1Anno·

Biogas, a fart idea?



Biogas is considered a flexible energy source that, unlike wind and solar energy, can be stored well. In addition, biogas is considered the climate-neutral alternative to natural gas. It is a domestic, renewable energy source and offers a closed CO2 and nutrient cycle.


In 2019, approximately 9,500 biogas plants produced about 5 gigawatts of electric power. This was about 5% of gross electricity consumption.

At the same time, the production of electricity and heat generated about 8.1 billion euros in biomass sales in the same year.


The production of biogas can be more lucrative than raising animals. For many farmers, biogas has therefore become an important source of income. When they produce electricity for the public grid from biogas, they receive a certain feed-in tariff for each kilowatt hour.


But biogas plants have a problem: their profits depend on the global prices of agricultural products. As more and more new biogas plants are built, competition for biomass from the field intensifies. Since corn is the most efficient crop for biogas, critics see a danger in the proliferation of corn crops, which would desert the landscape and deplete the soil.


The federal government around the Federal Minister of Economics would like to further promote biogas until 2024 in order to secure and expand the energy supply in Germany.


A profiteer could be Verbio Vereinigte BioEnergie AG $VBK (-3,36%) could be.


VERBIO Vereinigte BioEnergie AG is one of the leading biofuel producers in Europe and sees itself as the only manufacturer and supplier that sells both biodiesel and bioethanol in Germany and Europe.


Its customers include almost all European mineral oil companies.


What do you think, is this share worth an investment?

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13 Commenti

immagine del profilo
@DivMaster Verbio - Waiting for turnaround turns into a hanging game Since Verbio was ousted from the MDAX, our former model portfolio stock has been struggling to recover. Due to low sales and high purchase price levels, the Saxony-Anhalt-based company was forced to scrap its forecast for the current fiscal year at the end of April. The SDAX share (38.25 euros; DE000A0JL9W6) slumped by almost 50% YTD in the face of the headwinds, before a short-term countermovement of 25% set in at the beginning of June. Was this the long-awaited turnaround? We still have our doubts. The main problem that Verbio currently faces is, and remains, costs. Verbio succeeded in the first nine months (as of March 31) of FY 2022/23 to expand sales by an impressive 23% to €1.5 billion, but at the same time EBIT fell by around 37% to €184.7 million. It can be assumed that there will be no significant recovery in Q4 either. The reason: low biodiesel and high raw material prices. Even if raw material prices collapsed overnight, an improvement would not be felt until later due to the long time lag between purchases and sales. According to the industry association ufop, sales prices for biodiesel have recently risen slightly by 5% to 157.7 euros/100 l, which is likely to have triggered the rally, but at the same time the price remains at a low level. And purchase prices for rapeseed oil also recently rose again sharply to a three-month high. EBIT margins have therefore melted sharply from 25 to 10% after the record year of 2022 and are likely to remain at around 10 to 12% until 2025. A turnaround is not impossible. With a net debt-free balance sheet, Verbio has a buffer to invest more in switching to waste products such as straw or chicken manure and thus escape a possible ban on biofuels from food and feed crops. However, with a 2023 P/E of 16, the stock is no bargain in historical terms (17).
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immagine del profilo
In fact, a fart idea. Food belongs on the table and not in a biogas plant. If you look at the grain agreement between Ukraine and Russia and see what far-reaching consequences this has. From the principle not bad process gases to use from resulting "waste" here there is however also the bio ton / purification plants / urban green care - corn is now really a power and also fodder plant.
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immagine del profilo
How do you think they are valued at the current price?
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