Postos
59Greetings Sith Lord Vader here!
In my opinion, there will be a major crash in the next 2-3 years and probably isolated corrections before that.
I would therefore be interested to know what stocks, cryptos etc. you will be adding to your portfolio in the event of a sharp fall in prices?
I am considering $RACE (+0,26%)
$RMS (+2,35%)
$ASML (+1,62%)
$BTC (+0,2%)
Thanks for your input!
#crypto
#growth
#crash
#longterm
#langfristig
#stocks
#personalstrategy
Comparison with analyst estimates:
Why did the share price still fall by almost 5%?
Slight margin pressure - the margin decline despite sales growth was interpreted as a warning signal, especially for a luxury stock with an otherwise over 42% margin.
Dampening signals from China - growth in Asia (ex-Japan) stagnated at +1-3%, China remains fragile
High expectations - Investors expected consistent top margins; even small deviations were viewed negatively.
Economic environment - Uncertainty due to geopolitical situation, weakness in the European luxury market and trade tensions increased nervousness
I personally see the slight fall in the share price as a buying opportunity $RMS (+2,35%)
I would prefer to sell everything and put it into say 3-5 ETFs, but due to a mixture of different feelings I can't take this step. At least not overnight. Today I was able to part with the following positions (a big step for me, a small step for my portfolio).
$COST (-1,48%) -3% may not have been the best time to sell, but I'm no longer convinced in the long term, or rather it doesn't fit my investment idea
$PG (+0,02%) -8% stinks of opportunity cost. It may be that there is a good entry point for a solid dividend stock at the moment, but I would rather continue to build up the broadly diversified ETF.
$ROL (+0,09%) -4% ditch or not, we won't see the big fast percentages here.
$RMS (+2,35%) +25% I would not buy again today at the current price and find the valuation excessively high.
Reallocated to $VWRL (+0,07%) 🥱 and $EQQQ (-0,32%) 😎
(Thanks to a mini crash from 17:00, I also got a lot of shares)
Here in the link my previous portfolio (unfortunately can no longer be updated here at the moment) and the train of thought of the last months briefly summarized:
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This is my portfolio as of today.
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I probably won't manage to get rid of individual stocks completely.
But at least I could eliminate supposedly unnecessary overweightings and overlaps and focus more on second-tier stocks, such as $CALM (+1,39%)
$TXRH (-1,09%)
$SOFI (+0,34%)
In any case, I haven't reallocated much since the article linked above.
I'm taking it rather slowly, as it still feels wrong to me, although the opposite would be more accurate.
So far I have sold the following stocks:
Lotus $LOTB (-1,25%) -7,3 %
Hims $HIMS (+0,35%) +202 %
DE Telekom $DTE (-0,12%) +-0
Church&Dwight $CHD (+1,23%) -6 %
Ecolab $ECL (+1,56%) +1 %
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Below is the X-Ray, which illustrates overweightings and allocations. Nvidia and Apple are not in my portfolio as individual stocks, but are strongly represented due to the ETFs. However, I have $MSFT (-1,79%) and $GOOGL (-0,95%) shares in the portfolio, which leads to an overweighting. Alphabet convinces me in many ways, so the overweight could make sense here. But with Microsoft, the ETF share could actually be enough for me. I am therefore considering adding an SL to Microsoft, for example 7% below the current price level.
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+ 1
Following the "Buffett wisdom" of investing only in exceptional companies, I decided yesterday to add Hermes to the portfolio and temporarily remove it from the portfolio. $MC (+3,08%) temporarily remove it from the portfolio - let's see if it works out as planned
clearly $MC (+3,08%) can be seen more as a "luxury holding" if you look at brands such as Dior, Louis Vouitton or Moet but exceptional is $MC (+3,08%) therefore not
but should the luxury sector regain momentum, the share is $RMS (+2,35%) in any case - and if not, the share still shows relative strength 😇
The Arnault family has bought almost € 3.7 billion in the last 3.5 years. $MC (+3,08%) in the last 3.5 years.
The average price per share was € 659.
The current share price is € 455.50
$LVMUY (+2,51%)
$MC (+3,08%)
$RMS (+2,35%)
$MONC (+0,62%)
$KER (+2,14%)
$MC (+3,08%) - Failed takeovers of LVMH
and activities of the children of Bernard
Arnault
Did you know the following:
In the late 90s, LVMH tried to take over Gucci, but CEO Domenico De Sole resisted.
He diluted the share price and gave employees a stake, weakening LVMH's control. Then Kering stepped in and secured Gucci.
He also tried Hermes:
In 2010, LVMH secretly acquired 17 percent of Hermès ($RMS (+2,35%) ), triggering a storm of indignation. Hermès fought back with legal disputes and accused LVMH of insider trading and share manipulation.
After years of conflict, LVMH agreed to sell its 23% stake in 2014, ending the intense rivalry.
Who will be the next takeover candidate?
Thanks to all the successful takeovers, LVMH now has an extensive portfolio of 75 brands, which can be seen in the picture.
LVMH is the largest luxury company in the world.
The Arnault family:
Bernard will probably keep the company in the family. As he has five children who are already integrated into the company, these are the potential successors:
1. Delphine
2. Antoine
3. Alexandre
4. Frederic
5. Jean
Delphine (49) is Executive VP of Louis Vuitton.
Delphine has been with LVMH since 2001 and is in charge of brand development and strategy. She plays an important role in the success of LV.
Antoine (47) is CEO of Berluti and Chairman of Loro Piana.
Antoine focuses on expanding LVMH's presence in luxury fashion and plays a role in brand communication and acquisitions.
Alexandre Arnault (32) is CEO of Tiffany & Co.
Alexandre revitalized Tiffany by targeting younger audiences and improving its digital presence. As a result, profits doubled within a year.
Frédéric Arnault (29) is CEO of LVMH Watches. After being CEO of Tag Heuer.
Jean Arnault (26) is Director of Product & Communications at Louis Vuitton Watches.
Finally, a few examples of LVMH's pricing power and price trends:
$MC (+3,08%)
$KER (+2,14%)
$RMS (+2,35%)
$MONC (+0,62%)
$BRBY (-1,05%)
$BOSS (+1,13%)
+ 6
Today I‘m sharing with you my main portfolio. This doesn’t include any ETF investments and crypto currencies / gold etc. since I want to focus my presence on getquin on stock-picking.
Read my 3-part portfolio strategy posts to get the full picture - here are just the main pillars of what I‘m doing:
I like to divide my holdings into „core holdings“ (forever stocks) and „trend picks“ (2030 stocks) as follows:
Core Holdings (“Forever Stocks”):
Growth Picks (“2030 Stocks”):
Here are my current holdings:
My Portfolio is a selection of 15-25 companies which I am buying and planning on never selling. The overall criteria for my #investableuniverse are the following. I will go in-depth in another post:
Here are my current holdings:
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00:00:00 Weekend trading stocks
00:03:40 Market environment
00:16:00 Delta Air Lines
00:20:00 LVMH, Grok AI
00:43:30 Hermès, Richemont, Kering
01:03:20 TSMC, ASML
01:26:50 Coalition agreement
Spotify
https://open.spotify.com/episode/36OedAqU7ZcTYd3PpnHRFQ?si=99nQieH0Qh6Hy1QhQ5hQzA
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$MC (+3,08%)
$RMS (+2,35%)
$KER (+2,14%)
$DAL (+1,43%)
$2330
$ASML (+1,62%)
$GOOG (-0,78%)
$GOOGL (-0,95%)
$SPOT (+0%)
$AAPL (+1,12%)
$CFR (+1,03%)
Principais criadores desta semana
