Get out quickly at $TSN (-0,55%) before something stupid comes up in the earnings call.

#beerchallenge from Kölle

My favorite place every 14 days to let the stock market be the stock market and simply enjoy life, the emotions and the stupid chatter of my over-70 neighbors.

Next week will be relatively quiet for me, as I'm traveling in Switzerland and only have 3 open trades.

$ASML (-1,59%) which is still just in profit and has fortunately held the zone.

$TSN (-0,55%) where I am considering exiting with +20% before the figures on Tuesday

And since the sell-off Friday $CAT (+0,86%)

Have a nice weekend 🫡

Earnings next week (11.11 - 15.11)

$SHOP (+0,9%)

$SOUN

$MARA (-3,48%)

$BABA (-2,95%)

$CAVA

$SPOT (+0,22%)

$AMAT (+0,53%)

$DIS (-0,24%)

$PLUG (+9,5%)

$HD (+1,1%)

$MNDY (+6,21%)

$OXY (+5,16%)

$RKLB (+5,35%)

$BSEM

$ZETA (+1,63%)

$SE (-1,3%)

$RKT

$CSCO (+0,68%)

$ASTS

$WULF

$ONON

$OKLO

$HUT (-2,14%)

$NVAX (-0,36%)

$HTZ (+4,13%)

$LUNR

$CART

$TALN

$BITF (-2,41%)

$GRAB (-0,82%)

$JD (-1,37%)

$LAZR

$ALT (+0,76%)

$CRON (+2,19%)

$ICL

$NICE

$CYBR (+0,58%)

$BXSL (-0,65%)

$DESP (-1,06%)

$ARMK (-0,28%)

$TSN (-0,55%)

$RUM

$PGY

$TGI

$AAP (+3,11%)

$AXSM (-0,22%)

$AZN (+0,8%)

$BILI (-1,31%)

$LINC

$LQDA (+4,21%)

With $TSN (-0,55%) the first loss this month.

Was dragged down by the $MCD (-0,31%) by the report on coliform bacteria and landed in the SL below the 200 EMA in pre-market trading.

Losses are part of it ✅️

And to @GoDividend calm down, here is a picture with beer from Mallorca

As every Sunday, the most important news from the past week, as well as the dates for the coming week.

Also as a video:

https://youtube.com/shorts/FGvcLLAZSYk?si=Xyx01rfa453zdtpG

Monday:

The order situation in German industry is developing poorly. Orders fell by 5.8% in August. Economists had expected a decline of only 2.0%. Experts see this as a further sign of crisis in German industry.

https://www.handelsblatt.com/politik/konjunktur/konjunktur-deutsche-industrie-mit-auftragsminus-von-58-prozent/100076767.html

In order to ease the burden on the German pension system, the economic experts now have an unconventional proposal. Children aged 6 and over could be given 10 euros a month by the state to invest in a selected fund with a high proportion of equities.

https://www.handelsblatt.com/politik/deutschland/finanzen-wirtschaftsweise-kindern-geld-fuer-fonds-kauf-geben/100076917.html

Tuesday:

$MCD (-0,31%) McDonald's is suing the four largest beef suppliers in the USA. The company accuses them of price fixing and forming a cartel. The companies include $JBSS3 JBS, $TSN (-0,55%) Tyson Foods, Cargill and National Beef

From Tuesday to Wednesday, the HBO documentary on $BTC (-1,63%) Bitcoin. According to HBO, the secret of Satoshi Nakamoto will be revealed. Nakamoto is considered the creator of Bitcoin, but his identity is still unknown. Nakamoto probably owns 1.1 million Bitcoins, which corresponds to a value of around USD 60 billion. A revelation could be highly explosive for the financial markets.

The revelation is that, according to HBO, Peter Todd is behind Satoshi Nakamoto, but he vehemently denies this.

https://www.bild.de/geld/wirtschaft/bitcoin-erfinder-satoshi-nakamoto-hbo-doku-will-das-geheimnis-lueften-67055b32dd4668399e3be478

https://www.btc-echo.de/schlagzeilen/hbo-tischt-falschen-bitcoin-erfinder-auf-193148/

Wednesday:

German exports are growing, contrary to expectations. In August, goods worth 131.9 billion euros were exported, 1.3% more than in July. The USA in particular is driving exports. Exports to Germany's most important trading partner grew by 5.5%. Exports to China and the UK also increased. Imports, on the other hand, fell slightly to 109.4 billion euros.

https://www.handelsblatt.com/politik/konjunktur/aussenhandel-deutsche-exporte-legen-zu-importe-sinken-deutlich/100077496.html

The FOMC minutes were published on Wednesday evening. Overall, these were received positively on the stock market. The 0.5 percentage point cut in the US was approved by a large majority. However, this is probably not intended to determine the pace of further interest rate cuts.

https://www.handelsblatt.com/finanzen/geldpolitik/fed-prokolle-us-notenbanker-xl-senkung-gibt-kein-tempo-fuer-zinswende-vor/100077711.html

Thursday:

With $BMW (+0,87%) BMW and $MBG (-0,07%) Mercedes, two German brands have made it into the top 10 best-known brands. According to Interbrand, the brand alone is worth more than the companies are currently valued on the stock market. $TSLA (-4,58%) Tesla, on the other hand, is clearly losing brand value. One of the reasons cited is that Elon Musk supports Donald Trump.

https://www.handelsblatt.com/unternehmen/it-medien/interbrand-ranking-zwei-deutsche-in-den-top-ten-der-wertvollsten-marken-der-welt/100072227.html

However, car manufacturers are unable to translate this brand strength into sales. BMW sold 13% fewer cars in the 3rd quarter than in the previous year. Sales fell to 540,000 vehicles. In China in particular, sales fell by 29.8%. However, the main reason for this was delivery stops due to Continental's brake systems. Mercedes was even able to increase sales, at least compared to the previous quarter. In China, however, Mercedes sales also fell by 13%. Mercedes sold a total of 503,600 cars in the 3rd quarter.

https://www.handelsblatt.com/unternehmen/industrie/bmw-und-mercedes-schwaches-china-geschaeft-belastet-den-absatz/100077838.html

Inflation in the USA falls to 2.4%, although this is 0.1 percentage points above the general expectation. This means that the inflation rate is still above the Fed's target of 2%. A second major interest rate cut of 50 basis points has therefore become less likely.

https://www.wiwo.de/finanzen/boerse/bitcoin-kurs-aktuell-inflation-in-den-usa-bei-2-4-prozent-bitcoin-gibt-leicht-nach/27382428.html

$NET (+2,17%) Cloudflare acquires Kivera, enabling it to further expand its position in IT security. This will make the use of cloud services in particular more secure for corporate customers.

https://netzpalaver.de/2024/10/10/cloudflare-uebernimmt-kivera-zur-gewaehrleistung-einfacher-praeventiver-cloud-sicherheit/

Elon Musk has promised autonomous driving, but he has delivered a new date. In 2026, series production at $TSLA (-4,58%) start at Tesla. That would be 10 years since he announced the breakthrough. Elon Musk has thus disappointed the markets. What's more, if his bet on Trump doesn't work out, 2026 is also unlikely to be achievable. Only with Trump could the rules be adapted so that the robo-taxi arrives as early as 2026.

https://www.businessinsider.de/wirtschaft/international-business/elon-musk-enthuellt-robotaxi-von-tesla-so-viel-soll-es-kosten/

Friday:

Also $P911 (-0,41%) Porsche is also selling fewer cars, and Porsche's main problem lies in the Chinese sales market. Porsche is also selling almost 1/3 fewer vehicles in China. Similar to Mercedes and BMW, Porsche has hardly granted any price reductions on its vehicles.

https://www.handelsblatt.com/unternehmen/industrie/vw-konzern-porsche-verkauft-weniger-autos-taycan-absatz-bricht-ein/100077981.html

Most important dates in the coming week:

Tuesday: 11:00 ZEW survey (DE)

Thursday: 14:15 Interest rate decision (ECB)

Friday: 10:00 Current account balance (EU)

What other important dates can you think of?

#termine
#nachrichten
#ezb

Hello Community,

Today I would like to introduce you to a stock category that should divide opinion. We're talking about so-called "sin stocks".

While many focus on ESG, sustainability and the like, there are also investors who look for the exact opposite. I am one of them.

Some people know sin stocks classically from the areas of alcohol, tobacco and gambling. I would like to make it a little more interesting and expand the sin area.

To do this, I'm using the 7 deadly sins of mankind and would like to present some stocks that (can) go hand in hand with them: Pride, Avarice, Lust, Envy, Gluttony, Wrath and Sloth.

First of all, I would like to avoid moral discussions if possible. If you are already catching your breath, please skip this article.

Sin 1: Pride.

He who is to perish first becomes proud, and pride comes before a fall

This includes companies that are active in the luxury segment. For example $RMS (+0,75%) , $RACE (-0,23%) or the very popular $MC (-0,25%). In my view, what makes them interesting is that the more luxurious they are, the less dependent they are on the economy. The super-rich hardly mind if there is an economic crisis. They can also achieve exorbitant margins, as the pricing has to correspond to luxury.

Sin 2: Greed

Because greed is the root of all evil

Greed stocks include the financial sector and its shares. For example $JPM (+1,21%) or $DBK (-1,71%) but also commodity companies such as $XOM (-0,4%)

To be honest, I am less familiar with this sector than with other sectors - the financial industry is generally less interesting due to its lack of transparency.

I find commodity companies more interesting - perhaps even more so "suppliers" such as $NE (-0,72%) which count as manufacturers of drilling rigs.

Sin 3: Lust

I don't have any shares in this portfolio myself. For a long time I flirted with $RICK (-0,73%) They are active in the "adult entertainment" sector and run strip clubs. They also run restaurants ("bombshells") where the waitresses' work clothes are made of very little material. However, these bombshells are not that attractive from my point of view, which is why I didn't get involved.

You can certainly also include apps like $GRND can certainly be included here.

Do you have / do you know of any stocks that you would classify here?

Sin 4: Envy

In this category you can put cosmetics stocks like $OR (-0,71%) or social media stocks like $META (-2,23%) can be counted in this category. My portfolio is also underrepresented here.

Sin 5: Gluttony

Binge drinking and gluttony characterize people who are lost

The classic among the sin stocks. These can include alcohol companies such as $DGE (-0,46%) tobacco companies like $PM (+0,48%) or fast food companies like $MCD (-0,31%)

Even more blatant would be something like $TSN (-0,55%) as a meat producer.

As tobacco or alcohol (can) be addictive, there is a strong lock-in effect. This is probably why many investors steer clear of such shares.

I see $MNST (-0,16%) as one of the most exciting gluttony stocks. As manufacturers of energy drinks, they remind me a little of tobacco companies, but they are hardly regulated and can advertise freely. Strong growth of the market - and the share.

Sin 6: Anger

The second classic. All stocks in the defense industry can be counted under wrath. A few years ago, they were frowned upon from an ESG perspective, but they are now almost back in vogue. $LMT (+0,94%) , $RTX (-0,37%) or $RHM (-0,78%) should be familiar to most people. They are heavily dependent on government orders and therefore political decisions. However, the trend over the next few years should be upwards.

In my view, an exciting "Zorn" share is $AXON (+1,43%) . This is a supplier to the police, primarily in the USA. For example with bodycams or tasers. I was on the verge of getting in at 90$ - and unfortunately missed it.

Sin 7: Sloth

Don't be lazy when it comes to being diligent

Companies that contribute to inactivity or passivity could be categorized here. First and foremost the gambling industry. I see the most exciting value here in $EVO (-1,33%). One of the stocks with the highest weighting in my portfolio. It is a "supplier" for online casinos. The growth is enormous - the gaming industry is still very much analog. However, the online segment is growing at double-digit rates per year - as is Evolution Gaming. Plus a nice dividend.

Otherwise, you can also make use of various stationary casino operators.

That was my ride through the Sin Stocks.

I would now like to know what exciting sin stocks you have.

And also whether you see any other sin stocks.

By the way, I had the prison operator in my head the whole time $GEO (-2,62%) in my head the whole time - it seems to me to be the final stop for many sins.

Upcoming events this week:

Monday

• Earnings reports from McDonald's ($MCD (-0,31%) ), Caterpillar Inc. ($CAT (+0,86%) ), Palantir Technologies Inc. ($PLTR (+6,35%) ), ON Semiconductor Corp. ($ON (+0,57%) ) and Tyson Foods Inc. ($TSN (-0,55%) )
• Speech by Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic
• S&P final U.S. Services PMI (January)
• ISM Services PMI (January)
• Senior Loan Officer Survey

Tuesday

• Earnings Reports from Eli Lilly
  $LLY (+1,78%) ), Amgen ($AMGN (+0,51%) ), BP ($BP. (-0,03%) ), Gilead Sciences Inc. ($GILD (+1,02%) ), Ford ($F (+0,74%) ), GE HealthCare Technologies Inc. ($GEHC (+1,73%) ) and Snap Inc. ($SNAP (+0,45%) )
• Speeches by Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester and Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker

Wednesday

• Earnings Reports from Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. ($BABA (-2,95%) ), Disney ($DIS (-0,24%) ), Uber Technologies Inc. ($UBER (-0,14%) ), CVS Health Corp. ($CVS (+0,57%) ), Arm Holdings PLC ($ARM (-2,66%) ) and PayPal Holdings Inc. ($PYPL (-0,38%) )
• Speeches by Fed Gov. Adriana Kugler, Fed Gov. Michelle Bowman and Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin
• US trade deficit (December)
• Consumer credit (January)
• 
  Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

Thursday

• Earnings Reports from S&P Global Inc. ($SPGI (+0,02%) ), Philip Morris International Inc. ($PM (+0,48%) ), ConocoPhillips ($COP (-1,23%) ), Unilever ($UL (-1,35%) ), Honda ($HMC (+0%) ) and AstraZeneca ($AZN (+1,05%) )
• Initial claims for unemployment benefits (week ending February 3)
• Wholesale inventories (December)
• Speech by Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin
• Financial stability statement by Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen before Congress

Friday

• Earnings Report from PepsiCo ($PEP (+0,05%) )
• Annual seasonal adjustments (CPI)

Outlook for next week.

Monday

• Mizuho Financial Group ($MFG (-1,7%) ), XP Inc. ($XP (+0%) ), Sun Life Financial (SLF), Tyson Foods ($TSN (-0,55%) ) and AECOM ($ACM (+0%) ) present their quarterly reports are presented.
• Publication of the New York Fed Consumer Inflation Expectations (October).

Tuesday

• The Home Depot ($HD (+1,1%) ), Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group ($8316 (-2,01%) ), Mitsubishi Financial Group ($8306 (-3,92%) ), Nu Holdings ($NU (-0,2%) ), Sea Limited ($SE (-1,3%) ) and Tencent Music Entertainment Group ($TME (+1,32%) ) report their quarterly results.
• Publication of the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index (October) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) (October).

Wednesday

• Cisco Systems ($CSCO (+0,68%) ), TJX Companies ($TJX (+0,11%) ), Palo Alto Networks ($PANW (-2,12%) ), Target ($TGT (-0,34%) ), JD.com ($JD. (-1,28%) ), XPeng ($XPEV (-1,02%) ), Catalent ($CTLT (+0%) ) and Tetra Tech ($TTEK (-1,03%) ) present their quarterly figures.
• Publication of the Producer Price Index
  (PPI) (October), the New York Fed Empire State Manufacturing Index (November), the Business Inventories (September) and the Retail Sales (October).

Thursday

• Walmart ($WMT (-2,1%) ), Alibaba Group ($BABA (-2,95%) ), Applied Materials Inc. ($AMAT (+0,53%) ), NetEase Inc. ($NTES (-0,56%) ), Ross Stores ($ROST (+0,34%) ), Warner Music Group ($WMG (+0,78%) ), NICE Ltd. ($NICE (+0,01%) ), Bath & Body Works ($BBWI (+1,18%) ), The Gap Inc. ($GPS (+0%) ), Macy's ($M (+1,82%) ) and Spire Inc. ($SR (+0,79%) ) present their quarterly reports.
• Publication of the Industrial Production (October) and the National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index (November).

Friday

• BJ's Wholesale Club ($BJ (-0,28%) ), Atkore Inc. ($ATKR (+0,21%) ) and Spectrum Brands Holdings ($SPB (-1,21%) ) present their quarterly figures.
• Deadline for funding of the US government.
• Publication of the Housing Starts (October).

Boring is beautiful at Investing

Post-purchase