The introduction of DeepSeek with its R1 model has really shaken up the financial markets. While NVIDIA $NVDA (-3,63 %) and OpenAI are coming under pressure, we see other companies such as AMD $AMD (-2,29 %) and Intel $INTC (-4,07 %)presenting themselves as beneficiaries of the new AI era. 😲

But what does this mean for us investors? The current market turbulence not only offers risks, but also opportunities. Some stocks have already fallen, such as Meta $META (-1,11 %) and Microsoft $MSFT (-1,57 %)but other stocks such as Amazon $AMZN (-2,39 %) and Adobe $ADBE (-2,14 %) are also down.

How are you feeling about the situation? Are you on the lookout for bargains or are you remaining cautious? Discuss with us: Which shares do you see as the big winners of the AI revolution? 📈

Last year was a complete success for many investors - but not for everyone. While the S&P 500 rose by around 25 %, there were also shares that took a nosedive. 🤔

The biggest losers included companies such as Celanese Corp. $CE (+0,27 %), which fell by 19.25 %, and Estée Lauder ($EL (+1,18 %)which lost 1.45 %. Intel $INTC (-4,07 %) and Moderna $MRNA (+6,04 %) were also under pressure.

But what does that mean? Are yesterday's flops the potential stars of tomorrow? Some analysts see recovery potential, while others point to the ongoing challenges.

What do you think? Is it worth buying into these supposed bargains now, or is staying away the better strategy? Let's discuss it! 📈💬

BICO Group AB has bought back convertible bonds + Intel in talks about the sale of Altera + Jefferies raises STMicro to 'Buy' with target up to 34 euros + AI and robotics hopes at Meta remain in focus + Exasol with preliminary consolidated figures for 2024

BICO Group AB $BICO (-4,29 %)has repurchased convertible bonds worth SEK 276 million

• On March 19, 2021, BICO Group AB (publ) ("BICO" or the "Company") issued senior unsecured convertible bonds with an aggregate principal amount of SEK 1,500,000,000 (the "Convertible Bonds").
• On February 18, 2025, the Company repurchased Convertible Bonds with an aggregate principal amount of SEK 276,000,000 at a purchase price of 89.4719 percent (excluding accrued but unpaid interest) of the principal amount of the Convertible Bonds.
• The total purchase price for the repurchased convertible bonds thus amounted to SEK 246,942,500 (the "Repurchase").
• After the Repurchase and together with the Convertible Bonds repurchased by BICO on November 22, 2024 (as notified separately), the aggregate principal amount of Convertible Bonds repurchased by BICO amounts to SEK 394,000,000, leaving SEK 1,106,000,000 of Convertible Bonds outstanding.
• The reason for the repurchase was to optimize BICO's capital structure and was made possible by the company's strong liquidity position.
• BICO will continue to monitor the bond market and may repurchase additional convertible bonds in the market from time to time, depending on the company's liquidity needs.
• The repurchase was executed under a safe harbor approach with Carnegie Investment Bank AB (publ) as Dealer Manager.

Intel $INTC (-4,07 %)in discussions regarding the sale of Altera

• Silver Lake is in talks to acquire a majority stake in Intel's Altera division.
• The chipmaker hired advisors last year to find private equity investors willing to build a significant stake in Altera.
• Intel acquired Altera in 2015 for around 17 billion US dollars.
• Intel believes that a share sale could increase the value of Altera and create the conditions for a complete exit.
• Altera has attracted interest from rival chipmakers, but Silver Lake, a US private equity firm, has emerged as Intel's preferred option, according to three people familiar with the matter.

(Financial Times)

Jefferies raises STMicro $STMPA (-1,92 %)to 'Buy' - target up to 34 euros

• The analyst firm Jefferies has upgraded STMicroelectronics from "Hold" to "Buy" and raised its price target from 23 to 34 euros.
• The night is always darkest before the dawn, said analyst Janardan Menon above his buy recommendation on Wednesday.
• He no longer anticipates consensus corrections at the chip group, but expects growth to pick up from the second half of the year.
• The demand cycle for chips for industry and the automotive sector is picking up and deserves a revaluation

AI and robot hopes at Meta $META (-1,11 %)remain in focus

• The prospect of bright business around AI technology has been driving the shares since mid-January - since then they have risen by around 20 percent.
• With AI, Meta has recently provided additional momentum for its important advertising business.
• However, AI is to be used much more widely.
• With a share price of just under 737 US dollars as at Friday's close, Meta now has a market capitalization of almost 1.9 trillion dollars.
• At the end of January, Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg reaffirmed his ambitions in the artificial intelligence (AI) business when publishing his financial figures.
• He expects an "intelligent and personalized AI assistant to reach more than one billion people this year", he said.
• And this is likely to be the company's own Meta AI software.
• The provider of social networks and communication platforms such as Facebook, Instagram and WhatsApp plans to invest "hundreds of billions of dollars" in the expansion of its AI infrastructure over time, Zuckerberg said at the time.
• For this year alone, the company had announced investments of more than 60 billion dollars, primarily for data centers.
• Meta emphasizes that AI is driving the business forward, including through software that advertisers can use to create ads.
• The important business with advertisements that are personalized for individual users is booming. Revenue and profit increased significantly in 2024.
• The increased personalization of AI services is positive because it creates even stronger customer loyalty on the part of users and advertisers.
• The high inflow of funds in the advertising business also enables Meta to continue to bear losses in the billions in the digital worlds business, which is important to Zuckerberg.
• The Reality Labs division, which is primarily known for VR goggles, posted an operating loss of billions in the last quarter.
• In the long term, however, the high investments in the business should pay off.
• As the news agency Bloomberg reported at the end of last week, citing people familiar with the matter, Meta is creating a business unit in the Reality Labs division that will develop AI-driven humanoid robots that can assist people with physical activities.
• According to the report, Metatree is planning to develop its own humanoid robot hardware - initially with a focus on household tasks.
• The bigger goal, however, is to develop the underlying AI, sensors and software for robots.
• These are then to be manufactured and sold by a number of companies. Meta is already talking to robotics companies such as Unitree Robotics and Figure AI about its plans.
• With a price target of 765 dollars, the analysts at Bank of America see only limited upside potential.
• Expert Brent Thill from the investment firm Jefferies sees a little more room up to his target of 810 dollars.

Exasol $EXL (+0,95 %)with preliminary Group figures for 2024

• Positive EBITDA, net income and cash flow for the first time since IPO
• Profit zone sustainably reached: EBITDA rises to EUR 2.0 million and is at the upper end of the forecast (EUR 1.5 to 2.0 million); positive consolidated net income of EUR 0.3 million
• Cash and cash equivalents increase by EUR 1.7 million to EUR 15.0 million and are well above expectations (forecast: EUR 11 to 13 million)
• Annual recurring revenue (ARR) increased by 3.7% to EUR 42.3 million, thus within the forecast range
• Strong growth in strategic focus industries (+19%) confirms focus on on-premise and hybrid solutions
• Forecast for 2025: EBITDA growth of at least 50% to EUR 3 to 4 million and mid-single-digit percentage revenue growth
• Sustained strong growth in the double-digit percentage range in focus sectors

Wednesday: Stock market dates, economic data, quarterly figures

Economic data

08:00 DE: Manufacturing orders on hand and order backlog December

08:00 UK: Consumer prices January

08:00 UK: Producer prices January

10:00 EU: ECB, Eurozone Current Account December

10:00 CH: WTO, General Council Meeting (since 18.02.)

14:30 US: Housing Starts/Permits January

19:00 DE: CDU leader Merz, CDU election campaign event, Vechta

20:00 US: Fed, minutes of the FOMC meeting on January 28/29

So how $INTC (-4,07 %) un $SMCI (-5,06 %) have come back. Who is all invested?

2019 at the start of my portfolio was $INTC (-4,07 %) one of my first positions. Back then it went up and then down forever and I was "lucky" to have found the right jumping-off point. Today, Intel is almost attractive again and an idea among friends that Intel could be taken over may become something more. I couldn't resist entering with a mini-speculation last week.

What do you think of the risk/reward ratio here?

$AVGO (-3,16 %) . $2330
$INTC (-4,07 %)

The struggling semiconductor giant Intel could be split in two. According to insiders, chipmaker rivals TSMC and Broadcom are making independent offers for parts of the US company.

The competitors of US chip manufacturer Intel, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC) and Broadcom, are apparently currently independently examining business models that could lead to the American chip manufacturer being split in two. This was reported by the "Wall Street Journal" (WSJ) on Saturday (local time), citing people familiar with the matter.

According to the report, Broadcom has closely scrutinized Intel's chip design and marketing business and discussed a potential offer with its advisors. However, according to the WSJ, the company would only proceed with the plan if it could find a partner for Intel's manufacturing business.

Separately, TSMC, the world's largest contract chip maker, has been exploring controlling some or all of Intel's chip factories, possibly as part of a consortium of investors, the report added. Broadcom and TSMC are not yet working together, and any talks so far are preliminary and largely informal, the Journal added.

According to a media report on Thursday, TSMC had already been offered the prospect of a majority stake in chipmaker Intel's factories by representatives of US President Donald Trump (78).

Trump's team brought up the idea of a deal between the two companies at a meeting with TSMC representatives, who were open to the idea, Bloomberg reported, citing an insider. Such a deal could act as a financial lifeline for Intel. Intel, Broadcom and TSMC did not immediately respond to requests for comment from Reuters.

mhe/reuters

https://www.manager-magazin.de/unternehmen/tech/intel-broadcom-und-tsmc-pruefen-separat-moegliche-aufteilung-des-us-chipherstellers-a-1634e292-950f-48a9-bc95-9d08c21ed5d6

Everyone only ever shows their winners, but let's be honest - that's boring.

I'm going to turn the tables and present you with my own personal financial disasters. Because who diamond hands need a thick skin.

My investment strategy?

• Hold for at least Hold for 5-10 years (i.e. enough time to ride out a complete market crisis).
• A maximum of 1% of the portfolio in speculative stocks (haha, if only that were the case).
• No stop loss, because I prefer to look straight into the abyss.

Here are my highlights from the "Let's burn down the portfolio!"-category:

Intel (-41%) $INTC (-4,07 %)

I thought I was buying a solid chip giant. Turns out: I bought a museum walk through the glory days of 1995. While Nvidia is flying to the moon, Intel is barely keeping its head above water like an old Windows 98 computer.

Unity Software (-68%) $U (+1,7 %)

"Gaming is the future! Unity is THE platform for developers!" - At least that's what I thought. In reality, Unity has bugged itself so badly that not even a game patch would help. At least I have the consolation that my shares are more lag than a mobile game with too much advertising.

Walgreens Boots Alliance (-77%) $WBA (-3,09 %)

Pharmacies? Safe bet! People always get sick! It's just stupid when a company is managed in such a way that even a pharmaceutical giant looks like it has overdosed itself.

Compass Pathways (-88%) $5Y6A

Psychedelic therapy is the future! Or so I thought. But my investment journey was more like a wild drug trip that ended directly in the financial hole. Instead of astral travel, it was just capital destruction.

Edita's Medicine (-95%) $EDIT (-9,41 %)

Genetic engineering and CRISPR? Technology of the future! It's just a shame that my investment was deleted faster than faulty DNA. Editas has actually managed to edit itself out - and my capital along with it.

And you?

Do you also have a "Loss P0rn" story you want to share?

Or are you smarter than me and use stop losses? 😂

Podcast episode 77 "Buy High. Sell Low."

Subscribe to the podcast to get Novo & AMD back on track.

00:00:00 Novo Nordisk $NVO (+5,14 %)
$LLY (+0,32 %)

00:26:00 BYD $1211 (+2,45 %)
$TSLA (-4,32 %)

00:44:30 Nu Holdings $NU (-11,11 %)

01:07:00 AMD $AMD (-2,29 %)
$NVDA (-3,63 %)
$INTC (-4,07 %)

01:29:00 Election programs SPD & Greens

Spotify

https://open.spotify.com/episode/5PLVDJVROTrUKYtHMWj2Yz?si=5PvCiTPWRPaYPyQ3XcV-Iw

YouTube

https://youtu.be/Z2WkTM1NB6M?si=gXx_9DWNQpwkbDna

Apple Podcast

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/folge-77-amd-novo-nordsik-byd-nu-wahlprogramme-spd-gr%C3%BCne/id1695869891?i=1000691783835

$INTC (-4,07 %)
$TSM (-0,58 %)

The shares of $INTC (-4,07 %) rose by 7.2 percent on Wednesday. This is due to new speculation from the supply chain that the US government could put pressure on the chip company to enter into a strategic partnership with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (NYSE:TSM).

US government could push Intel into joint venture with TSMC

Intel has been in crisis for years. The foundry business in particular is causing problems - an area that the Group spun off into an independent subsidiary in 2024. The USA wants to strengthen domestic chip production, and as the only US manufacturer with the corresponding capacity, Intel plays a key role in this. However, the question still remains as to how the foundry business can be put on a stable footing.

Now there are rumors in the industry that the US government could push for close cooperation between Intel and TSMC. This was reported by Baird analyst Tristan Gerra, citing industry information. According to the report, TSMC could send engineers to Intel's state-of-the-art 3nm and 2nm factories to ensure their success. The factories could be spun off into a joint company in which Intel and TSMC would be involved - but operationally under the management of the Taiwanese industry leader. The joint venture could also benefit from government subsidies under the CHIPS Act.

"There is no confirmation yet, and implementation could take a long time. But the idea makes perfect sense," says Gerra.

Relief for Intel - but also risks

Such a move would have several advantages for Intel. On the one hand, the Group could conserve its financial resources and concentrate more on developing its own chips and platform solutions. Secondly, a successful foundry could attract new customers from the industry who are looking for alternative production locations outside Asia.

Despite these potential opportunities, Gerra remains cautious. Although he sees long-term potential, he has left his rating for Intel shares at "Neutral" with a target price of USD 20.

It remains to be seen whether the rumors will come true. What is clear, however, is that Intel is in a tight spot - and a partnership with TSMC could be one of the few options for catching up in the semiconductor industry.

https://de.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/roundupaktien-new-york-schluss-dow-gibt-nach--inflation-hoher-als-erwartet-2873884