As every Sunday, the most important news from the past week, as well as the most important dates for the coming week.

Also as a video:

https://youtube.com/shorts/v6AYDp_r3Tc?si=vg0ef8skpP7Mdt8R

Tuesday:

The DAX rises to more than 24,000 points at the start of trading. In addition to the dividend payments, producer prices are also responsible for this. These were lower than expected and were 0.9% below the same month last year. Falling energy prices are primarily responsible for this.

https://www.zeit.de/wirtschaft/2025-05/erzeugerpreise-energiepreise-deutschland-guenstig-rueckgang-inflation

Wednesday:

After Northvolt, Wolfspeed also faces $WOLF (-0,59 %) Wolfspeed also faces insolvency. Northvolt received billions for the construction of a factory in Schleswig-Holstein, Wolfspeed should have received large subsidies. Fortunately, the company put the plans on ice some time ago. Intel $INTC (-0,67 %) Intel has also postponed investments. It should be clear that subsidies are not a sustainable industrial policy.

https://www.handelsblatt.com/technik/it-internet/chips-bericht-ueber-drohende-insolvenz-von-wolfspeed-aktie-bricht-ein/100129857.html

Thursday:

Uncertainty is decreasing according to the ifo business barometer, which is good news. Uncertainty is the little brother of a lack of planning security and therefore an obstacle to investment.

https://www.handelsblatt.com/politik/konjunktur/ifo-index-unsicherheit-bei-deutschen-unternehmen-nimmt-etwas-ab/100130074.html

Friday:

The German economy surprisingly grew again. Compared to the previous quarter, GDP increased by 0.4%, whereas only 0.2% had been expected.

https://www.schwaebische.de/wirtschaft/wirtschaft-im-ersten-quartal-staerker-gewachsen-04-prozent-3609596

Trump puts renewed pressure on the negotiations with the EU and announces 50% extra tariffs. The markets slide before the weekend.

https://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/donald-trump-droht-eu-mit-50-prozent-zoellen-auf-waren-ab-juni-a-90641a29-e392-4073-ba85-55e115a34bc5

Saturday:

The Supreme Court in the US strengthens Jerome Powell's position. The Chairman of the Fed cannot be dismissed by Trump. His demand was dubious from the outset, and the confirmation is also likely to be a signal to investors that the Fed will remain independent.

https://www.handelsblatt.com/finanzen/geldpolitik/usa-donald-trump-darf-fed-chef-powell-laut-gericht-nicht-entlassen/100130344.html

These are the most important dates in the coming week:

Wednesday: 20:00 FOMC minutes (USA)

Thursday: 14:30 Labor market data (USA)

Friday: 01:30 Inflation data (Japan)

#fomc
#japan
#usa
#arbeitsmarkt

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USA plans bill against chip smuggling to ChinaA new bill in the USA has set itself the task of more strictly monitoring the export of AI chips, in particular from NVIDIA $NVDA (-1,63 %)to China more strictly. Initiated by US Congressman Bill Foster, the bill provides for the implementation of tracking tools to follow the whereabouts of the chips after they have been sold. This measure is intended to ensure that exported products comply with US export controls. Foster emphasizes that this is not a future problem, but a current threat to US national security. The bill has broad support in both political camps and could further tighten the already strict export controls. This is a clear step towards more security and control in the chip industry.

Trump wants 50% chip production in the USAIn a further ambitious step, the US government under President Donald Trump has formulated the goal that 50% of modern high-tech chips should be produced in the USA in future. Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick emphasizes that this goal should give the country the necessary "firepower" for the development of artificial intelligence. Given that the majority of chips are currently manufactured in Asia, there are concerns that China could potentially cut off supplies. Trump's predecessor, Joe Biden, had already announced subsidies of around 39 billion dollars to promote domestic production. However, Trump is relying on tariffs and is planning less stringent export barriers to facilitate access to US chips for trusted data centers. On the stock market, the shares of TSMC $TSM (-1 %)NVIDIA and Intel $INTC (-0,67 %) reacted positively to these developments, which is a further sign of the momentum in the industry.

Sources:

https://www.finanzen.net/nachricht/aktien/strengere-kontrollen-nvidia-aktie-im-visier-neuer-us-gesetzentwurf-gegen-chip-schmuggel-nach-china-14457039

https://www.finanzen.net/nachricht/aktien/34-feuerkraft-34-fuer-ki-aktien-von-tsmc-nvidia-und-intel-mit-gewinnen-trump-will-mit-neuer-chip-strategie-abhaengigkeit-von-asien-reduzieren-14465568

The AI boom has had a major impact on the stock market landscape in recent months. However, a more differentiated picture emerges in May 2025:

📈 Current share price developments:

• $NVDA (-1,63 %) (Nvidia): Currently at $113.54. Despite impressive AI innovations, the stock is down over 19% year-to-date.
• $SMCI (-1,6 %) (Super Micro Computer): Currently trading at $32.94. Recent quarterly results showed a decline in revenue compared to the previous quarter, raising questions about the sustainability of growth.
• $AMD (-1,3 %) (AMD): Stands at $98.62. The company reported revenues of $7.4 billion in the first quarter of 2025, with the data center business in particular standing out with growth of 57%.
• $PLTR (-1,36 %) (Palantir): Currently at $108.86. Despite strong quarterly numbers, the stock fell over 12% due to concerns about valuation and slowing international growth.
• $INTC (-0,67 %) (Intel): Quoted at $19.94. The company continues to struggle with challenges in the AI space and is trying to make up lost ground against competitors like $NVDA (-1,63 %) and $AMD (-1,3 %) to regain lost ground.

🔍 Conclusion:

The AI hype has undoubtedly caused significant price movements. However, current developments show that investors are increasingly differentiating between sustainable growth and exaggerated expectations.

What do you think? Which of these stocks do you think have long-term potential and which should be treated with caution?

IMF lowers growth forecast for Germany

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has significantly lowered its growth forecast for Germany. US President Donald Trump's aggressive tariff policy is causing uncertainty worldwide and slowing down economic development. The fund expects zero growth for Germany this year, which is 0.3 percentage points less than the previous estimate in January. This puts Germany at the bottom of the G7 industrialized nations and highlights the challenges facing the German economy. The new forecast also reflects the global growth forecast, which has been lowered to 2.8 percent. The IMF warns that the global economy will be put to a "severe test". While slight growth of 0.9% is forecast for the coming year, uncertainty remains due to trade conflicts and tariffs. The question is how Germany will meet these challenges and what measures will be taken to stimulate growth again.

Intel plans major job cuts

The Intel share $INTC (-0,67 %) shares immediately jumped after the announcement of massive job cuts. The new CEO Lip-Bu Tan is planning to cut over 20,000 jobs, which corresponds to around 20 percent of the total workforce of around 109,000. This decision comes at a time when the company is struggling with a drop in sales and a looming loss of up to 945 million dollars in the first quarter. Despite this gloomy outlook, investors reacted positively to the news, with shares rising 5.7 percent. Tan, who only recently took over as CEO, is pursuing a comprehensive restructuring course that includes layoffs, increased investment in artificial intelligence and a restructuring of semiconductor production. The official financial figures will be published tomorrow and analysts expect a 3.4 percent drop in sales. Intel's next steps will be crucial to regain investor confidence and set the course for a sustainable future.

Sources:

https://www.n-tv.de/wirtschaft/IWF-senkt-Wachstumsprognose-fuer-Deutschland-article25718825.html

https://www.n-tv.de/wirtschaft/Intel-plant-wohl-Abbau-von-ueber-20-000-Stellen-article25722146.html

Google's advertising business defies AI rivals and Trump's tariffs + New Intel boss announces 'painful decisions' + Procter & Gamble lowers forecast + Pepsico cuts profit target due to tariff dispute + Evotec beckons with 75 million dollars from research alliance with Bristol-Myers Squibb

Google's $GOOGL (-1,21 %)Advertising business defies AI rivals and Trump's tariffs

• Google's online advertising business continues to grow - despite competition from new AI rivals.
• In the past quarter, advertising revenue rose by 8.5 percent year-on-year to just under 66.9 billion dollars (58.9 billion euros).
• This was slightly above analysts' expectations.
• The share price rose by 4.6 percent at times in after-hours trading.
• Advertising at Google continues to generate the majority of the parent company Alphabet's revenues.
• The development of the advertising business is being monitored very closely.
• A key question is whether attempts by competitors to use artificial intelligence to display direct answers instead of links will leave a mark on Google's search engine.
• Meanwhile, Google itself is moving in this direction with AI-generated overviews of search queries.
• These "AI overviews" currently reach 1.5 billion users per month, said CEO Sundar Pichai.
• AI is also increasingly being used in another area at Google.
• "Significantly more" than 30 percent of the software code - the millions of lines of program code behind Google services - is now pre-formulated by artificial intelligence and taken over by humans, said Pichai.
• In the past, this was mainly manual work for programmers.
• There was also an unusual factor behind the strong increase in profits: the revaluation of the stake in a company not listed on the stock exchange contributed eight billion dollars, it was said.
• A name was not mentioned - but according to the Bloomberg financial service, this is Elon Musk's space company SpaceX.
• According to the report, the internet company participated in a SpaceX financing round a decade ago.

New Intel boss $INTC (-0,67 %)announces 'painful decisions'

• The new CEO of the crisis-ridden chip company Intel has announced "painful decisions" and the prospect of job cuts just a few weeks after taking office.
• Intel must reduce costs and remove bureaucratic hurdles, said Lip-Bu Tan after the presentation of quarterly figures.
• He emphasized that this would also involve cutting jobs.
• Chief Financial Officer David Zinsner said at the same time that Intel could not yet give any figures on the extent of the job cuts.
• The company also wants to reduce costs in other ways.
• The financial service Bloomberg recently reported that Intel could soon announce the reduction of around a fifth of its jobs.
• The number of Intel employees had already fallen to just under 109,000 by the end of last year from a good 124,000 at the end of September.
• Intel once dominated the semiconductor market, but has been struggling with problems for years.
• Graphics card specialist Nvidia has conquered a leading position, particularly in the business with chips for artificial intelligence.
• Intel is also under greater pressure in its traditional business with PC processors and chips for data centers.
• Intel disappointed investors with its sales forecast for the current quarter.
• The shares fell by a good five percent in after-hours trading.
• Intel forecast revenues of between 11.2 and 12.4 billion dollars for the second quarter. Analysts had expected an average forecast of around 12.8 billion dollars.
• From the investors' point of view, this weighed more heavily than the results of the first quarter, in which Intel exceeded market expectations.
• Sales stagnated at 12.7 billion dollars, while analysts had expected a decline to 12.3 billion dollars on average.
• At the bottom line, the loss of 800 million dollars was twice as high as a year ago.
• However, Intel's adjusted earnings per share of 0.13 dollars clearly exceeded analysts' forecasts of just 0.01 dollars.

Procter & Gamble $PG (-0,7 %)lowers forecast

• The gloomy consumer sentiment and the ongoing trade disputes are making the consumer goods group Procter & Gamble more pessimistic for the current financial year.
• The company lowered its sales and profit forecasts when presenting its figures for the third financial quarter.
• The company announced in Cincinnati on Thursday that revenue in the 2024/25 financial year (as at the end of June) is likely to grow organically by only around two percent.
• Previously, the Group had forecast growth of three to five percent.
• This excludes currency and portfolio effects.
• Adjusted earnings per share are also likely to increase less than expected.
• Procter & Gamble now expects growth of two to four percent instead of five to seven percent.
• CFO Andre Schulten had already reported in February that deliveries to retailers had slowed down - the manager warned at the time that the company could miss its profit forecast.
• He also pointed to a decline in consumption in Asia, Africa and the Middle East, which he attributed to the "anti-Western sentiment" prevailing there.
• Analysts had already expected earnings per share to be below the previous Group forecast, but Procter & Gamble has now cut its profit expectations even more sharply than expected.
• In the third quarter, sales fell by two percent to 19.8 billion US dollars (around 17.4 billion euros), as the company also announced.
• In organic terms, revenue grew slightly by one percent.
• However, this was less than analysts had expected.
• At 3.8 billion dollars, net profit was roughly on a par with the previous year.
• Adjusted earnings per share increased by one percent to 1.54 dollars.

Pepsico $PEP (-0,2 %)cuts profit target due to customs dispute

• The US food company Pepsico expects lower profits than before this year due to the global customs dispute.
• Pepsico announced on Thursday that earnings per share adjusted for special effects (core EPS), excluding currency effects, are likely to remain at around the previous year's level.
• Originally, Pepsico had targeted an increase in the mid-single-digit percentage range.
• Sales, on the other hand, are expected to continue to grow organically in the low single-digit percentage range.
• The tariffs are likely to make supply chains more expensive, complained Pepsico CEO Ramon Laguarta according to the press release.
• Pepsico is trying to counteract the higher costs.
• However, volatility and uncertainty are likely to increase.
• At the same time, consumer sentiment remains weak in many regions - here, too, the outlook is uncertain.
• In the twelve weeks to March 22, Pepsico missed analysts' expectations.
• Sales fell by 1.8 percent to 17.92 billion US dollars (15.74 billion euros) compared to the same period last year.
• Net income attributable to shareholders fell by around ten percent to 1.83 billion dollars.

Evotec $EVT (-0,55 %)will receive 75 million dollars from research alliance with Bristol-Myers Squibb $BMY (-0,63 %)

• For the Hamburg-based drug researcher and developer Evotec, the long-term collaboration with the pharmaceutical company Bristol-Myers Squibb is paying off.
• The Hanseatic company announced on Thursday that it had made significant progress in the field of protein degradation.
• Evotec will therefore now receive a total of 75 million dollars in accordance with the agreement.
• The news was well received on the stock market, with the share price rising by almost four percent in pre-market trading.
• Evotec has been working with Bristol-Myers Squibb since 2018 and extended the partnership in 2022.

Friday: Stock market dates, economic data, quarterly figures

Stock exchange holiday Australia

• ex-dividend of individual stocks
• ENGIE EUR 1.48
• Semperit Holding EUR 0.50
• ABN AMRO Bank 0.75 EUR
• BE Semiconductor Industries EUR 2.18

• Quarterly figures / company dates USA / Asia
• 13:00 Colgate-Palmolive quarterly figures
• 13:45 Abbvie quarterly figures

• Quarterly figures / Company dates Europe
• 07:00 Nordex | Südzucker | Safran | Signify quarterly figures | Holcim Trading Update 1Q
• 07:30 Atoss Software quarterly figures
• 08:00 Yara | Palfinger quarterly figures
• 10:00 Bayer | Continental | Merck KGaA AGM | Holcim Analyst Conference
• 14:00 Nordex Conference Call | Akzo Nobel AGM

• Economic data

08:00 DE: Construction industry, new orders and sales February

08:00 UK: Retail Sales March FORECAST: -0.4% yoy/+1.6% yoy previous: +1.0% yoy/+2.2% yoy

08:45 FR: Business Climate Index April FORECAST: 96 previous: 96

16:00 US: Consumer Sentiment Index Uni Michigan (2nd survey) April FORECAST: 50.8 1st survey: 50.8 PREV: 57.0

16:15 US: Atlantic Council, fireside chat with member of the Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England, Greene

19:30 US: IMF and World Bank Spring Meetings, IMF Steering Committee (IMFC) press conference.