And here's another small purchase I made yesterday.
Var Energi
Price
Discussion sur VAR
Postes
56PART 3: How I'm Trying to Improve Human Investment Decisions Using a Structured AI Research and Control System
Part 3: The Five Categories in Practice
What This Part Is About
In Part 1, I described the origins of the 55555 system. Part 2 showed how an initial stock idea is transformed into a well-reasoned decision through research, cross-checking, and comparison. Now we’ll look at the practical side: What is the purpose of the five categories, A through E; which stocks are currently included in them; and why do they fit exactly where they are?
The categories are not a ranking from safe to risky. Each serves a different function.
A forms the broad foundation. B is intended to provide ongoing cash flow. C seeks quality growth. D allows for limited asymmetric opportunities. E is intended for tactical situations, events, and special cases. Therefore, what matters is not only whether a company is interesting, but what role it is meant to fulfill within the overall system.
The following chart shows the current confirmed portfolio following the addition of AeroVironment. It deliberately does not include share counts, portfolio values, absolute position sizes, purchase volumes, or absolute gains and losses. The goal is to make the system transparent without disclosing personal financial data.
Grab a cup of coffee or a snack, because the estimated reading time this time is 14 minutes :)
Category A: The Broadly Diversified Foundation
Category A consists of 5 ETFs.
This tier is not intended to identify the most exciting individual stocks, but rather to stabilize the portfolio, provide broad coverage of regions and companies, and reduce dependence on individual investment theses.
Therefore, there is no mechanical price limit for Category A.
The key factors are index quality, costs, diversification, liquidity, and whether the building blocks complement each other effectively.
Categories A and B are the long-term cash flow building blocks for future retirement income enhancement. For this reason, frequent buying and selling is expressly not intended here:
A replacement requires a clear deviation from the objective or a significantly better alternative that is convincing in terms of costs and risks.
Currently, Category A is fully allocated with five building blocks:
VanEck Developed Markets Dividend Leaders $TDIV (-0,38 %)
- Dividend component for developed markets
Dividend and region (as of September 16, 2026): approximately 3.0 percent dividend yield, paid quarterly. Rough regional breakdown: Europe 56 percent, North America 16 percent, Asia-Pacific and other markets 28 percent.
Why include it in your portfolio: The ETF brings together established companies with a strong focus on dividends, thereby complementing the portfolio’s foundation with a clear emphasis on income.
Expectations: In the long term, it is expected to deliver robust distributions and broader diversification across developed markets.
Key risk: A focus on dividends may temporarily result in significant overweighting of certain sectors and value stocks; high dividends are no substitute for corporate quality.
L&G Global Quality Dividends $LDGL (+0,29 %)
- global quality and dividend component
Dividend yield and region (as of September 16, 2026): Approximately 4.3 percent annualized based on the most recent monthly payment; the fund is still young and does not yet have a full 12-month history. Distributions are made monthly. Rough regional breakdown: North America 35 percent, Europe 29 percent, Asia-Pacific 34 percent, other markets 2 percent.
Why include it in your portfolio: This ETF combines international diversification with quality and distribution characteristics. It is intended to prevent the dividend portion of the portfolio from consisting solely of traditional high-dividend stocks.
Expectations: It is intended to provide exposure to global corporate quality while also delivering regular distributions.
Key risk: Factor strategies can lag behind the broader market for extended periods and, despite their global focus, may develop regional or sector-specific biases.
WisdomTree Europe SmallCap Dividend
$DFE (+0,29 %)
- European small-cap stocks
Dividend and Region (as of September 16, 2026): Approximately 3.7 percent dividend yield, paid quarterly. The equity allocation is almost entirely in Europe; the largest countries are the United Kingdom, Sweden, and Norway.
Why include it in your portfolio: This component adds smaller European companies to the portfolio that have little weight in major global indices. At the same time, the dividend component is maintained.
Expectation: It is intended to tap into additional sources of returns beyond global megacaps over the long term.
Key risk: Small-cap stocks are more sensitive to economic conditions, financing costs, and lower liquidity; Europe may also experience prolonged periods of relative weakness.
Fidelity Emerging Markets Quality Income
$FYEQ (+0,68 %)
- Emerging markets with a quality filter
Dividend and region (as of September 16, 2026): 2.6 percent dividend yield, paid quarterly. Rough regional breakdown: Asia 81 percent, Europe 3 percent, Middle East and Africa 8 percent, Latin America 3 percent, other markets 5 percent.
Why include it in your portfolio: The ETF incorporates emerging markets into the portfolio without relying exclusively on the largest index holdings. Quality and dividends are intended to mitigate some of the typical risks associated with emerging markets.
Expectations: It aims to combine growth from emerging markets with a more disciplined approach to quality and income.
Key risk: Currencies, politics, regulation, and geopolitical tensions can significantly impact corporate earnings and returns as measured in Europe.
iShares MSCI ACWI
$ISAC (+0,21 %)
- Cornerstone of the portfolio and thus the broad global core
Dividend Policy and Regional Breakdown (as of September 16, 2026): Reinvesting dividends, so no ongoing cash distributions; returns are reinvested in the ETF. Rough regional breakdown: North America 66 percent, Europe 12 percent, Asia-Pacific 16 percent, Latin America, the Middle East, Africa, and other markets 6 percent.
Why it’s in the portfolio: It covers developed and emerging markets within a very broad global equity strategy. It is the simplest and most diversified component of the system.
Expectation: It is intended to drive long-term global wealth accumulation, regardless of which individual investments are currently the focus in the rest of the portfolio.
Key risk: Even a global index does not protect against general stock market losses and is often heavily influenced by large U.S. technology companies.
Overall portfolio regions:
Category B: Cash Cows and Regular Dividends
Category B is intended to generate reliable cash flow.
A high percentage alone is not sufficient for this. Before making a new purchase, we review dividend coverage, the balance sheet, debt, the business model, capital allocation, and concentration risks. For new Category B positions, a minimum yield of six percent generally applies. Mechanical price stops are not a priority here; we sell if the dividend or fundamental thesis breaks down or if a clearly better alternative emerges.
Like Category A, Category B is geared toward long-term holding and subsequent recurring income. Price movements alone therefore do not trigger a change in position; dividend coverage, balance sheet, business model, and sustainable cash generation remain the decisive factors.
Currently, this category has a dividend yield of approximately 9% excluding any special dividends!
Cibus Nordic Real Estate
$CIBUS (-0,98 %)
- Monthly real estate cash flow
Dividend (as of September 16, 2026): approximately 7.1 percent annualized, paid monthly.
Why it’s in the portfolio: Cibus focuses heavily on food and other everyday necessities. The monthly distribution and largely indexed rents align with the cash flow objectives of this category.
Expectation: The position is intended to provide predictable distributions from a defensive real estate portfolio.
Key risk: Debt levels and refinancing needs remain high. Rising interest rates, weaker like-for-like revenue, or overly aggressive growth through acquisitions would weigh on the investment thesis.
Hercules Capital $HTGC (-0,91 %)
- Specialized financier for growth companies
Dividend (as of September 16, 2026): Approximately 10.8 percent based on current regular and supplemental distributions, paid quarterly. Supplemental distributions are not guaranteed.
Why include it in your portfolio: Hercules primarily extends loans to technology- and life sciences-oriented companies. Many loans have variable interest rates, which means returns can initially benefit from higher interest rates.
Expectation: The goal is to achieve an above-average current distribution from a specialized loan portfolio.
Key risk: Loan defaults, a weak venture capital environment, falling interest rates, or a deterioration in distribution coverage could put pressure on cash flow.
Vår Energi $VAR (+0,07 %)
- Energy cash flow
Dividend (as of September 16, 2026): approximately 10.0 percent annualized based on the most recent quarterly payment, paid quarterly. The amount remains dependent on the commodity cycle and free cash flow.
Why include it in your portfolio: Vår Energi adds a commodities-related cash flow component to the portfolio. Production, the project pipeline, and distributions offer a different source of returns than real estate or the lending business.
Outlook: The position is expected to benefit from efficient oil and gas production as well as a shareholder-friendly dividend policy.
Key risk: Oil and gas prices, project delays, cost overruns, and political intervention make the dividend more cyclical than that of a traditional defensive dividend stock.
Capital Southwest $CSWC (-1,16 %)
- SME financing
Dividend (as of September 16, 2026): approximately 10.8 percent based on the most recently reported annual payments. The regular dividend is paid monthly; supplemental dividends may be paid quarterly.
Why include it in your portfolio: Capital Southwest is another BDC component, but with its own loan portfolio and a different corporate structure. This position complements Hercules and spreads the credit risk across a second manager.
Outlook: We expect recurring income from U.S. small and medium-sized businesses and disciplined distributions from net interest income.
Key Risk: The biggest risks are credit quality, recession, falling interest margins, dilution, and a distribution that grows faster than sustainably earned income.
Chesnara
$CSN (+2,06 %)
- Insurance and run-off cash flow
Dividend (as of September 16, 2026): approximately 6.5 percent based on the most recent known 12-month payments, paid semiannually.
Why it’s in the portfolio: Chesnara manages life insurance portfolios and acquires additional portfolios. This results in a cash flow profile that differs significantly from real estate, energy, and BDCs.
Outlook: The position is expected to deliver stable long-term distributions from existing insurance portfolios and disciplined capital allocation.
Key risk: Capital requirements, market fluctuations, the quality of acquisitions, and weaker cash generation could limit dividends and growth.
Category C: Quality Growth and Long-Term Compounding
Category C is intended for companies that can grow revenue, earnings, and free cash flow over many years. Quality and growth are considered separately from the initial entry point. A company can reach the “Champions League” and still be too expensive or technically unfavorable at first.
For active C positions, a 20-percent trailing rule generally applies, whereby actual broker orders and theoretical benchmarks must remain clearly separate.
An open position does not create an obligation to buy.
Nu Holdings $NU (+0,98 %)
- digital financial platform in Latin America
Why it’s in the portfolio: Nu combines strong customer growth, a scalable digital platform, and the ability to offer more financial products per customer. The stock also brings regional diversification to the C-segment.
Outlook: In the long term, Nu is expected to profitably monetize its large customer base in Brazil, Mexico, the U.S., and other markets.
Key risk: Credit quality, regulation, currencies, competition, and an overly high valuation could undermine the growth thesis.
Schneider Electric
$SU (+0,31 %)
- Electrification, energy efficiency, and automation
Why it’s in the portfolio: Schneider is a high-quality company positioned to benefit from several structural growth themes: rising electricity demand, data centers, automation, grids, and more efficient energy management. The stock was added following a direct comparison with several industrial and energy infrastructure candidates.
Outlook: The position is expected to benefit in the long term from the expansion of electrical infrastructure and the integration of hardware, software, and services.
Key risk: Valuation, economic conditions, integration and execution risks, as well as a significant slowdown in data center or industrial investments, are the main concerns.
Hacksaw $HACK (+1,51 %)
- Growth in digital gaming and platforms
Why include it in the portfolio: Hacksaw represents a scalable, content-driven business model in the regulated online gaming sector. New games and additional markets can contribute disproportionately to earnings with relatively little capital tied up.
Outlook: The goal is long-term growth through new content, distribution, and international expansion.
Key risk: Regulatory changes, dependence on platform partners, shifting gaming trends, and a high valuation could quickly lead to a repricing of growth.
Vincorion $V1NC (+0,16 %)
- Specialized energy and defense systems
Why include it in the portfolio: Vincorion complements C with a smaller German specialist that has long-term demand for robust energy and system solutions for safety-critical applications.
Outlook: The position is expected to benefit from increased defense and infrastructure investments as well as improved operational execution.
Key risk: Order delays, project and margin risks, low market liquidity, and customer concentration make the stock more vulnerable than that of a large industrial conglomerate.
RELX
$REL (-1,16 %)
- Data-driven information and analytics services
Why include it in your portfolio: RELX has recurring revenue, strong data assets, and deep integration into professional workflows. Its business model is less cyclical than that of traditional industrial companies.
Outlook: The position is expected to grow over the long term through pricing, data, software, and continuous product improvement.
Key risk: An overly high valuation, regulatory issues, technological disruptions, and new AI-based competitors could limit growth and margins.
For Category C, the following applies: A C-rated position may not be downgraded to D.
If the C thesis deteriorates permanently, the position is replaced or sold within the C category.
D is not a catch-all category for damaged quality or growth theses.
A D company, on the other hand, may be upgraded to C if it demonstrably reduces its uncertainties and, in a direct comparison, better aligns with the quality and growth objectives of Category C.
It must , however, like any other security, be at least 10% to 15% better in valuation than the existing holding.
Sector Overview of the Portfolio:
Category D: Limited Asymmetric Opportunities
Category D deliberately accepts a higher degree of uncertainty. Here, we look for situations in which a successful milestone can significantly alter the company’s value, while the position size and exit strategy limit potential losses.
We evaluate the product and technology, financing, cash runway, dilution, customer or pipeline concentration, catalysts, and technical setup.
An open position does not create an obligation to buy.
NeoVolta $NEOV (-0,34 %)
- small provider of energy storage systems
Why it’s in the portfolio: NeoVolta offers access to the growing market for residential and small-scale commercial energy storage. The investment case hinges on scaling, sales, and broader market acceptance.
Outlook: If growth is successful, the company could benefit from decentralized power supply, resilience, and increasing solar adoption.
Key risk: Financing, dilution, competition, the company’s small size, and its dependence on strong revenue growth make this a highly speculative position.
Kymera Therapeutics $KYMR
- Targeted Protein Degradation
Why include it in the portfolio: Kymera develops drugs designed to specifically degrade disease-relevant proteins. Successful clinical data could significantly boost the value of several programs and the entire technology platform.
Expectations: The position targets the asymmetric value of clinical progress and potential partnerships.
Key Risk: Clinical failures, side effects, binary data events, high capital requirements, and potential dilution are core risks rather than temporary side effects.
IQM Quantum Computers
$IQMX (+5,52 %)
- European quantum computing technology
Why include it in the portfolio: IQM offers direct access to a strategically important future market and has operational systems, orders, and technology partnerships. At the same time, the market is still in its early stages and difficult to evaluate.
Outlook: The position is expected to benefit from growing demand for European quantum infrastructure and technological advances.
Key risk: Long development times, high financing costs, technological competition, and further capital requirements could significantly dilute the company’s value. The risk and stop-loss strategy will therefore be reviewed again.
AeroVironment
$AVAV (-2,49 %)
- Drones, counter-UAS, and defense technology
Why it’s in the portfolio: AeroVironment was added following a renewed fundamental and technical review. The investment case combines a strong order backlog with growing demand for unmanned systems, defense solutions, and directed-energy applications.
Outlook: The position is expected to benefit from the transition of key programs to larger-scale production runs and from the structurally rising demand for drones and defense systems.
Key risk: Order timing, government budgets, project integration, valuation, and sharp price fluctuations could lead to significant setbacks despite strong demand.
As of today, the fifth spot in the D category is still open.
Currently, the main contenders are NeurAxis $NRXS , Praxis Precision Medicines, and Rocket Lab $RKLB (+3,21 %) are being closely monitored.
NeurAxis has become significantly more attractive following technical improvements, but remains a speculative candidate due to losses, capital requirements, and potential dilution. The spot will only be awarded if quality, financing, catalysts, chart performance, and portfolio value collectively prove compelling.
Category E: Tactical Situations and Special Cases
This category is intended for swings, events, free rides, and clearly documented special cases. E is not a dumping ground for poor positions, nor is it a way to circumvent rules from categories B, C, or D. Before making a tactical purchase, the setup, trigger, risk, target, and exit strategy must be clearly defined. This category may remain empty if no compelling opportunity is available.
Desert Control $DSRT (+11,38 %)
- Special Case and Grandfathering
Why it’s in the portfolio: Desert Control is developing technology to improve sandy and dry soils. The position dates back to an earlier phase of the portfolio and is not currently treated as a standard new purchase under the current D rules.
Expectation: The remaining position keeps open the possibility that pilot projects, partnerships, or commercial applications will validate the technology.
Key Risk: Early commercialization, financing, dilution, low predictability, and very high volatility make this investment unsuitable as a core position. It therefore remains explicitly a documented special case.
Teekay Tankers $TNK (-3,24 %)
– Momentum Position
Why it’s in the portfolio: We have included Teekay Tankers as a tactical momentum/event position in Category E. The company is currently benefiting from high tanker rates, strong demand for oil transportation, and longer shipping routes due to geopolitical tensions. Added to this are a very solid balance sheet, high free cash flows, and a favorable valuation.
Expectations: Capitalizing on the momentum. For this reason, we do not treat Teekay as a long-term dividend or quality position, but rather as an E-position to be actively monitored with a clear exit strategy.
Key Risk: Despite these strengths, the business is highly cyclical: falling freight rates or an easing of the geopolitical situation could quickly bring earnings back to normal levels.
In addition, for the two open spots in the E portfolio, we are currently reviewing, among other things, selected “fallen angel” stocks, as well as potential rebound or event-driven setups.
Dorian LPG $LPG (-5,34 %) and International Seaways $INSW (-4,6 %) are examples of strong but highly cyclical momentum plays. DSV $DSV (-2,27 %) would be more of a rebound or earnings event than an immediate C-buy.
Such ideas do not automatically become positions; the current chart and a predefined exit strategy are key factors.
Why the categories don’t have to be the same size
The 55555 system means five possible slots per category, not five identical positions and no rigid equal weighting.
A category may remain incomplete.
Capital is not automatically allocated to the next available slot.
First come rule violations and risk control, then vacant slots, the best candidates, and only then possible replacements or additional purchases.
Nor is a replacement made simply because a new name seems more modern or stronger in the short term. A candidate must demonstrably outperform the existing position and improve the overall portfolio by approximately ten to fifteen percent, or replace a clear rule violation. As a result, the category structure does not become an automated trading system, but rather a framework for disciplined decision-making.
The rulebook clearly states that no single sector may account for more than 30% of the portfolio!
This limit includes ETFs as well. So it can happen that a truly good stock can no longer be purchased—due to the sector cap—to avoid creating concentration risk.
What Has Changed Since the Start
The basic idea behind the five tasks has remained the same, but the practical implementation has become more precise. Category E is now active. Balance sheet, debt, and concentration are mandatory review criteria. Champions League, Reserve, Watchlist, and Top 3 Alternates distinguish quality from current buyability.
The Masterbook and Master Status ensure that new decisions, sales, and exceptions do not get lost in old chats and works.
It was particularly important to realize that a system does not improve simply by mechanically applying every rule.
A stop, a score, or an open slot is only part of the decision.
Data quality, company context, portfolio utility, and human judgment remain indispensable.
Preview of Part 4
The fourth and final part focuses on control and further development:
How Masterbook, Master Status, daily closing, lists, transaction history, dividend log, and catalyst calendar work together. I’ll also show how errors, conflicting data, and new information are handled and where the limits of an AI-powered system lie.
Part 3, too, describes exclusively my personal development and decision-making process. It is neither investment advice nor a solicitation to buy or sell securities.
I look forward to questions, suggestions, and constructive criticism. I find it particularly fascinating to see what roles other investors assign to the components of their portfolios and how they distinguish between long-term quality, ongoing cash flow, and limited speculative opportunities.



+ 2
Shell versus VAR energi versus Equinor
$SHEL (+0,77 %) came in good
Fund score is at good spot
margin and roic can be better
$VAR (+0,07 %) is better placed from what i see
But lot more volatility (safety score)
equinor is the one i would choose, but all 3 will be ok, choose shell or equinor if you plan on holding for 20-years region
final score
Monthly Review 07/2026
Another month has passed, and it’s time once again to take a quick look into the engine room...
...actually, not much has changed in the big picture, except that after 38 months of consistent performance, the 40k mark has been broken, and so the final sprint of the first half has now begun...
...it’s not a high-flyer portfolio, but so far it’s been a solid growth story, and as the saying goes, every little bit helps...
...which is why YTD hasn’t changed much either...
...nor has it since the very beginning...
...the structure, however, is a different story, and so there were a few changes to the portfolio this month...
》New Additions《
$WINC (+0,02 %) 244.01x
$AII (-1,8 %) 101x
》Exits《
$EVD (-1,29 %) 25x
》Top 3《
$HAUTO (+1,1 %) +24.42% (+122.67%)
$VAR (+0,07 %) +19.82% (+60.72%)
$DTE (-0,9 %) +10.61% (-1.53%)
》Flop 3《
$3750 (+1,51 %) -10.58% (+128.32%)
$ASWM (+0,71 %) -9.86% (+17.84%)
$YYYY (-0,17 %) -7.01% (-4.80%)
》Dividends《
This month, there were €252.24 in net dividends, representing a 12.24% increase year-over-year.
》CONCLUSION《
Everything’s business as usual, so we can relax and prepare for next Friday’s upcoming DATEV certification 👍🏻
I wish everyone continued success, and may dividends and growth be on our side 🫡

Review of March 2026
What a wild ride that was, please ?!? Even the poor kangaroo gets sick...
🦘📈🦘📉🦘📈🦘📉🦘📈 🦘
...and personally don't really believe that the current situation is the end of "Pinky and the Brain"...
... "Pinky" still has to live up to the bets of all his boddies, has his back to the wall domestically with regard to the mid-terms and "the Brain" still has no interest in the end, after all, he still wants to permanently occupy at least southern Lebanon (incorporate the country) and therefore continues to escalate...
...my conclusion from this is that "Pinky" will launch a limited ground offensive over Easter or shortly afterwards in order to sell it strategically at home or to be able to announce something successful at all, the outcome of which is still completely open, while "the Brain" is already forging plans on how he can continue to pursue his goals even after a possible US exit - the end is open - regardless of the fact that the energy issue will still not be resolved after the end 🤷🏻♂️
But let's get back to March...
...even though the month was difficult, it ended with a small gain on the bottom line or even just below the last ATH...
...shows me, conversely, that my consistent strategy and steady fingers have been able to survive such market phases relatively well so far 💪🏻
In terms of the year as a whole, the first quarter has also been relatively successful for the circumstances and when I think about the fact that the overall portfolio is just ~1.5-2% below my chosen September milestone, the whole thing reassures me immensely or rather... is going better than forecast 🫠
In the long term, of course, everything is still on target and so not only are the nights still calm and cozy, but I also know that the dividends will continue despite everything, which brings us back to the next topic...
》Dividends《
This month there were €116.68 net dividends, which means an increase of 164.41% YOY 💪🏻
YoC (TTM) is ~6% and thus slightly below the target range, although the good months are yet to come...
》Outflows《
$PDI (-0,89 %) (35x)
$VICI (+0 %) (35x)
》Accesses《
$ALV (-2,96 %) (5x)
$EVD (-1,29 %) (25x)
$FWRG (+0,32 %) (73x)
》TOP 3《
$3750 (+1,51 %) +28,67% (+89,65%)
$VAR (+0,07 %) +23,61% (+55,54%)
$HAUTO (+1,1 %) +11,31% (+79,18%)
》FLOP 3《
$HSBA (-0,33 %) -8,25% (+45,21%)
$ASWM (+0,71 %) -6,51% (-8,38%)
$MUX (-0,49 %) -5,70% (+27,30%)
Furthermore, all contracts for the continuation of my training were signed and sealed this month, which was also pleasing and comes with a small salary increase 😊
That's all from me for now and I wish us all a successful April

+ 1
North Sea wildcat well delivers no results for Vår Energi
The Norwegian oil and gas company Vår Energi $VAR (+0,07 %) and its partner Kistos Energy have drilled a dry well in the Balder area in the North Sea.
The well 25/8-C-23 D, named "Prince Updip", was drilled from the Ringhorne platform, just over 200 kilometers west of Stavanger, as part of production license 027.
Vår Energi is the operator of the license with a 90% interest, while partner Kistos Energy (Norway) holds the remaining 10%.
Production license 027 was awarded in 1969 in the second licensing round on the Norwegian Continental Shelf (NCS). This is the 13th exploration well drilled within the license area. The Balder and Ringhorne Øst fields are also located in this license area.
Exploration activities have already taken place within the production license in 2021, when exploration wells 25/8-20 S, B and C proved hydrocarbons in two levels.
Based on the drilling results, the well was classified as dry with hydrocarbon shows and has now been permanently shut-in and abandoned.

I agree...🫠
ORLEN acquires shares in the Afrodite discovery from Vår Energi
ORLEN Upstream Norway $PKN (-1,64 %) has agreed to acquire from Vår Energi $VAR (+0,07 %) to acquire a 25% stake in the PL293 production license in the North Sea, which includes the unconventional Afrodite gas field.
The Afrodite gas field has the potential to supply ORLEN with almost 2 billion cubic meters of natural gas net, the company said.
The project will also serve as a testing ground for new methods of producing unconventional resources on the continental shelf, including Victoria, the largest undeveloped gas deposit in Norway, in which ORLEN also has an interest.
Afrodite was discovered in 2008, but due to the challenging high pressure/high temperature environment, its development was not actively pursued until recently. The license partners have now decided to drill an appraisal well to assess the feasibility of production using stimulation technologies and to better quantify the recoverable reserves.
Current estimates put the recoverable resources at approximately 7.5 billion cubic meters of gas, of which ORLEN accounts for approximately 1.9 billion cubic meters. Afrodite could be developed as a tie-in to the nearby Kvitebjørn field, in which ORLEN Upstream Norway also has an interest, which would create additional synergies.

Vår Energi raises production target and exceeds profit forecasts
Vår Energi $VAR (+0,07 %) announces its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025.
The company also holds its Capital Markets Update (CMU) and presents an updated strategy for increased production and value over time, with significant cash flow generation and attractive dividends.
"We are pleased to have achieved transformative growth in 2025, doubling our production in just two years. The company achieved record production, a high reserve replacement ratio, strong financial performance and significant value creation, while further de-risking the future through the completion and commissioning of nine projects, including Jotun FPSO in the Balder field and Johan Castberg."
"Vår Energi has never been in a stronger position for long-term value creation and continues to deliver attractive returns, reflected in distributions to shareholders for 2025 of US$1.2 billion, in line with guidance," said Nick Walker, CEO of Vår Energi.
Vår Energi forecasts production in the range of 390 to 410 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (kboepd) for the full year 2026 and increases the long-term production target to more than 400 kboepd.
"This is supported by a portfolio of 13 high quality projects under execution, a flexible pipeline of around 30 early stage projects in the maturing phase and a strengthened asset base with increased reserves and resources," Walker continued.
"Driven by an entrepreneurial, performance-driven organization, we continue to leverage incremental improvements across the Company, including enhanced recovery through infill drilling and targeted exploration, while becoming increasingly efficient and reducing costs."
"This continues to provide resilience in a volatile business environment, strong cash flow generation and attractive long-term returns for shareholders in line with our stated dividend policy of 25-30% of cash flow from operations after tax over the full cycle," Walker concluded.
A transformative 2025:
》Record high production《
● Production of 397 kboepd per quarter and total annual production of 332 kboepd in 2025
● The outlook for the company is less risky following the completion of important projects
● Nine new growth projects were launched as planned during the year, adding around 180 kboepd to peak production
● Strong operational performance in 2025 with an average production efficiency of 92%
Strong financial performance
● Strong after-tax CFFO of USD 1.3 billion in the quarter and USD 4.6 billion for the full year 2025
● Available liquidity of USD 3.5 billion and leverage ratio of 0.8x at year-end 2025
● Production costs per unit at the lower end of the annual forecast at USD 11.1 per boe and USD 10.0 per boe for the quarter
》Development of long-term value creation for the future《
● 10 project approvals in 2025, development of 160 million barrels of oil equivalent (mmboe) net with an average break-even of USD 30 per boe
● High quality exploration activities with six commercial discoveries in 2025
● Increase in reserves and resources2 by 2.2 billion boe by year-end 2025 with a 2P reserve replacement ratio of 185
》Attractive dividend payout《
● The dividend for the fourth quarter of USD 300 million (NOK 1.209 per share) will be paid on February 12
● Dividend guidance of USD 300 million for Q1 2026 in line with dividend policy of 25-30% of CFFO after tax over the cycles
CMU highlights - More value for longer:
》Targeting higher production and value creation for a longer period《
● Low-risk company with completed major projects, whose production forecast for the full year 2026 is in line with the previous forecast with a record value of 390-410 kboepd
● High quality barrels with full year 2026 production cost guidance of around USD 10 per boe, reiterating the aim to maintain this level in the long term
● Longer-term higher production, raising the production target to over 400 kboepd in the long term
● A significant resource base of around 2.2 billion boe of proven and probable (2P) reserves, as well as 2C contingent resources, provides a solid foundation for long-term value creation
● 13 projects under implementation unlock 210 mmboe of net 2P reserves with low operating costs, a break-even point at around USD 30 per boe and an IRR of over 30%
● Progress on around 30 high quality early stage projects with a target of around 550 mmboe of net 2C resources with attractive economics
● Up to 8 new project approvals in 2026
● Investments of USD 2.5 to 2.7 billion expected for 2026, with average annual investments of USD 2.5 billion in the period 2027-2032
》Creating more value《
● Continued high exploration activity with 12 planned wells in 2026 targeting approximately 75 million boe of net risked reserves
● Exploration expenditure for 2026 of USD 250 to 300 million
● A significant, diversified exploration portfolio with over 1 billion boe of net risked reserves
》Safe and responsible《
● Upper quartile emissions intensity in the industry of around 9 kg CO2e/boe
● Strong ESG ratings, among the top 15% of the oil and gas industry worldwide
》Securing long-term returns《
● Gradual improvement for greater resilience and flexibility
● Delivery of high-quality barrels with a free cash flow break-even of around USD 40 per boe in the period 2026-2032
● Strong free cash flow generation of USD 5 to 10 billion in the period 2026-2032 and a flexible capital expenditure program with around 60% uncommitted capital expenditure
● Robust project portfolio, balanced commodity mix and significant uncommitted capital support resilience, flexibility and long-term dividend policy
》FINANCIAL SUMMARY《
Vår Energi has delivered and the outlook remains rosy with consistently good dividends 💪🏻

Titres populaires
Meilleurs créateurs cette semaine
