Hello dear Getquin Community,

This year's IAA Mobility in Munich showed that the automotive industry is on the verge of a turning point. With over 30 percent more exhibitors than in 2023 and numerous premieres from Audi, $BMW (-0.07%) BMW, $MBG (+0.11%) Mercedes, $VOW3 (-0.49%) VW, Opel and Chinese challengers such as BYD and $1211 (+3.51%) BYD and $9868 (+3.46%) XPeng, it became clear that electromobility has now become the standard. However, behind these new platforms and concepts lies an even bigger topic, namely autonomous driving and the robotaxis of the future.

In order to present this field in a clear and transparent way for investors, I have broken down the entire value chain into individual sectors. These include automotive and suppliers, semiconductors and technology, communication and infrastructure, software and algorithms, logistics and transportation, insurance and finance, energy and infrastructure, battery and propulsion, maps and mapping, and safety and cybersecurity. Within each sector, I have analyzed the big players, the hidden champions and the blade manufacturers and highlighted my favorites in each case with a brief explanation. @Multibagger 😎

My aim was to develop as comprehensive a picture as possible that shows where the opportunities lie in this new industry and how investors can position themselves at an early stage. Perhaps the IAA 2025 was not just a car show, but actually the starting signal for the next big investment ecosystem around robotaxis and autonomous driving. If I have overlooked any important aspects or if a categorization was not quite precise, I look forward to your comments @BamBamInvest
@Epi
😎 and exciting additions @All-in-or-nothing 😎 Together we can understand this topic even better and learn from each other. @Tenbagger2024 😎

Feel free to leave a 👍. I wish you every success with your investments 🚀

🚘 Automotive & suppliers

Big player:

$TSLA (+7.73%) Tesla - pioneer in autopilot/FSD, vertical integration, huge database

$MBG (+0.11%) Mercedes-Benz Group - EQS/EQE with Level 3 approval in Germany, strong regulatory expertise

$BMW (-0.07%) BMW - New class platform, e-models with prepared sensor technology & level 3 approaches

$VOW (-0.19%) VW Volkswagen - Cariad software unit, massive push towards ADAS/AV

$7203 (+0.3%) Toyota (Japan) - largest OEM, cooperation with Pony.ai and Denso

$GOOGL (+1.47%) Alphabet Waymo (private/Alphabet $GOOGL) - robotaxi pioneer in the USA

$9888 (+0.33%) Baidu Apollo (9888.HK) - Robotaxi & Full-Stack AV in China

$Pony.ai (private, China) - Robotaxi & partnerships with Toyota

👉 Favorite: Alphabet Waymo ($GOOGL (+1.47%))

Moat through years of data collection in real operation, deep AI integration, financially secured by Alphabet. Compounder potential, as Waymo can scale as a platform.

Hidden champions:

$APTV (+0.71%) Aptiv - supplier for ADAS, sensor fusion, E/E architectures

$MG (+0.59%) Magna International - produces complete vehicle systems including autonomous components

$ZF Friedrichshafen (private) - German giant in steering and braking systems for AVs

Veoneer (private, formerly listed) - safety software, vision, sensor technology

$SHA0 (+1.24%) (DE, Germany, Xetra) - global supplier of drive, chassis and intelligent steering systems. Important for e-mobility and redundancy solutions in autonomous driving.

👉 Favorite: Aptiv ($APTV (+0.71%)
)

High barriers to entry through system integration, broad customer base (OEM-agnostic), strong cash flow and close partner of major car manufacturers.

Blade manufacturer:

$NVDA (-1.52%) Nvidia - Drive Orin / Thor chips for OEMs, standard in the AV sector

$QCOM (-0.44%) Qualcomm - Snapdragon Ride platform for AVs

$INTC (+1.26%) Intel Mobileye - EyeQ chips, one of the market leaders in ADAS

$LAZR (+2.19%) Luminar Technologies - Lidar, partnerships with Volvo, Mercedes, SAIC

$OUST Ouster, Inc. - Lidar solutions

$INVZ Innoviz (INVZ) - Lidar sensor technology, cooperation with VW & BMW

👉 Favorite: Nvidia ($NVDA (-1.52%)
)

Dominance in high-performance AI chips, ecosystem with software (CUDA, DriveSim), network effects through partnerships with almost all OEMs. Classic compounder, enormous moat due to technology and developer lock-in.

Takeaway:

In the automotive & supplier sector, it's not just who sells the most cars, but who has mastered the best technology stack for autonomy. OEMs work closely with specialized suppliers and blade manufacturers. Investors should focus less on unit numbers and more on data basis, software expertise and partnerships. The real levers often lie with suppliers and technology enablers, not just the traditional car brands.

💻 Semiconductors & technology

Big players:

$NVDA (-1.52%) Nvidia - GPUs & AV chips (Drive Orin, Drive Thor), software ecosystem

$QCOM (-0.44%) Qualcomm - Snapdragon Ride platform, automotive pipeline >30 billion USD

$INTC (+1.26%) Intel / Mobileye - EyeQ chips, ADAS market leader

$AMD (+1.3%) AMD - GPU/CPU, entry into automotive AI compute

👉 Favorite: Nvidia ($NVDA (-1.52%)
) Unique position: Technological moat through CUDA ecosystem, enabler of almost all AV developments, quasi-monopoly in high-end compute. Classic compounder with long-term growth leverage.

Hidden champions:

$LAZR (+2.19%) Luminar Technologies - Lidar supplier, partnerships (Volvo, Mercedes, SAIC)

$INVZ Innoviz Tech. - Lidar, BMW & VW as customers

$KOTMY Koito Manufacturing - world market leader in automotive lighting, entry into lidar through Cepton integration, important role as supplier for OEMs

$AMBA (+0.06%) Ambarella (AMBA) - camera chips & vision processors for AV

$STMPA (+3.28%) STMicroelectronics (France/Italy, Euronext) - automotive microcontrollers, sensors, power electronics. European counterpart to Infineon.

$AIXA (+0.74%) Aixtron (Germany, Xetra) - supplies manufacturing equipment for SiC and GaN semiconductors, indispensable for power electronics in EV/AV.

$ELG (+0.78%) Elmos Semiconductor (Germany, Xetra) - niche player for mixed-signal semiconductors in automotive, e.g. for radar and driver assistance.

👉 Favorite: Luminar ($LAZR (+2.19%)
) Clear technical USP, strategic OEM deals in series production, high barriers to entry in lidar technology. Scalable compounder in a niche market.

Blade manufacturer:

$TSM (+0.23%) Taiwan Semiconductor - production of all relevant automotive chips

$ASML (+1.93%) ASML Holding - Lithography monopolist, without ASML no AI/AV chips

$EQIX (+0.18%) Equinix - data center colocation for AI training & simulations

$DLR (-0.68%) Digital Realty - cloud and data infrastructure

$AMZN (+0.69%) Amazon AWS - Cloud resources for AI training, simulation & OTA updates

👉 Favorite: ASML ($ASML (+1.93%)
) Monopoly on EUV lithography, no advanced chips for autonomous driving without ASML. Moat through technology and patents, classic compounder.

Takeaway:

Semiconductors & technology are the foundation of autonomous driving. While Nvidia plays the central role with computing power, lidar specialists such as Luminar ensure perception. The real shovelware winner, however, is ASML, without whose machines there would be no AV chips. Investors will find the deepest technological moats in the entire value chain here.

📡 Communication & infrastructure

Big players:

$ERIC B (-0.84%) Ericsson - 5G/6G networks, vehicle-to-everything (V2X) applications, global player

$NOK (+0%) Nokia - 5G/Edge solutions for automotive & smart cities

$QCOM (-0.44%) Qualcomm - Snapdragon Digital Chassis, V2X chipsets, automotive pipeline

Huawei (private, China) - strong player in 5G/AV communication, partnerships in Asia

👉 Favorite: Qualcomm ($QCOM (-0.44%)
) Wide moat through IP in mobile communications, at the same time deep automotive integration via Snapdragon Ride & Digital Chassis. Compounder, as economies of scale in chips + licenses worldwide.

Hidden champions:

$Cohda Wireless (private, Australia) - pioneer in V2X communication, software solutions for OEMs

$Autotalks (private, Israel, acquisition by Qualcomm planned) - leader in dedicated V2X chips

Commsignia (private, Hungary) - V2X middleware & roadside units

👉 Favorite: Autotalks (private, Israel)

Technology leader in dedicated V2X chips, unique IP portfolio. Strong takeover candidate (Qualcomm already active), giving moat + exit potential.

Shovel manufacturer:

$CSCO (-0.24%) Cisco Systems - network infrastructure for automotive, cloud & edge

$AMT (-0.77%) American Tower - cell towers & infrastructure, benefits from 5G expansion

$CCI (-0.96%) Crown Castle - radio tower and fiber optic infrastructure (mainly USA)

$EQIX (+0.18%) Equinix - data centers, basis for edge computing and OTA updates

$DLR (-0.68%) Digital Realty - colocation & data center capacity for simulations and AV data

👉 Favorite: Equinix ($EQIX (+0.18%)
)

Global leader in data center colocation, benefits from the edge computing trend. Strong moat due to network effects & high switching costs. Long-term compounder.

Takeaway:

Communication & infrastructure are the silent cornerstones of autonomous driving. Without low-latency networks, edge data centers and V2X communication, no AV can drive safely. While Qualcomm forms the technological bridge between chip and infrastructure, hidden champions such as Autotalks secure niche leadership. On the blade side, Equinix remains unbeatable, as every OEM & service provider needs computing power at the edge.

🤖 Software, platforms & algorithms

Big Player:

$GOOGL (+1.47%) Alphabet / Waymo - Robotaxi pioneer, full-stack AV software, years of database

$TSLA (+7.73%) Tesla - FSD, Dojo supercomputer, vertical integration incl. fleet

$9888 (+0.33%) Baidu Apollo (HK) - largest robotaxi network in China, full-stack solution

$UBER (-0.53%) Uber - AV platform in partnership (e.g. with Momenta), scaling via existing user base

👉 Favorite: Alphabet / Waymo ($GOOGL (+1.47%)
)

Unbeatable moat due to millions of real driving kilometers + simulations, strong financial base via Alphabet, focus on platform scaling (robotaxi, licensing model). Compounder with global expansion potential.

Hidden champions:

$Momenta (private, China) - L4 software for OEMs, partner of Mercedes, Toyota

$AUR Aurora Innovation - software + sensor technology for truck autonomy, partner PACCAR, Volvo

$Argo AI (private, USA) - formerly Ford/VW, now partly continued through partner projects

$Oxbotica (private, UK) - modular AV software, focus on industrial & logistics applications

👉 Favorite: Aurora Innovation ($AUR
)

Clear focus on trucking (biggest lever in the AV market), long-term OEM partnerships, strong moat due to specialization in long-haul autonomy. Still young, but strong compounder potential.

Shovel manufacturer:

$PLTR (-1.39%) Palantir - data management, simulation & AI analysis for AV training

$SNOW (-0.3%) Snowflake - Cloud data platform, relevant for AV data streams

$MSFT (-0.74%) Microsoft Azure - cloud & simulation platform for OEMs

$AMZN (+0.69%) AWS - largest provider for AI training & simulations in the AV sector

$ADBE (-0.02%) Adobe - Simulation & Digital Twin Tools (via partnerships)

👉 Favorite: Palantir ($PLTR (-1.39%)
)

Deep integration in data pipelines, modular platform for simulation & decision logic. Moat due to lock-in effects with major customers, strong compounder with AI scaling.

Takeaway:

Software and algorithms are the real key to autonomous driving. Vehicles are becoming "data centers on wheels" and only the companies with data, simulation and AI stacks can dominate the market in the long term. Waymo provides the scalable robotaxi ecosystem, Aurora scores with its trucking focus, and Palantir ensures that data streams remain manageable. This is where the biggest margins are generated, not in the sale of hardware.

🚚 Logistics & transportation

Big player:

$AUR Aurora Innovation - focus on autonomous trucks, partnerships with Volvo & PACCAR

$TuSimple (private, USA) - pioneer for autonomous trucks, strong in the USA and China, currently undergoing restructuring

$AMZN (+0.69%) Amazon / Zoox - Robotaxi & autonomous delivery services, integration into e-commerce and Prime

$FDX (+0.68%) FedEx - test programs for autonomous delivery (cooperations with Aurora, Nuro, among others)

$DHL (+0.31%) Deutsche Post DHL - pilot projects with autonomous delivery vehicles & drones

👉 Favorite: Amazon / Zoox ($AMZN (+0.69%)
)

Moat through e-commerce ecosystem, integration of AV in the last mile, strong financial power and scalability. Compounder due to synergies between logistics and technology.

Hidden champions:

$Nuro (private, USA) - autonomous delivery vehicles specifically for the last mile

$Einride (private, Sweden) - electric autonomous trucks, focus on freight & sustainability

$Gatik (private, Canada/USA) - AV for medium distances (B2B supply chains, e.g. Walmart)

$Starship Technologies (private, Estonia/USA) - autonomous delivery robots for urban logistics

👉 Favorite: Gatik (private, Canada/USA)

Clear business model: "middle-mile" logistics, profitable niche market with predictable routes. Moat through early commercial contracts (Walmart). Compounder potential through scaling in the B2B sector.

Shovel manufacturer:

$CAT (-0.07%) Caterpillar - autonomous technologies for construction machinery & mining, know-how transferable

$DE (-0.39%) Deere & Co - autonomous agricultural machinery, similar technology stacks as for trucks

$ISRG (-0.17%) Intuitive Surgical - example of high-end automation (here as a cross-reference for AV tech transfer)

$UPS (+0.28%) United Parcel Service - logistics infrastructure, partner for AV integration

$R (+0%) Ryder System - fleet management, leasing and AV test integration

👉 Favorite: Deere & Co ($DE (-0.39%)
)

Autonomy already in use (precision farming), moat through data & technology in the agricultural sector. Compounder quality, as know-how in navigation & autonomy is transferable to transportation/logistics.

Takeaway:

Logistics is one of the first markets where autonomous driving brings real profitability. Trucks and delivery services benefit from 24/7 operation without drivers, while the last mile (Nuro, Gatik) opens up new business models. Amazon is the most powerful player through vertical integration, while hidden champions like Gatik occupy targeted profitable niche markets. Shovel manufacturers such as Deere supply the already proven autonomy stacks.

🏦 Insurance & finance

Major players:

$ALV (+0.54%) Allianz - the world's largest insurer, involved in AV pilot projects at an early stage

$MUV2 (-0.75%) Munich Re - reinsurance, develops models for AV risk transfer

$CS (-0.06%) Axa - active in AV insurance testing & research

$BRK.B (-0.23%) Berkshire Hathaway - large presence in the US motor insurance market via Geico

👉 Favorite: Munich Re ($MUV2 (-0.75%)
)

Moat through global reinsurance strength, pioneer in new risk models for AVs. Compounder characteristics through diversification and ability to insure new markets (cyber, AV, climate) at an early stage.

Hidden champions:

$LMND (+4.39%) Lemonade - digital insurance, AI-driven, quickly adaptable for AV policies

$Root Insurance (private/USA, formerly listed) - data-driven car insurance, use of driving data

$Next Insurance (private, USA) - platform approach, simple onboarding for new risks

$Wefox (private, Germany) - digital platform for insurance brokerage, flexible for new products

👉 Favorite: Lemonade ($LMND (+4.39%)
)

Pure digital insurer with AI-driven underwriting. Moat through data and automation approach. Still small, but compounder potential as scalable platform can be used in new markets such as AV policies.

Shovel manufacturer:

$SREN (-0.86%) Swiss Re - global reinsurer, benefits from increasing AV risk volume

$VRSK Verisk Analytics - data & risk analytics for insurers, AV risk models

$GWRE (-0.05%) Guidewire Software - software solutions for insurance companies, customization for AV policies

$FICO (+0.55%) Fair Isaac - Analytics & risk modeling, increasingly relevant for complex AV data

👉 Favorite: Verisk Analytics ($VRSK
)

Moat through exclusive data pools & analytics. Enabler for almost all insurers. Compounder character, as growing demand for data & models in new markets such as AVs.

Takeaway:

Autonomous driving shifts liability from the driver to the manufacturer or software provider. Insurers need to develop new products, reinsurers and data providers are becoming more important. Munich Re is protecting the industry, Lemonade is testing digital models and Verisk is providing the data intelligence without which no AV insurance can function. Investors will find silent but indispensable winners of the upheaval here.

🛡️ Security & Cybersecurity

Big players:

$PANW (+0.24%) Palo Alto Networks - market leader in network security, focus on cloud & IoT, relevant for connected vehicles

$CRWD (+0.64%) CrowdStrike ($CRWD) - endpoint security, strong platform for AV endpoints and fleets

$CHKP (+0.56%) Check Point ($CHKP) - Security appliances & firewalls, focus on embedded & IoT

$CSCO (-0.24%) Cisco Systems ($CSCO) - Network security + automotive infrastructure

👉 Favorite: Palo Alto Networks ($PANW (+0.24%)
)

moat due to the width of the platform, which extends from the data center to the vehicle. With the $CYBR (+0.92%) -integration, PANW has also covered the topic of identity security. Compounder properties through continuous expansion, high customer loyalty and a strong M&A strategy.

Hidden champions:

$CON (+1%) Argus Cyber Security (private, subsidiary of Continental) - specialized in automotive cybersecurity

$Upstream Security (private, Israel) - cloud-based cyber platform specifically for connected vehicles

Karamba Security (private, Israel) - embedded security for control units (ECUs)

$4704 (+0.79%) VicOne (subsidiary of Trend Micro) - AV-specific threat analysis

👉 Favorite: Argus Cyber Security (private, part of $CON (+1%)
Continental)

Pioneer in the automotive segment, deep integration in OEMs. Moat through early partnerships and specialization in vehicle architectures.

Shovel manufacturer:

$AKAM (-0.27%) Akamai - Content Delivery & Edge Security, relevant for OTA updates

$FTNT (+0.1%) Fortinet - Network & IoT security, broad base

$ZS (+0.18%) Zscaler - cloud-native security for data traffic between AV & cloud

$NET (-0.35%) Cloudflare - infrastructure protection, DDoS protection for fleets & updates

$BB (+0.62%) BlackBerry QNX - Operating system & security framework for automotive

👉 Favorite: BlackBerry ($BB (+0.62%)
)

Moat by QNX, which is already running in millions of vehicles. Strong lock-in with OEMs. Compounder potential if QNX continues to scale as a security operating system for AV architectures.

Takeaway:

Cybersecurity is the nervous system of autonomous driving. Without secure communication, OTA updates and fleet protection, AV is inconceivable. Palo Alto Networks provides the necessary breadth and depth, Argus secures the vehicles themselves, and BlackBerry QNX provides the foundation in the control units. Investors are relying on the invisible gatekeepers of tomorrow's mobility.

⚡ Energy & infrastructure

Big player:

$EBK (+0.3%) EnBW - operator of charging infrastructure in Germany, expansion of fast-charging parks

$SHEL (-0.27%) Shell - massive entry into e-mobility & charging infrastructure, partnerships with OEMs

$BP (+0.69%) BP - charging and energy infrastructure via bp pulse, global rollout

$TSLA (+7.73%) Tesla ($TSLA) - Supercharger network as AV backbone, potential licensing model

👉 Favorite: Tesla ($TSLA (+7.73%)
)

Moat due to world's largest fast charging network with high availability & own software integration. Compounder, as Supercharger can grow as a service independently of the OEM.

Hidden champions:

$Ionity (private, joint venture of BMW, Mercedes, Ford, VW, Hyundai) - Europe's premium charging network 👉 Access via OEMs such as BMW or Mercedes

$ALLG Allego - listed charging infrastructure operator, focus on Europe

$FAST (+1.66%) Fastned (FAST.AS) - fast charging network in Europe, rapidly growing

$DCFC Tritium DCFC - manufacturer of fast charging stations, globally active

👉 Favorite: Fastned ($FAST (+1.66%)
)

Clear business model as a pure fast-charging operator, strong moat through premium locations & brand perception. Compounder potential via expansion in Europe.

Shovel manufacturer:

$ABBN (-0.79%) ABB - leader in charging hardware & power grid infrastructure

$ENR (+2.09%) Siemens Energy - grid infrastructure & charging hardware, important supplier for energy transition + AV

$SU (+0.39%) Schneider Electric - power distribution, smart grids for charging infrastructure

$6594 (-0.2%) Nidec - motors & drives for e-mobility

$ETN (+1.54%) Eaton - Energy management & charging infrastructure components

👉 Favorite: ABB ($ABBN (-0.79%)
)

Broadly positioned from fast charging hardware to grid technology. Moat due to market leadership & long-standing customer base. Compounder, as electromobility + AV will bring growth for decades.

Takeaway:

Autonomous vehicles don't just need software, they need a reliable charging and energy base. Tesla is securing a massive advantage with its Supercharger network, while hidden champions such as Fastned are setting the pace in Europe. On the shovel side, ABB dominates with its global infrastructure expertise. Investors should not underestimate this sector, as no AV will drive without energy.

🏙️ Mobility services & platforms

Big players:

$UBER (-0.53%) Uber Technologies - ride-hailing, partnerships with AV start-ups (Momenta), robotaxi plans in Munich

$LYFT (+0.86%) Lyft - ride-hailing, own AV programs, cooperations with Aptiv & Motional

$DIDIY (+0%) Didi Global - largest ride-hailing network in China, AV research on Didi Autonomous Driving

$9888 (+0.33%) Baidu Apollo - robotaxi operator in China, leading with Apollo Go

$AMZN (+0.69%) Amazon / Zoox - fully autonomous robotaxi, integration into Amazon ecosystem

👉 Favorite: Baidu Apollo ($9888 (+0.33%)
HK, China, HKEX)

Moat through network effects in the world's largest mobility market. Apollo Go has already completed hundreds of thousands of robotaxi journeys. Compounder potential as China aggressively promotes AV.

Hidden champions:

$Momenta (private, China) - L4 autonomy software, partnerships with Mercedes & Toyota, based in Suzhou, China

👉 Access indirectly via investors such as $7203 (+0.3%) Toyota or Mercedes $MBG (+0.11%)

$Motional (joint venture Hyundai & Aptiv, private, USA/South Korea) - Robotaxi tests in the USA

👉 Access via $Hyundai or $APTV (+0.71%) Aptiv

$WeRide (private, China) - Robotaxi & AV bus solutions, based in Guangzhou, China

👉 Investors: Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi Alliance

$Cruise (private, USA) - GM subsidiary for robotaxis, based in San Francisco

👉 Access via $GM (+0.16%) General Motors

👉 Favorite: Motional (private, USA/South Korea)

Strong moat through OEM partnerships (Hyundai + Aptiv). Realistic scaling through series integration, compounder potential via global fleet integration.

Shovel manufacturer:

$HTZ (+0.05%) Hertz Global - fleet management, integration of AVs in rental fleets

$SIX2 (+0%) Sixt SE - Car sharing & fleet leasing, focus on Europe

$R (+0%) Ryder System ($R, USA, NYSE) - fleet services & leasing, AV test integration

$GRAB (-0.22%) Grab Holdings ($GRAB, Singapore, Nasdaq) - Southeast Asian ride-hailing market leader, entry into AV services

$Ola Cabs (private, India) - AV pilot projects in India

👉 Favorite: Sixt SE ($SIX2 (+0%)
.DE, Germany, Xetra)

Moat due to premium positioning in Europe, flexible business model (rental, leasing, car sharing). Compounder, as Sixt invests early in fleet integration of AVs and benefits from growing Mobility-as-a-Service market.

Takeaway:

Mobility services are the interface to the end customer. This is where it will be decided whether AVs remain just technology or break through to the mass market. Baidu dominates in China, Motional scores with strong partners in the West, and Sixt provides the platform to bring scalable AVs into everyday life in Europe. Investors who get in early will secure access to the future platform monopolies of mobility.

🔋 Battery & drive

Big player:

$300750 CATL - world market leader for battery cells, supplies almost all major OEMs

$373220 LG Energy Solution - global player, supplier for Tesla, Hyundai, GM

$6752 (-0.19%) Panasonic Holdings - long-standing partner of Tesla, strong in energy storage

$1211 (+3.51%) BYD - integrates battery production and vehicles, pioneer in blade batteries

👉 Favorite: CATL ($300750
SZ, China, Shenzhen)

Moat due to technological leadership and economies of scale, supplies almost all global OEMs. Classic compounder, as batteries are at the heart of every AV fleet.

Hidden champions:

$Northvolt (private, Sweden) - European battery startup, sustainable production, supplies VW and BMW 👉 Access indirectly via VW ($VOW3 (-0.49%) DE, Germany, Xetra) or BMW ($BMW (-0.07%) DE, Germany, Xetra)

$SLDP Solid Power - specialist for solid-state batteries, partnerships with Ford and BMW

$ProLogium (private, Taiwan) - solid-state batteries, pilot projects with Mercedes👉 Access indirectly via Mercedes-Benz Group ($MBG (+0.11%) DE, Germany, Xetra)

$QS QuantumScape ($QS, USA, NYSE) - solid-state batteries, strong focus on future technology

$MOD (+0.22%) Modine Manufacturing (USA, NYSE) - Thermal management for batteries, e-motors and power electronics. Critical for range and safety.

$KULR (+0.78%) Technology (USA, NYSE) - specializes in battery cooling, energy storage and recycling. Still small, but focus on safety makes it interesting in the AV context.

$ZIL2 (+0.05%) ElringKlinger (DE, Germany, Xetra) - supplier of battery packs, housings, seals and fuel cell technology. Supports OEMs in electrification and alternative drive systems.

👉 Favorite: Solid Power ($SLDP
USA, Nasdaq)

Technology leader in solid-state batteries with strong OEM partnerships. Moat through patents and early market entries. Compounder potential through commercialization from 2027+.

Blade manufacturer:

$6594 (-0.2%) Nidec (JP) - leader in electric motors for EVs and AVs

$IFX (+1.87%) Infineon Technologies (DE) - semiconductors for power electronics and battery management

$300450 Wuxi Lead Intelligent (China, Shenzhen) - machines for battery production

$UMI (-0.95%) Umicore (Belgium, Euronext) - cathode materials and recycling

$ALB (+2.47%) Albemarle (USA, NYSE) - Lithium mining and processing

👉 Favorite: Infineon Technologies ($IFX (+1.87%)
DE, Germany, Xetra)

Moat due to market leadership in power electronics, deeply integrated in battery and drive systems. Compounder potential due to growing demand for silicon carbide (SiC) chips for EV and AV applications.

Takeaway:

Battery and drive are the foundation of autonomy. Without powerful energy storage, reliable electric motors and robust power electronics, no autonomous vehicle can be operated economically. CATL dominates cell production, Solid Power is a promise of the future in solid state technology, and Infineon supplies the critical power electronics. Investors who neglect this sector are ignoring the heart of autonomous driving.

🗺️ Maps & Mapping

Big players:

$GOOGL (+1.47%) Alphabet / Waymo (USA, Nasdaq) - HD maps for robotaxis, combined with AI-supported real-time navigation

$9888 (+0.33%) Baidu Apollo (China, HKEX) - leader in AV mapping in China, integrated into Apollo Go

$HERE Technologies (private, based in NL/DE, owners: Audi, BMW, Mercedes and others) - global provider of HD maps, industry standard for many OEMs

$TOM2 (+0.61%) TomTom (Netherlands, Euronext) - specialized in HD maps for AVs, partner of Volvo and Bosch

👉 Favorite: HERE Technologies (private, access via OEMs Audi, BMW, Mercedes)

Moat through global map databases, OEM consortium as backing. Compounder potential, as almost all autonomous vehicles rely on HD maps.

Hidden champions:

$002405 Navinfo Co. Ltd, (China, Shenzhen) - market leader for digital maps in China, partnerships with OEMs - unfortunately not tradable in the EU

$Civil Maps (private, USA) - specialized in AI-supported HD mapping for AVs

$DeepMap (private, USA, acquired by $NVDA (-1.52%) Nvidia) - high-precision mapping, integration with Nvidia Drive

$Mapbox (private, USA) - cloud-based mapping platform, strong in the developer ecosystem

👉 Favorite: NavInfo ($002405
SZ, China, Shenzhen)

Dominance in the Chinese market, regulatory anchoring and partnerships with major OEMs. Moat through market access in China, compounder potential through data growth.

Shovel manufacturer:

$PL Planet Labs (USA, NYSE) - daily earth observation data, basis for dynamic mapping

$HEXA B (+0.52%) Hexagon AB (Sweden, Nasdaq Stockholm) - measurement technology and geodata solutions

$TRMB (+0.06%) Trimble (USA, Nasdaq) - positioning and geospatial data for AV and industrial applications

👉 Favorite: Hexagon AB ($HEXA B (+0.52%)
Sweden, Nasdaq Stockholm)

Moat due to decades of experience in geodata and measurement technology, strong market position in industry and automotive. Compounder potential, as mapping and positioning are indispensable for all AV applications.

Takeaway:

High-precision maps are the nervous system of autonomous driving. Without continuously updated HD maps, vehicles cannot navigate safely. HERE secures a key role through OEM stakes, NavInfo dominates the Chinese market, and Hexagon provides the geospatial bucket technology. Investors should not overlook this sector, as mapping is the invisible foundation on which autonomy works.

Sources: own research, https://www.t-online.de/mobilitaet/aktuelles/id_100901210/iaa-mobility-muenchen-2025-alle-neuheiten-von-audi-bmw-vw-opel.html

Images: https://www.deraktionaer.de/artikel/mobilitaet-oel-energie/robotaxis-das-milliardenrennen-der-autonomen-autos-20381083.html

https://insideevs.de/features/763886/vorschau-iaa-2025-neuheiten-2026/

I simply analyzed the sales and profit growth of the 3 well-known cyber security companies and got Gemini to help me.

It may be of interest to several people who are considering investing in one of these companies.

Crowdstrike has had the strongest average revenue growth of the three companies in the last 5 years and has continued to do so in the last few quarters. $CRWD (+0.64%) However, Crowdstrike has not been consistently profitable in recent years, but has focused strongly on revenue growth and expanding its market share. There have been phases with losses (including the last 4 quarters) as the company has invested heavily in marketing and research & development in order to maintain its technology leadership.

P/E ratio negative.

Fortinet also shows very strong and continuous sales growth. $FTNT (+0.1%) Fortinet has the most stable and reliable profit development of the three. Fortinet has achieved constant profits in recent years and has continuously increased them. The company has been profitable for a long time and has a high operating margin. In contrast to Crowdstrike and Palo Alto Networks, which focus more on software and subscriptions, Fortinet also generates a significant portion of its revenue from the sale of hardware products.

P/E RATIO 31

Palo Alto Networks is experiencing robust revenue growth, driven primarily by the transition from a hardware provider to a subscription provider.

$PANW (+0.24%) Palo Alto Networks had dynamic earnings growth, but with a less stable development than Fortinet. In the last 5 quarters, profit has gradually decreased. Growth is often driven by high investments in the acquisition of other companies and the development of new products.

P/E RATIO 121

Here are the figures for 2024, which already give a good insight.

Fortinet. 5.96 billion revenue, 1.74 billion profit

Crowdstrike 3.95 bn sales, 19 m loss

Palo Alto. 9.22 billion revenue, 1.13 billion profit

I have now left out the topic of AI.

Platforms in the cyber sector that have access to large data sets are the biggest winners from AI. And Crowdstrike will be ahead (according to Jefferies). Palo Alto Networks will also be behind.

For me, however, Fortinet would be the favorite as it has been generating profits for a long time and margins and revenues are growing consistently.

Hello dear Getquin Community,

Over the past few days, I have been working intensively on the topic of cyber security and its fundamental importance in various sectors such as healthcare, technology, energy, armaments & defense, e-commerce, software, insurance, industry, utilities, commodities, banks, fintech, holdings, crypto and blockchain. I took a closer look at the big players, the hidden champions and the essential blade manufacturers in the industry. My aim was to gain as comprehensive a picture as possible of the different levels of this industry.

If I have overlooked any important aspects or have not categorized something correctly, I look forward to your comments and interesting additions @Tenbagger2024
@Multibagger
@Simpson
@Vegasrobaina . Together we can understand the topic even better and learn from each other.

Feel free to leave a 👍. I wish you every success with your investments 🚀

At the request of @Multibagger I have subsequently added my personal favorites in each sector. I have an investment horizon of five to ten years. In addition to the quarterly figures, my main focus was on the long-term competitive advantages and the strength of the respective moat.

Contribution:

Cybersecurity is evolving from a peripheral topic to the foundation of global markets. Whether healthcare, banking, utilities, armaments & defense, energy, industry or the digital infrastructure for artificial intelligence and blockchain, the need for protection mechanisms is increasing everywhere. While the big players such as $PANW (+0.24%) Palo Alto Networks, $CRWD (+0.64%) CrowdStrike or $ZS (+0.18%) Zscaler are in the spotlight, more and more specialized providers are emerging that are essential in their niches and often have disproportionately high growth potential. Hidden champions such as $SECT B (-1.09%) Sectra in the healthcare sector, $NCNO (+0%) nCino in the banking sector or $ESTC (+0.47%) Elastic in the data center show that cyber security has long been a diversified ecosystem. In addition, we must not overlook the blade manufacturers, i.e. the companies that provide the technological basis. These include chip manufacturers such as $NVDA (-1.52%) , $INTC (+1.26%) Intel or $AMD (+1.3%) AMD, data center operators such as $EQIX (+0.18%) Equin$DLR (-0.68%) Digital Realty as well as software and infrastructure providers such as $ESTC (+0.47%) Elastic, $DDOG (-0.26%) Datadog or $ANET (-0.87%) Arista Networks, without whose technology the security providers' solutions would not be scalable. The capital markets are reacting to this with valuation premiums, as the dependence on secure infrastructures is comparable to electrification in the 20th century. Investors are now faced with the question of whether to favor the established market leaders or invest in smaller companies that fly under the radar but could potentially be the real winners of tomorrow.

🔑Takeaway:

Cybersecurity is not an isolated trend, but a key investment factor across all industries from hospitals to data centers from payments to crypto platforms.

Healthcare

Major players:

$PANW (+0.24%) Palo Alto Networks (PANW), $FTNT (+0.1%) Fortinet (FTNT), $CHKP (+0.56%) Check Point (CHKP), $CRWD (+0.64%) CrowdStrike (CRWD), $S (+0%) SentinelOne (S), $CYBR (+0.92%) CyberArk (CYBR), $ZS (+0.18%) Zscaler (ZS), $NET (-0.35%) Cloudflare (NET), $AKAM (-0.27%) Akamai Tech. (AKAM)

- Core provider for firewalls, zero trust, endpoint and web security

My top 2 recommendation in this sector are $ZS (+0.18%) Zscaler global Zero Trust Exchange, huge barrier to entry as infrastructure is built globally and $PANW (+0.24%) All-in-one platform, extremely high customer retention, hard to replace + acquisition of the company $CYBR (+0.92%)

Hidden champions:

$SECT B (-1.09%) Sectra (SECT-B.ST) - secure imaging & healthcare security

$VRNS (-0.2%) Varonis Systems (VRNS) - protection of sensitive patient data

Imprivata (private, partnerships with listed players) - identity management for clinics

My top recommendation
$SECT B (-1.09%) Niche leadership in healthcare security & medical technology

Blade manufacturer:

$NVDA (-1.52%) Nvidia (NVDA), $INTC (+1.26%) Intel (INTC), $AMD (+1.3%) AMD (AMD) - Chips & computing power for security appliances

$EQIX (+0.18%) Equinix (EQIX), $DLR (-0.68%) Digital Realty (DLR) - Data center infrastructure for clinical data

$ESTC (+0.47%) Elastic (ESTC), $DDOG (-0.26%) Datadog (DDOG) - basic software for monitoring & analytics

My top 2 recommendations are $NVDA (-1.52%) - GPUs, quasi-monopoly in high-end compute and $EQIX (+0.18%) - largest global colocation provider, enormous switching costs

🔑 Takeaway healthcare

Healthcare data is highly sensitive and clinics are at high risk of ransomware. In addition to large security providers, hidden champions such as Sectra and Varonis are gaining in importance as they secure directly at the interface between patient data and medical devices.

Technology, Data centers & AI, Telecommunications

Major players:

$ZS (+0.18%) Zscaler (ZS), $S (+0%) SentinelOne (S), $CHKP (+0.56%) Check Point (CHKP)

- Protection for cloud and AI environments

My top recommendation $ZS (+0.18%) - Global Zero Trust Exchange, almost impossible to copy

Hidden champions:

$ESTC (+0.47%) Elastic (ESTC) - Security-Analytics

$ANET (-0.87%) Arista Networks (ANET)

- Network switches for data centers

My top recommendation $ANET (-0.87%) - High-end switches, hyperscaler customers

Shovel manufacturer:

$EQIX (+0.18%) Equinix (EQIX), $DLR (-0.68%) Digital Realty (DLR)

- Data center infrastructure

$NVDA (-1.52%) Nvidia (NVDA), $INTC (+1.26%) Intel (INTC), $MRVL (-0.22%) Marvell Tech. (MRVL)

- Chips & computing power for AI and security

My top 2 recommendation $NVDA (-1.52%) - GPUs, quasi-monopoly in high-end compute and $EQIX (+0.18%) - largest global colocation provider, enormous switching costs

Special players Telecommunications

$AKAM (-0.27%) Akamai Tech. (AKAM) & Cloudflare (NET) - secure traffic and mobile data

$RDWR (-0.45%) Radware (RDWR) - DDoS protection for telcos

$CSCO (-0.24%) Cisco (CSCO) - network security for carriers

$CLAV (-7.08%) Clavister Holding AB (CLAV) - through SD-WAN and carrier security

My top recommendation $AKAM (-0.27%) - Established CDN + Security

🔑 Takeaway technology, data centers & AI

Data centers and AI platforms are the backbone of the digital economy. Zero Trust and cloud security from Zscaler or SentinelOne meet shovel manufacturers such as Equinix or Nvidia, who are indispensable with infrastructure and chips.

Energy

Major players:

$FTNT (+0.1%) Fortinet (FTNT, NASDAQ) - OT/ICS security for power grids and power plants

$PANW (+0.24%) Palo Alto Networks (PANW, NASDAQ) - Zero Trust & network protection for energy suppliers

$CHKP (+0.56%) Check Point (CHKP, NASDAQ) - Critical infrastructure protection, gas and oil industry

My top recommendation $FTNT (+0.1%) - ASIC hardware + software, cost advantage

Hidden champions:

Dragos (private, IPO candidate) - leader in OT security, specialized in energy infrastructures

$RDWR (-0.45%) Radware (RDWR, NASDAQ) - DDoS defense for energy networks

$NCC (+0.91%) NCC Group (NCC.L, London) - penetration tests & audits for utilities

$CLAV (-7.08%) Clavister Holding AB (CLAV) - OT/ICS and infrastructure security

My top recommendation $CLAV (-7.08%) - small niche player (carrier security)

Shovel manufacturer:

$SBGSY (+1.08%) Schneider Electric (SBGSY, OTC) - OT/ICS hardware with security components

$ENR (+2.09%) Siemens Energy (ENR, Frankfurt) - Energy infrastructure with embedded security solutions

$AVGO (-0.29%) Broadcom (AVGO, NASDAQ) - Security chips for networks in energy environments

My top recommendation $AVGO (-0.29%) - Chip giant + Symantec Enterprise Security

E-Commerce

Major players:

$NET (-0.35%) Cloudflare (NET, NYSE) - DDoS and API protection for online stores & payment platforms

$AKAM (-0.27%) Akamai (AKAM, NASDAQ) - Application security & bot management in e-commerce

$FFIV (+0.2%) F5 Networks (FFIV, NASDAQ) - API & payment security for digital platforms

My top recommendation $NET (-0.35%) - worldwide network for DDoS/API, network effects

Hidden Champions:

$RSKD (+0.76%) Riskified (RSKD, NYSE) - Fraud prevention in online trading

$VRNS (-0.2%) Varonis Systems (VRNS, NASDAQ) - Protection of customer data

$CYBR (+0.92%) CyberArk (CYBR, NASDAQ) - Identity & access protection for payment processes

My top recommendation $CYBR (+0.92%) - Standard for Privileged Access

Shovel manufacturer:

$V (-0.1%) Visa (V, NYSE) & $MA (-0.11%) Mastercard (MA, NYSE) - not classic cybersecurity, but operators of secure payment networks

$ESTC (+0.47%) Elastic (ESTC, NYSE) - fraud analytics for e-commerce platforms

$DDOG (-0.26%) Datadog (DDOG, NASDAQ) - monitoring & security analytics for retail infrastructure

My top recommendation $V (-0.1%) - Global payment network, enormous network effect

🔑 Takeaway:

Energy is particularly vulnerable due to OT/ICS systems, specialists such as Dragos are emerging here.

E-commerce needs fraud prevention in addition to traditional web security, which is why players such as Riskified are occupying a niche.

Armaments & Defense

Major players:

$NOC (-0.09%) Northrop Grumman (NOC, NYSE) - leader in cyberdefense for military & intelligence agencies, also developing offensive cyber capabilities

$BAESY (-1.1%) BAE Systems (BAESY, OTC) - strong cyber intelligence division, protects critical military and government networks

$RTX (-0.49%) Raytheon Technologies (RTX, NYSE) - defense company with growing cybersecurity portfolio for military communications & satellites

My top recommendation $NOC (-0.09%) - Top defense contractor with cyber dominance

Hidden champions:

$PLTR (-1.39%) Palantir Technologies (PLTR, NYSE) - Data and analytics platform with strong cybersecurity component, often for defense contractors

$CACI (-0.05%) CACI International (CACI, NYSE) - specializes in cyber intelligence, network protection and military IT services

$LDOS (-0.76%) Leidos Holdings (LDOS, NYSE) - IT and cybersecurity service provider for US defense and NATO

$CLAV (-7.08%) Clavister Holding AB (CLAV) - used by government and military organizations

$ADVE Advenica (ADVE) - Specialized security, relevant for government agencies and national infrastructure

My top recommendation $CACI (-0.05%) - Cyber intelligence, deep roots in the defense sector

Shovel manufacturer:

$LHX (+0.17%) L3Harris Technologies (LHX, NYSE) - provides communications and cyber hardware for military networks

$GD (-0.01%) General Dynamics (GD, NYSE) - with its IT division GDIT also a provider of cyber defense infrastructure

$KTOS (+0.93%) Kratos Defense (KTOS, NASDAQ) - specializes in drones, satellite systems and cyber hardening of defense communications

My top recommendation $GD (-0.01%) - strong role in defense cyber with GDIT

🔑 Takeaway:

In the defence sector, the boundaries between traditional defense and cybersecurity are becoming blurred. Alongside the large defense contractors, hidden champions such as Palantir, CACI and Leidos are emerging to provide pure cyber and data expertise. Shovel manufacturers such as L3Harris and Kratos secure the technical infrastructure.

Software & insurance

Big players:

$OKTA (-0.17%) Okta (OKTA), $CYBR (+0.92%) CyberArk (CYBR), $CRWD (+0.64%) CrowdStrike (CRWD)

- Identity, endpoint and cloud security

My top recommendation $CRWD (+0.64%) - Network effect through Falcon & Threat Graph

Hidden champions:

$VRNS (-0.2%) Varonis (VRNS) - Data Security

SailPoint (private, formerly NYSE) - Identity Governance

$FROG (-0%) JFrog (FROG) - DevSecOps & Supply-Chain-Security

$CYBE (+1.04%) CyberCatch Holdings, Inc (CYBE) - Provides AI-based cybersecurity SaaS

$GEN (+0%) Gen Digital (GEN) - one of the largest consumer cybersecurity providers worldwide (Norton, Avast, LifeLock), strong in identity protection and data protection for consumers & small businesses

$RBRK (+1.19%) Rubrik (RBRK) - data compliance and security in the area of cloud data security

My top recommendation $GEN (+0%) - Consumer security giant (Norton, Avast, LifeLock), strong brand power

Shovel manufacturer:

$MSFT (-0.74%) (MSFT), $GOOG (+1.49%) Alphabet (GOOGL), $AMZN (+0.69%) Amazon (AMZN)

- Cloud security base

$FFIV (+0.2%) F5 Networks (FFIV) - API protection for SaaS & insurance platforms

My top recommendation $GOOG (+1.49%) - global cloud security + Mandiant, strong moat through infrastructure & Threat Intel

🔑 Takeaway Software & Insurance

Data and identity protection take center stage. Major players such as Okta and CyberArk secure access, while hidden champions such as Varonis and JFrog provide specialist solutions. Cloud providers such as Microsoft and Amazon are both platform operators and security suppliers.

Industry, supply & raw materials

Major players:

$FTNT (+0.1%) Fortinet (FTNT), $CSCO (-0.24%) Cisco (CSCO), $PANW (+0.24%) Palo Alto Networks (PANW)

- Network protection for critical infrastructures

My top recommendation $FTNT (+0.1%) - ASIC hardware + software, cost advantage

Hidden champions:

$RDWR (-0.45%) Radware (RDWR) - DDoS protection

$NCC (+0.91%) NCC Group (NCC.L) - OT-Security & Penetration Tests

$SECT B (-1.09%) Sectra (SECT-B.ST) - secure infrastructure in the OT/healthcare intersection

$CLAV (-7.08%) Holding AB CLAV) - OT/ICS and infrastructure security

$ADVE Advenica (ADVE) - Specialized security, relevant for public authorities and national infrastructure

My top recommendation $ADVE - Specialized Crypto/OT-Security for public authorities

Shovel manufacturer:

$AVGO (-0.29%) Broadcom (AVGO) - security chips

Juniper Networks (JNPR) - network backbones

$ANET (-0.87%) Arista Networks (ANET) - high-end switches

My top recommendation $AVGO (-0.29%) - Chip-Giant + Symantec Enterprise Security

🔑 Takeaway Industry, Utilities & Commodities

OT/ICS systems in production, energy and raw materials are attractive targets. Fortinet and Palo Alto dominate, but hidden champions such as Radware and the NCC Group offer special expertise for attacks on industrial control systems.

Banks, Fintech & Holdings

Big players:

$CRWD (+0.64%) CrowdStrike (CRWD), $PANW (+0.24%) Palo Alto Networks (PANW), $ZS (+0.18%) Zscaler (ZS)

- Core protection for banks & digital platforms

My top recommendation $ZS (+0.18%) - Global Zero Trust Exchange, almost impossible to copy

Hidden champions:

$NCNO (+0%) nCino (NCNO) - Cloud Banking Security

$NCC (+0.91%) NCC Group (NCC.L) - Audits & Compliance

$CYBE (+1.04%) CyberCatch Holdings, Inc (CYBE) - Provides AI-based cybersecurity SaaS

$GEN (+0%) Gen Digital (GEN) - through fraud prevention and identity topics

My top recommendation $GEN (+0%) - Consumer security giant (Norton, Avast, LifeLock), strong brand power

Shovel manufacturer:

$FFIV (+0.2%) F5 Networks (FFIV) - API security for payments

$AKAM (-0.27%) Akamai Tech. (AKAM) - Web & Payment Security

$ESTC (+0.47%) Elastic (ESTC) - Fraud Analytics

My top recommendation $FFIV (+0.2%) - Leader in Application & API Security

🔑 Takeaway Banks, Fintech & Holdings

High regulatory pressure makes cybersecurity a mandatory field. In addition to established providers, banks are relying on hidden champions such as nCino or Darktrace for cloud banking and anomaly detection. Shovel manufacturers such as F5 or Akamai secure payment APIs and banking portals.

Crypto & blockchain

Big players:

$PANW (+0.24%) Palo Alto Networks (PANW), $FTNT (+0.1%) Fortinet (FTNT), $CRWD (+0.64%) CrowdStrike (CRWD)

- Core protection for exchanges, wallets and blockchain infrastructure

My top recommendation $FTNT (+0.1%) - ASIC hardware + software, cost advantage

Hidden champions:

$BBAI (+2.18%) BigBear.ai (BBAI) - Blockchain Fraud Detection

$RIOT (+0.76%) Riot Platforms (RIOT) - Mining with a focus on security

$CHKP (+0.56%) Check Point - the new blockchain firewall initiative (Web3)

My top recommendation $CHKP (+0.56%) - Strong brand & existing customers, but limited innovative strength

Shovel manufacturer:

$NVDA (-1.52%) Nvidia (NVDA), AMD (AMD) - chips & mining hardware

$NET (-0.35%) Cloudflare (NET), $AKAM (-0.27%) Akamai Tech. (AKAM)

- Network protection for wallets & exchanges

My top recommendation $NVDA (-1.52%) - GPUs, quasi-monopoly in high-end compute

🔑 Takeaway crypto & blockchain

Crypto ecosystems are heavily affected by attacks on exchanges, wallets and smart contracts. While traditional security players provide protection, niche providers such as BigBear.ai and Riskified are emerging that specialize specifically in fraud and blockchain risks.

Source: Own analysis, image material: schwarz-digits

I am currently restructuring my portfolio and would like to keep the ACWI as the core and have a mix of growth and quality individual stocks with a long investment horizon as satellites. I have currently selected the following stocks:

$NVDA (-1.52%)

$GOOGL (+1.47%)

$AMZN (+0.69%)

$2330

$BRK.B (-0.23%)

$ASML (+1.93%)

$V (-0.1%)

$NOVO B (+2.99%)

$FTNT (+0.1%)

$SOFI (+1.98%)

$CSU (+0.09%)

However, this selection is very tech and USA focused. Do you have any suggestions or alternatives? For example, I have $LIN (-0.73%) , $SAP (-2.63%) , $SIE (+0.42%) and $CAT (-0.07%) or $DE (-0.39%) on the watchlist. What do you think?

$FTNT (+0.1%)

Fortinet on the rise

Over the past ten years, sales have increased from USD 1.01 billion to USD 5.96 billion.

In the same period, free cash flow increased from USD 0.28 to USD 2.43 per share.

The business is highly scalable and highly profitable, with an FCF margin of over 30%. As a result, growth was financed entirely from current cash flow. The company has no significant debt.

Since 2017, the company has even been successively buying back its own Aktien and has reduced the number of outstanding shares from 872 to 764 million.

Another share price slump

However, all this has not prevented Fortinet from undergoing a major correction or crashing from time to time.

At this point, I could once again sing the song of the market's irrational short-sightedness, but I'll leave it at that.

Instead, let's take a look at what caused the share price to plummet.

At USD 0.64 per share, Q2 earnings were well above expectations of USD 0.59. With sales of USD 1.63 billion, analysts' estimates of USD 1.62 billion were also exceeded.

For the year as a whole, this corresponds to a 14% increase in sales and a 12% jump in profits.

Operating cash flow improved by 32% to USD 451.9 million. Due to major acquisitions, however, FCF fell from USD 318.9 million to USD 284.1 million.

Whether all this justifies a share price fall of almost 30 % is questionable. At UBS, however, a reason was immediately found. The bank warns of "low double-digit" growth rates, as Fortinet is only forecasting a sales increase of 11% for the fourth quarter, which is below the long-term target of 12%.

I had to laugh heartily.

Forecasts, panic and potential

The forecast for the current financial year was adjusted to an insignificant extent and largely confirmed.

For example, the sales forecast was raised from an average of USD 6.75 billion to USD 6.80 billion, but the service business forecast was lowered from USD 4.65 billion to USD 4.60 billion. The operating margin was increased from an average of 32.5 % to 32.75 % and earnings expectations were raised slightly from USD 2.46 to USD 2.50 per share.

Neither the quarterly figures nor the outlook have provided any profound new information that has or would fundamentally change the situation.

According to consensus estimates, free cash flow is expected to increase by 14% to USD 2.77 per share this year.

Fortinet thus has a forward P/FCF of 28.3, making the stock fairly valued for the first time since August last year. Over the last five years, the P/FCF has averaged 29.7

Fortinet share: Chart from 13.08.2025, price: USD 78.47 - symbol: FTNT | Source: TWS

The initial panic quickly dissipated. The return above USD 78 even triggered a Kaufsignal was even triggered. A first possible Kursziel lies at USD 82.00 - 83.50. Above this level, even a quick Gap-Closeconceivable.

If, on the other hand, the share falls below USD 78, further price losses towards USD 73 or USD 70 must be expected.

https://www.lynxbroker.de/boerse/boerse-kurse/aktien/fortinet-aktie/fortinet-analyse/?a=3355991664&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&utm_campaign=newsletter-boersenblick&newsletter=true&mc-rss-cache-bypass=2025081406&goal=0_d93daae099-4f62ef3757-410756260#fortinet-im-feuer-jetzt-noch-die-reissleine-ziehen

The current earnings wave shows impressively how differently AI and tech stocks are performing: $BBAI (+2.18%) BigBear.ai collapses by almost 30% after disappointing figures and it is by no means a new $PLTR (-1.39%) Palantir. Investors should avoid the stock and focus on profitable growth stocks. $FTNT (+0.1%) Although Fortinet exceeded expectations, its weak outlook in the firewall segment is causing uncertainty. $TTD (+0.29%) Trade Desk and $AI (+0.3%) C3.ai are unable to translate their technical expertise into sustained market confidence, while $DUOL Duolingo increases sales and profits significantly thanks to efficient AI integration. Palantir maintains its role as a defensive AI play with strong roots in the government sector. This divergence shows that execution business model and sustainable profitability are more crucial than mere buzzwords. Will market selection in the AI sector be even tougher in the future?

Source wallstreet ONLINE from August 12, 2025

I did manage to buy some more at the end of the week (yesterday) and filled my portfolio a little more. 📈

I bought:

• 150 × $ADS (+0.39%) at € 167.00 → € 25,050
• 40 × $ASML (+1.93%) at € 610.00 → € 24,400
• 340 × $PYPL (+0.03%) at € 58.80 → 19,992
• 300 × $FTNT (+0.1%) at € 65.90 → € 19,770
• 180 × $TEM (+1.36%) at € 54.50 → € 9,810
• 22 × $VOW3 (-0.49%) at € 95.20 → € 2,094

Total sum: € 101,116

Let's see how this develops, in any case I'm well covered for now. 🚀