ASML

Hey Community,

I want to try making more focused post about my portfolio, why a make a buy, why a make a transaction and switch assets. I would love to know what you think of it! There is crypto in here hold on tight :)

https://getqu.in/nfdaoW/

My portfolio reflects a strategy focused on diversification and growth, with positions in traditional investment products like ETFs and government bonds, as well as in more speculative assets like cryptocurrencies. This provides a mix of stability and potentially high returns. Below, I analyze the key components of my portfolio, discussing both the positive aspects and risks.

Traditional Investments: Stability and Growth

$IWDA (+0,91 %)
iShares Core MSCI World ETF

This is a core position in my portfolio, valued at €16,389.62, representing a growth of +6.67%. This ETF offers global diversification, targeting large- and mid-cap companies in developed markets.

• Positive: Global diversification reduces risk, and the ETF provides solid long-term returns.
• Risk: Extremely low. At my age, with plenty of time for steady growth, this is perfect for me to hold a larger portion of my portfolio here.

$CSPX (+0,91 %)
iShares Core S&P 500 ETF

This ETF targets the top 500 companies in the U.S. and has grown by +21.29%. It is one of the top performers in my portfolio.

• Positive: Strong performance thanks to the robust U.S. economy and growing tech companies.
• Risk: Concentration in the U.S. market could pose a risk during an economic downturn in the U.S. With Trump potentially influencing markets positively, I feel the U.S. market may continue to perform well, despite being at high levels.

German Government Bonds

With a value of €6,153.72 and modest growth of +1.21%, this position provides stability.

• Positive: Ideal as a buffer against volatile markets.
• Risk: Low returns, especially in a rising interest rate environment. My plan is to lock up a portion of my savings or funds I might need quickly in the future in these government bonds. In Belgium, 0% bonds remain the most interesting option due to high taxes on interest or dividends.

$ASML (+0,45 %)

As one of Europe’s tech giants, ASML is a strong yet volatile position. While the stock is currently down -2.76%, the technology behind semiconductors remains essential.

• Positive: Market leader in lithography machines, critical for the tech sector.
• Risk: The cyclical nature of the chip industry can lead to volatility. As a result, I’ve kept the position in this individual stock relatively small.

VanEck Semiconductor ETFVanEck Semiconductor ETF

This ETF has almost doubled (+94.66%), strengthening my exposure to the semiconductor industry.

• Positive: Thriving sector due to increasing demand for chips.
• Risk: Higher sensitivity to economic cycles.

Cryptocurrencies: Speculative Yet Promising

$$HBAR (+10,46 %)
edera Hashgraph

With a growth of +115.13%, this is one of the star performers in my crypto portfolio. Hedera focuses on fast and inexpensive transactions.

• Positive: Innovative technology and a strong focus on sustainability.
• Risk: Dependence on adoption by large corporations.

$TRIAS (-1,81 %)
Trias Token

This coin has shown a decline of -15.09% but offers long-term potential due to its focus on secure computing.

• Positive: Innovative project with niche applications. I had a x5 on the coin, stupid me hold on nog waiting to make a gain again and say goodbye to the coin.
• Risk: Lesser-known and lower liquidity. Consider this a gamble, but it’s a risk I can afford for this amount.

$BTC (+1,43 %)
Bitcoin

The king of the crypto market has grown by +135.28% and remains a solid investment in my portfolio.

• Positive: Widely accepted and proven asset.
• Risk: High volatility and reliance on market adoption.

$KAS (-1,16 %)
Kaspa

This altcoin has shown an impressive growth of +33.78%.

• Positive: Fast transaction capabilities and a growing ecosystem.
• Risk: Competition from other layer-1 blockchains.

$CPOOL (-5,21 %)
Clearpool

With +30.25% growth, this coin has performed well, focusing on decentralized finance (DeFi).

• Positive: Strong position in the emerging DeFi sector.
• Risk: High regulatory and security risks within DeFi.

$ETH (-2 %)
Ethereum

Ethereum has grown by +214.17%. I plan to hold until after the potential dip Bitcoin ($BTC) may experience upon reaching the magical $100,000 mark.

• Positive: Fundamental platform for smart contracts.
• Risk: Competition and potential network issues.

Greetings from Belgium

Hi, my name is Lukas and I started this year with investing. This is my portfolio and I'm looking for a balance between growth and dividend. I'm not investing for a specific goal, but for now I'm letting it sit for as long as i can. I'm investing the money I can miss. overall I'm looking for medium risk.

Does anyone have any tips for me? what stocks and sectors should I buy or sell?#etfs
#dividends
#stockanalysis
$EXI2 (+0,79 %)
$ASML (+0,45 %)
$O (+0,98 %)

Adding more =)

As requested by @HannahBaker : TYO: $8035 (+3,41 %) Analysis as of 17/11/2024.

6M: 📉 -0.48%

YTD: 📈 +9.96%

5Y: 📈 +33.55%

Company: Tokyo Electron is supplier of semiconductor production equipment (i.e., used to create semiconductor devices such as microprocessors, memory chips, integrated circuits) and flat panel display manufacturing equipment (i.e., used to create displays on tvs, phones).

Market Position: Key playe in semiconductor equipment market. Competes with $ASML (+0,45 %) , $LRCX (-0,91 %) , and $AMAT (-0,51 %). Would be positioned well for 5G, AI, Automotive Semiconductors, and QM.

Recent Developments: Increasing demand for advanced semiconductors has increased their B2B customer orders, mainly driven by Data Centres, AI, and IoT. However, Geopolitical tensions between Taiwan, China, and the rest of the world has added uncertainty due to possible restrictions on advanced chip exports (i.e., logistics halted).

MARKET CONTEXT

Macro Trends:

• Tailwinds: Accelerating adoption of AI, 5G, and advanced computing obviously boosts demand for their equipment. For example, here in Australia, they recently shut off 3G (https://www.telstra.com.au/support/mobiles-devices/3g-closure#:~:text=From%2028%20October%202024%2C%20the,VoLTE)%20including%20VoLTE%20Emergency%20Calling.)
• Headwinds: As mentioned above, geopolitical uncertainties may slow this down. Additionally, it was reported that China has spent more on chipmaking equipment to expand its semiconductor capacity (https://www.theregister.com/2024/10/25/mature_chip_output_china/#:~:text=While%20most%20industry%20attention%20is,in%202025%2C%20according%20to%20TrendForce.)

Competitive Landscape:

• Aside from what was mentioned above (i.e., China), $ASML (+0,45 %) 's dominant position in EUV lithography and $LRCX (-0,91 %) 's etching may cause a problem.

INVESTMENT THESIS

Bull Case:

• Sustained revenue growth mostly driven by demand for chip manufacturing.
• Shareholder-friendly policies (e.g., dividends, buybacks).

Bear Case

• Cyclical downturn in semiconductor demand could impact earnings.
• China's in-housing of development (i.e., they may increase supply.
• Heightened geopolitical risks from US/Taiwan and China tensions.

Notes:

• I did not include a financial analysis as I am not trained in that (Any experts, I would love to hear your thoughts).
• I do not own any investments of the companies listed on this post.
• I hope you found this insightful.