Postos
29After the insane rise of $ELF (-0,39%) it was time to close my position. Made a nice 70% profit after I sold a few shares and made it my smallest position around 103 a while ago. At this moment a further increase in $DUOL and $ASTS (+0,28%) is planned.
Q2 Financials:
🔹 Revenue: $1.16M (Est. 5M) 😐
🔹 EPS: $(0.41) (Est. -$0.21) 😐
Guidance (2H’25):
🔹 Revenue: $50M–$75M from government & commercial customers
Operational Highlights:
🔹 Pro forma cash, equivalents & restricted cash: >$1.5B (post convertible notes & ATM)
🔹 Plan to deploy 45–60 satellites by 2026 for continuous service in US, Europe, Japan & other markets
🔹 Expect ≥5 orbital launches by end of Q1’26; launches every 1–2 months in 2025–26
🔹 Nationwide intermittent service in US by end of 2025; UK, Japan, Canada in Q1’26
🔹 6 satellites in orbit (5 operational, 1 test)
🔹 Completed assembly of microns for phased arrays for 8 Block 2 BlueBird satellites; targeting 40 satellites equivalent of microns by early 2026
🔹 Expanded spectrum strategy: acquiring 60 MHz global S-Band rights + long-term access to 45 MHz L-Band in US/Canada
🔹 Partnerships with >50 mobile operators globally (~3B subscribers); 8 US Gov’t contracts to date
🔹 Raised $575M from 7-year convertible notes (2.375% coupon, $120.12 conversion price)
🔹 Secured $100M equipment financing + $550M term loan for spectrum payments
Other Metrics:
🔹 Net Loss: $(99.4M)
🔹 OpEx: $74.0M
🔹 Cash & Equivalents: $923.6M (+5.7% QoQ)
CEO Commentary:
🔸 “We are on track with a fully-funded plan to deploy 45–60 satellites into orbit by 2026, enabling full voice, data & video services from space to everyday smartphones.”
Politics & Megatrend
🧠 Trump administration massively pushes ahead with space commercialization
🔋 NASA (under Sean Duffy) accelerates lunar reactor project
🌌 Space Race 2.0 with China & Russia sparks new momentum
📈 S&P Aerospace & Defense Index +33% YTD - clearly outperforms S&P 500
📊 UBS sees space sector at $800 billion (2030) - Morgan Stanley even $1 trillion (2040)
Top stocks in the space boom 2025
🔥 Firefly Aerospace $FLY
🚀 IPO in August 2025: $45 per share | $868 million raised
🛰️ Successful moon landing with Blue Ghost probe in first attempt
💼 Order backlog: $1.1 billion | NASA deal worth $176.7 million until 2029
🔧 Partnership with Northrop Grumman strengthens technology confidence
🛰️ Rocket Lab $RKLB (+5,42%)
📈 Share price from $5.55 → $44 - thanks to event-driven rallies
🛰️ Electron launch #69 on August 5: QPS-SAR-12 precisely in orbit
🔁 Contract with iQPS: 9 launches - 4 more by the end of 2026
🛠️ Neutron rocket in development for medium-lift market
📶 AST SpaceMobile $ASTS (+0,28%)
📱 First direct-to-phone satellites active - no device adaptation necessary
📡 Cooperation with AT&T, Verizon - against dead spots & for global coverage
📃 3,650+ patents secure technological leadership
🌍 Acquisition of S-band rights (ITU): global frequency network massively strengthened
📊 Target: 120 Mbit/s broadband via satellite for every smartphone
💰 Viasat $VSAT (-2,56%)
🧩 Value play with turnaround character | Activist calls for split-up
🔬 DAT division with ~$50 value per share as hidden gem
📡 ViaSat 3 satellites launch global internet offensive
📈 William Blair sees "Outperform" with doubling potential
📉 Forward sales multiple: only 0.43 (!) - cheapest pick in the universe
⚛️ BWX Technologies $BWXT (-0,37%)
🔋 Leading in nuclear propulsion for the moon & deep space
📜 Favorite for NASA lunar reactor tender (100 kW fission power)
🔧 Order backlog: $6 billion | +70% YoY
🧠 Partnership with Lockheed Martin strengthens position
🎯 Focus on nuclear solutions for security, energy & medicine
📊 ETFs for all-in-one exposure
🛰️ ARKX - ARK Space Exploration ETF $ARKX
🛡️ iShares Aerospace & Defense ETF $ITA (-0,63%)
🚀 SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF $XAR (+0,15%)
📡 Global X Defense Tech ETF $SHLD
🛠️ U.S. Global Aerospace & Defense ETF $WAR
⚠️ Risks in the orbit
🛰️ Rocket launches remain risky & costly
💥 SpaceX pushes down prices → Margins under pressure
📉 Regulatory hurdles & high capital requirements
🌌 Complex technology = high susceptibility to failure
🧭 Conclusion: The new investment galaxy
💡 Space is no longer science fiction, but a real growth market
📈 Early investments could generate exponential upside
🎯 Best strategy: combination of selective moonshots & ETF diversification
🛸 The new space race has begun - and the winners have not yet been determined
$ASTS (+0,28%) I said in the past that we should expect a lot of ups and downs. But as the company executes on their plan, we will see only ups and speculative downs.
Big money is coming in and new partnership agreements and more satellites is what this business need.
Good job ASTS
After the insane rise of the last 2 weeks we are probably ready for another day of $ASTS (+0,28%) stocks going up massively. Still the beginning as everything will start at the end of july...
$ASTS (+0,28%) will be included in the Russel 1000 (U.S. large-cap index) at the end of June. 🚀
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00:25:30 Rocket Lab, Tesla
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Updated portfolio with new positions in $NBIS (+0%)
$ASTS (+0,28%)
$HIMS (+0,15%) and $NOVO B (-2,31%) . Closed $AAPL (-0,66%) for good as I believe they have been left behind in innovation for a long time now and its prospects are less attractice than the other Mag7 I hold ($NVDA (-3,33%) , $AMZN (-1,95%) , $GOOG (+0,47%)
$MSFT (-3,17%) and $TSLA (+2,79%) , ordered in decreasing % of overall portfolio). Also i doubled my position in $LLY (-2,68%) as currently experienced a healty but significant pullback.
Big part of portfolio is now in nuclear stocks, as I have increased my position in $OKLO and opened a position in $SMR
What do you think would be the most compelling 10-15y holds missing here? Please argument as I am very interested in learning macrotrends I may have overlooked.
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