1Lun·

Juan on a tenbagger search, and he finds a SpaxeX shovel

Good morning, my dears,

and today we continue with the new series.


" My intern Juan on a tenbagger search " đŸŽ„


🔍 Juan is also allowed to let off steam on my watchlist this weekend. And guys, what can I tell you. He's learning more and more from me by:


  • Looking in the growth sectors
  • He proceeds according to the strategy "Putting the cart before the horse"
  • He looks for niche champions and scoops


Juan is increasingly becoming a stock picker.


So I'm not at all surprised that he found a SpaceX scoop straight away. Because he sees potential here, spurred on by the SpaceX IPO. He is also operating in an absolute growth sector here. Juan hasn't missed the fact that the Americans are the target either


" The journey to Mars "


My dears, so as not to inflame your excitement to the extreme. Let's quickly move on to the company presentation which I developed together with Juan.


As always, I look forward to many comments. And Juan also needs some confirmation from you. This motivates him to continue searching for you.


$FTC (+6,7 %)

đŸ›°ïž Why Filtronic is considered a SpaceX scoop


1) Filtronic provides mmWave and RF technology for space and satellite communications

This clearly shows that Filtronic is actively involved in the space industry industry:

  • "Space" is a core sector in its own right
  • Products such as E-Band SSPA, Hercules II, Morpheus II are built for satellite backhaul and ground stations

These are exactly the components that LEO constellations like Starlink need.


Filtronic builds components that are indispensable for LEO constellations

SpaceX (Starlink), Amazon Kuiper, OneWeb, Telesat - they all need:

  • High-performance mmWave amplifiers
  • E-band transceivers
  • Ka-band modules
  • High-frequency filters
  • TRMs (Transmit-Receive Modules)

Filtronic offers exactly these modules.


"Filtronic introduces an advanced high-bandwidth DIFI solution to enable fully virtualized satellite earth stations."

This is exactly the kind of infrastructure that Starlink & Co. need to scale.


🎯 Juan's conclusion for you

Filtronic is a classic "scoop manufacturer" in the space boom. Not the rocket, not the satellite - but the high-frequency technology, without which neither would work.

That's exactly the sweet spot for tenbagger smallcaps.


Filtronic plc develops and manufactures radio frequency (RF), microwave and millimeter wave (mmWave) technologies. The company's products transmit, receive and condition radio signals, particularly at microwave and mmWave frequencies. It develops and manufactures RF-to-mmWave components and subsystems for mission-critical communication networks. The company's products include Morpheus X2, Morpheus II, Hades, Cerus, tower top amplifiers, switched filter banks, GaN amplifiers, custom filters, custom combiners, interference mitigation filters, transmit and receive modules, transceivers, front-end modules, ceramic filters, combline filters, merged element filters, metal cavity filters, suspended substrate filters, thin film filters, small cell filters, waveguide diplexers, cross-band combiners and in-band combiners. The company's technologies are used in high-performance markets including aerospace and defense, telecommunications infrastructure, critical communications, space and other markets.

Number of employees: 186


Markets

  • Aerospace & Defense

Your products are at the forefront of radar and electronic warfare technology.

  • Telecommunications infrastructure

They enable reliable, accurate voice and data communications for emergency services.

  • Critical Communications
  • Space

They offer high-performance transceiver modules that enable ground-to-space and inter-space data transmission.

  • Adjacent markets

Low latency private networks,

quantum computing,

Test & Measurement

From the track to the train

attachment

115190-FILTRONIC-ANNUAL-REPORT-2025_v6_LR-00E.pdf


History of innovation:

  • 1977

Company founded by Professor David Rhodes at the University of Leeds.

  • 1979

First employees recruited.

  • 1989

Filtronic components receive a Queens Award for technology. Wireless infrastructure business established.

  • 1992

Filtronic Comtek established to focus on 2G - global systems for (GSM)

  • 1994

Filtronic Comtek plc listed on the UK stock exchange.

  • 1999

Acquisition of the Fujitsu silicon plant in Newton Aycliffe for the manufacture of GaAs (gallium arsenide) wafers.

  • 2002

Triton chipset, transmit and receive multi-purpose MMICs, developed for mobile backhaul

  • 2003

The company reorganizes into three divisions: Wireless Infrastructure, Handset Products and Integrated Products

  • 2011

Development of mmWave capabilities, including Theseus, Orpheus and Morpheus II

  • 2013

Headquarters relocated to NETPark Science Park in Sedgefield, County Durham.

  • 2015

Company listing moves to the AIM stock market.

Company listing moves to the AIM stock market.

  • 2017

Launch of contract manufacturing services, primarily for aerospace and defense

  • 2020

Launched Morpheus II, market leading transceiver product and tower top amplifier range.

  • 2021

Awarded the Queen's Award for Enterprise: International Trade.

  • 2022

Launched Hades E-band active diplexer and extended range of Cerus high power amplifiers.

  • 2023

Morpheus X2, Taurus and Hades X2 launched

  • 2023

Awarded the King's Award for Enterprise: Innovation

  • 2023

ESA-funded project

  • 2023

DTEP funding

  • 2023

Leonardo - Supplier Innovation Award

  • 2024

Strategic partnership Partnership with Space X

  • 2025

Part of the ESA/Viasat D2D project


New contract wins in the year include

  • LEONARDO
  • VIASAT
  • AIRBUS
  • SpaceX



Operational highlights

Strong execution of growth strategy

  • The move to a new, bespoke facility in Sedgefield is underway and due to be completed in the first half of FY2026, doubling the Group's UK manufacturing capacity to meet the growing demand for the Group's products

Expanding exposure to the space and aerospace and defense markets

  • Record orders in the space sector, including a landmark agreement with SpaceXas well as new contract awards to Viasatthe European Space Agency and Airbus.
  • Strengthening the position in the defense sector, demonstrated by the recently concluded contract for the airborne radar application with Leonardo and the progress made in the programs of QinetiQ and BAE Maritime Systems.

Continuous innovation to support scaling

  • Extended development to higher frequency RF bands, in particular V-band, opened up new market opportunities and reached a major milestone with the successful launch of Prometheus, the highest power solid state power amplifier on the market.
  • Accelerated transition from gallium arsenide (GaAs) to gallium nitride (GaN) technology, enabling higher performance for satellite and defense systems, with the launch of the GaN-based product line in 2026.



NEWS

Filtronic stellt eine fortschrittliche Hochbandbreiten-DIFI-Lösung vor, um vollstĂ€ndig virtualisierte Satellitenbodenstationen zu ermöglichen – Filtronic


Filtronic eröffnet neue Haupt- und ProduktionsstĂ€tte – Filtronic


Filtronic sichert sich eine SchlĂŒsselrolle im europĂ€ischen Verteidigungssektorprogramm – Filtronic


Filtronic vergab NSIP Mittel zur Entwicklung der nÀchsten Generation des 550W Ka-Band SSPA - Filtronic

Filtronic, a leading Entwickler und Hersteller fortschrittlicher RF- und Mikrowellenlösungenwas funded by the National Space Innovation Program (NSIP) of the britischen Weltraumagentur (NSIP) to develop a high-performance 550W Ka-band solid-state power amplifier (SSPA). The project will advance Filtronic's proprietary gallium nitride (GaN) technology and integrated system design, setting new standards in efficiency, linearity and reliability for satellite communications.


Filtronic schließt mehrjĂ€hriges GaN-Verpackungsprojekt ab – Filtronic


Filtronic sichert den Auftrag fĂŒr Satellitennutzlast-Baugruppen – Filtronic

Filtronic sichert sich rekordverdĂ€chtige SpaceX-Bestellung – Filtronic


Filtronic verdoppelt innerhalb eines Jahres seine Ingenieurbelegschaft, da die Expansion im Vereinigten Königreich sich beschleunigt – Filtronic

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Geographical distribution of sales

(GBP 2025)

Americas 51.16 million

United Kingdom 3.95 million

Europe 1.2 million

Rest of the world 4.0 million

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📌 Brief analysis of the key financial figures (2025-2028)

from the perspective of an investor who pays attention to growth, margin quality and cash flow


1) Growth: extremely strong, but volatile

Filtronic shows an explosive sales growth:

  • 2025: +121 %
  • 2026: slight decline (-1.6 %)
  • 2027: +13 %
  • 2028: +20 %

The pattern is typical for a deep-tech supplier: large project cycles → strong leaps → short breaks → next growth wave.

Investor takeaway: → Filtronic is growing structurally, but not linearly. Attractive for long-term investors.


2) Margins: Peak in 2025, normalization thereafter

The margins show a clear picture:

  • EBITDA margin 2025: 30% (extremely strong)
  • 2026: 18,9 % (normalization)
  • 2027-2028: 20-21 % (stable profitability)

Investor takeaway: → 2025 is an exceptional year. → From 2027 onwards, Filtronic stabilizes at solid 20% EBITDA margins - very good for an RF/mmWave specialist.


3) Profitability: fluctuating, but structurally positive

Net result:

  • 2025: GBP 14.05 million (peak)
  • 2026: GBP 3.1 million (slump)
  • 2027: GBP 6.85 million (recovery)
  • 2028: no estimate

Investor takeaway: → Profits fluctuate strongly, but remain positive. → The business model is profitable, but project-driven.


4) Cash flow: Surprisingly strong

Free cash flow:

  • 2025: GBP 8.22 million
  • 2026: GBP -0.65 million
  • 2027: GBP 5.87 million
  • 2028: GBP 8 million

Investor takeaway: → Filtronic generates regularly positive FCFexcept during investment peaks. → This is a quality feature for small caps.


5) Balance sheet: very strong - net cash position

Net debt:

  • 2025: GBP -10.8 million
  • 2026: GBP -10.1 million
  • 2027: GBP -12 million
  • 2028: GBP -25 million

Investor takeaway: → Filtronic is debt-free and further expands its cash buffer. → This massively reduces risk.


6) Capital intensity: fluctuating but controlled

CAPEX:

  • 2025: GBP 5.62 million
  • 2026: GBP 9.67 million
  • 2027: GBP 4.93 million
  • 2028: GBP 5 million

Investor takeaway: → CAPEX peaks are project-related. → No structurally capital-intensive business model.


7) EPS: Strong growth over the cycle

Earnings per share:

  • 2025: 0.0605 GBP
  • 2026: 0.0268 GBP
  • 2027: 0.0367 GBP
  • 2028: 0.0565 GBP

Investor takeaway: → EPS grows over the entire cycle significantly. → 2026 is a downward outlier, but 2027-2028 show clear recovery.


🎯 Overall conclusion for you as an investor

Filtronic is a classic deep-tech small cap with:

  • very strong structural growth
  • High but fluctuating profitability
  • excellent cash flow profile
  • debt-free balance sheet
  • clear technological competitive advantages (mmWave, defense, satellites)


investment character:

  • Non-linearbut high quality
  • High upsidewhen large orders come in
  • Low insolvency risk due to net cash
  • 2025-2028 show: Filtronic can scale


attachment

Market value 512.5

Number of shares (in thousands) 219,943

Date of publication 29.07.2025


📌 Valuation analysis Filtronic (based on MarketScreener)

(P/E ratio, P/B ratio, PEG, FCF yield, EPS -


1) P/E ratio - expensive in the cycle, but falling sharply towards 2028

MarketScreener shows an extreme volatility:

  • 2025: 20,7×
  • 2026: 86,9×
  • 2027: 63,5×
  • 2028: 41,2×


Interpretation: → 2026 is an outlier year with low earnings → P/E ratio shoots up. → From 2027/2028, the valuation normalizes again significantly → 2028 P/E ratio 41× is not atypical for a deep-tech small cap.

Investor takeaway: → Filtronic is not a value playbut a growth tech play with cyclical profits.


Investor takeaway: → The 2028 PEG is the strongest bullish signal in the valuation.


🎯 Overall valuation (MarketScreener-based)

Value:

❌ No value case → High P/E ratios, high P/B ratios, cyclical earnings.

Growth:

đŸŸ© Strong → Sales + margins + EPS structurally rising again from 2027.

Quality:

🟹 Medium to high → Net cash, positive FCF, technological momentum, but volatile profits.


💡 Juan's investor conclusion

Filtronic is a deep tech small capthat:

  • looks expensive in terms of valuation,
  • but 2028 clearly more attractive (PEG < 1),
  • cash flow positive remains positive,
  • and a real technology moat (mmWave, defense, satellites).

For investors: → Not a classic value stock, → but an asymmetrical growth tech case with high upside if the order situation continues in 2027/2028.


🔍 Why Filtronic has tenbagger potential in the first place

1) Market position

Filtronic is one of the few suppliers worldwide for high-frequency mmWave modules in the defense/satellite sector.

2) Scalable technology

When a large customer scales (e.g. LEO constellation, defense program), Filtronic scales scales disproportionately.

3) Valuation provides leverage

PEG 2028 = 0,8 → Market is pricing in growth not fully priced in.

4) Net cash balance sheet

→ Very low insolvency risk → High flexibility for capex & R&D


🧠 Juan's clear conclusion

Filtronic is not a safe tenbaggerbut an asymmetric high upside small cap:

  • Moat extremely strong
  • Structural growth
  • Valuation attractive from 2028
  • High risk, but controlled

âžĄïž 20-30% tenbagger probability is exceptionally good.

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Performance

1 week +16.50 %

1 month + 24.60 %

6 months + 79.23 %

1 year +137.76 %

3 years +1,841.67 %

5 years +2,812.50 %

7 years +2,906.45 %

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SHARE PRICE € 2.68 19.04.2026


$FTC (+6,7 %)

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14 Comentarios

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I always wonder how much upside potential there is left with such companies after they have already made 100-200% in a year :D
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Thanks for your effort! ❀ Another excellent performance
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Space itself is generally very exciting, but I would rather bet on the big players, or the big player on the stock exchange - $RKLB...
I can't really judge how interchangeable such a supplier is, and profitability seems to fluctuate quite a lot! But thanks for the introduction, I've actually never really looked at the company before 😊👍 could you enter what you think of Rocket Lab in your promt? Thank you very much
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Looks very good at first glance, I'll have a more detailed look tomorrow - praise to the Prakti đŸ‘đŸ»
Unfortunately my watchlist function has somehow disappeared... hope I can find the company again tomorrow đŸ€·â€â™‚ïž
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@GHF Juan says thank you. Otherwise ask again tomorrow.
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Knock knock Jack again 💀

Dear Tenbagger,
are you looking for the next rocket? Filtronic has already taken off - the only problem is: the course is already in orbit while the balance sheet is still refueling on the ground. Here's the hard-hitting reality.

1. THE REALITY OF THE FIGURES (FY 2025/2026)
- Growth monster: sales explosion from ÂŁ25.4m (2024) to ÂŁ56.3m (2025) (+121%).
- Profit leverage: EBITDA increase of +238% to ÂŁ16.6m - operating leverage takes full effect.
- SpaceX dependency: A record $62.5m order (August 2025) for next-generation GaN amplifiers dominates the pipeline. SpaceX also holds just under 10% of the shares.

2. the "Elon Musk drug"
Here you have a company that has been dormant for years and has suddenly hit the jackpot. The partnership with SpaceX is the accolade. The problem? This news is being ridden to death on the stock market. Everyone wants a piece of the Starlink pie. This is driving the share price to ~ €2.68 (GBP 223), a level that is no longer fundamentally supported by anything except the hope that a major miracle will happen tomorrow.

3 The risk that nobody wants to see
Everyone is talking about the upside. No one is talking about Filtronic now being a high beta play on SpaceX. If Musk decides he'd rather build the tech in-house (which he often does when companies get too expensive) or slashes prices, this stock will crash before you can say 'margin call'. At a P/E ratio of 60, the market is forgiving of zero mistakes. One small 'miss' in the next guidance and the stock halves.
Hardware companies have investment costs (capex) and warehousing. A P/E ratio of 60 is normally only justified with 40% software growth and 90% gross margins. Filtronic has a gross margin of approx. 54% - that is good, but not "60 P/E good".


my conclusion:
I love the moat of the company - the technology is world class. But an investment at this price is not investing, it's gambling.
- If you're already in: take the money off the table. You've won. Don't get greedy and wait for the ten-bagger to become a fifty-bagger while the risk increases exponentially.
- If you want to get in new: don't. There are thousands of stocks. Why do you want to buy the one that every cab driver is celebrating and that is 200% above its fair value?

Stay cool, Tenbagger. The next thing is already waiting, but Filtronic at €2.68 is an invitation to the slaughter.

Best regards,
Jack"
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@Aktienhauptmeister Hello my dear. Another great analysis from Jack. I also took another look at the analysts, who don't see much upside left due to the valuation. So I'm absolutely delighted that Jack has emphasized this once again. Maybe a place on the watch, but I already see a moat here. And it's not that easy to rebuild. But it's already a hype. That's why I've now given Juan the instruction to pay attention to the rating. You know how interns are
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I don't think I will get in at the moment because of the declining figures 26, as I think I will find better values for my short-term maximum return strategy. But interesting for the watch in the medium term.
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@Multibagger think a correction should make an entry worthwhile . But I also see slight parallels to $FEIM. Both also interesting due to the topic of quantum technology
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@Multibagger I also see 2026 as priced in. I think investors will now be looking closely at the forecast, which should ultimately determine the future direction
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@Tenbagger2024 May I tell you something that I have noticed for some time and that is important for me to say. I look forward to every introduction and analysis from you. But I always get the impression that if I'm not immediately on fire, you're disappointed and feel attacked or offended in your honor of analysis. But let me tell you. This is a discussion forum with different strategies and interests. If you present a very interesting company that you think has a lot of potential and I don't want to buy it immediately and also write why not, please don't take that as a disregard for your work or that the company is garbage. I have already made some good trades thanks to your ideas here. Not everyone fits into my concept. But I really appreciate you and your contribution to the community. So keep going and don't be disappointed if I don't implement some of your ideas immediately or if I disagree with you about the short-term development that is crucial for me.
Have a nice Sunday!
Your Multibagger
Chris
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@Multibagger No, I'm not disappointed. But I also find it very valuable to enter into a constructive discussion with you and the community. And, of course, to possibly add my point of view to the comments. Of course, that could be one reason why so few people comment. And I'm really looking forward to your comment, it's going on the watch. And I agreed with you on that too. It can never be wrong to observe or wait for corrections first. And if you write that it doesn't fit my strategy, that's okay too. I don't get any commission for any purchases here. 😂🙈
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Super exciting company and also pretty much my cup of tea, thank you very much!

I think the share price is likely to rise further with and after SpaceX's IPO due to the hype. However, I don't have any cash to invest at the moment and don't really trust the sustainability of the current rally. A few more windows will probably open here.
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@Investment_Inka Tomorrow I will introduce another competitor. It might be interesting to compare the two then
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