I have just Circle Internet Group $CRCL (+1,44%) at 79 $ and + 33% today. A small position. They reported Q4/2025 today. Why did you buy? You can see that here. This is my first reel recorded in one take, I didn't want to cut, just share the info. I know it still seems unsure, but never mind, I'm learning. It had to come out.
https://www.instagram.com/reel/DVMXUHVjnAv/?utm_source=ig_web_copy_link&igsh=MzRlODBiNWFlZA==
Or on the slides and in the text here in abbreviated form below. As always, there is risk and it is risky and can become very volatile in the short term, but I am optimistic in the medium term ;-)
P.S: sorry for small typos in the pictures. The thing had to come out. It was too hot ;-)
1. business model: What does Circle do?
- USDC: The digital dollar (stablecoin) 💵
- Interest income: Profits from $75 billion cash reserves 🏦
- Web3 infrastructure: Global payment in seconds ⚡
- Quasi-monopoly: Regulation & compliance as a protective wall 🛡️
2. the crisis after the IPO
- Crash: approx. -50% from peak to yesterday 📉
- Reasons: Lock-up expirations & fear of interest rate cuts 🔓
- Today: Share price jumps +30 % (79.95 $) after record figures 🚀
3rd hammer results (Q4 2025)
- Turnover: 770 million $ (+77 % YoY) 📈
- Profit (EBITDA): $167m (+412 % YoY) 💰
- Transactions: 11.9 trillion $ (+247 %) 🌐
- Net income: $133 million (after a loss in the previous year) ✅
4. who buys the share?
- Whales are getting in: Vanguard (+61.6%), Renaissance Tech (new entry) 🐳
- Insiders: Early VCs (General Catalyst) have cashed out 🔚
- Growth Outlook: 40% long-term volume growth 📊
5. valuation: Expensive?
- P/S: 0,01 | P/E RATIO: approx. 41 📉
- PEG ratio:
0,5 (growth beats price) 🎯 - Verdict: Share grows faster than the price! ⚡
6. conclusion & risks
- Opportunities: Massive gains & global adoption 🌍
- Risks: Interest rate dependency & risk of correction after 30% run ⚠️
- Disclaimer: No investment advice! Own risk! 🛑
