2Settimana·

BMW Group: 𝐂𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐚-Schwachhe and Nahost-Combined with𝐫 𝐏𝐫𝐨𝐠𝐧𝐨𝐬𝐞𝐬𝐞𝐧𝐤𝐮𝐧𝐠

📌 𝐖𝐢𝐜𝐡𝐭𝐢𝐠𝐬𝐭𝐞 𝐏𝐮𝐧𝐤𝐭𝐞

• A weaker Chinese auto market and increasing competitive pressure are weighing on operating performance

• The impact of the Middle East conflict is lasting longer than expected, driving up costs and causing consumer reluctance

• Additional structural and efficiency measures will result in one-time charges in the second half of 2026

⠀

🎯 𝐀𝐮𝐬𝐛𝐥𝐢𝐜𝐤

• Vehicle deliveries: slight decline expected (previously at prior-year level)

• Automotive EBIT margin: 1–3% (previously 4–6%)

• Automotive RoCE: 1–5% (previously 6–10%)

• Earnings before taxes: significant decline expected (previously moderate decline)

• Automotive free cash flow still expected to exceed €2.5B

⠀

💬 𝐌𝐚𝐧𝐚𝐠𝐞𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭

• “We have strong product momentum with the NEW CLASS and will bring the strongest BMW portfolio in history to the road over the next two years.”

• “At the same time, we will adapt our structures and processes to the drastically tougher market conditions. It’s all about speed and efficiency.”

5 Commenti

Smudo@Smudeo

2Settimana

Ouch, that hurts—the price has even fallen below the April 2025 strike price. Would the dividend yield be a good entry point right now?

•

Sebastian@Baisse-Jumper

2Settimana

@Smudeo Given the current situation, I wonder if the Divi will be cut again… I can't help it, but somehow carmakers just can't seem cheap enough to me. 😅 There are just so many better investment opportunities out there.

••

Smudo@Smudeo

2Settimana

@Baisse-Jumper Unfortunately, yes—I think the auto industry is like the airline industry these days. Nobody’s making any money anymore.
But yes, dividends depend on profits, so if profits are negative in 2026, dividends will be reduced.

••

stocker_1862@stocker_1862

2Settimana

@Smudeo The payout ratio will likely not be increased—or at least that hasn't been stated. As a result, the dividend will also decrease in 2027. I'm not speculating on a dividend in 2028 just yet. I've sold half of my shares.

•

FinanzKeks@ImmoHai

2Settimana

Given this outlook, BMW would probably have been my favorite, at least in the German auto market. But it’s probably best to steer clear of that entire sector.

•