As every Sunday, the most important news from the past week, as well as the most important dates for the coming week.

Also as a video:

https://youtube.com/shorts/qwz6dsaeNi4?si=uQ4zQHw4NJjDUFFf

Monday:

$MCD (+0.5%) McDonalds delivers surprisingly poor figures. In the USA, sales fell by 1.4 % in the 4th quarter; experts had only forecast a fall of 0.4 %. Adjusted profit also fell by 5 % to USD 2.04 billion. However, McDonalds grew worldwide and surprised analysts positively.

https://www.handelsblatt.com/unternehmen/handel-konsumgueter/fastfood-mcdonalds-mit-ueberraschend-hohen-einbussen-im-us-geschaeft/100106947.html

Tuesday:

Turnover at the French luxury goods conglomerate $KER (+1.01%) Kering declines significantly. The main reason for this is weak figures at the Italian subsidiary Gucci. Overall, turnover fell by 12% to 17.2 billion euros in 2024. The slump in consumption in China in particular is weighing on earnings. However, Pinault is seeing the first signs of recovery from China.

https://www.handelsblatt.com/unternehmen/industrie/geschaeftszahlen-im-newsblog-tui-erwirtschaftet-hoeheren-gewinn-jahresziele-unveraendert-/24098412.html

Wednesday:

$TMV (+1.21%) TeamViewer shines with strong figures and is optimistic. Double-digit growth is planned again from 2027. The Göppingen-based company aims to generate sales of one billion euros as early as 2028. On balance, Teamviewer generated a profit of 123.1 million euros in 2024.

https://www.t-online.de/finanzen/boerse/ticker/teamviewer-will-mittelfristig-zurueck-zu-zweistelligem-wachstum/0DB4980021007F08/

US inflation data is somewhat hotter than expected, causing the markets to slump. Experts were expecting an inflation rate of 2.9% for January, which turned out to be 3.0%.

https://www.handelsblatt.com/finanzen/geldpolitik/verbraucherpreise-us-inflation-steigt-im-januar-ueberraschend-auf-drei-prozent/100106814.html

$CSCO (-0.55%) Cisco raises its forecast and exceeds sales expectations. The reason for this is the high demand from companies for AI infrastructure. This is one of the reasons why Cisco is also increasing its dividend.

https://www.ariva.de/amp/ki-boom-hilft-netzwerkausruester-cisco-11534732

Thursday:

The world's largest and probably most controversial food company is growing again. $NESN (+4.08%) Nestlé is planning a dividend increase. Sales increased by 2.2 % excluding exchange rate effects. Profit fell by 2.9 % to 10.9 billion Swiss francs.

https://www.nzz.ch/wirtschaft/nestle-waechst-wieder-aus-eigener-kraft-ld.1870435

Friday:

The US economy 🇺🇸 suffered a double setback in January. Retail sales and industrial production were down. Retail sales fell by the most in two years. This was due to the low temperatures and customs duties. Industrial production fell, as economists had expected. The production of motor vehicles in particular was responsible for the decline.

https://de.tradingview.com/news/invezz:f6400bd08600c:0/

These are the most important dates for the coming week:

Monday: 00:50 GDP figures (Japan)

Wednesday: 20:00 FOMC minutes (USA)

Thursday: 08:00 Producer prices (DE)

Can you think of any other dates? Write it in the comments 👇

#bip
#japan
#fomc
#erzeugerpreise

Valentine's Day + Gamestop to invest in cryptocurrency + Coinbase Global Q4 earnings with revenue increase + Nestle raises dividend despite profit decline + Cisco raises full-year revenue forecast + Producer prices in the US rise more than expected

Meme stock giant Gamestop $GME (-1.75%)considers investment in Bitcoin$BTC (+0.77%)

• Gamestop is rumored to be exploring possible investments in bitcoin to expand its financial horizons, according to people with knowledge of the situation who spoke to CNBC.
• Stock rallies strongly.
• https://news.bitcoin.com/de/bericht-behauptet-dass-meme-aktienriese-gamestop-die-zuweisung-von-bitcoin-in-die-schatzkammer-in-erwaegung-zieht/

Coinbase Global $COIN (-7.3%)Q4 earnings with revenue increase

• Coinbase Global (COIN) on Thursday reported fourth-quarter diluted earnings of $4.68 per share, up from $1.04 a year earlier.
• Analysts polled by FactSet had expected $2.11.
• Revenue for the quarter ended Dec. 31 was $2.27 billion, up from $953.8 million a year earlier.
• Analysts polled by FactSet had expected $1.84 billion.
• The company said it expects first-quarter subscription and services revenue of $685 million to $765 million.
• Shares rose nearly 2% in after-hours trading.

Nestle $NSRGY (+4.01%)increases dividend despite profit decline

• Nestle, the world's largest food manufacturer, wants to increase its dividend despite the recent difficult times.
• It is to be increased by five centimes to 3.05 francs, the producer of brands such as Kitkat and Nespresso announced in Zurich on Thursday.
• This will be the 29th consecutive increase in the dividend, despite a fall in sales and profits last year.
• The Group recently struggled with weak demand, high costs and the strong Swiss franc.
• Sales fell by 1.8 percent year-on-year to 91.4 billion Swiss francs in 2024.
• Adjusted for exchange rate changes and acquisitions and disposals of business units, however, Nestle grew by 2.2 percent compared to the previous year.
• The so-called organic growth is made up of price adjustments of 1.5 percent and volume increases (RIG) of 0.8 percent.
• Growth was therefore slightly better than experts had expected.
• The dividend is also a tad higher than expected.
• For 2025, the management continues to forecast an improvement in organic sales growth compared to 2024.
• The underlying operating profit margin is expected to be 16.0 percent or higher.
• In the medium term, Nestle wants to return to values of over 17 percent.
• Organic sales growth is expected to be "4 percent plus in a normal business environment".
• As already announced at the Investor Day in November, the Group intends to save around 2.5 billion Swiss francs by the end of 2027.
• The savings will be used to finance higher investments in marketing.

Cisco $CSCO (-0.55%)raises sales forecast for the full year

• Cisco Systems raised its full-year revenue forecast on Wednesday, banking on higher demand for its cloud networking devices amid a boom in artificial intelligence technology.
• The company expects revenue of between $56 billion and $56.5 billion for fiscal 2025, compared with its previous forecast of $55.3 billion to $56.3 billion.
• Analysts on average expect 55.99 billion dollars, according to data compiled by LSEG.

Producer prices in the USA rise more than expected

• In the USA, producer prices have risen more strongly than expected.
• In January, the prices that manufacturers charge for their goods rose by 3.5 percent year-on-year, according to the US Department of Labor in Washington on Thursday.
• Economists had only expected 3.3 percent.
• The last time the rate was higher was in February 2023, when the core rate, which excludes volatile prices for energy and food, was 3.6 percent in January.
• Economists had expected just 3.3 percent.
• According to economists, the core rate better reflects the price trend.
• Compared to the previous month, producer prices rose by 0.4 percent.
• An increase of 0.3 percent had been expected here.
• The core rate rose by 0.3% month-on-month, as expected.
• Producer prices influence consumer prices, on which the US Federal Reserve bases its monetary policy.
• In January, the inflation rate in the US was 3.0%, above the Fed's inflation target of 2%.
• Inflation has recently proved to be stubborn.
• Economists therefore do not expect further interest rate cuts until the end of the year.

Friday: Stock market dates, economic data, quarterly figures

Valentine's Day, think of your loved ones and not just your shares :)

• ex-dividend of individual stocks
• Siemens EUR 5.20
• Shell 0.72 USD
• Eli Lilly 1.50 USD
• Chevron Corporation 1.71 USD
• 3M USD 0.73
• Amgen USD 2.38
• Starbucks USD 0.61

• Quarterly figures / Company dates USA / Asia
• Untimed: Moderna quarterly figures

• Quarterly figures / Company dates Europe
• 07:00 Safran annual results
• 08:00 Hermes International| Natwest Group annual results
• 11:00 Borussia Dortmund result 1H

• Economic data

11:00 EU: GDP (2nd release) 4Q Eurozone PROGNOSIS: 0.0% yoy/+0.9% yoy 1st release: 0.0% yoy/+0.9% yoy 3rd quarter: +0.4% yoy/+0.9% yoy

14:30 US: Retail Sales January FORECAST: -0.2% yoy previous: +0.4% yoy Retail Sales ex Motor Vehicles FORECAST: +0.3% yoy previous: +0.4% yoy

14:30 US: Import and export prices January import prices PROGNOSE: +0.3% yoy previous: +0.1% yoy

15:15 US: Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization January Industrial Production PROGNOSE: +0.3% yoy previous: +0.9% yoy Capacity utilization PROGNOSE: 77.7% previous: 77.6%

16:00 US: Inventories December FORECAST: -0.1% yoy previous: +0.1% yoy

20:15 US: Fed Dallas President Logan, speech at Southern Methodist University event

Cisco Systems $CSCO (-0.55%) published its results for the second quarter of the 2025 financial year yesterday, February 12, 2025, exceeding analysts' expectations. The company reported revenue of USD 14 billion, an increase of 9% compared to the previous year. Adjusted earnings per share rose to 94 cents, compared to 87 cents in the same period last year.

A key driver of this growth is the increasing demand for networking equipment, which is essential for the expansion of artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructures. In the past quarter, Cisco recorded orders for AI infrastructures amounting to over USD 350 million, which underlines the importance of this segment.

Based on this positive development, Cisco has raised its revenue forecast for the 2025 financial year and now expects revenue of between USD 56 and 56.5 billion, compared to the previous forecast of USD 55.3 to 56.3 billion.

In addition, the company has expanded its share buyback program by USD 15 billion and increased its quarterly dividend by 3% to 41 cents per share, reflecting management's confidence in the future development of the company.

The positive results and optimistic outlook led to a 6.3% rise in Cisco shares in after-hours trading.

Sources:

1.Reuters:

Cisco raises revenue forecast for fiscal 2025 as demand for AI networking equipment rises

https://www.reuters.com/technology/cisco-raises-full-year-revenue-forecast-2025-02-12/

2.Barron's:

Cisco beats earnings expectations and gives optimistic outlook.

https://www.barrons.com/articles/ciscos-earnings-stock-price-c29746c8

3.MarketWatch:

Cisco benefits from rising demand for AI infrastructure.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/cisco-is-basking-in-its-ai-moment-as-earnings-show-further-pickup-in-demand-e3afefd5

4.Investopedia:

Cisco expands share buyback program and increases dividend.

https://www.investopedia.com/cisco-earnings-q2-fy2025-11678867

$CSCO (-0.55%)

• Cisco Systems exceeded Wall Street's expectations in terms of profit and sales in the second quarter.

• The networking company reported earnings of 94 cents per share on sales of 14 billion US dollars. Analysts polled by FactSet had expected earnings of 91 cents per share on sales of 13.9 billion US dollars expected.

• Cisco's profit rose compared to the previous year's figure of 87 cents per sharewhile sales of 12.8 billion US dollars to 14 billion US dollars.

• The increase in turnover is attributable to the acquisition of the data platform Splunk which Cisco acquired last year. Without the contribution from Splunk, total sales would have fallen by 1 % compared to the previous year.

"Cisco's strong quarterly results were driven by increasing customer demand for our technology," said CEO Chuck Robbins in a press release. "As AI becomes more pervasive, we are well positioned to help our customers scale their network infrastructure, increase their data capacity requirements and implement world-class AI security."

• For the third quarter, Cisco expects revenue to be between 13.9 billion US dollars and 14.1 billion US dollarscompared to the analysts' consensus forecast of 13.88 billion US dollars.

• Expected earnings are between 90 cents per share and 92 cents per sharewhich is roughly in line with Wall Street estimates of 90 cents per share per share.

The technology company is also increasing its dividend by 1 cent per share to 41 cents.

Next week won't be boring either 🫡

There's something for everyone 😁

What numbers are you looking forward to? 🧐

$MCD (+0.5%)
$VRTX (+0.82%)
$KO (+2.3%)
$SPGI (-0.29%)
$VRT (-7.34%)
$PANW (-3.05%)
$CVS (-2.18%)

$MEDP (-0.94%)
$ACLS (-1.73%)
$THC (-4.21%)
$TTD (-4.67%)
$CSCO (-0.55%)
$APP (-6.81%)
$HOOD (-7.16%)
$DE (-2.08%)
$AMAT (-1.89%)
$ABNB (-5.19%)

$CSCO (-0.55%) could benefit from the AI boom in two ways. Enterprise AI is increasing the demand for high throughput in the network and the requirements for storage are also increasing. Cisco is strong in both areas. But I will wait for the earnings call next week on February 12th

Dear community,

I have been a member of getquin for almost 2 months now and I am thrilled with how lively the discussions and contributions are. Thanks to everyone who takes the time to research certain topics and share their knowledge.

I would like to take the opportunity to briefly introduce my portfolio and share my thoughts for 2025.

I have been managing my own investments for 10 years now. I started with ETFs and got into cryptos in 2017 (and got out again after the FTX bankruptcy and the Terra Luna crash). And for a few years now I've also been trading shares and now also real assets (I'm currently testing Timeless). Over the years, I have been able to expand my portfolio.

Due to my family responsibilities, my monthly fixed savings rate is currently €500. I also park monthly surpluses in my call money account and invest them when I see an opportunity. I need a certain amount of cash as we are still renovating and therefore simply need some cash...

My goal is to have at least €500,000 in 10 years so that I can pay off the existing loans on our house. So I would need to generate an annual return of 15%...

Over time, I've built up quite a mix of shares. My credo so far has been not to invest more than €1000 per share (although there have been exceptions) and a stop-loss at 20% below the purchase price. I haven't decided when the best time to sell is and I still don't know which strategy is best for me. I would therefore describe myself more as a hodler...

Now to my plans for 2025.

- I will change the fixed value per share of €1000 and increase it to €5000.

- The stop loss remains in place.

- Keep savings rates at €500 for the time being.

- Reduce the number of shares

- Focus on growth

What could a savings plan look like that I would continue for the next few years?

One point that bothers me is the high proportion of US equities in the global ETFs (cluster risk) - even though this is where most returns have been made historically...

Hence my consideration:

- Save in an ETF with a lower or no USA share (I currently have the following in my portfolio $GERD (-1.1%) where the USA share is only 50% - unfortunately quite expensive with TER 0.5%; or a new start with a $EXUS (-0.61%) ) (share: 40%)

- Saving $MEUD (+0.15%) (20 %), $FLXI (-0.55%) (20%), $WSML (-1.32%) (20%)

- S&P500 or MSCI USA via the 2xSPYTIPS of @Epi (via single payments)

- In addition $BTC (+0.77%) Savings plan of 40€ / week from existing USDC holdings (LTC sales from December) Note: Crypto portfolio cannot be fully mapped in Getquin as the EARN Binance Wallet is not displayed.

What do you think? Does that make sense?

As a next step, am I considering divesting from stocks?

From $OBDC (+0%) I would probably divest myself, possibly also $CSCO (-0.55%) . Can you think of any other shares or ETFs that would make sense to sell due to low growth prospects? I would then invest the free money in 3xGtaaa and shares like $ASML (-0.72%) , $NVDA (-3.63%) ...

Overall, I'm still not sure whether my strategy is quite right. Do you have any ideas, suggestions or comments? I would be grateful for any advice.

Thank you and best regards

Analyst updates, 14.11. 👇🏼

⬆️⬆️⬆️

- JEFFERIES raises the price target for TESLA from USD 195 to USD 300. Hold. $TSLA (-4.32%)

- WARBURG RESEARCH raises the price target for INIT from EUR 49.50 to EUR 53. Buy $INIT

- WARBURG RESEARCH raises the price target for DEUTSCHE BANK from EUR 21.10 to EUR 21.30. Buy. $DBK (+0.12%)

- DEUTSCHE BANK RESEARCH raises the price target for AUTO1 from EUR 11 to EUR 12. Buy. $AG1 (+0.69%)

- DEUTSCHE BANK RESEARCH raises the price target for SIEMENS ENERGY from EUR 43 to EUR 52. Buy. $ENR (-4.27%)

- BERENBERG raises the price target for SCOUT24 from EUR 83 to EUR 110. Buy. $G24 (+0.64%)

- GOLDMAN raises the target price for RIVIAN from USD 10 to USD 12. Neutral. $RIVN (-10.51%)

- GOLDMAN raises the price target for MOLLER-MAERSK from DKK 12000 to DKK 12300. Neutral. $MAERSK B (-2.43%)

- UBS raises the price target for CISCO from USD 55 to USD 62. Neutral. $CSCO (-0.55%)

⬇️⬇️⬇️

- WARBURG RESEARCH downgrades PORSCHE SE from Buy to Hold and lowers price target from EUR 60 to EUR 36. $PAH3 (+0.48%)

- WARBURG RESEARCH lowers the price target for EXASOL from EUR 6.30 to EUR 6. Buy. $EXL (+0.95%)

- WARBURG RESEARCH lowers the price target for BRENNTAG from EUR 75 to EUR 69. Buy. $BNR (+0.43%)

- WARBURG RESEARCH lowers the price target for INFINEON from EUR 43 to EUR 39. Buy. $IFX (-1.86%)

- DEUTSCHE BANK RESEARCH lowers the price target for VERBIO from EUR 20 to EUR 17. Hold. $VBK (-2.71%)

- DEUTSCHE BANK RESEARCH lowers the price target for JENOPTIK from EUR 45 to EUR 39. Buy. $JEN (-0.81%)

- DEUTSCHE BANK RESEARCH lowers the price target for ELRINGKLINGER from EUR 6 to EUR 4.50. Hold. $ZIL2 (+0.24%)

- DEUTSCHE BANK RESEARCH lowers the price target for BAYER from EUR 29 to EUR 23. Hold. $BAYN (+1.43%)

- HAUCK AUFHÄUSER IB lowers the target price for SAF-HOLLAND from EUR 30 to EUR 28. Buy. $SFQ (+1.28%)

- KEPLER CHEUVREUX lowers the target price for RWE from EUR 40 to EUR 36. Buy. $RWE (+1.08%)

- METZLER lowers the price target for JUNGHEINRICH from EUR 42 to EUR 38. Buy. $JUN3 (-0.22%)

- BARCLAYS lowers the target price for RTL from EUR 33 to EUR 26.50. Equal-Weight. $RTLL (+0.64%)

- BERENBERG downgrades VESTAS from Buy to Hold and lowers target price from DKK 180 to DKK 120. $VWS (-1.47%)

Earnings next week (11.11 - 15.11)

$SHOP (-5.86%)

$SOUN

$MARA (-6.47%)

$BABA (+5.86%)

$CAVA

$SPOT (-3.66%)

$AMAT (-1.89%)

$DIS (-1.33%)

$PLUG (-4.22%)

$HD (-2.25%)

$MNDY (-2.03%)

$OXY (-2.74%)

$RKLB (-6.21%)

$BSEM

$ZETA (-7.04%)

$SE (-2.53%)

$RKT

$CSCO (-0.55%)

$ASTS (-8.64%)

$WULF (-8.41%)

$ONON

$OKLO

$HUT (-7.02%)

$NVAX (+1.72%)

$HTZ (-6.09%)

$LUNR

$CART

$TALN

$BITF (-2.27%)

$GRAB (+1.66%)

$JD (+3.44%)

$LAZR

$ALT (-4.21%)

$CRON (+1.62%)

$ICL

$NICE

$CYBR (-4.19%)

$BXSL (-0.3%)

$DESP (-0.27%)

$ARMK (-2.28%)

$TSN (+3.39%)

$RUM

$PGY

$TGI

$AAP (-2.38%)

$AXSM (+7.32%)

$AZN (+0.35%)

$BILI (+2.84%)

$LINC (+0%)

$LQDA (-1.91%)