Intel Action Forum

Hello :)

I can't say yet if there will be a comeback here - but now I have some time to briefly introduce a trade I'm in or in which I'm increasingly going into should I get more bullish signals.

Currently I am still holding a $TSLA (-6,59 %) long from May $INTC (-2,95 %) from September (even if we are still a bit away from my entry here). $NTR (-3,23 %) Long from July (it should move!) and since October a $BA (-2,23 %) long - which I am now presenting!

Why is that $BA (-2,23 %) ? Well, a colleague at work has told me several times how bad the company is doing and that (to exaggerate) he expects it to go bankrupt next year. So I thought I'd take a look at the chart and lo and behold I found it quite attractive for a long ;).

As you know, I don't pay much attention to fundamental news, so I'm not interested in the bad news. With a few exceptions, everything is priced in before we hear about it and then I can see it in the chart anyway.

Briefly on the basic situation:

Corona crashed to 88$ then a nice rebound to 280$. That would give us our range for the last 3-4 years. Even due to Corona and the latest NASA news etc., we have never broken our breakout zone from the all-time high. We never broke our breakout zone from the all-time high. This means that we have always remained bullish in the monthly structure and higher.

What is my basic target for this trade? Breakout zone from Pre Corona. So 300-400$.

Why now ?

We are basically at the lower end of the range. That means basically in the discount zone. - Anyone who knows me knows that I only take trades from a discount zone - in other words, I always trade anti-cyclically and on trend changes after a clear confirmation. In other words, I don't buy into a bearish candle at random, but after we have already seen a structural change in the order flow.

In addition, we have reached a POC, i.e. a point of control (point of highest volume in a range). We still have a nice POC a little further down at around 133$ but that would break the order flow which would be so bearish that the trade is irrelevant for me anyway. (There is no perfect setup anyway).

We are currently accumulating nicely at the trendline and have obtained a bullish structure on the daily chart. At the beginning I said that I am not yet completely convinced - this is because we are currently still at the breakdown point - so we could expand downwards at any time with a strong downward impulse. However, if we now break the 160 mark again impulsively, this is a clear signal for me that the share wants more and I would then buy even more into my position on a correction.

The first and most difficult target is the 180$ mark. Here we have the point of control of the downward movement that came about after the last test of the range highs at 260$. Above 200 at the latest is practically no man's land and price discovery up to 260$.

So I set my stop loss at 180$ to +-0 (breakeven). If we break and close the range highs at 260$ impulsively with a weekly candle, the path to the target at 300$+ is clear.

Why do I think the trade is good at the moment and I am already in it without having broken the 165$ .... well, I just think the chart is good and wanted to open halfway. A lot comes with time simply by feeling and I have the chance here to set a tight stop loss and thus get a comparatively high R/R with high leverage. So I have a tight invalidation level. Earnings are now over and the news is therefore limited.

It is important to mention that my entry is a RISK ENTRY and a confirmation for me is actually only given from the break of 160$. Before that, anything can happen and it is normally just a watchlist position for me. (So exception)

Enclosed you will find my monthly, weekly and daily charts. Questions as always in the comments. I have probably written complete gibberish again.

PS. $DIS (+0,59 %) is currently on my watchlist.

If you have any great stocks on your watchlist - check them out. Due to $TSLA (-6,59 %) has freed up some liquidity, so I can enter into a few new swing trades.

Greetings Melon!

Intel-CEO Pat Gelsinger has announced the purchase of 11.150 shares of Intel
$INTC (-2,95 %) reported.

The Intel-CEO $INTC (-2,95 %) announces that the company is close to finalizing a multi-year, multi-billion dollar deal with Amazon Web Services
$AMZN (+1,9 %) . -WSJ

05.11.2024

US elections underway + Nvidia benefits from Dow admission and processor news + PALANTIR accelerates growth thanks to AI + DHL earns less on the bottom line + Biontech increases revenue and profit

The first decisions of the US presidential election have been made: In the small town of Dixville Notch in the state of New Hampshire, Democrat Kamala Harris and her Republican opponent Donald Trump tied by 3 votes to 3, as announced on a hand-written board shortly after midnight (local time). The voter turnout was 100 percent. The polling station in Dixville Notch has been opening at midnight on election day since 1960.

The index provider S&P Dow Jones Indices announced on Friday after the close of trading that Nvidia $NVDA (+2,32 %) will be included in the US Dow Jones Industrial index this Friday. For the manufacturer of chips related to artificial intelligence (AI), the shares of semiconductor company Inte l$INTC (-2,95 %) have to make way. Nvidia's market capitalization has increased tenfold over the past two years to around 3.3 trillion dollars, while Intel's has fallen by just under a fifth to 100 billion dollars. Various media outlets are also reporting that Nvidia is developing its own ARM processors for notebooks, which could be launched on the market in September 2025. Until now, the company was primarily known for its graphics processors in the consumer segment. ARM processors are primarily used in mobile devices such as smartphones and tablets.

Palantir $PLTR (-0,28 %) Technologies presented exceptionally strong business figures in the third quarter of 2024. The company reported year-on-year growth of 30%, bringing total revenue to USD 726 million.

This dynamic development is particularly attributable to rapid growth in the United States, where sales climbed by 44% to USD 499 million. The US commercial business in particular increased its sales by an impressive 54% to USD 179 million. The area of government contracts also contributed significantly to the success, recording an increase of 40% to USD 320 million. This dynamic development is due in particular to the rapid growth in the United States, where sales climbed by 44% to USD 499 million. The US commercial business in particular increased its sales by an impressive 54% to USD 179 million. The area of government contracts also contributed significantly to the success and recorded an increase of 40% to USD 320 million. This exceeded analysts' expectations.

The logistics group DHL $DHL (-1,76 %) earned less on the bottom line in the third quarter due to increased personnel costs, a lower number of letters sent and weak margins for air transportation, among other things. Net profit fell by almost seven percent to EUR 751 million, the Group announced on Tuesday when presenting detailed figures for the third quarter in Bonn. As has been known since the end of October, DHL was able to keep earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) stable at just under 1.4 billion euros - thanks in part to positive special effects. When presenting the key figures, DHL also lowered its forecast for operating profit in the current year and for 2026. However, the medium-term targets for free cash flow and investments were confirmed. Compared to the previous year, revenue increased by six percent to 20.6 billion euros.

Biontech $BNTX (-2,25 %) significantly increased sales in the third quarter thanks to the successful market launch of adapted Covid-19 vaccines for the 2024/2025 vaccination season and also earned more on the bottom line. Nevertheless, the company now sees sales for the year as a whole at the lower end of the forecast range. In view of the cautious outlook, the share price held up slightly.

Tuesday: Stock market dates, economic data, quarterly figures

Quarterly figures / company dates USA / Asia

08:30 Nintendo half-year figures

13:00 Dupont quarterly figures

No time specified: USA: Yum! Brands | Cummins quarterly figures

Quarterly figures / Company dates Europe

06:45 Redcare Pharmacy quarterly figures

07:00 DHL Group | Fraport | Fresenius Medical Care | Krones | Zalando | Norma Group Quarterly figures

07:30 Hugo Boss | Uniper | Bouygues Quarterly figures

08:00 Schaeffler | Vestas Wind | AB Foods quarterly figures

08:30 DHL Group PK

09:00 Audi 9 months results | Zalando | Hugo Boss PK

09:30 Zalando Analyst Conference

10:00 DHL Group Analyst Conference

10:30 Fraport BI-PK

11:00 Hugo Boss | Schaeffler Analyst Conference

14:00 Ferrari quarterly figures

Unscheduled: Unicredit quarterly figures

Economic data

• 08:45 FR: Industrial Production September FORECAST: -0.5% yoy previous: +1.4% yoy
• 10:30 UK: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI non-manufacturing (2nd release) October OUTLOOK: 51.8 1st release: 51.8 previous: 52.4
• 14:30 US: Trade Balance September FORECAST: -84.00 bn USD previously: -70.43 bn USD
• 16:00 US: ISM Non-Manufacturing Index October FORECAST: 53.7 points PREVIOUS: 54.9 points
• Without time US: Presidential and congressional elections

04.11.2024

Investors see the chance of a turnaround at Intel + Tesla employees sue + Shell fights for approval + Vonovia builds on sales proceeds

Intel $INTC (-2,95 %) has announced its results for the 3rd quarter of 2024. Once again, the company reported a decline in sales compared to the previous year, and the loss of almost 17 billion US dollars was higher than ever before. However, the share price rose due to write-downs and restructuring and a positive outlook.

https://www.computerbase.de/news/wirtschaft/aktie-steigt-nach-rekordverlust-investoren-sehen-bei-intel-die-chance-einer-trendwende.90152/

The employees of the US electric car manufacturer Tesla $TSLA (-6,59 %) at the German plant in Grünheide feel overworked and complain of work-related pain. According to Handelsblatt, this is the result of a survey conducted by IG Metall, in which more than 1,200 employees took part, according to the union. The results are shocking, said IG Metall district manager Dirk Schulze in an interview with Handelsblatt. While the company did not comment on the issue, Tesla's works council distanced itself from the union survey. (Handelsblatt)

The energy company Shell $SHEL (-0,63 %) is fighting for approval to sell its onshore oil and gas business in Nigeria worth 1.3 billion US dollars after the sale was blocked by regulators. The group and proposed buyer Renaissance Africa Energy were informed by the Nigerian regulator in August that the deal could not be approved in its current form, people familiar with the matter said. Both companies have been lobbying intensively since then, but have been unable to persuade the regulator to change course. Shell chief executive Wael Sawan told the newspaper that talks with the regulator were continuing. (Financial Times).

At Vonovia $VNA (-1,46 %) has made some progress since the second quarter: shortly after the end of the third quarter, the target of generating 3 billion euros in liquidity through sales proceeds this year has been exceeded with 3.3 billion euros, and the Group is scratching at the 4 billion euros of the previous year. And Vonovia CEO Rolf Buch is pressing ahead with the integration of the subsidiary Deutsche Wohnen: Extraordinary general meetings at Vonovia and Deutsche Wohnen, in which Vonovia holds just under 87 percent, are soon to approve a domination and profit and loss transfer agreement, under which minority shareholders are to be compensated with new Vonovia shares and a compensation payment. The results for the third quarter will therefore take a back seat. The residential real estate group is also likely to present a forecast for the coming year, as it intends to switch from "consolidation" and debt reduction to growth again from 2025. Quarterly figures on Thursday, November 6, 2024 7:00 am.

Monday: Stock market dates, economic data, quarterly figures

Stock market holiday in Japan and Russia

ex-dividend of individual stocks

Citigroup USD 0.56

Quarterly figures / company dates USA / Asia

13:00 Marriott International quarterly figures

22:05 Altice quarterly figures

Untimed: American International Group Quarterly figures

Quarterly figures / Company dates Europe

07:00 Ryanair half-year figures

11:00 Clariant Investor Day

12:00 Biontech quarterly figures

14:00 Biontech Analyst Conference

Untimed: NXP Semiconductors quarterly figures

Economic data

• 09:45 IT: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI manufacturing October PROGNOSIS: 48.4 previous: 48.3
• 09:50 FR: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI Manufacturing (2nd release) October FORECAST: 44.5 1st release: 44.5 PREV: 44.6
• 09:55 DE: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI Manufacturing (2nd release) October FORECAST: 42.6 1st release: 42.6 Previous: 40.6
• 10:00 EU: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI manufacturing Eurozone (2nd release) October FORECAST: 45.9 1st release: 45.9 PREV: 45.0
• 10:30 UK: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI Manufacturing (2nd release) October FORECAST: n.a. 1. Release: 50.3 Previous: 51.5
• 15:30 US: US and Canadian stock markets start again at the usual time at 15:30
• 15:45 US: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI Manufacturing (2nd release) October PROGNOSIS: n.a. 1st release: 47.8 previous: 47.3
• 16:00 US: Industrial New Orders September FORECAST: -0.5% yoy previous: -0.2% yoy

$NVDA (+2,32 %) displaced $INTC (-2,95 %) in the Dow Jones, and finanzen.net doesn't say a word about it ...

Which financial news sites do you like best and why?

In a significant shift in the technology sector of the stock market, Nvidia Corporation $NVDA (+2,32 %) is poised to take the place of Intel Corporation $INTC (-2,95 %)

in the Dow Jones Industrial Average market.

This announced change marks the end of Intel's 25-year affiliation with the prestigious blue-chip index.