Postos
86Seized the day today and took heavy losses.
$CVS (+0,21%) sold completely and from the remaining money
position $CAT (+0%) and rebuilt the positions $ABBV (-0,09%) , $VZ (+0,34%) and $ETN (+0,23%) increased.
I expect the latter in particular to deliver strong share price and earnings growth in data centers, automation, drive and aviation technology. Everything that has to do with electrification. 😅
Thank you very much for all the good wishes and the first few comments on my project.
The first tranches have fluttered into the portfolio! As already announced, the focus is on high-quality, stable dividend payers.
The following key figures are evaluated
Dividend yield
Dividend continuity
Dividend growth
Quality of the company
You can also see 2 unrated stocks, one is Reality Incom, a REIT and therefore not rated with typical characteristics. Therefore "unrated" for me but a must have in a dividend portfolio.
On the other hand, NOVO, where I am betting on the quality and potential growth of the company, coupled with the current weakness of the share price. I want to take advantage of such (supposed) buying opportunities and give the portfolio a certain growth potential in addition to the dividend.
I did not get any execution on United Health Group and Philip Morris.
On Sunday, I will look at my watchlist again and see which stocks are currently correcting and possibly reaching a support level, or are correcting the last move in the uptrend and have a chance of continuing the trend.
Have a nice weekend. Enjoy your time off and let it rip...
hummel hummel...
$O (+0,02%)
$AWK (+0,09%)
$DHL (+0%)
$RIO (+0,58%)
$CVS (+0,21%)
$NOVO B (+1,79%)
$PEP (-0,01%)
The industry is finally at an acceleration point.
In February 2023 U.S. introduced the "Increasing Competitiveness for American Drones Act" which streamlined the approval of licenses for operating drones over American territory.
The advances in Ai have helped develop "detect and avoid" software for autonomous drones.
And at the same time the development of GPUs have allowed these software to be installed on small and light autonomous drones.
It has been 12 years since Jeff Bezos unveiled Amazon's plans to develop "Prime Air" a 30 minutes air drone delivery service. This happened during an episode of the tv show "60 minutes" in November 2013. youtu.be/Fbq6gQVLhWE
Yesterday night I was reading an article about Serve Robotics finance.yahoo.com/nvidia-uber-backing-700-million and I go inspired to make some research into the delivery drone industry. The article talk about $NVDA (+0,69%) and $UBER (+0,06%) investment into $SERV . If you don't want to read the full article, actually @BamBamInvest just made a short summary post of it ( https://getqu.in/RoQSMH/ ).
I investigated on "last mile" delivery also known as "backyard / front yard delivery" . So I will not talk about robotaxi, autonomous truck, ships, airplanes nor I will talk about "micro" delivery drones such as those robots that are already heavily used in hotels in China. All of these surely overlap and compete with each other in the delivery service, but talking about these would defeat the purpose of this post.
So here is my summary of notable drone delivery companies and the current state of the industry.
For starters, there are just two types of delivery drones that are being currently "heavily" deployed for last mile deliveries: with "wings" (UAV) and on wheels.
Delivery on wheels are more complicated and don't see much competition. In U.S. the main player is Serve Robotics ($SERV ). In China is Meituan ( $3690 (-1,46%) ).
Until the beginning of 2024, Amazon ( $AMZN (+0,03%) ) drone delivery service has completely underdelivered 😅 while other players have taken the lead. One of these is Wing, a subsidiary of Google parent company Alphabet ( $GOOG (-0,04%) , $GOOGL (+0,1%) ) wing.com . Wing altogether with DroneUp, flytrex (partner of Causey Aviation Unmanned) and Zipline has completed thousands of commercial air deliveries for Walmart ( $WMT (+0,02%) ).
Wing has the broadest customer base. It operates for Walmart, Doordash ( $DASH (+0,57%) ) Coles groceries ($COL (+0,88%) ), Walgreens ($CVS (+0,21%) ) and different restaurants. It operates mainly in Australia and US.
Zipline is a private company known for making hundreds of thousands of medical air deliveries in Rwanda. flyzipline.com
It's very active in U.S. , a close competitor to Wing.
In December 2022 a partnership with Jumia ( $JMIA (+0%) ) was announced to ease up deliveries in Africa, but since then no further development is known.
DroneUp is also private and basically it's a subsidiary of Walmart. droneupdelivery.com
In the U.S. , until 2023 only 5 drone operators had succeeded at getting air carrier certification from the FAA: Wings ($GOOGL (+0,1%) ), UPS ($UPS (-0,09%) ), Amazon ($AMZN (+0,03%)), Zipline and Causey Aviation Unmanned.
UPS operates wit Matternet's droves. Matternet is a private company. They successfully operate and deliver in dense urban environment.
Causey Aviation Unmanned is a subsidiary of the private company Causey Aviation which is a private jet charter. Causey Aviation Unmanned operates through Flytrex as a provider of Walmart air delivery. Flytrex is also private. causeyaviationunmanned.com
Other notable air drone delivery companies are Ondas holdings ( $ONDS (+0%) ) ondas.com . Ondas is known for its military applications in Israel, but it is actually active with Airobotics in the delivery industry airoboticsdrones.com .
The newest Prime Air drone, the MK30, has been unveiled in October 2023 and it's finally being massively deployed bringing Amazon back to the lead.
It’s unlike any other drone being used for package delivery. Faster, quieter, safer, bad weather resistant and very powerful.
At the end of 2024, these new drones replaced the old ones used to deliver in California and Texas. They will also be deployed in a new, third U.S. state and in soon-to-be-revealed destinations in Italy and the UK.
Outside of US, China is leading the way in urban drone deliveries and Meituan ( $3690 (-1,46%) ) is the current market leader both with UAV and drones on wheels.
In Ireland, Manna Aero, has already completed over 100,000 drone deliveries across various locations in Ireland and is trending to hit more than 1,000 daily deliveries in dense urban markets such in Dublin. Manna Aero is a private company manna.aero .
2024
Portfolio value (performance neutral)
Target 52 000€ -> +18 000€
Achieved 62 300€ -> +28 300€
Target 2025 -> 77 000€
Gross dividend
Target 1000€
Achieved 1018€
expected 2025 -> 1290€+
Daily allowance
Target 12 000€
Reached 13 300€
I would like to reach €15,000 by the end of 2025.
As I have an annual commute of 22,000 km, I'll have to buy a new car in 4 - 5 years' time if my current one no longer works.
In addition, several positions were sold in Q3 - Q4 ($O (+0,02%)
$BATS (+0,48%)
$SIX2 (+0,37%)
$ARCC (+0,07%)
$CVS (+0,21%)
$UNP (+0,48%)$NESN (-0,29%) ) and the focus was also placed on higher growth and dividend growth.
In principle, I have nothing against $UNP (+0,48%) but I see the growth opportunities at $CP (+0%) higher as well as a higher profit margin as soon as the acquisition of Kansas City has been optimally integrated into the company in order to work more efficiently.
Hi folks,
my goals for 2024 have now also been set.
Logically, the actual values and expenses can only be determined at the end of 24, so these are projected figures.
Depot (performance neutral):
34 000€ -> 52 000€ (+18 000€)
Dividends:
110€ -> 1000€ (+890€)
Call money (incl. nest egg):
17 000€ -> 12 000€ (- 5000€ will be reduced if buying opportunities arise)
Monthly savings installment (50% of salary):
Depot 1100€
(315€ ETF, 707€ savings plans shares, 25€ Bitcoin)
Daily allowance 300€
-----------
Total 1400€ p.m.
If everything goes as estimated, there will be approx. 5000€ left at the end, which would then flow into the custody account.
FED lets the market slide + CVS is sued by the US Department of Justice
FED cuts interest rates as expected
Nevertheless, the entire stock market is falling. Why did this happen even though the FED cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected?
CVS $CVS (+0,21%)
is being sued
The U.S. Department of Justice is suing CVS for dispensing and billing illegal opioid prescriptions through state health insurance programs that allegedly contributed to the nationwide opioid epidemic. According to the indictment, CVS dispensed dangerous opioid quantities and combinations and premature refills from October 2013 to the present, in violation of the Controlled Substances Act.
Thursday: Stock market dates, economic data, quarterly figures
British American Tobacco GBP 0.59
Smith & Wesson Brands USD 0.13
22:00 Fedex quarterly figures
22:15 Nike quarterly figures
07:30 Douglas full year results
09:00 Douglas PK
11:00 Douglas Analyst Conference
08:00 DE: GfK Consumer Climate Indicator January FORECAST: -22.6 points previously: -23.3 points | Insolvencies January
08:45 FR: Business Climate Index December PROGNOSE: 96 previous: 97
13:00 UK: BoE, outcome and minutes of the Monetary Policy Council meeting December Bank Rate FORECAST: 4.75% previously: 4.75%
14:30 US: GDP (3rd release) 3Q annualized PROGNOSE: +2.9% yoy 2nd release: +2.8% yoy 2nd quarter: +3.0% yoy GDP deflator PROGNOSE: +1.9% yoy 2nd release: +1.9% yoy 2nd quarter: +2.5% yoy
14:30 US: Initial jobless claims (week) Forecast: 230,000 Previous: 242,000 | Philadelphia Fed Index December Forecast: 2.5 Previous: -5.5
16:00 US: Leading Indicators Index November FORECAST: -0.1% yoy previous: -0.4% yoy
16:00 US: Existing Home Sales November FORECAST: +2.5% yoy previous: +3.4% yoy
I'm out for now - loss compensation and possible reallocation to $AMD (+0,23%) , $TMDX (-0,05%) and $JMIA (+0%)
The shares of $CVS (+0,21%) , $UNH (+0,29%) and other US companies in the healthcare sector drifted further downwards today.
The reason for this is the increasing speculation surrounding the plans of the orange-colored future head of state.
He plans to eliminate "the middleman". The middleman are dealers who help determine the final prices of drugs, but do not necessarily offer an add-on.
If the new administration really pushes this through, it will probably only be the beginning of a correction in the U.S. healthcare system.
What is your opinion on this?
Are there any chart technicians here who are currently $CVS (+0,21%) currently?
I'm not familiar with it but saw on Instagram (mine at WLA?) that there is a support zone at ~USD50/€45 that you could use if you want to invest aggressively.
Any opinions on this?
$UNH (+0,29%) UnitedHealth is at the center of a real tragedy right now: the United Healthcare CEO has been murdered and the news has caused quite an uproar - not only within the company, but also on the stock market. The shock is real, but for young investors like us, the question is: what do you do in moments like these? And this is where the legendary quote comes into play: "Invest when the blood is flowing in the streets." Yes, it sounds brutal, but it describes the idea of investing counter-cyclically - especially when the market is reacting irrationally.
What's going on right now?
UnitedHealth is a healthcare titan, with revenue streams from insurance (UnitedHealthcare) and services (Optum). In the last quarter, revenues increased by more than 9%, to over $100 billion. The numbers are strong, demand for healthcare services remains stable, but the short-term uncertainty - caused by this tragic incident - has put the stock on the defensive. Emotional market reactions could create the timing for entry opportunities.
Why could this be an opportunity?
UnitedHealth is more than just a health insurance company. Optum, the healthcare solutions subsidiary, is a growing powerhouse in telemedicine, chronic care and health data. These trends are long-term game changers. Despite the current crisis, the demand for these services remains consistently high - simply due to the ageing population in the USA.
Politics and the long-term outlook
There are challenges: The U.S. government is targeting reforms that could affect everything from drug prices to Medicare access. That means political pressure in the short term. But companies like UnitedHealth know how to adapt - they have the networks, technology and capital to stay ahead. Sure, it won't be a walk in the park, but in the long term, the healthcare sector is a growth market.
What is the competition doing?
Eli Lilly $LLY (+0,28%) , Huma$HUM (+0,12%) and CVS Health $CVS (+0,21%) are not small players, and they are also expanding their market shares. But UnitedHealth has a particular strength: diversification. With insurance AND services, they protect themselves against fluctuations in one of the two segments. The focus on Optum gives them an innovative edge.
What can you take away as a young investor?
Many people are put off by shocks like these, but this could be exactly the moment for you to get involved. Of course there are risks, especially from regulatory uncertainty. But if a company's fundamentals are strong - and UnitedHealth's are - then it's worth taking a closer look.
In the long term, this crisis could turn out to be an opportunity. The only question is: do you have the courage when others shy away?
+++ News: Heated mood around US health insurers +++
The shares of well-known insurance companies such as $UNH (+0,29%) but also those of competitors $ELV (+0,07%)
$HUM (-0,16%) and $CI (+0,08%) have fallen surprisingly this week. Although the losses are limited, the reasons for this are more than just shocking.
As I reported earlier, the CEO of United Healthcare's insurance division was the victim of a targeted assassination. While the police are now investigating at full speed, the perpetrator is currently the target of downright hero worship on social media. The assassin is repeatedly equated with characters from pop culture such as Batman, Robin Hood or John Wick.
Insults against the victim and his family are also liked and shared thousands of times. It is not just the viciousness of the comments that is frightening - but the fact that, as is so often the case in such instances, the platforms simply let them stand.
Insurers' shares are currently falling because there are fears that there could be further murders of insurance employees. The management of the major insurance companies is alarmed and has hastily removed photos and other personal data of their "C-level executives" from their websites.
Commentary and classification: After the failed assassination attempt on Trump, I'm hardly surprised at the kind of people we're dealing with here. The same people who talk about democracy and human rights in every other sentence are the same people who are now calling for the assassination of their ideological opponents once again. Even a good ESG score doesn't help United Health against so much hatred.
From a purely shareholder perspective, this charged sentiment towards the banking and insurance sector is $JPM (+0,12%) is of course a systemic risk when investing. However, these are not necessarily particularly controversial sectors. Retailers $WMT (+0,02%) pharmaceuticals $PFE (+0,11%)
$CVS (+0,21%) consumer goods manufacturers $KVUE (-0,43%)
$BATS (+0,48%) defense companies $LMT (+0,04%) etc. could soon find themselves in the crosshairs.
If you really want to be absolutely sure of being invested in a politically correct way, simply put your money in Northvolt and make a 90% loss. This also ensures that you can "eat the rich" can no longer be meant.
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