$LRCX strange that I see two split transactions for this stock. Oct 3 and then another Oct 7, I think system has a glitch
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13I came up with a crazy idea and I wanted to share my work with you. I decided to organize my watchlist according to different criteria. The best stock gets 10 points and the worst gets 1 point. It is important to mention that this is a snapshot and can change at any time.
The criteria were:
- Market value (the higher the better as with the s&p)
- 52W low difference
- 52W high difference (at least 15 percent 52 w of high)
- Wallstreet rating ( strong buy )
- Price Target Difference
- Z score
- Sales forecast for the next 5 years
- EPS forecast for the next 5 years
- Forward PE ( the lower the better )
- ROIC ( the higher the better)
- Gross profit margin ( the higher the better)
- Net margin ( the higher the better)
-FCF margin ( the higher the better)
- Profit per employee ( the higher the better)
- PEG Ratio ( the lower the better)
- Beta (the lower the better)
- FCF Yield (the higher the better)
- Earning Yield ( the higher the better)
- Current ratio ( the higher the better)
-Short ratio ( the lower the better)
- Quick ratio ( the higher the better)
- Debit / EBITDA (the lower the better)
Place 1- $LRCX
2nd place $SNPS (+2.77%)
3rd place 3- $NOVO B (-2.54%)
Place 4- $MCHP (+2.72%)
5th place $REGN (-0.07%)
Place 6- $MCK (+1.51%)
ATTENTION: many industries cannot be compared directly, which is why, for example, gastronomy providers perform relatively poorly in such a test or the transportation sector such as ODFL. Here you can only compare shares from the same sector.
I would be very interested to know what you think of my approach? What can be done better here to achieve even more accurate results? Which criteria would you use and which not?
I am very curious about your feedback.
Thank you very much in advance đ
@Simpson How often do you do that with your shares?
Semiconductor shares since their 52-week highs
-61% Intel $INTC (+2.41%)
-54% Aixtron $AIXA (-2.94%)
-45% STMicroelectronics $STMPA (+0.58%)
-44% Micron Technology $MU (+5%)
-37% Globalfoundries $GFS (+2.78%)
-36% BE Semiconductor $OXVE
-33% Lam Research $LRCX
-29% AMD $AMD (+0.64%)
-29% Qualcomm $QCOM (+1.7%)
-28% ON Semiconductor $ON (+2%)
-27% ASML $ASML (+3.19%)
-26% Applied Materials $AMAT (+3.95%)
-26% Elmos Semiconductor $ELG (-0.16%)
-24% Microchip Techn. $MCHP (+2.72%)
-23% ARM $ARM (+0.48%)
-23% Synopsys $SNPS (+2.77%)
-23% Infineon $IFX (+0.2%)
-22% NXP Semiconductors $NXPI (+2.63%)
-20% Cadence Design $CDNS (+1.9%)
-17% Nvidia $NVDA (+1.51%)
-17% VanEck Semicon. ETF $IE00BMC38736 (+2.06%)
-17% Nordic Semi $NRS
-17% KLA Corporation $KLAC (+3.32%)
-13% Marvell Technology $MRVL (+4.57%)
-12% TSMC $2330
-11% Broadcom $AVGO (+1.3%)
-7% Texas Instruments $TXN (+0.59%)
-6% Monolithic Power Syst. $MPWR (+3.92%)
>> Which stocks are you invested in and how are they performing? Which of these stocks do you have on your watchlist? #semiconductor
#halbleiter
Just wanted to share a little test I'm using as benchmark:
I selected by screener the biggest 10 companies by Market Cap with these parameters:
- ROIC > 15%
- Net debt / EBITDA LTM <3x
- Total return 5Y >100% (20% CAGR)
- PE NTM <40x
- Analysts Estimated EPS Forwards 5Y CAGR >12%
Equal weighted buying in January 2nd 2024
Results:
$UNH (+0.11%) (I removed this because the PE LTM was too close to 40)
$BKNG (+4.55%) (I removed this one total return 5Y was too close to 100%)
$KLAC (+3.32%) (added the next one to replace the removed one)
$HCA (+0.44%) (same)
I know that in January the screener results maybe wouldn't be these, and that most companies are the easy ones, but... 30% returns YTD, without using the 10 best performance of the SP500 YTD ($NVDA (+1.51%) , $VST (+7.75%) , $SMCI , $HWM (-0.22%) , $CEG , $TRGP (+3.07%) , $LLY (-0.01%) , $IRM (+3.02%) , $NRG (+2.17%) , $GDDY (+1.66%) and no crypto,)
If I reached half of it every year, I will be very proud of myself.
Hope it helps
Leading The Charge In Semiconductor Innovation
$ASML (+3.19%) and $LRCX are other key players in the market. However, $KLAC (+3.32%) brought in over $4 billion in revenue from its Wafer Inspection product in 2023, which is a market share percentage of 98%.
KLAC is a clear industry leader because it possesses a market share in the Semiconductor Process Control industry of four times its nearest competitor.
It's shown steady growth over the past 5 years and has reached all-time highs, indicating no signs of slowing down.
Bullish or bearish?
The semiconductor industry has recorded an increase of 40-50% since the beginning of the year
Brief overview:
($NVDA (+1.51%) , $AMD (+0.64%) , $ASML (+3.19%) , $KLAC (+3.32%) , $CDNS (+1.9%) , $LRCX (+4.98%) , $TXN (+0.59%) , $TSM (+1.17%) , $LRCX , $KLAC (+3.32%) , $INTC (+2.41%) , $QCOM (+1.7%) ....)
The largest contribution to this was made by companies such as $NVDA (+1.51%) (Nvidia), $TSM (+1.17%) (Taiwan Semiconductur) and $AVGO (+1.3%) (Broadcom).
Here are a few companies you should know:
ASML - $ASML (+3.19%) :
- ASML is a leading manufacturer of photolithography machines for semiconductor manufacturing
- The share has gained approx. 42.2 % in the last 5 years
- The 5-year average ROIC of ASML is 21.23 %.
Texas Instruments- $TXN (+0.59%) :
- Texas Instruments specializes in analog and embedded processing chips that are critical to a wide range of electronic applications
- The share has achieved an average annual growth rate of approx. 14.6 % over the last 5 years.
- Earnings per share have increased by 12.19% over the last 10 years
NVIDIA- $NVDA (+1.51%) :
- Nvidia is a global leader in graphics processing units (GPUs) and artificial intelligence (AI).
- The average annual increase in sales over the last 5 years was 49.37%
- Future EPS growth is estimated at 31.74%
KLA Corporation - $KLAC (+3.32%) :
- KLA provides advanced inspection, measurement and data analysis solutions that are essential for high-quality semiconductor production
- ROIC 5-year average is 34.66%
- FCF per share has increased by 18.7% over the last 10 years
Cadence Design Systems $CDNS (+1.9%) :
- CDNS provides software and engineering services for electronic design automation (EDA).
- The share price has increased by an average of approx. 34.5 % annually over the last 5 years
- The free cash flow per share has averaged 18.78% per year over the last 5 years.
Data from: https://finchat.io/
+ 2
Economy on 25.04.2024...
Recovery stopped right away? Meta falls, despite solid figures...⤾ď¸
Tuesday led us to believe that the correction, if it is one at all, has already come to an end and the recovery is underway. Economic data from the USA also look good and many investors were already very euphoric again.
Was that too early?
Was it just a fake breakout?
Was yesterday's setback too exaggerated?
These are questions that you always ask yourself. The stock market is not a one-way street. I stopped out a few shorts on Tuesday that would have made too much money yesterday or tonight. The stock market can be that simple :D
It's always good to have some cash in your portfolio for moments like this. It always lets you sleep well and the money management for the risk area in the portfolio has to be right. Let's see how the market continues today and how we go into the weekend. For now, let's take a look at tonight's figures.
$META (-0.47%)
Meta Platforms
first quarter EPS of $4.71 beats analyst estimates of $4.32. Revenue of $36.46bn beats expectations of $36.14bn. Meta sees second quarter revenue of $36.5-39bn (consensus $38.25bn). Meta raises CAPEX outlook for FY 2024 from $30-37bn to $35-40bn. Active users increase by 7% but spending also increases by 6%. As a result, the outlook for Q2 is somewhat weaker.
$IBM (+4.22%)
IBM
beats analyst estimates of $1.58 in the first quarter with earnings per share of $1.68. Revenue of $14.46 bn below expectations of $14.51 bn. IBM confirms guidance for 2024 and expects revenue growth in the mid-single digits. Still sees free cash flow of $12 billion.
$F (+1.39%)
Ford Motor
First quarter earnings per share of $0.49 beat analyst estimates of $0.42. Revenue of $42.8bn below expectations of $42.94bn.
$CMG (+2.69%)
Chipotle Mexican Grill
first quarter earnings per share of $13.37 beat analysts' estimates of $11.65. Sales of $2.7 billion beat expectations of $2.67 billion.
$WM (+1.93%)
Waste Management Inc.
(Del.) first-quarter EPS of $1.75 beat analysts' estimates of $1.50. Revenue of $5.16 billion beat expectations of $5.21 billion.
$LRCX
Lam Research
third quarter EPS of $7.79 beats analysts' estimates of $7.29. Revenue of $3.79 billion beats expectations of $3.72 billion.
$NOW (+1.98%)
ServiceNow
first quarter earnings per share of $3.41 beat analyst estimates of $3.15. Revenue of $2.6 billion beat expectations of $2.59 billion.
The trading day today will also have a lot to offer:
Economic data
08:00
DE: GfK consumer climate indicator April FORECAST: -26.0 points previously: -27.4 points
DE: Construction industry, new orders and sales, February
08:45
FR: Business Climate Index April PROGNOSIS: 103 previous: 102
14:30
US: GDP (1st release) 1Q annualized FORECAST: +2.4% yoy Q4: +3.4% yoy GDP deflator FORECAST: +3.0% yoy Q4: +1.6% yoy
- US: Initial jobless claims (week) FORECAST: 215,000 previous: 212,000
ex-dividend of individual stocks
RTL GROUP 2.75 EUR
Quarterly figures / Company dates USA / Asia
01:30 SK Hynix quarterly figures
07:00 Hyundai quarterly figures
12:30 Caterpillar | Merck & Co | Honeywell
13:00 American Airlines quarterly figures
14:00 Dow Inc quarterly figures
22:01 Microsoft | Intel quarterly figures
22:30 Alphabet | T-Mobile US quarterly figures
Quarterly figures / Company dates Europe
01:30 SK Hynix quarterly figures
06:30 BASF | Redcare Pharmacy | Equinor
06:30 Holcim Trading Update 1Q
07:00 Deutsche Bank | DWS Group | Hella | Hellofresh
07:00 Kion Group | Wacker Chemie | BNP Paribas | Takkt
07:00 Vossloh | STMicroelectronics Quarterly figures
07:15 Nestle 1Q sales
07:30 Aixtron | Atoss | Befesa | Delivery Hero | Symrise
07:30 Baader Bank | Drägerwerk | Pfeiffer Vacuum
07:30 SNP Schneider | Sanofi | Schneider Electric
07:30 Andritz | Adyen quarterly figures
08:00 DFV Deutsche Familienversicherung | LPKF Laser
08:00 Hermes International | Repsol
08:00 Astrazeneca | Barclays quarterly figures
09:00 KSB 1Q results
10:00 BASF | Hella | Munich Re | Schaeffler
10:00 Hamborner Reit AGM
14:30 Hochtief AGM
17:45 Vinci 1Q sales | Airbus quarterly figures
18:00 Flatexdegiro quarterly figures
18:00 Saint-Gobain Turnover 1Q
#meta
#microsoft
#ibm
#alphabet
#intel
#tmobile
#tmobileus
#quartalszahlen
#quartalsbericht
#aktien
#bĂśrse
#finanzen
#news
#nachrichten
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