$UBER (+1,15 %) went over the table for the umpteenth time these days. Is currently struggling in the short-term 15min chart at the POC (volume peak). If Uber runs into the lower standard deviation again today/the next few days - down to 60€ or even below, then I'll be back in. Otherwise there were a few nice short-term trades with a total of just under €1,800 Erlöse🤷‍♂️

Positions in $UBER (+1,15 %) and $AMZN (+5,59 %) which now account for almost 50% of the portfolio. In addition, additional purchases in $ASML (+4,13 %) and $AMD (+6,14 %) were made. Soon it will be time again for the next earnings, it remains exciting.

Thesis: AI remains and will continue to be expanded over the next 5 years. Access to ChatGPT or similar will be just as important as a good WIFI connection. $AMZN (+5,59 %) makes GenAI the 4th pillar of their business. At the same time $UBER (+1,15 %) is penetrating the delivery business more strongly, most recently through cooperations with Sally Beauty and Petco no longer 1-Day Deliveries (Prime) but 20 minutes.

Or how you can make a fool of yourself all over the world.

No deal with Putin, no deal with TikTok, no deal with China.... In the end, Trump had to back down again. What hedge fund managers, US industry and high-ranking Republicans had been calling for days ago came true yesterday. Just before his political "suicide", the ripcord was pulled.

My portfolio conclusion: it has once again proven true - everything that falls quickly can also rise quickly again, and vice versa📉📈 Somehow a crash in fast motion.💥 It's not over yet. We are still a long way from the highs.

The last few days around 30k have been invested in the portfolio, even several times due to the nice volatility, as I've been in and out with the whole amount about 3 times in total.

Yesterday morning I went back in with the stocks that were taken out the day before. Orders closed $UBER (+1,15 %)
$RDC (-0,84 %)
$KTN (+1,24 %)
$VER (-1,78 %)
$ZAL (+0,45 %) and also the $WEBG (+2,03 %) was expanded with approx. 5k. I like to invest the trading proceeds in ETFs to steadily expand the core.

How did you get on? Were you brave enough to get in?

Would you currently rather buy additional positions in your portfolio or add new shares to your portfolio?

I am currently short these positions:

$ASML (+4,13 %) (-17%) (actually position full)

$NVDA (+4,99 %) (-20%) (position actually full)

$GOOGL (+3,82 %) (-15%)

$VST (+6,37 %) (-20%)

$HIMS (+5,86 %) (-22%)

$AMZN (+5,59 %) (-2%)

that I would like to get new

$MC (+2,35 %)

$MELI (+1,29 %)

$SPOT (+1,92 %)

$MSCI (-0,21 %)

$UBER (+1,15 %)

$SIE (+2,46 %)

$MUX (+1,79 %)

$UBER (+1,15 %) Why I sold my Uber right after the start of US trading today.

Trump's actions and share prices are not predictable in themselves, but when share prices react to them, they remain within certain ranges - for mathematicians and statisticians - it's about the standard deviation 1 and 2. I use these marks in addition to the volumes for my trading decisions, among other things.

The picture below shows a short time horizon of approx. 3 weeks, 30min chart on the NYSE. The yellow channel shows the standard deviation from the volume weighted average price - blue line in the middle. The pink channel shows the standard deviation 2.

Even though Trump is a "savage", the price is running within the standard deviation 1 except for a few outliers. If it breaks down sharply, I am on the lookout for a reversal signal or place a buy order in this area.

As the price has moved south again from the average price since the US stock market opened today, that was the sell signal for me - even if the buy-in of just under €56 would have been tempting to hold.

With high volatility, it's better to get out and lock in profits. You can always get back in. Let's see what the news has to offer tomorrow. Buy orders are set at the lower end of the standard deviation 2 / yesterday's lows. If it works, it's good, if not, also OK, then at least I have secured the profits from "yesterday to today".

Of course, the chart does not give us 100% certainty! But it does give us signals for buy or sell - if the price were to break out of the standard deviation 2 downwards, for example, my stop loss would also solve the problem 😅

If all else fails, then "zoom out" - where are the relevant areas on the long horizon?

There used to be something at the lower edge of standard deviation 2 😅 - otherwise there may be potential downwards into the channel between 40$ and 50$ 🥶 ...let's hope we don't have to see that!

$UBER (+1,15 %) Sold about a week ago above 70€, with the target price to re-enter at the lower edge https://getqu.in/vVtu9N/

$UBER (+1,15 %) What are my eyes seeing during the coffee break? Is something happening at the point of control?

Well then, a buy order in the €58 range - in times when everything is red, you just have to keep your head above water with small trades 🏊

$UBER (+1,15 %) traded in the small range. the next buy order in the lower part of the range is already in again. Every little helps a lot👆

PS: This has no relevance for B&H investors - in the long term, Uber is a good buy even at this level!

The capital that was freed up went into the $RDC (-0,84 %) This position was reduced by 2/3 / profits taken after the earnings a few days ago. Also hit a small resistance zone at around €123.

$NKE (+1,45 %) After Nike has been on my watchlist for several weeks, the time had come this week. A first position of 80 shares has been opened 😁

If you zoom back to 2019 at weekly level, the current range has proven to be support. The VRVP (Visible Range Volume Profile - visible in the chart on the left) has also reached the lower edge of liquidity. The SMA 50, 100 and 200 are also much higher than the current range.

Zooming into the "now and today" area reveals a similar picture. The current range has been tested several times since July 2024.

An entry shortly before the figures is of course always associated with some risk, but without risk there is no return. A bit of crystal ball gazing at the end 😉

My crystal ball has led me to the following assumption - I expect an upward breakout. If it breaks out downwards into the risk area as shown in the following chart, then the stop loss will have to do its job. You only know afterwards 😂

Who is also invested in Nike or recently got in at this level? How do you see the rest of 2025 for Nike?

PS: For those who follow my posts - $RDC (-0,84 %) is running as expected, I sold a small amount on the day of the numbers after the strong rise (TP1), the remaining position with 70 shares is still running. https://getqu.in/LcDiWw/

With $UBER (+1,15 %) I also re-entered this week after my exit a month ago https://getqu.in/Qw3pDX/

Let's see what happens 😎