$NVDA (-0,8 %) time for something new.
Discussion sur NVDA
Postes
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2J·
27% in September - benchmark clearly beaten, positively surprised 📈⚡️
Annual targets achieved in one month. Individual shares such as $IREN (+7,59 %)
$ASTS (+2,22 %)
$PNG (+2,81 %)
$TTR1 (+6,6 %)
$IPX (+3,49 %) ...
and warrants on $HAG (+2,14 %)
$ENR (-2,17 %)
$NVDA (-0,8 %) have done the rest.
I have therefore already exceeded the annual target of around 25% with the growth strategy in the second month 📈👍
My best month on the stock market so far and I see this month as at least a small confirmation of my reallocation...
I'm really super happy with such a performance 🌟
@Multibagger you must have made a good double-digit performance this month too, right? 😁 @BamBamInvest and @Tenbagger2024 you are of course invited to put your cards on the table again 😜
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18 Commentaires
Of course, with my rather conservative portfolio, I don't stand a chance.
But you're still young and don't have much to lose.
But whatever you do, I'll pull mine 🎩
But you're still young and don't have much to lose.
But whatever you do, I'll pull mine 🎩
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2J·
What do you think about these stock picks
I’ve been investing for a month now and these are the stocks down on my portfolio. Since I started investing $GOOGL (-0,67 %) stock has dragged my portfolio but $NVDA (-0,8 %) and $PLTR (-6,93 %) has been covering up for it. I understand these stocks are volatile but I’d still like to know. Is this okay for balancing for long term?
8Positions
1,18 %
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3J·
Most popular shares at the moment:
4J·
Quite conciliatory
According to some wisdom, September is a difficult month on the stock market. After a really weak August, I am pleased that September ended with a quasi ATH for $NVDA (-0,8 %) and almost ATH for my portfolio.
Let's see what happens between now and the end of the year. It would be nice if there was some better news again, especially with regard to the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East.
Happy October everyone!
4J·
Current plan
Good evening everyone,
I now have the plan to take a total of 5 shares, as each additional share would mean higher diversification, which would most likely lead to lower returns.
Current portfolio idea:
Nvidia $NVDA (-0,8 %) 20%
- High demand due to AI
Amazon $AMZN (-1,27 %) 20%
- Christmas business and growth in the cloud segment
Palantir $PLTR (-6,93 %) 15%
- High demand due to AI data solutions and strong government orders
Coinbase $COIN (+1,92 %) 15%
- Hope for a crypto bull run
Micron Technology $MU (+2,16 %) 15%
- HBM and memory chips for AI servers (benefits from AI hype)
And the remaining 15% to buy/rebalance when a stock is down 5% or more.
I realize that many of these stocks are already very expensive, but who says that the hype is over right now?
I think the hype can definitely go on for the next 4 months and who knows what else is coming with AI etc.
It's about getting as much potential return as possible, so I have to take a high risk.
I am open to tips and criticism and am still thinking back and forth about what can be changed.
I look forward to your opinions.
4J·
Stock market simulation game
Good morning everyone,
Tomorrow I'm starting a project called Planspiel Börse, where the aim is to generate as much return as possible in groups of 4 in just under 4 months with a fictitious share/etf portfolio of €50,000.
Unfortunately, I have already noticed a few problems, there are almost no small-mid caps, which means it will be difficult to achieve a particularly good return.
In addition, you can only weight each position by 20%, there is an order fee of €15 + 0.3% and there is no leverage or similar.
Now I would like to know how you would approach this.
What would be your weighting?
What strategy would you use?
- For example, would you focus on stocks that are currently trending like $PLTR (-6,93 %) or buy stocks that have fallen extremely and hope for a comeback like $NOVO B (+1,06 %)
Would you invest everything straight away?
- (Time in the market beats timing the market) or hold back half of it and wait for a market setback.
Or do you already have ideas for stocks?
- They would have to be in the Nasdaq100, DAX40, MDAX, Eurostoxx50 or Dow Jones30.
I look forward to your answers and am grateful for any help.
Addendum: Here is a list of all tradable stocks etc. PB25_Wertpapierliste.pdf
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37 Commentaires
@Tenbagger2024 What do you think of the plan? I was also thinking about adding $RTX to include air and space travel and a bit of defense at the same time.
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6J·
Dates week 40
As every Sunday, the most important news from the past week, as well as the most important dates for the coming week.
Also as a video:
https://youtube.com/shorts/M_dTzWMSzmA?feature=shared
Sunday:
As Trump wages a tariff war against India, India is now implementing a VAT cut. German car manufacturers such as $MBG (+1,52 %) Mercedes could also benefit, as customers are now likely to buy particularly expensive products.
Monday:
$NVDA (-0,8 %) NVIDIA wants to invest 100 billion US dollars in OpenAI. For comparison, this is the amount of the special fund that Germany set up for the military after the attack on Ukraine by Russia. The investment is to be used primarily for new data centers and power requirements.
$ORSTED (+1,01 %) Orsted will probably be allowed to continue building the wind farm in the USA for the time being. The construction freeze imposed by Trump has been lifted. Judge Royce Lamberth described the statements made by the government weeks after the freeze as the "height of arbitrary and capricious" government action. Once completed, the wind farm is expected to supply 350,000 households with electricity.
Wednesday:
The 15% tariffs on EU exports to the US are retroactive to August 1. Duties paid will be refunded accordingly, good news for car manufacturers such as $VOW (-0,63 %) Volkswagen.
Friday:
Inflation in Japan is not rising any further. The Bank of Japan's decision not to raise key interest rates and to wait and see seems to have been the right one. Instead of 2.8% as expected, the inflation rate was only 2.5%.
https://www.japantimes.co.jp/business/2025/09/26/economy/tokyo-cpi-september/
These are the most important dates for the coming week:
Monday: 11:00 Consumer confidence (EU)
Tuesday: 14:00 Inflation data (DE)
Friday: 14:30 Labor market data (USA)
Can you think of any other dates?
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3 CommentairesSince when has Germany had a "special fund"?
Hopefully we will also get a VAT reduction.
Hopefully we will also get a VAT reduction.
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1Sem.·
SoftBank update ℹ️ - share price gains of over 150%
I have already described here several times this year why I think that the SoftBank Group share $9984 (+2,83 %) is a top pick when it comes to AI. Now the share price confirms this assumption with an increase of more than 150% since April.
What is the reason for the sharp rise? The answer is short and clear: AI. The reorientation towards everything to do with AI in order to "become the number 1 platform provider for AI" has caused the share price to explode.
So many new projects were announced in 2024/2025 that it was impossible to keep up. The 500 billion dollar Stargate project in the USA and the 40 billion dollar financing round for OpenAI were particularly prominent.
Added to this is a strategic investment of 2 billion dollars in Intel $INTC (-1,64 %)the announcement by the portfolio company ARM $ARM (+0,31 %) to switch from pure IP licensing to its own chip design, a JV with OpenAI for enterprise AI in Japan, a JV with TempusAI $TEM (+1,97 %) for medical AI in Japan, a JV with Intel for the development of energy-efficient memory chips (Saimemory) an IPO of the portfolio company and No. 1 fintech in Japan PayPay in New York, the plan together with NVIDIA $NVDA (-0,8 %) to convert the Japanese telecommunications network for AI workloads (AI-RAN), several data centers under construction (independent of Stargate)........ The list could go on and on, but I think the message is clear.
In my opinion, no company is so broadly positioned when it comes to AI. From energy (SoftBank Energy), to the chips used (ARM, Ampere, Graphcore), to the data center as a whole (Stargate, others), to the AI itself (OpenAI) and the AI applications (various). They are active along the entire value chain.
I was also skeptical at first about how to manage all of this at once, also in terms of the sheer amount of work involved, but the first results are becoming visible. SoftBank is building 2 data centers with a capacity of 1.5 GW with OpenAI as part of Stargate. The fact that they are only involved in part of the Stargate data centers and then only with OpenAI is very positive, as I consider the projects on this scale to be very realistic. In addition, there are no conflicts about the technology to be used and SoftBank can clearly favor its portfolio companies in everything.
It will also be interesting to see how the 40 billion financing round progresses. The second half should be invested by the end of the year. With an agreed valuation of 260 billion dollars (plus cash 300), SoftBank should hold around 10% of OpenAI after the financing round. Now that NVIDIA has announced that it will invest 100 billion in OpenAI, although it is still unclear when, how and at what valuation, this is likely to have a massive impact on the value of SoftBank's stake.
The two Vision Funds are also doing well and have recovered from the difficult years. They are now another positive influence on the company's profits. However, they are becoming less and less important as more and more staff are withdrawn from them to work on the AI projects. Fewer new positions are also being added and some older ones are being liquidated.
I am particularly interested in how SoftBank's chip design ambitions will develop over the next few years. Now already in possession of three chip designers (ARM, Ampere Computing and Graphcore), a partnership with Intel (Saimemory) and a strategic stake in the Japanese giga start-up Rapidus, the focus is becoming increasingly visible. How quickly will the restructuring of ARM take shape? Will individual portfolio companies be merged? Will Rapidus, with its impressive interim results, be a success?
These questions will continue to occupy me over the next few years and I will continue to keep a close eye on the milestones achieved so far. The 2030s could definitely be transformative for the SoftBank Group.
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1Sem.·
Sep 24 / ASML – The Quiet Giant Wakes Up
The Market Finally Gets It? What a Re-Rating
ASML has been in both my portfolios since the very beginning, and I even published a comprehensive deep dive on the company earlier this year. For months, nothing happened – the stock was flat through the first half of 2024, and to many it probably looked boring.
Some even dared to question ASML’s market position amid the tariff crisis and comparatively “weak” earnings. But then things took a turn, and suddenly the market decided to pay attention. Shares are up almost 40% since the start of August. That’s not a small move for a company of this size. People love talking about Google’s resurgence, but many forget that ASML outperformed the giant in this period.
The obvious question to ask is: “what changed?” Did ASML suddenly reinvent semis? No. The story is exactly the same as before. The company holds a de facto monopoly in EUV lithography, the most important foundational technology for advanced semiconductors. If you want to build cutting-edge chips, you need ASML – no exceptions. That hasn’t changed in years, and won’t change anytime soon. As pointed out in my analysis, competitors, if any, are light-years behind. You can barely imagine a healthier position to be in. “The AI revolution hinges on Nvidia.” Yes, but don’t forget about ASML. Without them and their technology, all these advanced fantasies are nothing more than that: dreams. ASML is the backbone of this mega trend, and the market, apparently, has made this realization.
Maybe the real shift is in perception. For a long time, investors treated ASML like just another cyclical chip equipment play, ignoring the power of its monopoly. With a forward P/E around 30–35, the stock is actually still cheap historically and compared to other tech monopolies. Microsoft, Nvidia, even Salesforce – all command far higher multiples despite not holding quite the same chokehold on their industry.
So the question is whether the market has finally woken up to what ASML really is: not just another semiconductor stock, but the single most important supplier in the global chip arms race. The recent run looks like the market re-rating ASML closer to where it belongs. Something I am betting on with quite a lot of my holdings: whether it’s Salesforce, Adobe, or Fiserv, I believe markets misjudge the power of these leaders. Now one of them is finally getting close to a fair price.
For me, nothing changes. I continue to hold, as I always have. This is one of those rare “set and forget” positions, where the only real risk is if China has cooked something up in a secret lab – and even then, ASML would still dominate the Western market. You can bet that Trump wouldn’t allow Chinese chips to power “his” AI race. ASML is simply too important to ignore.
$ASML (-0,29 %)
$ASML (+0 %)
$NVDA (-0,8 %)
$MSFT (-0,15 %)
$CRM (+0,53 %)
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1 Commentaire
1Sem.
I started building a position in ASML in August and i'm already 30% in the green.
I can't and won't stop buying it. The best company in the semiconductor sector imo
I can't and won't stop buying it. The best company in the semiconductor sector imo
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