Revenue Forward 3Y CAGR and Forward P/S Ratio (sorted in ascending order)

Hims & Hers: 31.9% / 3.4x $HIMS (+1.18%)

Spotify: 14.9% / 5.6x $SPOT (+0.85%)

Airbnb: 10.4% / 6.8x $ABNB (+1.78%)

Roblox: 19.4% / 7.3x $RBLX

Robinhood: 17.0% / 10.6x $HOOD (+2.08%)

The Trade Desk: 19,4% / 11,1x $TTD (+1.89%)

Fortinet: 14.4% / 11.5x $FTNT (+0.32%)

Shopify: 22.6% / 11.9x $SHOP (+1.63%)

Palo Alto Networks: 14.7% / 12.2x $PANW (+0.3%)

ServiceNow: 19.5% / 13.4x $NOW

Duolingo: 26.7% / 13.7x $DUOL

Axon Enterprise: 20.9% / 15.5x $AXON (-0.92%)

Crowdstrike: 22.5% / 17.2x $CRWD (+1.48%)

Cloudflare: 27.2% / 20.9x $NET (+1.16%)

Palantir: 30.8% / 52.6 $PLTR (+1.78%)

Palantir and Hims & Hers are not the same...

Even if Palantir increases its sales by an ambitious 30% every year over the next 10 years and achieves a free cash flow margin of 45% (!), the current share price is still >20% above fair value (assumption: 3% terminal growth, 8% discount rate) - even though the share has already corrected by >30%.

Your opinion?

Hims & Hers (Monday) $HIMS (+1.18%)

Axon Enterprise (Tuesday) $AXON (-0.92%)

Cava Group (Tuesday) $CAVA

Nvidia (Wednesday) $NVDA (+1.39%)

Salesforce (Wednesday) $CRM (+0.09%)

Zoetis (Thursday) $ZTS (+0.21%)

TransMedics (Thursday) $TMDX (+1.14%)

Monster Beverage (Thursday) $MNST (+0.33%)

Rocket Lab (Thursday) $RKLB (+0.67%)

Duolingo (Thursday) $DUOL

What do you expect from these companies?

Hims & Hers $HIMS (+1.18%) has recently had a strong run:

Performance YTD: +140%

Performance 1 year: +553%

Currently Hims & Hers $HIMS (+1.18%) with a price / sales ratio of 10,6x with an expected annual sales growth of >50% for the next 2 years.

Here you can see the ratio for other selected companies with expected double-digit sales growth for the next few years:

Tesla $TSLA (+0.92%) 11.7x (17% sales CAGR next 2 years)

ServiceNow $NOW : 18,5x (19%)

Shopify $SHOP (+1.63%): 18,7x (22%)

Robinhood $HOOD (+2.08%) : 19,6x (16%)

Intuitive Surgical $ISRG (+0.71%) : 25,4x (15%)

Axon Enterprise $AXON (-0.92%) : 26,9x (28%)

Duolingo $DUOL : 27,6x (35%)

Crowdstrike $CRWD (+1.48%) : 29,7x (25%)

Palantir $PLTR (+1.78%) : 94,7x (29%)

The comparison is, of course, a bit of a stretch, but it is still interesting to see how Hims & Hers $HIMS (+1.18%) stands relative to other companies.

What do you think?

The following shares reached a new 52-week high in the course of yesterday:

Meta $META (+1.34%)

Netflix $NFLX (+1.26%)

Costco $COST (+1.33%)

Walmart $WMT (-0.12%)

Crowdstrike $CRWD (+1.48%) (forgot what happened in the summer)

Spotify $SPOT (+0.85%)

Hims & Hers $HIMS (+1.18%) (now the best stock YTD)

Duolingo $DUOL

Hilton $HLT (+0.2%)

Interactive Brokers $IBKR (+0.44%)

Moody's $MCO (-0%)

Sharkninja $SN

Congratulations to all investors and Happy Weekend!

Hello everyone, I have been investing for 6 months. The question now is whether I should continue to watch and buy individual stocks or invest everything in the world. Many think that the effort to find a good entry point etc. is not worth it. Not worth it in contrast to ETFs which perform similarly.

I would also be happy to receive tips and opinions on the portfolio.

If I continue to invest in individual stocks, the following stocks are worth watching:

$BALN (+0%)

$COST (+1.33%)

$DUOL

$TPL (+0.24%)

$TSM (+4.14%)

$WKL (+0.83%)

pretty much following the value strategy...

Yesterday, the following companies, among others, reached new all-time highs during the course of the day:

Amazon $AMZN (+0.93%)

Palantir $PLTR (+1.78%)

Costco $COST (+1.33%)

Netflix $NFLX (+1.26%)

Spotify $SPOT (+0.85%)

Hims & Hers $HIMS (+1.18%)

Duolingo $DUOL

I am in Palantir myself $PLTR (+1.78%) and Hims & Hers $HIMS (+1.18%) both of which have more than quadrupled and doubled in value for me in the last year.

Do you have any of these stocks in your portfolio or are you following them? Which do you think has the greatest potential for the next few years?

Duolingo Q3 2024 $DUOL

Financial performance:

• Revenue: Revenue in Q3 2024 was $192.6 million, a remarkable 40% increase from $137.6 million in Q3 2023.
• Net income: Net income increased significantly to $23.4 million, compared to $2.8 million in the prior year - an increase of over 100%.
• Adjusted EBITDA: Adjusted EBITDA doubled to $47.5 million with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 24.7% compared to 16.3% in the prior year.

Balance Sheet Overview:

• Total Assets: Total assets increased to $1,219.5 million compared to $953.9 million at year-end 2023.
• Total liabilities: Total liabilities increased to $397.1 million compared to $298.5 million.
• Shareholders' equity: Shareholders' equity grew to $822.5 million from $655.5 million.

Income structure:

• Gross profit: Gross profit increased to $140.4 million but with a slight decrease in gross margin from 73.7% to 72.9%.
• Operating costs: Operating expenses increased to $126.8 million, up from $106.0 million.

Cash Flow Overview:

• Operating activities: Net cash flow from operating activities increased 49% to $56.3 million.
• Free cash flow: Free cash flow increased to $52.7 million, representing a free cash flow margin of 27.3%.

Key performance indicators and profitability metrics:

• Gross margin: Slight decrease to 72.9% from 73.7%.
• Adjusted EBITDA margin: Improvement to 24.7% from 16.3%.
• Free cash flow margin: Increase to 27.3% from 24.3%.

Segment information:

• User metrics: Monthly active users increased by 36% to 113.1 million, and daily active users increased by 54% to 37.2 million.

Competitive position:

• The company continues to leverage targeted investments in user acquisition and product development to compete in the highly competitive online language learning market.

Forecasts and management comments:

• Growth outlook: Management is optimistic about future growth, driven by strategic investments and product enhancements aimed at increasing user retention.

Risks and opportunities:

• Opportunities: The growth of the user base and the increase in subscription bookings offer significant growth opportunities.
• Risks: Potential regulatory changes and strong competition in the online language learning market could impact future performance.

Summary of results:

Positives:

Strong revenue growth: Increase of 40% year-on-year.

Significant increase in net profit and adjusted EBITDA: The company recorded impressive improvements here.

Strong growth in user metrics: This shows increasing market penetration and improved reach.

Improved free cash flow and cash flow margins: Strong cash generation and better margins.

Effective cost management: Reduced operating costs as a percentage of revenue.

Negative aspects:

Slight decline in gross margin: This could indicate increasing cost pressures.

Increased total liabilities: Could limit financial flexibility.

High share-based payments: Negative impact on net profit growth and could be dilutive.

Dependence on third-party platforms: This dependence could increase risk as it affects control over revenue generation.

Exchange rate fluctuations: These could lead to fluctuations in the comparison of revenues.