First dip your little toe in the water. If there are further setbacks, the next tranche of 5 shares will follow.

The target is around 20 shares, possibly more.

The hype is all about humanoid robots, but the constant winners are in the background.

I have divided the analysis into two perspectives. 1. the complete value chain of humanoid robots, which shows all the players from the chip to the finished robot, and 2. the blade manufacturers in the background, who always earn money as enablers, regardless of which manufacturer wins the race.

ASML, Applied Materials and Tokyo Electron dominate in manufacturing technology. Quality assurance comes from Keysight, Advantest and Teradyne. Chip design is supported by Synopsys, Cadence and ARM. Data streams are secured by Arista Networks, Cisco and Equinix. The computing basis is created in the cloud by Amazon, Microsoft and Alphabet. Albemarle, Lynas and Umicore play a central role in raw materials and battery materials. These companies monetize their customers' investment waves, have high barriers to entry, service revenues and pricing power, but remain cyclical with risks from export rules, capex cuts and currency movements.

🌐 Value chain of humanoid robots Sector overview

1. research & chip design (IP / EDA)

$ARM (+2,23 %)
ARM Holdings (ARM, UK/USA) - CPU architectures

$SNPS (-0,95 %)
Synopsys (SNPS, USA) - Chip design software

$CDNS (+1,11 %)
Cadence Design Systems (CDNS, USA) - EDA & Simulation

2. manufacturing technology & equipment

$ASML (-1,39 %)
ASML (ASML, NL) - EUV lithography, key monopoly

$AMAT (-0,2 %)
Applied Materials (AMAT, USA) - Process equipment

$8035 (-3,37 %)
Tokyo Electron (8035.T, JP) - Wafer equipment

$KEYS (+1,98 %)
Keysight Technologies (KEYS, USA) - Test & RF measurement technology

$6857 (+1,97 %)
Advantest (6857.T, JP) - Semiconductor test systems

$TER (-0,22 %)
Teradyne (TER, USA) - Test systems + robotics (Universal Robots)

3. chip production (Foundries)

$TSM (-0,2 %)
TSMC (TSM, TW) - Largest contract manufacturer

$005930
Samsung Electronics (005930.KQ, KR) - Memory + Foundry

$GFS (-0,74 %)
GlobalFoundries (GFS, USA) - Specialized production

4. computing & control unit ("brain")

$NVDA (-0,14 %)
Nvidia (NVDA, USA) - GPUs, AI accelerators

$INTC (+0,45 %)
Intel (INTC, USA) - CPUs, FPGAs

$AMD (-0,8 %)
AMD (AMD, USA) - CPUs/GPUs

$MRVL (+0,49 %)
Marvell Technology (MRVL, USA) - Network/data center chips

5. sensors ("senses")

$6758 (-0,94 %)
Sony (6758.T, JP) - CMOS image sensors

$6861 (-0,23 %)
Keyence (6861.T, JP) - Vision systems, sensors

$STM (+0 %)
STMicroelectronics (STM, CH/FR) - MEMS sensors

6. actuators & power electronics ("muscles")

$IFX (-0,84 %)
Infineon (IFX, DE) - Power semiconductors, SiC

$ON (-0,92 %)
N Semiconductor (ON, USA) - SiC/Power Chips

$STM (+0 %)
STMicroelectronics (STM, CH/FR) - Motor control & power

$TXN (+0,57 %)
Texas Instruments (TXN, USA) - Motor control, power ICs

$ADI (+1,92 %)
Analog Devices (ADI, USA) - Energy & BMS chips

7. communication & networking ("nerves")

$QCOM (-0,11 %)
Qualcomm (QCOM, USA) - 5G/SoCs

$AVGO (+0,09 %)
Broadcom (AVGO, USA) - Network & radio chips

$SWKS (-0,43 %)
Skyworks Solutions (SWKS, USA) - RF components

8. energy supply

$300750
CATL (300750.SZ, CN) - Batteries

$6752 (-0,02 %)
Panasonic (6752.T, JP) - Batteries for automotive/robotics

$373220
LG Energy Solution (373220.KQ, KR) - Batteries

9. cloud & infrastructure

$AMZN (-0,39 %)
Amazon (AMZN, USA) - AWS

$MSFT (+0,14 %)
Microsoft (MSFT, USA) - Azure

$GOOG (+0,66 %)
Alphabet (GOOGL, USA) - Google Cloud

$EQIX (-1,09 %)
Equinix (EQIX, USA) - Data center operator

$ANET (+0,84 %)
Arista Networks (ANET, USA) - Network infrastructure

$CSCO (+0,25 %)
Cisco Systems (CSCO, USA) - Edge & Data Center Networks

10. software & data platforms

$PLTR (-0,48 %)
Palantir (PLTR, USA) - Data integration, decision software

$DDOG (+1,04 %)
Datadog (DDOG, USA) - Cloud monitoring / observability

$SNOW (+0,38 %)
Snowflake (SNOW, USA) - Cloud-native data platform

$ORCL (-0,43 %)
Oracle (ORCL, USA) - Databases, ERP

$SAP (-0,83 %)
SAP (SAP, DE) - ERP/cloud systems

$PATH (-0,43 %)
UiPath (PATH, USA) - Automation software (RPA)

$AI (-0,34 %)
C3.ai (AI, USA) - Enterprise AI platform

11. end applications / robots

$ABB
ABB (ABB, CH) - Industrial robots

$6954 (-1,08 %)
Fanuc (6954.T, JP) - Industrial robots, CNC

$TSLA (-0,69 %)
Tesla (TSLA, USA) - Optimus" humanoid robot

$9618 (+0,45 %)
JD.com (JD, CN) - E-commerce & automated logistics

🛠️ Shovel manufacturer for humanoid robots

🔹 Hardtech (physical "shovels")

These companies provide the material basis: manufacturing machines, raw materials, semiconductor base.

Semiconductor Equipment & Manufacturing

$ASML (-1,39 %)
ASML (ASML, NL) - EUV lithography (monopoly).

$AMAT (-0,2 %)
Applied Materials (AMAT, USA) - Wafer equipment.

$8035 (-3,37 %)
Tokyo Electron (8035.T, JP) - Process equipment.

Test systems (hardware-side)

$6857 (+1,97 %)
Advantest (6857.T, JP) - Semiconductor test.

$TER (-0,22 %)
Teradyne (TER, USA) - Test systems + industrial robots.

Materials & raw materials

$ALB (+0,95 %)
Albemarle (ALB, USA) - Lithium (batteries).

$LYC (+6,22 %)
Lynas Rare Earths (LYC.AX, AUS) - Rare earths for magnets.

$UMICY (-1,82 %)
Umicore (UMI.BR, BE) - Cathode materials, recycling.

🔹 Soft/infra (digital "shovels")

These companies supply the infrastructure & toolswithout which development, training and operation would be impossible.

Design Software & IP

$SNPS (-0,95 %)
Synopsys (SNPS, USA) - EDA software.

$CDNS (+1,11 %)
Cadence Design Systems (CDNS, USA) - Chip design & simulation.

$ARM (+2,23 %)
ARM Holdings (ARM, UK/USA) - CPU architectures (license model).

Test & Measurement (software/signal level)

$KEYS (+1,98 %)
Keysight Technologies (KEYS, USA) - Electronics & RF test systems.

Network & data center backbone

$ANET (+0,84 %)
Arista Networks (ANET, USA) - High-speed networks.

$CSCO (+0,25 %)
Cisco Systems (CSCO, USA) - Data center/edge networks.

$EQIX (-1,09 %)
Equinix (EQIX, USA) - Data centers (colocation).

Cloud infrastructure

$AMZN (-0,39 %)
Amazon (AMZN, USA) - AWS (cloud, AI training).

$MSFT (+0,14 %)
Microsoft (MSFT, USA) - Azure.

$GOOG (+0,66 %)
Alphabet (GOOGL, USA) - Google Cloud.

Takeaway: Investing in the infrastructure stack allows you to participate in the robotics trend regardless of the subsequent product winner and reduces the individual product risk, but you have to live with cycles. In your opinion, which stage of the chain offers the best risk/return combination and fits into a disciplined portfolio?

Source: Own analysis based on publicly available company information and IR materials of the companies mentioned.

Took profits so as not to give away any taxes. Back in later when the price drops a little!

🚀 Record quarter for $PLTR (-0,48 %) :

In Q2 2025, Palantir exceeded USD 1 billion in revenue for the first time, an impressive +48% compared to Q2 2024.

The US market accounted for USD 733 million of this: US commercial +93 %, US government +53 % YoY.

Profit & cash flow power:

• GAAP net income: USD 327m (+144% YoY)

• Adjusted free cash flow: USD 569m (57% margin), operating cash flow: USD 539m (54% margin)

• Cash position: Impressive USD 6 billion in cash & securities, without any debt.

• Rule-of-40 score: 94 % - a milestone in efficiency and growth.

Management raises the annual sales forecast for 2025 to USD 4.142-4.150 billion - US Commercial in particular is expected to reach over USD 1.302 billion. Operating profit and free cash flow will also increase significantly.

Total annual sales amounted to USD 2.86 billion and net profit to USD 462 million.

In addition: free cash flow 2024: approx. USD 1.14 billion - a significant increase compared to 2023.

Bullish aspects:

• Growth & profitability in one: Q2 2025 shows sales explosion and high margins - Rule-of-40 at 94%.

• Clean balance sheet result: USD 6 bn cash, no debt, strong free cash flow.

• Increase in analyst sentiment: outlook raised, solid forecasts - signals confident management.

Risks & issues:

• Extremely high valuation: some analysts point to multiple risk - such as a P/E near 800x or around 194x 2026 free cash flow.

• Short-term market volatility: Despite the records, observers warn of potential corrections, especially if growth falters.

• Dependence on US business: A large part of sales comes from government and US commercial - diversification remains relevant.

I have $PLTR (-0,48 %) on my watchlist and am observing the whole thing from the sidelines. I will definitely pick up a few shares after the next setback.

How is it with you? Already invested or on the lookout? 😁

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Small sale of $NVDA (-0,14 %) .

129 shares and 200 stock options remain (2x long call contracts, 06.2026, 102 strike). So only 3% were sold.

Stop limit trades were also recorded.

The CC Funds ($JEPI
$JEGP) (-0,73 %) have become too hot for me under Trump and expected strong setbacks if he intervenes even more in the markets simply do not work with CC Funds. Was planned for sideways markets.

$PLTR (-0,48 %) is a "hot commodity".

$UBSG (-0,58 %) I have a large residual position and will adjust it a little if necessary. If necessary, I'll tighten the stop.

$RSGN I will set stop trades at 45 from a price of 50. I think that's still within a year's time.

Primary reason for the general liquidation thoughts: Tw. repayment of the Lombard loan.

Lombard loan key data:

Portfolio value: 247k

Lombard loan: 27.1k remaining amount, 30k max. Value to date.

Interest in CHF: 3.0%, p.a.

So around 11% of the current portfolio, or 12.3% of the loaned assets.

Primarily taken out in mid-April - May, around 15% return on average assets since then.

Even better: The loan was primarily used to make 2 trades (NVDA calls, 6k stake (170% return currently) & RSGN, 7k stake (24% return currently), which contribute strongly to the overall performance.

Calculated with the 15%, in 4 months, the Lombard (30k) brought me an additional 4.2k.

I don't have to pay it back - let it run a little longer if necessary...

As already mentioned, that cheaper and better $PLTR (-0,48 %)

$CACI (+0,22 %)

What do you think of my portfolio?

Current: 36, married, 3 children, house paid off in 5 years.

Goal: 55 retirement -> So I have roughly 20 years...

Strategy:

- 50% FTSE AllWorld $VWRL$VWRL (+0,01 %)

- 25% Growth: Tech stocks $NVDA (-0,14 %)
$PLTR (-0,48 %)
$MSFT (+0,14 %)
$TSLA (-0,69 %) + $BTC (+0,02 %) (still waiting for setback for entry)

- 25% Gold $EWG2 (+0,35 %) / $IGLN (-0,07 %)

Do you think the strategy is too boring?

Gladly feedback and sunny greetings to all!

Cathie Wood's ARK ETFs once again saw significant transactions on Tuesday, August 12, 2025, with a focus on technology and biotech stocks. The largest transaction of the day was the purchase of 738,367 shares of The Trade Desk Inc ( $TTD (+0,04 %) ) with a total value of $39,266,357. This move underscores ARK's continued confidence in the digital advertising platform, where the fund had already significantly increased its positions in recent days.

Another notable transaction involved Block Inc ( $SQ (+0,02 %) ), formerly known as Square. Here ARK sold 215,543 shares, representing a sizable value of $15,741,105. This sale represents one of the larger divestitures of the day and could indicate a strategic realignment of ARK's position towards the financial services and digital payments company.

ARK also made a significant purchase of 643,406 shares of Pinterest Inc ( $PINS ) worth $21,998,051. The social media company has repeatedly been in ARK's focus in the past, as evidenced by the continuous purchases over the past week. This trend points to a bullish assessment of Pinterest's growth prospects on the part of ARK.

In the biotech sector, ARK's ARK ETF purchased 128,896 shares of CRISPR Therapeutics AG ( $CRSP (-0,66 %) ) for a total value of $714,567, continuing its investment in the gene-editing company. On the flip side, various ARK ETFs divested shares of DraftKings Inc ( $DKNG (+1,12 %) ), Guardant Health Inc ( $GH (+5,52 %) ), Robinhood Markets Inc ($HOOD (+1,07 %) ), Palantir Technologies Inc ($PLTR (-0,48 %) ), Roblox Corp ( $RBLX ) and Shopify Inc ($SHOP (-0,15 %) ). The largest sell-off was DraftKings, with 221,203 shares worth $9,452,004 sold.

Other notable buys included Exact Sciences Corp ( $EXAS (-0,07 %) ) and Personalis Inc ( $PSNL (+0,5 %) ). ARK bought 93,753 and 134,035 shares worth $3,835,435 and $603,157 respectively. The continued purchases in these stocks could indicate a focused strategy targeting innovative healthcare companies.

Smaller transactions were also part of the day's activity. ARK bought shares in Compass Pathways PLC ( $CMPS (+5,08 %) ) and 10X Genomics Inc ( $TXG (-1,14 %) ). Despite the smaller dollar amounts, these purchases could be part of a long-term strategy that focuses on up-and-coming companies in the respective sectors.

Some of dear Cathie's transactions don't need to be understood but well, the young lady's returns speak for themselves.

$ARKK (+0,21 %) and $ARKF (-0,12 %) over 70% return since 365 days, I can only shine with +27% with my portfolio.

I will remain invested in $TTD (+0,04 %) My current portfolio has a lot of risk, as I have generated some cash.

At the moment I'm considering whether I should possibly $HMWO (-0,02 %) and $EQQQ (+0,07 %) or just the $VUSA (+0,1 %) into the portfolio.

Temporarily sold $AMD (-0,8 %) +35%, $HIMS (+0,83 %) +15%, $DOCN (+0,35 %) +9%.

I would re-enter Hims and AMD at certain prices and possibly add other companies to the portfolio if they fit my selection.

My positions:

$SOFI (+3,62 %)

$ZETA (+0,96 %)

$TTD (+0,04 %)

On the watchlist

$DDOG (+1,04 %)

$LNTH (+4,43 %)

$LMND (+0,96 %)

$TOST (+0,44 %)

$DASH (+0,39 %)

$BROS

$APLD (+0,74 %)

$SCI (+0,69 %)

The current earnings wave shows impressively how differently AI and tech stocks are performing: $BBAI (-2,7 %) BigBear.ai collapses by almost 30% after disappointing figures and it is by no means a new $PLTR (-0,48 %) Palantir. Investors should avoid the stock and focus on profitable growth stocks. $FTNT (-2,22 %) Although Fortinet exceeded expectations, its weak outlook in the firewall segment is causing uncertainty. $TTD (+0,04 %) Trade Desk and $AI (-0,34 %) C3.ai are unable to translate their technical expertise into sustained market confidence, while $DUOL Duolingo increases sales and profits significantly thanks to efficient AI integration. Palantir maintains its role as a defensive AI play with strong roots in the government sector. This divergence shows that execution business model and sustainable profitability are more crucial than mere buzzwords. Will market selection in the AI sector be even tougher in the future?

Source wallstreet ONLINE from August 12, 2025