Seized the day today and took heavy losses.

$CVS (+0,21%) sold completely and from the remaining money

position $CAT (+0%) and rebuilt the positions $ABBV (-0,09%) , $VZ (+0,34%) and $ETN (+0,23%) increased.

I expect the latter in particular to deliver strong share price and earnings growth in data centers, automation, drive and aviation technology. Everything that has to do with electrification. 😅

In view of the US elections, the question arises: could Trump's return actually boost the industry? After all, his policies could focus heavily on infrastructure, deregulation and energy.

Which stocks do you think are best positioned in this scenario?

My personal favorites for 'Trump trades' in this regard would be:

Caterpillar (construction equipment & infrastructure) $CAT (+0%)

Parker Hannifin (industrial components & automation) $PH (+0,15%)

Tetra Tech (engineering services, especially for water projects) $TTEK (+0%)

I am looking forward to your assessments!

Depot review November 2024 - The depot is growing despite larger withdrawals 🚀

Before I continue with the second part of my investment story, I would first like to share my portfolio review for November.

The second half of November was almost quiet compared to what happened at the beginning of November. Trump was elected, triggering a veritable run on the stock markets. Germany was finally freed from the traffic lights and there were also some exciting topics in the private sphere. I sold a few shares back in October to generate the equity I needed to start building a house. This continued a little further in November.

Overall, my savings rate will also (have to) be lower over the next few months. Less into the portfolio and more into the "buffer account" for building the house. Nevertheless, around €500 per month will continue to be invested and this will be pushed up again as quickly as possible.

After selling 6 shares and an ETF in October, I sold parts of my MSCI World ETF for around €13,000.

But now it's finally time to look at the hard figures:

Monthly view:

In total, November was +6,3%. This corresponds to price gains of ~20.000€.

The MSCI World (benchmark) was +7.3% and the S&P500 +5.1%

Winners & losers:

A look at the winners and losers is particularly exciting this month:

On the winning side with a total of almost €5,000 in price gains, my crypto investments in Bitcoin and Ethereum. This is followed by the long runner NVIDIA with price gains of just under €2,000. 4th and 5th place then goes to the cybersecurity sector with Palo Alto Networks and Crowdstrike.

On the loser side looks very quiet this month. Amgen is still the worst performer with losses of ~€600 due to a weight loss drug that failed to fully meet Wall Street's hopes. This is followed by Sartorius with share price losses of €200. Places 3-5 are then occupied by share price losses of less than €100. All in all, a month with almost no losers.

The performance-neutral movements in October amounted to just under € -6,000. Parts have already been removed here for private topics.

current year:

My performance in the current year is +29,9% and thus above my benchmark, the MSCI World with 26.9%.

In total, my portfolio currently stands at ~345.000€. This corresponds to an absolute growth of ~€93,000 in the current year 2023. ~72.000€ of this comes from price gains, ~3.300€ from dividends / interest and ~16.000€ from additional investments.

Dividend:

• Dividends in November were 21% above the previous year at ~€160
• Procter & Gamble is in the lead with a (gross) dividend of €50 every 3 months.
• In the current year, the dividends after 11 months are +25% over the first 11 months of 2023 at ~2.500€

Buying & selling:

• I bought in November for significantly reduced ~700€
• As always, my savings plans were executed:
• Blue ChipsProcter & Gamble $PG (-0,02%) TSMC $TSM (+0%) S&P Global $SPGI (+0,26%) Alphabet $GOOGL (+0,1%) Johnson & Johnson $JNJ (-0,25%) Amgen $AMGN (+0,15%) Herhey $HSY (+0,09%) Alimentation Couche-Tard $ATD (+0,2%) Caterpillar $CAT (+0%)
• 
  GrowthBechtle $BC8 (-0,13%)
• 
  ETFsMSCI World $XDWD (-0%) Nikkei 225 $XDJP (+0,34%) and the WisdomTree Global Quality Dividend Growth $GGRP (+0,23%)
• 
  CryptoBitcoin $BTC (-1,71%) and Ethereum $ETH (-1,99%)
• 
  Sales as mentioned at the beginning, there was a larger part of my MSCI World holdings in November

Target 2024 & outlook 2025:

My goal for this year is to reach €300,000 in my portfolio. Due to the extremely positive market performance in the current year, my portfolio already stands at ~€345,000 at the end of November.

As is well known, one should not praise the day before the evening, but I am optimistic that my portfolio will not fall so far in December that I will not reach my target.

What will happen in 2025? The logical goal would of course be to reach €400,000. However, due to the upcoming house construction, part of the assets will be invested in the house construction. If I include the property in my statement of assets, the target of €400,000 would of course not change. However, as I am tracking my liquid assets here, I will probably refrain from doing so.

Therefore, my year-end target for 2025 will probably be closer to the final balance for 2024. So around €350,000 at the end of 2025.

How are things looking for you? Have you already thought about your plans for 2025?

#dividends

#dividende

#rückblick

#depotupdate

#aktie

#stocks

#etfs

#crypto

#personalstrategy

Good evening to all

It's been a successful year for me on the whole. Please let me know what you think about my new purchases $CAT (+0%)
$BATS (+0,48%) $RHM . I am also thinking about getting into $TGT (+0,53%) to get in.

Komatsu the alternative to Caterpillar?

Company presentation

Komatsu Ltd. is one of the world's leading manufacturers of construction and mining machinery, headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. Founded in 1921, the company has developed into a global corporation and is now active in over 140 countries.

Core business and main products

Komatsu's core business is the production and sale of construction and mining equipment. The broad product portfolio includes

• Hydraulic excavators
• wheel loaders
• bulldozers
• Dump trucks
• forestry machines
• Industrial machines such as grinding machines and press brakes

Komatsu also offers comprehensive financing solutions and aftermarket services.

Mission and vision

Under the guiding principle "Creating value together", Komatsu pursues the goal of shaping a sustainable future in which people, companies and the environment thrive in harmony through technological innovation and advances in manufacturing.

Foundation and early years

Komatsu was founded in 1921 by Meitaro Takeuchi in the city of Komatsu, Japan, with the aim of providing new jobs for the local community after the closure of a nearby copper mine.

Business model & core competencies

Komatsu relies on a diversified business model with multiple revenue streams:

• Construction and mining equipment
• Industrial machinery and other products
• Financial services

Competitive advantages

• Global presence and strong market position, particularly in Asia and America
• Comprehensive product portfolio for various industrial sectors
• Focus on innovation, especially in the field of autonomous and electric machines
• Strong production capacities with 25 production sites worldwide

(America is the most important market and twice as large as Asia. The other regions also contribute to sales and are largely equally represented. Most regions are in decline).

Future prospects & strategic initiatives

Komatsu is investing heavily in intelligent construction machinery and autonomous mining trucks. Ambitious development projects include underwater electric bulldozers and lunar excavators.

Market position & competition

As the world's second largest construction machinery manufacturer, Komatsu competes with companies such as:

• $CAT (+0%) (USA)
• Volvo Construction Equipment
• $HTCMY Construction Machinery (Japan)

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global construction equipment market is estimated at USD 171.1 billion in 2023 and is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6% between 2024 and 2032, driven by infrastructure investments and urbanization in emerging markets. Komatsu is well positioned to capitalize on this growth, particularly in the key markets of Asia and the Americas.

Share performance

$6301 (-0,47%) Komatsu is listed in the Nikkei 225 Index and has achieved a TR of 91% (13.8% CAGR) over the past 5 years. Caterpillar is at 193% TR and thus clearly outperformed.

For the development (company figures), a better view and more, check out the free blog: https://topicswithhead.beehiiv.com/p/komatsu-die-alternative-zur-caterpillar

Conclusion

We don't need to beat around the bush: Caterpillar was clearly the better stock, made clear decisions and showed a superior performance. This is especially true when calculated in dollars or euros, where Komatsu has made just 20% over 5 years (excluding dividends), but this does not mean that Komatsu is not a good stock. There is a change going on in Japan, including at Komatsu, where companies are rethinking and adjusting their capital allocation. As a result, management is increasingly focusing on share buybacks, dividend increases and improved capital efficiency. This is also indicated by Komatsu's management.

With these measures, the stock can perform significantly better than it has in the past, assuming the company stays the course. Even if the figures are worse overall, they still show an increase, and in some areas capital efficiency is above 10%. The problem in general is, albeit "only" the yen.

Komatsu's EV-to-EBITDA ratio is about half that of Caterpillar, which means Komatsu can catch up here, and by unusual measures. In other words, expectations are lower, which represents an opportunity to exceed them.

In addition to the positive trend in the industry, there are also other interesting topics. The yen is significantly weaker than the US dollar, which is causing some stocks to underperform, but this could change.

If more capital is withdrawn from the balance sheet, this is beneficial for shareholders and puts less pressure on the key figures. It makes you better on a dollar basis. What has happened recently could be beneficial for foreign investors.

The share is cheap, which is justified, but offers plenty of scope for further growth.

So who might be interested in the stock? It could be attractive to those who believe in long-term growth and a solid strategy. Investors who are prepared to tolerate waiting and who are betting on a possible capital allocation and dividend increases will find interesting potential in this share. For those hoping for a stabilization of the yen against the dollar and positive market developments in Japan, Komatsu could also be a choice worth considering. For everyone else, Caterpillar is clearly the better stock.

What does this mean for me? I am actually looking for a cheap alternative to Caterpillar, and Komatsu would be ideal. However, the yen is extremely weak at the moment, which makes it less attractive. That's why I'm holding back for the time being.

An entry would make sense for me if the management has actively shown that it is improving the balance sheet and deploying capital more efficiently. A recovery in the yen/dollar exchange rate would also be crucial.

However, if both factors improve, an entry would be interesting for me. Basically, there is nothing significant wrong with the company itself.

Further trading profits from put KOs on $SNOW (+0,23%) and $CAT (+0%) reinvested.

$COST (+0,17%) is always too expensive anyway, so what solls🤷‍♂️

30% of Snow's profits remain in the bill, as the figures are due next week and 3 of the last 4 quarterly figures each resulted in a massive sell-off.

#beerchallenge from Kölle

My favorite place every 14 days to let the stock market be the stock market and simply enjoy life, the emotions and the stupid chatter of my over-70 neighbors.

Next week will be relatively quiet for me, as I'm traveling in Switzerland and only have 3 open trades.

$ASML (-0,34%) which is still just in profit and has fortunately held the zone.

$TSN (+0,09%) where I am considering exiting with +20% before the figures on Tuesday

And since the sell-off Friday $CAT (+0%)

Have a nice weekend 🫡

All of these shares reached new ALL-TIME HIGHS at some point today ⤵️

Nvidia $NVDA (+0,66%)

Amazon $AMZN (+0,02%)

Netflix $NFLX (+0,01%)

Walmart $WMT (+0,01%)

JPMorgan $JPM (+0,13%)

Goldman Sachs $GOS0

Palantir $PLTR (-1,51%)

Blackrock $BLK

American Express $AXP (+0,15%)

Arista $ANET

Apollo $APO PR A

Blackstone $BX (+0,04%)

Booking $BKNG (+0,17%)

Instacart $INSTA

Caterpillar $CAT (+0%)

Capital One $COF (+0,57%)

Discover Financial $DFS (+0,12%)

Electronic Arts $EA (+0,08%)

GE Vernova $GEV (+0,28%)

Hilton $HLT (+0,11%)

Howmet $HWM (+0,89%)

Interactive Brokers $IBKR (+0,09%)

$KKR (+0,23%)

Cheniere $LNG (+0,28%)

Morgan Stanley $MS (+0,11%)

Marriot $MAR (+0,11%)

Nasdaq $NDAQ (+0,42%)

News Corp $NWSA (+0%)

Oracle $ORCL (+0,19%)

Palo Alto $PANW (-0,51%)

ServiceNow $NOW (+0,12%)

Steel Dynamics $STLD (+0,04%)

Stryker $SYK (+0,17%)

Royal Caribbean $RCL (+0,01%)

Reddit $RDDT (-0,01%)

Trade Desk $TTD (-0,18%)

Visa $V (+0,08%)

Wells Fargo $WFC (+0,07%)

Who benefits from the reconstruction of Ukraine?

Yes, it's a macabre topic - but the reconstruction of Ukraine will bring investment and economic opportunities that are already being talked about. The question is: which companies could benefit the most? Will construction companies like $DG (-0,15%) and $HOT (+0,19%) , machine manufacturers such as $CAT (+0%) or energy companies like $ENR (-1,24%) get the biggest contracts? Who do you think could play a central role in this reconstruction project?