ⚙️ Economies of scale & strong supply chain as a plus
  • Recommendation of many analysts: Investors stay on board


Source:

https://www.deraktionaer.de/artikel/aktien/byd-produktion-massiv-gedrosselt-20382226.html

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14 Comentários

BYD lives only from subsidies
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So far you haven't seen anything in the figures, let's see what the margin looks like in the next figures. I would say that since they have already triggered a price war in China and deliberately sacrificed margin, there is a strategy behind it. On the one hand, of course, to empty stocks and on the other hand to put pressure on competitors who have smaller margins. In the long term, the European market with the planned plant in Hungary will be more interesting.
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Should we buy more now looking for the long term?
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