$FLNC (-15.47%) goes through the decle. I've been holding them for a while but what's going on right now? I thought it was a long-term thing when I bought it. 10 years or so... but it's wild what happens on the stock market sometimes.
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1Mon·
Fluence Energy - New addition
The Fluence Energy share $FLNC (-15.47%) have recently come under considerable pressure. After the Q3 figures, the share price fell by almost 20% and the forecast was lowered - it is clear that many investors are keeping their distance for the time being.
Fluence Energy is a company in the field of energy storage technology and services. It was founded in 2018 as a joint venture between Siemens $SIE (-2.34%) and the AES Corporation $AES (-4.04%) to combine the expertise of both companies in energy storage and develop innovative solutions for integrating renewable energy into power grids.
Energy storage as the key
There can be no energy transition without storage. Wind and solar power must be reliably stored and fed into the grid. Fluence is one of the few specialists in the world that focuses precisely on this.
Order book full
More than USD 2.5 billion is in the backlog. This is a strong signal that the demand is there. If these projects are implemented, Fluence could be in a much better position from 2026.
Fluence offers a variety of energy storage solutions, including:
- Gridstack Pro™: a modular platform for industrial applications.
- Smartstack™: A high-density, AC-based energy storage platform with a modular design.
- Ultrastack™: A solution for smaller applications with high energy density.
- Mosaic™: AI-powered software for intelligent bidding and optimization of energy storage resources
- Nispera™: A software for performance monitoring and analysis of energy storage systems.
Technology & Projects
With the Gridstack Pro systems, they set standards in safety. Major projects in Australia, Germany and even the Ukraine are real references - and references lead to follow-up orders.
Production for scaling
New plants in Houston and Vietnam are intended to help reduce costs and improve margins. Exactly what a growth company needs.
Of course there are risks: competition, thin margins, high expectations on the stock market. But it is clear to me that Fluence is in a market that will only become more important in the coming years.
My impression: in the short term, the share price is shaky - in the long term, Fluence could become one of the winners of the energy transition.
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22 Comments
Profits will more than double every year.
A P/E ratio of 700 next year is sporty.
But then falls to 27
A P/E ratio of 700 next year is sporty.
But then falls to 27
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2Mon·
Fluence Energy Q2'25 Earnings Highlights
🔹 Revenue: $602.5M (Est. $769M) 🔴; +24.7% YoY
🔹 EPS: $0.01 (Est. $(0.01)) 🟢
Guidance (FY25):
🔹 Revenue: $2.6B–$2.8B (lower end likely) vs. Est. $2.731B 🔴
🔹 Adj. EBITDA: $0–$20M (midpoint $10M)
🔹 ARR: ~$145M
Other Q2 Metrics:
🔹 Adj. Gross Margin: 15.4% vs. 17.5% YoY
🔹 Order Intake: $508.8M in Q3 backlog additions; Total backlog $4.9B
🔹 New $150M supply chain financing facility in Aug
🔹 Net Income: $6.9M vs. $1.1M YoY
🔹 Adj. EBITDA: $27.4M vs. $15.6M YoY
🔹 Cash: $459.9M; Total Liquidity $903M (incl. $342.5M revolver)
Operational Highlights:
🔹 Began ramping U.S.-based manufacturing; first domestic content products delivered
🔹 Production ramp slower than expected — some revenue shifting to FY2026
🔹 Expect U.S. facilities at target capacity by year-end; ~$2.5B of backlog to convert in FY2026
CEO Commentary:
🔸 “Strong margins and execution this quarter; delays in U.S. facility ramp push some revenue into 2026, but fundamentals remain robust with a $4.9B backlog.”
10Mon·
📊 $FLNC (-15.47%) Q4 2024 Earnings Report
EPS: $0.34, beating estimate of $0.277 ✅
Revenue: $1.23B, beating estimate of $1.28B ✅
Forward Guidance:
FY2025 Revenue: Anticipated range of $3.6B–$4.4B, with a midpoint of $4.0B.
FY2025 Adjusted EBITDA: Estimated at $160M–$200M, with a midpoint of $180M.
FY2025 Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR): Expected to reach $145M by year-end.
Highlights:
✅ Record quarterly revenue: Fourth-quarter revenue grew 82% YoY, marking the company’s highest-ever quarterly performance.
✅ Backlog growth: Backlog increased to $4.5B, up from $2.9B in FY2023, supported by robust demand for energy storage solutions.
✅ Improved profitability: Achieved a 12.8% gross margin in Q4, reflecting operational efficiency and improved cost management.
✅ Strong cash generation: Free cash flow reached $71.6M, a significant improvement compared to a negative $114.9M in FY2023.
✅ Order intake: Secured $1.2B in new orders this quarter, the second consecutive quarter of over $1B in order intake.
CEO Commentary (Julian Nebreda, CEO):
"Our record performance this quarter underscores the strength of our market position and growing demand for energy storage solutions. We are excited about the opportunities ahead, particularly in the U.S. market, and remain committed to delivering value through innovation and operational excellence."
CFO Commentary (Ahmed Pasha, CFO):
"Our focus on disciplined growth and financial management has driven strong results this quarter. With a robust backlog and improving margins, we are well-positioned to deliver sustained profitable growth in FY2025."
Challenges:
❌ Supply chain constraints: Persistent challenges in global supply chains continue to pressure lead times.
❌ Rising input costs: Higher raw material and component costs affected margin expansion in some areas.
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