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Steep thesis but imho unfounded. Basically, it's about America First and continued global dominance. However, the big competitor is China. And in the long term, they will be self-sufficient and technically on a par with the US economy. In some cases, they are even further ahead. In the end, the question is who will win the race. Russia likes to see itself as a great power, but it doesn't play a role economically. India could become the next global player in the game or is on the way to becoming one. A disunited, weak Europe helps everyone else to achieve their goals.
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@market_whizkid_2675 I would actually agree with you on almost all points. I don't understand where you specifically contradict my thesis. The conflict with China is certainly pre-programmed because China is pursuing a similar policy and because they are the only competitor in the world that also wants to (and possibly can) be a leader in future technologies. The question is how the conflict should and will be fought out.
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I understand your first sentence a bit in the direction that peace serves economic dominance and is therefore the goal.
I believe that it is solely about dominance. There is pragmatic action, but peace efforts are only a pretext and even that only as long as it brings a benefit.
I believe that it is solely about dominance. There is pragmatic action, but peace efforts are only a pretext and even that only as long as it brings a benefit.
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@market_whizkid_2675 No, no, I realize that it will always be a means to an end. It's more about the fact that war is no longer the end in itself.
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The conflict with China is already inevitable because of Taiwan and Venezuela. Venezuela owes China quite a bit of money and the usa has been asked to release the oil if this does not happen Taiwan will be annexed, the rest is anyone's guess.
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@Leogharie I predict - and I am referring to Trump's former national security advisor John Bolton - that Trump will simply "sell" Taiwan to China. Ultimately, China has been conspicuously quiet in recent months and has reacted with little outrage to the kidnapping of Maduro.
It is possible that the biggest "deal" in world history will soon be struck. China allows the USA to assert its interests in South America (or elsewhere) and in return the USA waives security guarantees for Taiwan. The result will be official permission for China to make its One China Policy a reality.
It is possible that the biggest "deal" in world history will soon be struck. China allows the USA to assert its interests in South America (or elsewhere) and in return the USA waives security guarantees for Taiwan. The result will be official permission for China to make its One China Policy a reality.
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That's exactly what I fear.
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@Soprano You are grossly overestimating Trump. The man is increasingly demented, which is obvious to Americans and parts of his administration.
And you overestimate the influence of deliberate grand strategies on people's concrete actions. Proof? :
Approx. 2000 years of reasonably solidly documented human history on all continents.
People are not rational. They are emotional. It runs in our genes.
And you overestimate the influence of deliberate grand strategies on people's concrete actions. Proof? :
Approx. 2000 years of reasonably solidly documented human history on all continents.
People are not rational. They are emotional. It runs in our genes.
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@Gomerdoc That doesn't matter at all. If Trump is demented to you, then just replace Trump with "the shadow government behind Trump"
That doesn't change the fact that the administration is pursuing very specific and focused goals, which I wanted to explain.
By the way, if you think that way, you're on the losing side of history. All things in history are the result of planning, nothing happened by accident and anyone who believes that just doesn't know the background. Nero wasn't just "crazy" and set fire to Rome.
That doesn't change the fact that the administration is pursuing very specific and focused goals, which I wanted to explain.
By the way, if you think that way, you're on the losing side of history. All things in history are the result of planning, nothing happened by accident and anyone who believes that just doesn't know the background. Nero wasn't just "crazy" and set fire to Rome.
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@Soprano that there are other people behind Trump: I didn't want to deny that at all: he is merely the loudspeaker in the front row who has been chosen and who, because of his increasing mental and physical insufficiency, is less and less controllable and then has to be "caught" again (by Rubio and others).
The string-pullers in the background have often believed that they could keep such people in check and control them in the long term: that didn't work in Germany in the 1930s either, and it no longer does in the USA: because exercising control in this way would damage the great Zampano at the top. You can't afford to make a fool of yourself.
And it may be that there are plans elsewhere too.
But if there is and has been a grand master plan behind almost all decisions in human history, then the plan has always been crap 💩.
In cases of doubt, the people behind the plan don't even realize what strongly influences and controls their decisions. At least that's what psychology teaches us.
The string-pullers in the background have often believed that they could keep such people in check and control them in the long term: that didn't work in Germany in the 1930s either, and it no longer does in the USA: because exercising control in this way would damage the great Zampano at the top. You can't afford to make a fool of yourself.
And it may be that there are plans elsewhere too.
But if there is and has been a grand master plan behind almost all decisions in human history, then the plan has always been crap 💩.
In cases of doubt, the people behind the plan don't even realize what strongly influences and controls their decisions. At least that's what psychology teaches us.
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@Gomerdoc Just because the plans of the past didn't benefit you doesn't mean that they didn't benefit anyone. Or rather, it's not "one big master plan" behind the whole story, but almost everything happened for a reason. So cause and effect. At least nothing just happened by chance or because the people behind it were stupid.
Trump certainly doesn't do stupid things either. You only think that if you don't recognize the pattern. He's not crazy or a loose canon either - he does things that benefit some people, you and I just aren't one of them.
Trump certainly doesn't do stupid things either. You only think that if you don't recognize the pattern. He's not crazy or a loose canon either - he does things that benefit some people, you and I just aren't one of them.
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