Postes
7Friends,
How is it possible that $SMT (+1,01 %) it’s down 6% today, while the largest holding (SpaceX, about 20% of the fund) is trading at a premium of about 30%?
The only explanation I can think of is the lock-up period, but that would still be a steep discount. Do you have any other ideas or information?
Since it will be very difficult for us small investors to get shares at the IPO price, we can look for other possibilities. One possibility would be $SMT (+1,01 %) . An investment company that has invested 15% of its equity capital in SpaceX, but also has other exciting investments.
So also in $2330 Bytedance, and many others.
New episode.
$SMT (+1,01 %) - Scottish Mortage
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal, or tax advice. The information presented does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any individual. This content may include speculative analysis and forward-looking statements that are subject to change and may not materialize. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Nothing in this content should be construed as a personal recommendation or an inducement to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Financial markets involve risk, including the potential loss of capital. Viewers are strongly encouraged to conduct their own independent research and, where appropriate, seek advice from a qualified professional authorized and regulated under applicable local regulations. The creator of this content accepts no liability for any direct or indirect losses or damages arising from any reliance placed on the information provided.
Friends,
If you're wondering how to invest in SpaceX, this post is for you. You can also learn from a mistake I made myself 🙂
Starting point
My thought was sparked by the rumor that SpaceX is planning an IPO in 2026 - with a possible valuation of around 800 billion USD (IPO-Kracher aus dem Silicon Valley: SpaceX peilt 2026 an - DER AKTIONÄR).
Option 1: Secondary markets
In principle, shares in unlisted companies are traded on so-called secondary markets are traded on secondary markets. For example, employees can sell their ESOPs (employee shares) there before the IPO.
As a rule, the larger the company, the more liquid these markets are.
The largest platforms for such deals are
Hook:
To invest there, you have to be an accredited investor and have a corresponding minimum investment (often five-digit amounts).
As I didn't want to make this effort, the secondary market was not an option for me.
Option 2: Indirect investments
That leaves two alternatives:
Sector ETFs (e.g. Space ETFs)
Proxy investments in companies that hold shares in SpaceX.
Examples:
Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust ($SMT (+1,01 %)
)
According to the last report of 30.11 $SMT (+1,01 %) about 8 % in SpaceX. This is a higher exposure than Alphabet, which is also invested.
In addition $SMT (+1,01 %) exciting positions in the AI segment such as TSMC, ASML and NVIDIA.
Note: Anyone buying $SMT (+1,01 %) should check whether they are already heavily invested in AI to avoid duplication (SCMORT - November 2025).
My mistake
I did not question the stated 8% position.
The NAV report showed 8%, but the daily updated NAV on the website was changed on December 15 from 1,221p to 1,297p (+6 %).
Reason: The rumor about the SpaceX IPO.
The SpaceX share now stands at 15,3 %no longer at 8 %.
The share price has of course already partly priced this in.
Learnings
Between the NAV releases trigger events can significantly change the portfolio structure.
Private market investments are often only adjusted after such events (e.g. IPO rumors or financing rounds).
Excursus: NAV-GAP
$SMT (+1,01 %) trades like other closed-end investment companies with a discount to NAV.
At $SMT (+1,01 %) this amounts to approx. 10 %at Pershing Square $PSH (+0,42 %) by Bill Ackman even more.
This discount hardly disappears historically and is mainly due to manager and governance risks risks.
EchoStar $SATS (-1,23 %)
In 2025, EchoStar acquired shares in SpaceX via a radio frequency deal worth USD 11 billion (valuation at the time: USD 400 billion).
If the IPO takes place at USD 800 billion, this stake will double.
The share price has already partially priced this in:
The SpaceX share (at 800 bn valuation) currently corresponds to >65 % of the market capitalization of EchoStar.
Rumors about SpaceX
There is speculation that the valuation could be as high as 1.5 trillion USD could be as high (Weltraum trifft Wall Street: SpaceX und der riskanteste Börsengang der Geschichtehinkt).
If that happens, EchoStar $SATS (-1,23 %) would be the clear winner (+60 % price increase), while $SMT (+1,01 %) would "only" gain around 15 %.
Conclusion
If the market believed the 1.5 trillion valuation, the prices of the proxies would probably already have risen more sharply.
An investment in $SMT (+1,01 %) or $SATS (-1,23 %) remains an exciting bet:
I have opted for SMT.
I find it exciting how quickly the stock market recognizes such "detour investments" and closes the arbitrage margin.
Question for you:
Does anyone have experience with secondary markets? I find the topic exciting and would like to delve deeper into it.
The Bloomberg news agency has learned from insiders that SpaceX wants to raise 30 billion dollars in an IPO next year. The company is to be valued at 1.5 trillion dollars and would then be one of the world's most valuable listed companies.
Is there a chance to approach SpaceX as a private investor? Yes, there is. WirtschaftsWoche reports on the ways - or rather detours - in which private investors can already get involved.
A number of British investment trusts have a large SpaceX portfolio. Investment trusts are closed-end funds whose shares are traded like shares on the stock exchange. This is how you can get a little closer to a SpaceX investment.
One option is offered by asset manager Baillie Gifford from Scotland. The fund company is known for long-term investments in high-growth companies and was one of the first major investors in Tesla $TSLA (+3,65 %). In 2013, the Scots joined Elon Musk's company and have since earned hundreds of millions of dollars for their investors.
Now it looks like the Scots want to repeat their success with one of Elon Musk's companies. Baillie Gifford was able to secure SpaceX shares for some of her investment trusts. This is probably also due to the fact that the asset manager is said to still have very good relations with Elon Musk.
One of these funds is the long-established Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust $SMT (+1,01 %) The current factsheet is dated November 30, 2025, according to which the fund holds a total of 8.2 percent of its assets in SpaceX. This makes the space company the largest position. It also owns TSMC, Mercado Libre and Amazon are among the fund's top positions.
With Edinburgh Worldwide $EWI (+2,56 %) and the Schiehallion Fund $MNTN (+0,51 %)
there are other trusts that are also heavily invested. The remarkable thing is the discount to the intrinsic value. The three trusts are currently trading at a discount of between three and 26 percent. The funds are therefore noticeably cheaper on the stock market than their actual assets are worth.
Source text (excerpt) & picture: "Welt", 11.12.25
Meilleurs créateurs cette semaine
