We talked fee times about $EDEN (+1,96%)
Dividend today! A nice extra for one stock I think has a lot of growth potential

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5We talked fee times about $EDEN (+1,96%)
Dividend today! A nice extra for one stock I think has a lot of growth potential
I want to share a success history of my algo, it is only few months going,
On March 26th, I did a post about the algorithm flagging a massive market anomaly: Edenred ($EDEN (+1,96%) ).
Since that post, the stock has rallied +50%. 📈
Let's be clear: my game is NOT 2-month swing trading. I am a long-term dividend growth investors. I propose to buy exceptional businesses when the market severely misprices them due to "temporary problems", and hold.
The panic in March was driven by headline noise regarding multinational antitrust probes and fee cap regulations. The market sold off on pure fear.
But the tool stripped away the emotion and looked at the cold data:
🔹 Pristine Balance Sheet: Net Debt/EBITDA of -0.37x (Net Cash). They have immense flexibility to absorb any fines.
🔹 Cash Machine: 41.3% EBITDA margin running on a capital-light business model.
🔹 Ultra-Safe Dividend: Currently yielding 5.91%, but it only eats up 26.3% of their Free Cash Flow. Incredibly secure.
The best part? Even after a 50% run-up, it’s still trading at a P/E of just 10.7x.
That’s exactly why Edenred is STILL sitting in our 🟢 OPTIMAL quadrant today. It offers a rare combination of deep value, margin of safety, and reliable income.
And i am still entering with small amounts.
to be fully fair, i selected the worst performer since march on my top opportunity scores (+85 opportunity).
And that is $FDJ (-0,4%) , down 28%. But here's the thing — our algorithm STILL rates it 🟢 OPTIMAL at today's price. 9.1% yield, forward P/E of 9.3x, state-backed lottery monopoly until 2044. The thesis is intact. This is exactly the kind of "temporary problem" we look for — and it's now even cheaper.
interesting that they are both French
The text always disappears, what's going on GQ?
Thanks to @investron for spotting the opportunity and thanks to @Multibagger for explaining calls.
That gave me the courage. Today the SL was pulled but I didn't cry over the missed %, as the price of $EDEN (+1,96%) would probably not have risen significantly so quickly anyway.
The share position remains in the portfolio and I'm enjoying the dividends.
Few days ago my software flagged $EDEN (+1,96%) as a great oportunity, I posted about it. Today I wake up to a -14% ...
So I run my algo again: it tells me that the italian antitrust investigation it could be a one time fine at worst. And even with "concerns over Brazilian court rulings regarding meal voucher operations.", the stock is incredibly cheap and has very strong fundamentals.
So today I am going in with a package of 4000 Eur, wish me luck
the market is panic-selling it down to €18 because of some localized court suspension in brazil regarding meal vouchers. the chart looks terrible.
but when you strip out the news and run the raw math, the mispricing is crazy:
my script calculates a fair value north of €28. it is being priced for a disaster while sitting on a pile of net cash.
anyone else tracking the european payments sector right now, or is everyone just distracted by the macro noise?
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