Subscribe to the podcast so that the bottom is reached soon.

00:00:00 Market environment

00:21:40 Nike, Adidas, Puma, On Holdings, Lululemon, Under Armor

00:35:50 Finding the bottom: Vix, Oil Price, Baltic Dry Index, Gold, Bonds / Bonds, CME FED Watchtool, St. Louis FRED Overnight Reverse Repurchase Agreements, COT

01:18:30 Chevron, Exxon, Occidental Petroleum, BP, Shell

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production A1JKQL

WisdomTree WTI Crude Oil A0KRKU

iShares MSCI World Energy Sector A2PHCF

01:29:35 China shares

01:44:25 Container ship shares

Spotify

https://open.spotify.com/episode/28RlbWBRC6xGUJ8AkHVcFU?si=w1t0GJtDTWOwNuUADqWoPQ

YouTube

https://youtu.be/QvUuYYmxk2k

Apple Podcast

https://podcasts.apple.com/de/podcast/84-china-aktien-%C3%B6l-aktien-sportartikel-aktien-containerschiff/id1695869891?i=1000703088147

$ZIM (+6,72 %)
$MAERSK A (+6,97 %)
$SHEL (+0,74 %)
$XOM (-0,66 %)
$CVX (+0,57 %)
$BP. (+0,63 %)
$OXY (+0,27 %)
$ADS (+6,66 %)
$NKE (+0,62 %)
$PUM (+3,8 %)
$UAA (+4,06 %)
$LULU (+2,59 %)
$WTI
$1BRN
$SPOT (+1,04 %)
$AAPL (+2,65 %)
$GOOG (+3,31 %)
$GOOGL (+3,39 %)
$BABA (+3,84 %)
$700 (+3,19 %)
$BYD (+4,63 %)
#china
#zoll
#podcast

$BABA (+3,84 %) Could it happen that the China (ADR) shares are no longer listed due to the current conflict?

First of all: yes, I am aware of the risks. We don't necessarily need to discuss that 😇

Aim of the post: if you trade knock-out certificates, for example, what strategies do you have? If you have one, is it based on technical or fundamental data? Or both?

About the transaction: It is a KO certificate on alibaba. Bought sometime q3 2024 when the strike price was around 65$ (ADR), sold in February 2025 when the strike price was around 140$ - so held against every "recommendation" for many months (instead of a few weeks). I had put in 2500€.

What was my "strategy"?

I decided to avoid a market 100% when it is in a correction/bear market - no matter how good the company is. That's what I learned in 2022 $TSLA (+5,86 %) when they went down to 100$. I bought at 150$ and thought to myself what everyone was probably thinking "it can't go any lower 😅. Experience shows that no "support zones", which I looked at on a weekly basis on marketscreener.com, hold in such phases. Since I have no idea about charting, that was my only "tool" 😅... and bang... I was knocked out. Ergo: USA 100% currently ruled out for KO certificates.

Change of strategy 🔄

With $BABA (+3,84 %) I thought of the following:

- The hang seng had moved sideways after the real estate crisis

- At the beginning of 2024 there was no recovery, but the real estate market and the economy stabilized for the first time, which led me to look more positively at China - so I continued to hold.

- The fact that China equities were massively undervalued at the time also confirmed my "strategy".

- At the end of 2024, there were indeed slight recoveries in China, which the Hang Seng reflected.

The bet has been absorbed.

I made another bet a few weeks ago on $9888 (+3,77 %) a few weeks ago.

What strategies/tools do you use if you trade KO Zerts? I would be really interested. After all, you never stop learning 🫡

Disclaimer: the times mentioned are from the memory log, in case there are internet sherlocks around here 🥸☺️

How do you deal with China shares?

Does it make sense to buy or should you stay away from individual positions and rather invest in the market via an ETF?

I'm in the process of reading up on the subject and am finding it a bit difficult. 🙈

I'm interested in the specific example of Alibaba and what you would rather buy, $BABA (+3,84 %) or $9988 (+3,54 %) and why?

What do you think about ADR? (Advantages and disadvantages).

I am interested in the opinions of those who have already had experience with it.

Looking forward to your opinions! 😊

And another record: in 2024, companies worldwide paid out dividends worth a total of 1.75 trillion dollars, which is 5.2% more than in the previous year.

The major US tech stocks, which previously paid out nothing at all for many years, played the leading role. Alone $META (+4,51 %) Meta (Facebook ), Amazon $AMZN (+4,88 %) and the Chinese online retailer Alibaba $BABA (+3,84 %) were responsible for a fifth of the increase. And $MSFT (+2,96 %) Microsoft once again paid the highest dividend worldwide at 22.90 billion dollars. In second place is $XOM (-0,66 %) Exxon Mobil with 15.60 billion dollars and only just behind it $HSBA (+4,9 %) HSBC with 15.40 billion dollars (see table).

Overall, the top group is heavily dominated by American and Chinese companies. Just under half of the increase comes from the financial sector.

Dividends are particularly important for investors who value current income. The key indicator here is the dividend yield, i.e. the payout in relation to the share price. A high percentage can be based on earnings strength and a shareholder-friendly corporate policy. However, very high dividend yields in particular are sometimes the result of falling share prices and therefore indicate a lack of confidence in the earnings power and therefore also in the medium and longer-term ability to continue to pay high dividends. Therefore, this figure alone can never be a good reason to buy.

Source (excerpt) & chart: Handelsblatt

Have you heard about the rapid rise in Alibaba shares? 🚀 After a difficult time with the Chinese government, things are looking up again for the company. CEO Eddie Wu has announced that Alibaba wants to $BABA (+3,84 %) wants to really take off in the AI sector.

In the last quarter, Alibaba achieved sales growth of 8 percent to 280.2 billion yuan (38.6 billion US dollars). This is the fastest growth in over a year! The share price has already risen by more than 60 percent this year. Despite these impressive figures, the share price is still a long way off its high from October 2020.

A large part of the turnover comes from e-commerce and the cloud business. The next three years will be particularly exciting, as Alibaba is planning massive investments in artificial intelligence. Eddie Wu describes general artificial intelligence as the company's primary goal.

What do you think about the future of Alibaba and its AI strategy? 👍

A little profit taking...